Artificial Intelligence in Internet of Things System for Predicting Water Quality in Aquaculture Fishponds

Aquaculture has long been a critical economic sector in Taiwan.Since a key factor in aquaculture production efficiency is water quality,an effective means of monitoring the dissolved oxygen content(DOC)of aquaculture water is essential.This study developed an internet of things system for monitoring DOC by collecting essential data related to water quality.Artificial intelligence technology was used to construct a water quality prediction model for use in a complete system for managing water quality.Since aquaculture water quality depends on a continuous interaction among multiple factors,and the current state is correlated with the previous state,a model with time series is required.Therefore,this study used recurrent neural networks(RNNs)with sequential characteristics.Commonly used RNNs such as long short-term memory model and gated recurrent unit(GRU)model have a memory function that appropriately retains previous results for use in processing current results.To construct a suitable RNN model,this study used Taguchi method to optimize hyperparameters(including hidden layer neuron count,iteration count,batch size,learning rate,and dropout ratio).Additionally,optimization performance was also compared between 5-layer and 7-layer network architectures.The experimental results revealed that the 7-layer GRU was more suitable for the application considered in this study.The values obtained in tests of prediction performance were mean absolute percentage error of 3.7134%,root mean square error of 0.0638,and R-value of 0.9984.Therefore,thewater qualitymanagement system developed in this study can quickly provide practitioners with highly accurate data,which is essential for a timely response to water quality issues.This study was performed in collaboration with the Taiwan Industrial Technology Research Institute and a local fishery company.Practical application of the system by the fishery company confirmed that the monitoring system is effective in improving the survival rate of farmed fish by providing data needed to maintain DOC higher than the standard value.

Application of Time Serial Model in Water Quality Predicting

Water resources are an indispensable and valuable resource for human survival and development.Water quality predicting plays an important role in the protection and development of water resources.It is difficult to predictwater quality due to its random and trend changes.Therefore,amethod of predicting water quality which combines Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average(ARIMA)and clusteringmodelwas proposed in this paper.By taking thewater qualitymonitoring data of a certain river basin as a sample,thewater quality Total Phosphorus(TP)index was selected as the prediction object.Firstly,the sample data was cleaned,stationary analyzed,and white noise analyzed.Secondly,the appropriate parameters were selected according to the Bayesian Information Criterion(BIC)principle,and the trend component characteristics were obtained by using ARIMA to conduct water quality predicting.Thirdly,the relationship between the precipitation and the TP index in themonitoring water field was analyzed by the K-means clusteringmethod,and the random incremental characteristics of precipitation on water quality changes were calculated.Finally,by combining with the trend component characteristics and the random incremental characteristics,the water quality prediction results were calculated.Compared with the ARIMA water quality prediction method,experiments showed that the proposed method has higher accuracy,and its Mean Absolute Error(MAE),Mean Square Error(MSE),and Mean Absolute Percentage Error(MAPE)were respectively reduced by 44.6%,56.8%,and 45.8%.

Application of Artificial Neural Networks for the Prediction of Water Quality Variables in the Nile Delta

The quality of a water body is usually characterized by sets of physical, chemical, and biological parameters, which are mutually interrelated. Since August 1997, monthly records of 33 parameters, monitored at 102 locations on the Nile Delta drainage system, are stored in a National Database operated by the Drainage Research Institute (DRI). Correlation patterns may be found between water quantity and water quality parameters at the same location, or among water quality parameters within a monitoring location or among locations. Serial correlation is also detected in water quality variables. Through the investigation of the level of information redundancy, assessment and redesign of water quality monitoring network aim to improve the overall network efficiency and cost effectiveness. In this study, the potential of the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) on simulating interrelation between water quality parameters is examined. Several ANN inputs, structures and training possibilities are assessed and the best ANN model and modeling procedure is selected. The prediction capabilities of the ANN are compared with the linear regression models with autocorrelated residuals, usually used for this purpose. It is concluded that the ANN models are more accurate than the linear regression models having the same inputs and output.

