Effects of Sea Spray Evaporation and Dissipative Heating on Intensity and Structure of Tropical Cyclone

To examine effects of sea spray evaporation and dissipative heating on structure and intensity of a real tropical cyclone, the sea spray flux parameterization scheme was incorporated into the fifth-generation Penn- sylvania State University National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesoscale Model （MM5）. Sensitivity tests were performed with varying the spray source function intensities and with and without dissipation heating. The numerical results indicate that sea spray evaporation increases the interfaeial sensible heat flux, which is increased by 16% for the moderate spray and 47% for the heavy spray, but has little effect on the interfaeial latent heat flux. The net effect of sea spray evaporation is to decrease the total sensible heat flux and to increase the total latent heat flux. The total enthalpy flux is increased by 1% and 12% with moderate and strong spray amounts, respectively. Consistent with these results, the intensity of the tropical cyclone is increased by 5% and 16% in maximum 10-m wind speed, respectively, due to sea spray evapora- tion. Sea spray evaporation and dissipative heating modify the tropical cyclone structure in important but complex ways. The effect of sea spray on the near-surface temperature and moisture depends on the spray amounts and its location within the tropical cyclone. Within the high-wind region of a tropical cyclone, the lower atmosphere becomes cooler and moister due to the evaporation of sea spray. However, the dissipative heating offsets the cooling due to sea spray evaporation, which makes the lower atmosphere warmer.

NUMERICAL EXPERIMENTS ON THE IMPACTS OF SEA SPRAY ON TROPICAL CYCLONES

The latest version of sea spray flux parameterization scheme developed by Andreas is coupled with the PSU/NCAR model MM5 in this paper. A western Pacific tropical cyclone named Nabi in 2005 is simulated using this coupled air-sea spray modeling system to study the impacts of sea spray evaporation on the evolution of tropical cyclones. The results demonstrate that sea spray can lead to a significant increase of heat fluxes in the air-sea interface, especially the latent heat flux, the maximum of which can increase by up to about 35% - 80% The latent heat flux seems to be more important than the sensible heat flux for the evolution of tropical cyclones. Regardless of whether sea spray fluxes have been considered, the model can always simulate the track of Nabi well, which seems to indicate that sea spray has little impact on the movement of tropical cyclones. However, with sea spray fluxes taken into account in the model, the intensity of a simulated tropical cyclone can have significant increase. Due to the enhancement of water vapor and heat from the sea surface to the air caused by sea spray, the warm core structure is better-defined, the minimum sea level pressure decreases and the vertical speed is stronger around the eye in the experiments, which is propitious to the development and evolution of tropical cyclones.

IMPACT OF SEA SPRAY ON TROPICAL CYCLONE STRUCTURE AND INTENSITY CHANGE

In this paper,the effects of sea spray on tropical cyclone(TC)structure and intensity variation are evaluated through numerical simulations using an advanced sea-spray parameterization from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/Earth System Research Laboratory(NOAA/ESRL),which is incorporated in the idealized Advanced Research version of the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF-ARW)model.The effect of sea spray on TC boundary-layer structure is also analyzed.The results show that there is a significant increase in TC intensity when its boundary-layer wind includes the radial and tangential winds,their structure change,and the total surface wind speed change.Diagnosis of the vorticity budget shows that an increase of convergence in TC boundary layer enhances TC vorticity due to the dynamic effect of sea spay.The main kinematic effect of the friction velocity reduction by sea spray produces an increment of large-scale convergence in the TC boundary layer,while the radial and tangential winds significantly increase with an increment of the horizontal gradient maximum of the radial wind, resulting in a final increase in the simulated TC intensity.The surface enthalpy flux enlarges TC intensity and reduces storm structure change to some degree,which results in a secondary thermodynamic impact on TC intensification.Implications of the new interpretation of sea-spray effects on TC intensification are also discussed.

A primary study of the correlation between the net air-sea heat flux and the interannual variation of western North Pacific tropical cyclone track and intensity

A singular value decomposition （SVD） analysis is carried out to reveal the relationship between the interannual variation of track and intensity of the western North Pacific tropical cyclones （WNPTCs） in the tropical cyclone （TC） active season （July–November） and the global net air-sea heat flux （Q net ） in the preceding season （April–June）. For this purpose, a tropical cyclone track and intensity function （TIF） is defined by a combination of accumulated cyclone energy （ACE） index and a cyclone track density function. The SVD analysis reveals that the first mode is responsible for the positive correlation between the upward heat flux in the tropical central Pacific and the increased activity of western North Pacific （WNP） TIF, the second mode for the positive correlation between the upward heat flux in the North Indian Ocean and the northeastward track shift of WNPTCs and the third mode for the negative correlation between the upward heat flux in mid-latitude central Pacific and the northwest displacement of the WNP TC-active center. This suggests that Q net anomalies in some key regions have a substantial remote impact on the WNP TC activity.

RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN TROPICAL ISO AND TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA

The relationship between the tropical intra-seasonal oscillation(ISO) and tropical cyclones(TCs) activities over the South China Sea(SCS) is investigated by utilizing the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research(NCEP/NCAR) global reanalysis data and tropical cyclone best-track data from 1949 to 2009.The main conclusions are:(1)A new ISO index is designed to describe the tropical ISO activity over the SCS,which can simply express ISO for SCS.After examining the applicability of the index constructed by the Climate Prediction Center(CPC),we find that the convection spatial scale reflected by this index is too large to characterize the small-scale SCS and fails to divide the TCs activities over the SCS into active and inactive categories.Consequently,the CPC index can't replace the function of the new ISO index;(2)The eastward spread process of tropical ISO is divided into eight phases using the new ISO index,the phase variation of which corresponds well with the TCs activities over the SCS.TCs generation and landing are significantly reduced during inactive period(phase 4-6) relative to that during active period(phase 7-3);(3)The composite analyses indicate distinct TCs activities over the SCS,which is consistent with the concomitant propagation of the ISO convective activity.During ISO active period,the weather situations are favorable for TCs development over the SCS,e.g.,strong convection,cyclonic shear and weak subtropical high,and vice versa;(4)The condensation heating centers,strong convection and water vapor flux divergence are well collocated with each other during ISO active period.In addition,the vertical profile of condensation heat indicates strong ascending motion and middle-level heating over the SCS during active period,and vice versa.Thus,the eastward propagation of tropical ISO is capable to modulate TCs activities by affecting the heating configuration over the SCS.

Effects of surface waves and sea spray on air–sea fluxes during the passage of Typhoon Hagupit

Air–sea exchange plays a vital role in the development and maintenance of tropical cyclones（TCs）. Although studies have suggested the dependence of air–sea fluxes on surface waves and sea spray, how these processes modify those fluxes under TC conditions have not been sufficiently investigated based on in-situ observations.Using continuous meteorological and surface wave data from a moored buoy in the northern South China Sea,this study examines the effects of surface waves and sea spray on air–sea fluxes during the passage of Typhoon Hagupit. The mooring was within about 40 km of the center of Hagupit. Surface waves could increase momentum flux to the ocean by about 15%, and sea spray enhanced both sensible and latent heat fluxes to the atmosphere,causing Hagupit to absorb 500 W/m^2 more heat flux from the ocean. These results have powerful implications for understanding TC–ocean interaction and improving TC intensity forecasting.

An Investigation of the Effects of Wave State and Sea Spray on an Idealized Typhoon Using an Air-Sea Coupled Modeling System

In this study, the impact of atmospherewave coupling on typhoon intensity was investigated using numerical simulations of an idealized typhoon in a coupled atmospherewaveocean modeling system. The coupling between atmosphere and sea surface waves considered the effects of wave state and sea sprays on airsea momentum flux, the atmospheric lowlevel dissipative heating, and the wavestateaffected sea spray heat flux. Several experiments were conducted to examine the impacts of wave state, sea sprays, and dissipative heating on an idealized typhoon system. Results show that considering the wave state and seasprayaffected seasurface roughness reduces typhoon intensity, while including dissipative heating intensifies the typhoon system. Taking into account sea spray heat flux also strengthens the typhoon system with increasing maximum wind speed and significant wave height. The overall impact of atmospherewave coupling makes a positive contribution to the intensification of the idealized typhoon system. The minimum central pressure simulated by the coupled atmospherewave experiment was 16.4 hPa deeper than that of the control run, and the maximum wind speed and significant wave height increased by 31% and 4%, respectively. Meanwhile, within the area beneath the typhoon center, the average total upward airsea heat flux increased by 22%, and the averaged latent heat flux increased more significantly by 31% compared to the uncoupled run.

