Coastal regions are becoming increasingly vulnerable to flooding because of accelerating sea-level-rise(SLR),local ground subsidence,and the changes in topography and morphology.Moreover,coastal areas are usually high...Coastal regions are becoming increasingly vulnerable to flooding because of accelerating sea-level-rise(SLR),local ground subsidence,and the changes in topography and morphology.Moreover,coastal areas are usually highly urbanized and increased human activities have an effect on the stability and preservation of the environment.For instance,the growing demand for new lands to accommodate the population and the industrial facilities in China has required the design and the deployment of land-reclamation projects from the ocean,with a marked impact on fragile coastal eco-systems.Specifically,the Yangtze River and Pearl River Estuary,two major estuaries of the world,have long been subject to intensive human activities over the past decades.Long-term ground subsidence evolution,topographic changes,and morphological variation of the coastal regions have drawn great attention.This paper provides an overview of well-established Earth Observation(EO)remote sensing(RS)technologies that are employed to continuously monitor the changes of urbanized regions.The combined use of EO-based DInSAR analyses along with the knowledge of the geomorphology of the coastal regions allows a more precise picture of the SLR risk in the investigated coastal regions.In this paper,we will concentrate on remote sensing technologies that allow the gathering of heterogeneous information,such as those based on the use of synthetic aperture radar(SAR),satellite altimeters and tide gauge data.We will underline how human activities trigger changes in the living environment of coastal zones and the associated risks for the population.Observed coastline changes,coastal regions terrain subsidence,and offshore bathymetry have a pronounced effect on the increasing risk of flooding.Accordingly,we also present insights into some inundation model projections employed for evaluating the potential flooding risk in coastal regions.展开更多
该文利用线性回归函数,根据卫星测高及中国沿海6个验潮站数据估算出1993—2020年中国沿海绝对海平面上升速率为4.17±1.32 mm a,相对海平面上升速率为4.47±0.90 mm a。将1958—2020年的大气数据、海洋数据及气候模态指数作为...该文利用线性回归函数,根据卫星测高及中国沿海6个验潮站数据估算出1993—2020年中国沿海绝对海平面上升速率为4.17±1.32 mm a,相对海平面上升速率为4.47±0.90 mm a。将1958—2020年的大气数据、海洋数据及气候模态指数作为预报因子,建立了长短期记忆神经网络模型(LSTM模型)、循环神经网络模型(RNN模型)、门控循环单元神经网络模型(GRU模型)和支持向量机回归模型(SVR模型)等多种神经网络模型对中国沿海6个验潮站周边的相对海平面变化趋势进行预测。模型评估结果表明,同时引入大气变量、海洋变量及气候模态指数变量的LSTM模型取得的预测值与观测值的平均相关系数和均方根误差分别为0.866和19.279 mm,在4种模型中表现最佳,可以作为一种新型的预测相对海平面变化的方法。展开更多
气候变化已经成为小岛屿国家最关切的议题之一,但多数小岛屿国家受限于其发展程度,只能依赖他国援助和支持以应对气候变化产生的影响。近年以来,这种需求正在变得愈发迫切。在2023年11月签订的“澳—图睦邻联盟条约(Australia-Tuvalu Fa...气候变化已经成为小岛屿国家最关切的议题之一,但多数小岛屿国家受限于其发展程度,只能依赖他国援助和支持以应对气候变化产生的影响。近年以来,这种需求正在变得愈发迫切。在2023年11月签订的“澳—图睦邻联盟条约(Australia-Tuvalu Falepili Union Treaty)”(以下简称“澳图条约”)中,图瓦卢以包括允许澳大利亚介入其外交和安全事务在内的高昂代价,换取澳大利亚的气候援助承诺。气候变化对小岛屿国家国际法人格和海洋权利的潜在影响,是理解双方合意缔结该条约真实动因的重要切入点。更为值得关注的是,“澳图条约”反映着部分大国以气候援助为支点,愈发深入地介入小岛屿国家内外事务的实践趋向。倘若类似“气候合作”由个例演变成固定的范式,大国将不断扩张在小岛屿国家的势力范围,其他小岛屿国家也将不得不为自身的生存而寻找大国的庇护,小岛屿国家为对抗大国控制而建立的区域组织也将被瓦解,进而彻底改变目前太平洋地区的地缘政治格局。大国与小岛屿国家应对气候变化的博弈,将对我国与小岛屿国家的深度合作产生潜在影响。有鉴于此,中国应从尊重国家主权和独立自主的基本立场出发,坚决抵制以气候合作为名干涉小岛屿国家内外事务的做法,并积极为小岛屿国家提供针对性的气候变化应对方案,推动前瞻性的“气候外交”布局。展开更多