Development and application of a GIS-based artificial neural network system for water quality prediction: a case study at the Lake Champlain area

Artificial Neural Network(ANN)models have been extensively applied in the prediction of water resource variables,and Geographical Information System(GIS)includes powerful functions to visualize spatial data.In order to provide an efficient tool for environmental assessment and management that combines the advantages of these two modules,a GIS-based ANN water quality prediction system was developed in the present study.The ANN module and ArcGIS Engine module,along with a dynamic database,were imbedded in the system,which integrates water quality prediction via the ANN model and spatial presentation of the model results.The structure of the ANN model could be modified through the graphical user interface to optimize the model performance.The developed system was applied to a real case study for the prediction of the total phosphorus concentration in the Lake Champlain area.The prediction results were verified with the monitoring data,and the performance of the developed model was further evaluated through graphical techniques and quantitative statistical methods.Overall,the developed system provided satisfactory prediction results,and spatial distribution maps of the predicted results were obtained,which coincided with the monitored values.The developed GIS-based ANN water quality prediction system could serve as an efficient tool for engineers and decision makers.

Short-Term Relay Quality Prediction Algorithm Based on Long and Short-Term Memory

The fraction defective of semi-finished products is predicted to optimize the process of relay production lines, by which production quality and productivity are increased, and the costs are decreased. The process parameters of relay production lines are studied based on the long-and-short-term memory network. Then, the Keras deep learning framework is utilized to build up a short-term relay quality prediction algorithm for the semi-finished product. A simulation model is used to study prediction algorithm. The simulation results show that the average prediction absolute error of the fraction is less than 5%. This work displays great application potential in the relay production lines.

Combined Method of Chaotic Theory and Neural Networks for Water Quality Prediction

Chaos theory was introduced for water quality, prediction, and the model of water quality prediction was established by combining phase space reconstruction theory and BP neural network forecasting method. Through the phase space reconstruction, the one-dimensional water quality time series were mapped to be multi-dimensional sequence, which enriched the spatial information of water quality change and expanded mapping region of training samples of BP neural network. Established model of combining chaos theory and BP neural network were applied to forecast turbidity time series of a certain reservoir. Contrast to BP neural network method, the relative error and the mean squared error of the combined method had all varying degrees of lower. Results indicated the neural network model with chaos theory had the higher prediction accuracy, at the same time, it had better fault-tolerant capability and generalization performance .

Production prediction at ultra-high water cut stage via Recurrent Neural Network

A deep learning method for predicting oil field production at ultra-high water cut stage from the existing oil field production data was presented,and the experimental verification and application effect analysis were carried out.Since the traditional Fully Connected Neural Network(FCNN)is incapable of preserving the correlation of time series data,the Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM)network,which is a kind of Recurrent Neural Network(RNN),was utilized to establish a model for oil field production prediction.By this model,oil field production can be predicted from the relationship between oil production index and its influencing factors and the trend and correlation of oil production over time.Production data of a medium and high permeability sandstone oilfield in China developed by water flooding was used to predict its production at ultra-high water cut stage,and the results were compared with the results from the traditional FCNN and water drive characteristic curves.The LSTM based on deep learning has higher precision,and gives more accurate production prediction for complex time series in oil field production.The LSTM model was used to predict the monthly oil production of another two oil fields.The prediction results are good,which verifies the versatility of the method.

Correlation Analysis of Turbidity and Total Phosphorus in Water Quality Monitoring Data

At present,water pollution has become an important factor affecting and restricting national and regional economic development.Total phosphorus is one of the main sources of water pollution and eutrophication,so the prediction of total phosphorus in water quality has good research significance.This paper selects the total phosphorus and turbidity data for analysis by crawling the data of the water quality monitoring platform.By constructing the attribute object mapping relationship,the correlation between the two indicators was analyzed and used to predict the future data.Firstly,the monthly mean and daily mean concentrations of total phosphorus and turbidity outliers were calculated after cleaning,and the correlation between them was analyzed.Secondly,the correlation coefficients of different times and frequencies were used to predict the values for the next five days,and the data trend was predicted by python visualization.Finally,the real value was compared with the predicted value data,and the results showed that the correlation between total phosphorus and turbidity was useful in predicting the water quality.