Effect of Sea Spray on the Numerical Simulation of Super Typhoon ‘Ewiniar’

To study the potential effect of sea spray on the evolution of typhoons,two kinds of sea spray flux parameterization schemes developed by Andreas (2005) and Andreas and Wang (2006) and Fairall et al. (1994) respectively are incorporated into the regional atmospheric Mesoscale Model version 3.6 (MM5V3) of Pennsylvania State University/National Center for Atmospheric Research (PSU/NCAR) and the coupled atmosphere-sea spray modeling system is applied to simulate a Western Pacific super ty-phoon Ewiniar in 2006. The simulation results demonstrate that sea spray can lead to a significant increase in heat fluxes at the air-sea interface and the simulated typhoon’s intensity. Compared with the results without sea spray,the minimum sea level pressure reduces about 8hPa after taking account of sea spray by Fairall et al.’s parameterization (1994) and about 5hPa by Andreas’ (2005) and Andreas and Wang’s (2006) parameterization at the end of the model integration,while the maximum 10m wind speed increases about 17% and 15% on average,respectively,through the entire simulation time period. Taking sea spray into account also causes significant changes in Tropical Cyclone (TC) structure due to an enhancement of water vapor and heat transferred from the sea sur-face to the air; therefore,the center structure of the typhoon becomes more clearly defined and the wind speed around the typhoon eye is stronger in numerical experiments. The simulations show that different sea spray flux parameterizations make different modi-fications to the TC structure.

A Possible Mechanism of the Impact of Atmosphere-Ocean Interaction on the Activity of Tropical Cyclones Affecting China

In this study, tropical cyclone data from China Meteorological Administration （CMA） and the ECMWF reanalysis data for the period 1958-2001 was used to propose a possible mechanism for the impacts of air- sea interaction on the activity of tropical cyclones （TCs） affecting China. The frequency of TCs affecting China over past 40 years has trended downward, while during the same period, the air sea interaction in the two key areas of the Pacific region has significantly weakened. Our diagnoses and simulations suggest that air sea interactions in the central North Pacific tropics and subtropics （Area 1） have an important role in adjusting typhoon activities in the Northwest Pacific in general, and especially in TC activity affecting China. On the contrary, impacts of the air-sea interaction in the eastern part of the South Pacific tropics （Area 2） were found to be rather limited. As both observational analysis and modeling studies show that, in the past four decades and beyond, the weakening trend of the latent heat released from Area 1 matched well with the decreasing Northwest Pacific TC frequency derived from CMA datasets. Results also showed that the weakening trend of latent heat flux in the area was most likely due to the decreasing TC frequency over the Northwest Pacific, including those affecting China. Although our preliminary analysis revealed a possible mechanism through which the air sea interaction may adjust the genesis conditions for TCs, which eventually affect China, other relevant questions, such as how TC tracks and impacts are affected by these trends, remain unanswered. Further in-depth investigations are required.

The response of the upper ocean to tropical cyclone Viyaru over the Bay of Bengal

Better forecast of tropical cyclone(TC) can help to reduce risk and enhance management. The TC forecast depends on the scientific understanding of oceanic processes, air-sea interaction and finally, the atmospheric process. The TC Viyaru is taken as an example, which is formed at the end of 11 May 2013 and sustains up to 17 May 2013 during pre-monsoon season. Argo data are used to investigate ocean response processes by comparing pre-and post-conditions of the TC. Eight oceanic parameters including the sea surface temperature(SST), the sea surface salinity(SSS), and the barrier layer thickness(BLT), the 26°C isotherm depth in the ocean(D26), the isothermal layer depth(ILD), the mixed layer depth(MLD), the tropical cyclone heat potential(TCHP) and the effective oceanic layer for cyclogenesis(EOLC) are chosen to evaluate the pre-and post-conditions of the TC along the track of Viyaru. The values of the SST, D26, BLT, TCHP and EOLC in the pre-cyclonic condition are higher than the post-cyclonic condition, while the SSS, ILD and MLD in the post-cyclonic condition are higher than the pre-cyclonic condition of the ocean due to strong cyclonic winds and subsurface upwelling. It is interesting that the strong intensity of the TC reduces less SST and vice versa. The satisfied real time Argo data is not available in the northern Bay of Bengal especially in the coastal region. A weather research and forecasting model is employed to hindcast the track of Viyaru, and the satellite data from the National Center Environmental Prediction are used to assess the hindcast.