As the global temperature continues to increase, the sea level continues to rise at a rapid rate that has never been seen before. This becomes an issue for many facets of life but one of the most impacted is the trans...As the global temperature continues to increase, the sea level continues to rise at a rapid rate that has never been seen before. This becomes an issue for many facets of life but one of the most impacted is the transportation infrastructure. Many people living in low elevation coastal areas can become trapped by flooding with no way in or out. With Delaware being a coastal state, this would affect a large portion of the population and will have detrimental effects over time if nothing is done to combat sea level rise. The issue with sea level rise in transportation is that once the roads become flooded, they become virtually unusable and detour routes would be needed. If all the roads in a coastal area were to be affected by sea level rise, the options for detours would become limited. This article looks at direct solutions to combat sea level rise and indirect solutions that would specifically help transportation infrastructure and evacuation routes in Delaware. There is not one solution that can fix every problem, so many solutions are laid out to see what is applicable to each affected area. Some solutions include defense structures that would be put close to the coast, raising the elevation of vulnerable roads throughout the state and including pumping stations to drain the water on the surface of the road. With an understanding of all these solutions around the world, the ultimate conclusion came in the form of a six-step plan that Delaware should take in order to best design against sea level rise in these coastal areas.展开更多
基金National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2017YFE0100700)Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.41801337,41976163)+4 种基金Research Grants of Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality(No.18ZR1410800)Fundamental Research Funds for the Central UniversitiesKey Laboratory of Land Subsidence Monitoring and Prevention,Ministry of Land and Resources(No.KLLSMP201503)Fund of the Director of the Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science(Ministry of Education),East China Normal University(No.KLGIS2017C03)General Research Fund of Hong Kong Research Grants Council(RGC)(No.CUHK 14303818)。
文摘Coastal regions are becoming increasingly vulnerable to flooding because of accelerating sea-level-rise(SLR),local ground subsidence,and the changes in topography and morphology.Moreover,coastal areas are usually highly urbanized and increased human activities have an effect on the stability and preservation of the environment.For instance,the growing demand for new lands to accommodate the population and the industrial facilities in China has required the design and the deployment of land-reclamation projects from the ocean,with a marked impact on fragile coastal eco-systems.Specifically,the Yangtze River and Pearl River Estuary,two major estuaries of the world,have long been subject to intensive human activities over the past decades.Long-term ground subsidence evolution,topographic changes,and morphological variation of the coastal regions have drawn great attention.This paper provides an overview of well-established Earth Observation(EO)remote sensing(RS)technologies that are employed to continuously monitor the changes of urbanized regions.The combined use of EO-based DInSAR analyses along with the knowledge of the geomorphology of the coastal regions allows a more precise picture of the SLR risk in the investigated coastal regions.In this paper,we will concentrate on remote sensing technologies that allow the gathering of heterogeneous information,such as those based on the use of synthetic aperture radar(SAR),satellite altimeters and tide gauge data.We will underline how human activities trigger changes in the living environment of coastal zones and the associated risks for the population.Observed coastline changes,coastal regions terrain subsidence,and offshore bathymetry have a pronounced effect on the increasing risk of flooding.Accordingly,we also present insights into some inundation model projections employed for evaluating the potential flooding risk in coastal regions.