A benchmark-based method for evaluating hyperparameter optimization techniques of neural networks for surface water quality prediction

Neural networks(NNs)have been used extensively in surface water prediction tasks due to computing algorithm improvements and data accumulation.An essential step in developing an NN is the hyperparameter selection.In practice,it is common to manually determine hyperparameters in the studies of NNs in water resources tasks.This may result in considerable randomness and require significant computation time;therefore,hyperparameter optimization(HPO)is essential.This study adopted five representatives of the HPO techniques in the surface water quality prediction tasks,including the grid sampling(GS),random search(RS),genetic algorithm(GA),Bayesian optimization(BO)based on the Gaussian process(GP),and the tree Parzen estimator(TPE).For the evaluation of these techniques,this study proposed a method:first,the optimal hyperparameter value sets achieved by GS were regarded as the benchmark;then,the other HPO techniques were evaluated and compared with the benchmark in convergence,optimization orientation,and consistency of the optimized values.The results indicated that the TPE-based BO algorithm was recommended because it yielded stable convergence,reasonable optimization orientation,and the highest consistency rates with the benchmark values.The optimization consistency rates via TPE for the hyperparameters hidden layers,hidden dimension,learning rate,and batch size were 86.7%,73.3%,73.3%,and 80.0%,respectively.Unlike the evaluation of HPO techniques directly based on the prediction performance of the optimized NN in a single HPO test,the proposed benchmark-based HPO evaluation approach is feasible and robust.

Brain-inspired multimodal approach for effluent quality prediction using wastewater surface images and water quality data

Efficiently predicting effluent quality through data-driven analysis presents a significant advancement for consistent wastewater treatment operations.In this study,we aimed to develop an integrated method for predicting effluent COD and NH3 levels.We employed a 200 L pilot-scale sequencing batch reactor(SBR)to gather multimodal data from urban sewage over 40 d.Then we collected data on critical parameters like COD,DO,pH,NH_(3),EC,ORP,SS,and water temperature,alongside wastewater surface images,resulting in a data set of approximately 40246 points.Then we proposed a brain-inspired image and temporal fusion model integrated with a CNN-LSTM network(BITF-CL)using this data.This innovative model synergized sewage imagery with water quality data,enhancing prediction accuracy.As a result,the BITF-CL model reduced prediction error by over 23%compared to traditional methods and still performed comparably to conventional techniques even without using DO and SS sensor data.Consequently,this research presents a cost-effective and precise prediction system for sewage treatment,demonstrating the potential of brain-inspired models.

Water quality soft-sensor prediction in anaerobic process using deep neural network optimized by Tree-structured Parzen Estimator

Anaerobic process is regarded as a green and sustainable process due to low carbon emission and minimal energy consumption in wastewater treatment plants(WWTPs).However,some water quality metrics are not measurable in real time,thus influencing the judgment of the operators and may increase energy consumption and carbon emission.One of the solutions is using a soft-sensor prediction technique.This article introduces a water quality soft-sensor prediction method based on Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit(BiGRU)combined with Gaussian Progress Regression(GPR)optimized by Tree-structured Parzen Estimator(TPE).TPE automatically optimizes the hyperparameters of BiGRU,and BiGRU is trained to obtain the point prediction with GPR for the interval prediction.Then,a case study applying this prediction method for an actual anaerobic process(2500 m^(3)/d)is carried out.Results show that TPE effectively optimizes the hyperparameters of BiGRU.For point prediction of CODeff and biogas yield,R^(2)values of BiGRU,which are 0.973 and 0.939,respectively,are increased by 1.03%–7.61%and 1.28%–10.33%,compared with those of other models,and the valid prediction interval can be obtained.Besides,the proposed model is assessed as a reliable model for anaerobic process through the probability prediction and reliable evaluation.It is expected to provide high accuracy and reliable water quality prediction to offer basis for operators in WWTPs to control the reactor and minimize carbon emission and energy consumption.