Satellite derived upper ocean thermal structure and its application to tropical cyclone intensity forecasting in the Indian Ocean

Upper ocean heat content is a factor critical to the intensity change of tropical cyclones(TCs). Because of the inhomogeneity of in situ observations in the North Indian Ocean,gridded temperature/salinity(T/S) profiles were derived from satellite data for 1993–2012 using a linear regression method. The satellite derived T/S dataset covered the region of 10°S–32°N,25°–100°E with daily temporal resolution,0.25°×0.25° spatial resolution,and 26 vertical layers from the sea surface to a depth of 1 000 m at standard layers. Independent Global Temperature Salinity Profile Project data were used to validate the satellite derived T/S fields. The analysis confirmed that the satellite derived temperature field represented the characteristics and vertical structure of the temperature field well. The results demonstrated that the vertically averaged root mean square error of the temperature was 0.83 in the upper 1 000 m and the corresponding correlation coefficient was 0.87,which accounted for 76% of the observed variance. After verification of the satellite derived T/S dataset,the TC heat potential(TCHP) was verified. The results show that the satellite derived values were coherent with observed TCHP data with a correlation coefficient of 0.86 and statistical significance at the 99% confidence level. The intensity change of TC Gonu during a period of rapid intensification was studied using satellite derived TCHP data. A delayed effect of the TCHP was found in relation to the intensity change of Gonu,suggesting a lag feature in the response of the inner core of the TC to the ocean.

Numerical Study on the Impacts of the Bogus Data Assimilation and Sea Spray Parameterization on Typhoon Ducts

The Weather Research and Forecasting model version 3.2 （WRF v3.2） was used with the bogus data assimilation （BDA） scheme and sea spray parameterization （SSP）, and experiments were conducted to assess the impacts of the BDA and SSP on prediction of the typhoon ducting process induced by Typhoon Mindule （2004）. The global positioning system （GPS） dropsonde observations were used for comparison, The results show that typhoon ducts are likely to form in every direction around the typhoon center, with the main type of ducts being elevated duct. With the BDA scheme included in the model initialization, the model has a better performance in predicting the existence, distribution, and strength of typhoon ducts. This improvement is attributed to the positive effect of the BDA scheme on the typhoon＇s ambient boundary layer structure. Sea spray affects typhoon ducts mainly by changing the latent heat （LH） flux at the air-sea interface beyond 270 km from the typhoon center. The strength of the typhoon duct is enhanced when the boundary layer under this duct is cooled and moistened by the sea spray; otherwise, the typhoon duct is weakened. The sea spray induced changes in the air-sea sensible heat （SH） flux and LH flux are concentrated in the maximum wind speed area near the typhoon center, and the changes are significantly weakened with the increase of the radial range.

一个区域海-气耦合模式的建立:模式验证及其对热带气旋“云娜”的模拟

本文以区域热带气旋模式(GRAPES-TCM)为基础,引入海洋环流模式(Estuarine,Coastal and Ocean Model(semi-implicit),ECOM-si)和Ocean Atmosphere Sea Ice Soil 3(OASIS3)耦合器,建立了一个区域海-气耦合模式。利用该模式对0414号热带气旋"云娜"进行了数值模拟,验证了模式的性能。结果表明,耦合模式模拟的"云娜"强度相比单独的大气模式更接近观测,单独大气模式模拟的近地面风场偏强,而耦合模式模拟的近地面风场的强度和非对称结构均与观测更为接近。数值实验中,"云娜"热带气旋过境引起的海表面温度的下降与实况接近,海表面温度下降引起的海-气热通量相比控制实验的结果明显下降,分析资料表明这一下降是合理的。海洋模式的引入导致了热带气旋"云娜"结构的变化,这种变化不但反应在径向风的减弱(强度下降),还反应在对流强度和最强对流发生位置的变化,并最终引起了热带气旋降水结构的改变。

热带季节内振荡与南海热带气旋活动的关系

利用1949-2009年台风年鉴和NCEP/NCAR再分析资料分析了热带季节内振荡（Iso）与南海热带气旋活动的关系.主要结论包括：（1）针对南海地区定义了纬向风指数,经验证该指数能较好描述南海大气ISO的具体特征；（2）CPC120指数反映的对流空间尺度相对于南海小尺度海域太大,且不能很好判明南海地区气旋活动归属于活跃与否两类,这从反面证明了纬向风指数对南海地区热带ISO活动的适用性；（3）利用纬向风指数把热带ISO活动划分了8个位相,发现其位相变化与南海热带气旋活动有较好的对应关系：不活跃期（第4～6位相）时,气旋在南海生成和登陆均明显减少,而在活跃期（第7～3位相）时情况相反；（4）合成分析表明,热带ISO东传时,伴随对流中心位置的东移,南海气旋活动表现也不同,其活跃期以第2位相特征最明显,此时南海地区对应强对流和气旋式切变,同时副高强度较弱位置偏东,这些均有利于南海气旋的生成和发展；不活跃期则情况相反,以第6位相特征最明显；（5）迸一步从能源供应角度来探讨发现,南海地区的水汽凝结加热中心、强对流中心及水汽通量散度均配合一致.此外,活跃位相时整层热源垂直剖面均反映南海上空为强上升运动和中层加热；不活跃位相则情况相反.因此,热带ISO东传也会影响南海上空加热配置,从而影响热带气旋活动.