文摘该文利用线性回归函数,根据卫星测高及中国沿海6个验潮站数据估算出1993—2020年中国沿海绝对海平面上升速率为4.17±1.32 mm a,相对海平面上升速率为4.47±0.90 mm a。将1958—2020年的大气数据、海洋数据及气候模态指数作为预报因子,建立了长短期记忆神经网络模型(LSTM模型)、循环神经网络模型(RNN模型)、门控循环单元神经网络模型(GRU模型)和支持向量机回归模型(SVR模型)等多种神经网络模型对中国沿海6个验潮站周边的相对海平面变化趋势进行预测。模型评估结果表明,同时引入大气变量、海洋变量及气候模态指数变量的LSTM模型取得的预测值与观测值的平均相关系数和均方根误差分别为0.866和19.279 mm,在4种模型中表现最佳,可以作为一种新型的预测相对海平面变化的方法。
文摘气候变化已经成为小岛屿国家最关切的议题之一,但多数小岛屿国家受限于其发展程度,只能依赖他国援助和支持以应对气候变化产生的影响。近年以来,这种需求正在变得愈发迫切。在2023年11月签订的“澳—图睦邻联盟条约(Australia-Tuvalu Falepili Union Treaty)”(以下简称“澳图条约”)中,图瓦卢以包括允许澳大利亚介入其外交和安全事务在内的高昂代价,换取澳大利亚的气候援助承诺。气候变化对小岛屿国家国际法人格和海洋权利的潜在影响,是理解双方合意缔结该条约真实动因的重要切入点。更为值得关注的是,“澳图条约”反映着部分大国以气候援助为支点,愈发深入地介入小岛屿国家内外事务的实践趋向。倘若类似“气候合作”由个例演变成固定的范式,大国将不断扩张在小岛屿国家的势力范围,其他小岛屿国家也将不得不为自身的生存而寻找大国的庇护,小岛屿国家为对抗大国控制而建立的区域组织也将被瓦解,进而彻底改变目前太平洋地区的地缘政治格局。大国与小岛屿国家应对气候变化的博弈,将对我国与小岛屿国家的深度合作产生潜在影响。有鉴于此,中国应从尊重国家主权和独立自主的基本立场出发,坚决抵制以气候合作为名干涉小岛屿国家内外事务的做法,并积极为小岛屿国家提供针对性的气候变化应对方案,推动前瞻性的“气候外交”布局。
基金国家重点基金课题:“环渤海滨海地球关键带地质结构和岩相古地理研究(42293261)”中国地质调查局项目:“津冀沿海资源环境承载力调查(DD20189506)”+2 种基金中国地质调查局项目:“黄渤海海岸带重点生态保护修复区综合地质调查(DD20211301)”自然科学基金项目:“渤海湾全新世海面标志点研究与变化历史重建(41372173)”“渤海湾西北岸4 ka BP前后古环境重建(41806109)”。
文摘As the global temperature continues to increase, the sea level continues to rise at a rapid rate that has never been seen before. This becomes an issue for many facets of life but one of the most impacted is the transportation infrastructure. Many people living in low elevation coastal areas can become trapped by flooding with no way in or out. With Delaware being a coastal state, this would affect a large portion of the population and will have detrimental effects over time if nothing is done to combat sea level rise. The issue with sea level rise in transportation is that once the roads become flooded, they become virtually unusable and detour routes would be needed. If all the roads in a coastal area were to be affected by sea level rise, the options for detours would become limited. This article looks at direct solutions to combat sea level rise and indirect solutions that would specifically help transportation infrastructure and evacuation routes in Delaware. There is not one solution that can fix every problem, so many solutions are laid out to see what is applicable to each affected area. Some solutions include defense structures that would be put close to the coast, raising the elevation of vulnerable roads throughout the state and including pumping stations to drain the water on the surface of the road. With an understanding of all these solutions around the world, the ultimate conclusion came in the form of a six-step plan that Delaware should take in order to best design against sea level rise in these coastal areas.
