The seismic hazard of research area is evaluated by probabilistic analysis method for three different seismic statis-tical zone scenarios. The influence of uncertainty in seismic statistical zone delimiting on the eva...The seismic hazard of research area is evaluated by probabilistic analysis method for three different seismic statis-tical zone scenarios. The influence of uncertainty in seismic statistical zone delimiting on the evaluation result is discussed too. It can be seen that for those local sites along zone's border or within areas with vast change of upper bound magnitude among different scenarios the influence on seismic hazard result should not be neglected.展开更多
For several seismic statistical zones in North China, the key factors causing uncertainties in the important seismicity parameters b and v4 and the features of their uncertainties are discussed in this paper. The magn...For several seismic statistical zones in North China, the key factors causing uncertainties in the important seismicity parameters b and v4 and the features of their uncertainties are discussed in this paper. The magnitude of uncertainty is also analyzed. It can be seen that the key influencing factors are statistical period, methods of processing statistical samples, lower limit magnitude and the annual average occurrence ratio of large earthquakes. The variation ranges of b and v4 in the Tancheng-Lujiang zone are as high as 0.2 and 1. 4 respectively, which are similar to those in the Fenwei zone. They are much smaller however in the Hebei zone because of its sufficient statistical samples.展开更多
基金Chinese Joint Seismological Science Foundation (100110).
文摘The seismic hazard of research area is evaluated by probabilistic analysis method for three different seismic statis-tical zone scenarios. The influence of uncertainty in seismic statistical zone delimiting on the evaluation result is discussed too. It can be seen that for those local sites along zone's border or within areas with vast change of upper bound magnitude among different scenarios the influence on seismic hazard result should not be neglected.
基金Institute of Geophysics,China Earthquake Administration
文摘For several seismic statistical zones in North China, the key factors causing uncertainties in the important seismicity parameters b and v4 and the features of their uncertainties are discussed in this paper. The magnitude of uncertainty is also analyzed. It can be seen that the key influencing factors are statistical period, methods of processing statistical samples, lower limit magnitude and the annual average occurrence ratio of large earthquakes. The variation ranges of b and v4 in the Tancheng-Lujiang zone are as high as 0.2 and 1. 4 respectively, which are similar to those in the Fenwei zone. They are much smaller however in the Hebei zone because of its sufficient statistical samples.