基于HHO优化的时空水质预测模型

我国水资源现状不容乐观,提高水质预测模型精度对水资源质量监测具有重要意义。为捕捉水质指标时序数据非线性变化趋势,水质指标多基于神经网络模型进行预测。但是现有模型忽略了河流流向,没有考虑上游监测点水质对下游水质的影响;同时现有模型多基于启发式优化算法中的粒子群算法调整神经网络的超参数,但该优化算法仍需设置较多超参数,而参数选取不当容易使模型陷入局部最优。为此,建立了时空水质预测模型(WT‐CNN‐LSTM‐HHO),利用哈里斯鹰优化算法(HHO),基于上游水质数据预测下游的氮、磷和溶解氧水质指标。实验结果显示,本文所提出的模型对水质预测性能有明显提升,可以实现设置较少超参数而达到较高的水质预测精度。

基于GRA-GRU的淮河流域水质预测研究

水质指标具有多元相关性、时序性和非线性的特点,为有效预测河流水质变化,针对水质数据存在缺失和异常的问题,提出基于灰色关联分析-门控循环单元(Grey Relational Analysis-Gated Recurrent Unit, GRA-GRU)的水质预测模型。以淮河流域水质数据为样本,使用线性插值修补缺失数据和剔除的异常数据。使用灰色关联分析计算不同水质指标间的相关性,选择高相关性的水质指标以确定输入变量,并使用门控循环单元(Gated Recurrent Unit, GRU)预测不同的水质指标。将GRA-GRU的预测结果与反向传播神经网络(Back Propagation Neural Network, BPNN)、循环神经网络(Recurrent Neural Network, RNN)、长短期记忆神经网络(Long Short Term Memory, LSTM)、GRU及灰色关联分析-长短期记忆神经网络(Grey Relational Analysis-Long Short Term Memory, GRA-LSTM)进行对比分析,结果显示GRA-GRU在不同水质指标预测上具有较好的适应性,可以有效降低预测误差。其中,与其他模型相比,GRA-GRU预测的化学需氧量在均方根误差上分别降低了3.617%、0.681%、0.478%、1.505%和0.471%。

基于在线监测时间序列数据的水质预测模型研究进展

当前地表水突发性污染事件频发,已造成严重的环境和社会影响,对环境监管部门应急处置能力建设提出了新要求和新挑战。地表水水质在线监测数据具有高频率和高时效等特点,系统论述了基于在线监测时间序列数据的水质预测模型的研究现状和进展,包括数据软测量、预处理方法和水质预测模型等,分析了不同水质预测模型在应用过程中存在的问题,并对未来研究方向进行了展望,以期为水质预测预警和环境监管提供技术支持和方法参考。

基于CEEMDAN-VMD-TCN-lightGBM模型的水质预测研究

针对目前水质预测模型中因为数据本身的复杂性、在信号处理过程中存在的噪声干扰以及分解深度不够导致单一分解难以全面捕捉信号非线性特征的问题,提出了一种基于二次分解的水质预测模型。该模型采用完全自适应噪声集合经验模态分解(CEEMDAN)对原始数据进行分解,再利用变分模态分解(VMD)对熵值最高的模态分量进行二次分解,最终将处理后的时间序列输入到TCN-lightGBM多特征预测模型中。同时,采用麻雀算法(SSA)对预测模型进行优化。以山东省玉符河水质为例,本模型的均方根误差(RMSE)是0.1053,平均绝对误差(MAE)是0.0815,决定系数(R2)是0.9471,与GRU、LSTM、LightGBM、TCN等当下较为流行的模型的预测指标进行比较。结果显示,在R2上本模型提升了53.04%、70.41%、66.07%、65.20%等,在RMSE上减少了62.76%、65.50%、64.93%、64.80%等,在MAE上降低了62.76%、66.24%、63.80%、65.24%等。由此可知,基于CEEMDAN-VMD-TCN-lightGBM的模型具有更好的预测性能、泛化能力和捕捉信号非线性特征的能力。