南海热带气旋路径与海气通量的特征分析

海气间潜热和感热的交换对热带气旋的发展和维持起着十分重要的作用。本文利用MEKKHALA、LEO、TED、VONGFONG、ZEKE和WILLIE等南海热带气旋个例,对南海地区热带气旋期间,气旋移动路径与海气之间潜热通量的关联特征进行了初步的分析。结果表明:气旋有向其路径前方海气潜热强输送中心靠拢的趋势,而且移动方向与输送中心位置分布间存在对称性,表现为:当气旋位于两个输送中心之间时,移动方向与两个中心的轴线约平行;而且气旋前进方向常与身后输送中心最近处的切线垂直。

1979—2019年影响中国沿海的热带气旋与ENSO变化关系初探

采用1979—2019年热带气旋最佳路径资料,分析影响中国沿海的热带气旋的时空演变特征,并结合Ni?o3.4指数、海表温度和海洋上层热容量资料,对热带气旋与ENSO变化关系进行初步探讨。结果表明,近40年来影响中国沿海的热带气旋经历了1990年代减弱,2000年代增强的变化过程,且在2000年以后呈现显著向岸迁移趋势。影响中国沿海的热带气旋与表征ENSO的Ni?o3.4指数的相关关系在2000年发生突变,具体表现为ACE与Ni?o3.4指数在2000年前呈显著正相关,2000年后二者相关性明显下降。通过将ACE分解成平均强度ACE;、持续时间ACE;和频数ACE;这三个分量,发现2000年前Ni?o3.4指数与平均强度ACE;呈显著正相关,但2000年后Ni?o3.4指数与ACE;相关关系减弱,这可能是导致ACE与Ni?o3.4指数的相关关系在2000年左右发生突变的主要原因。持续时间ACE;与Ni?o3.4指数一直保持显著正相关,频数ACE;则与Ni?o3.4指数不存在显著线性相关关系。分析影响中国沿海的热带气旋活动与海表温度异常和海洋上层热容量异常在空间上的相关性,所得结果可以证实以上结论。

耗散结构理论在判断南海热带气旋路径演变中的应用

本文用耗散结构理论推导出南海热带气旋的移动公式,通过实际应用和实例检验,证明它对估计南海热带气旋路径演变有一定的实用价值。

海洋飞沫对热带气旋影响的数值模拟研究——以“鲇鱼”台风为例

本文在海-气-浪-沉积输运耦合模式COAWST(The Coupled-Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport Modeling System)中,添加包含海洋飞沫效应的拖曳系数CD和热焓交换系数CK参数化方案,探讨海洋飞沫的动力学和热力学效应对热带气旋的影响。数值实验结果表明,海洋飞沫效应可有效改进热带气旋的路径模拟结果;只考虑海洋飞沫动力学效应时,对海表动量通量的影响甚少,可使向上感热通量和潜热通量略有增加;同时考虑海洋飞沫动力学和热力学效应时,可使海表动量通量略有增加,并使向上感热通量和潜热通量显著增加,海洋飞沫主要通过热力学效应有效增加热带气旋强度,对热带气旋强度模拟的改进效果相比于仅考虑海洋飞沫动力学效应更显著。

EVOLUTION OF THERMODYNAMIC STRUCTURES DURING RAPID GROWTH AND DECAY OF EXTREMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM CHAPALA(2015)

The structure and evolution of inner-core convective bursts and their differences associated with rapid intensification(RI) and rapid decay(RD) of tropical cyclone CHAPALA are examined. The inception of RI was associated with substantial increase of convective heating and its vertical extent in the inner core. Increase in diabatic heating was of the order of 12-21 oC, particularly in the middle and upper troposphere. Latent heat release produced a diabatically generated potential vorticity(PV) in vertical column. The immediate cause of RI was a significant increase of moisture flux from surface to 500 h Pa. This was accomplished primarily by updrafts of the order of 6-12 Pa s-1, representing the strong vertical motion distribution inside the warm core convective zone. The episode of deep convective bursts transpired during the period of RI. The evolving flow became highly symmetric and dominated by deep convective axisymmetric vortex structures. The RD coincided with the significant weakening in updraft of moisture flux consequently decrease of diabatic heating in the middle and upper troposphere and dissipation of upper and lower PV.