基于RF-BiLSTM模型的河流水质预测

水环境中过量的氮、磷和高锰酸盐会对流域造成严重污染,准确预测这三类指标的含量对流域污染治理具有重要意义。然而,现有的模型预测精度低,输入因子的选择缺乏数理依据。基于此,以邕江为研究区域,提出一种RF-BiLSTM的混合网络模型。该模型具有利用RF算法提取水质指标最优特征和利用BiLSTM模型提取输入数据的时间特征的优势,采用先降维后预测的方式对TN、TP和COD Mn进行预测,并将深度学习中的CNN、LSTM、BiLSTM和RF-LSTM作为基准模型与本研究所提模型作对比研究。研究结果表明,本研究模型预测TN、TP和COD Mn的平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)分别达到了4.330%、6.781%和7.384%,均低于其他基准模型,预测结果具有较高的准确性和实用性,可为水环境的污染治理提供有效的技术支持。

废水处理中水质监测参数的实时预测研究

针对污水处理厂生化池中参数监测智能化水平不高、人力耗费较大的问题,提出基于麻雀算法-长短期记忆神经网络(Sparrow Search Algorithm-Long Short Term Memory Network,SSA-LSTM)的水质参数预测模型。以污水处理过程中好氧区溶解氧(Dissolved Oxygen,DO)、好氧区混合液悬浮固体(Mixed Liquid Suspended Solids,MLSS)质量浓度、缺氧区DO、缺氧区氧化还原电位(Oxidation-Reduction Potential,ORP)、厌氧区DO和厌氧区ORP 6个关键指标为数据样本,进行实例研究。将SSA-LSTM的预测结果与长短期记忆神经网络(Long Short-Term Memory Network,LSTM)、粒子群算法(Particle Swarm optimization-Long Short Term Memory Network,PSO-LSTM)、深度森林以及支持向量机进行对比分析,结果显示:SSA-LSTM在6个参数上的均方误差(EMSE)和决定系数(R2)均表现出更好的预测性,预测精度最高。

基于VMD-TCN-GRU模型的水质预测研究

为充分挖掘水质数据在短时震荡中的变化特征,提升预测模型的精度,提出一种基于VMD(变分模态分解)、TCN(卷积时间神经网络)及GRU(门控循环单元)组成的混合水质预测模型,采用VMD-TCN-GRU模型对汾河水库出水口高锰酸盐指数进行预测,并与此类研究中常见的SVR(支持向量回归)、LSTM(长短期记忆神经网络)、TCN和CNN-LSTM(卷积神经网络-长短期记忆神经网络)这4种模型预测结果对比表明:VMD-TCN-GRU模型能更好挖掘水质数据在短时震荡过程中的特征信息,提升水质预测精度;VMD-TCN-GRU模型的MAE(平均绝对误差)、RMSE(均方根误差)下降,R^(2)(确定系数)提高,其MAE、RMSE、R^(2)分别为0.0553、0.0717、0.9351;其预测性能优越,预测精度更高且拥有更强的泛化能力,可以应用于汾河水质预测。

高质量发展视角下新阶段水利人才队伍建设机制研究

新阶段水利高质量发展亟须与之相适配的人才队伍,专业技术人才是推动新阶段水利高质量发展的骨干力量。从高质量发展视角出发,基于人力资本理论,搭建跨边界专业技术人才池,集聚并储备行业发展所需的关键人才,并从引进、培养、使用、评价、流动、激励全链条创新人才发展模式。基于灰色模型预测了人才需求特点,结合人力资本理论构建了跨边界人才池的开发机制和实施路径。结果表明:水利人才分布的空间异质性问题将持续存在,集聚并储备行业关键人才需要构建跨边界人才池;应通过内部培养和外部引进双轮驱动等措施满足行业人才需求,创新人才发展模式,从而在强化宏观调控的基础上实现人才的统筹调配、跨界蓄用与动态共享。