The slip rate and strong earthquake recurrence interval on the Qianning-Kangding segment of the Xianshuihe fault zone

The geometry of the Qianning-Kangding segment of the Xianshuihe fault zone is quite complex, and it is composed of four secondary-faults, i.e., the Yalahe fault, Selaha-Kangding fault, Zeduotang fault and Moxi fault. On this segment, three strong earthquakes with M(7.0 occurred in 1725, 1786 and 1955, respectively. Based on a study of fault landform and geochronology (14C and Thermoluminesense), this paper documents the average horizontal slip rates during the late-Quaternary on all the secondary-faults of the Qianning-Kangding segment as follows: Yalahe fault: (2.0(0.2) mm/a; Selaha-Kangding fault: (5.5(0.6) mm/a; Zeduotang fault: (3.6(0.3) mm/a; Moxi fault: (9.9(0.6) mm/a. The results from the investigation of surface ruptures of historical earthquakes, coseismic-slip and paleo-earthquakes show that the strong-earthquake recurrence intervals are thousands of years on the Yalahe fault, and 230 to 350 years on the Selaha-Kangding and Zeduotang faults. In the next one hundred years, the recurrence of a strong-earthquake on these faults appears impossible. However, the strong-earthquake recurrence interval on the Moxi fault is about 300 years. Up to now, it has been 214 years since the last earthquake (magnitude 7) occurred in 1786, therefore, this fault is now approaching the condition favorable for the next strong earthquake recurrence.

Uniform Strike-Slip Rate along the Xianshuihe-Xiaojiang Fault System and Its Implications for Active Tectonics in Southeastern Tibet

Recent studies on the Xianshuihe-Xiaojiang fault system suggest that the Late Quaternary strike-slip rate is approximately uniform along the entire length of the fault zone, about 15±2 mm/a. This approximately uniform strike slip rate strongly supports the clockwise rotation model of the southeastern Tibetan crust. By approximating the geometry of the arc-shaped Xianshuihe-Xiaojiang fault system as a portion of a small circle on a spherical Earth, the 15±2 mm/a strike slip rate corresponds to clockwise rotation of the Southeastern Tibetan Block at the （5.2±0.7）×10^-7 deg/a angular velocity around the pole （21°N, 88°E） relative to the Northeast Tibetan Block. The approximately uniform strike slip rate along the Xianshuihe-Xiaojiang fault system also implies that the Longmeushan thrust zone is not active, or at least its activity has been very weak since the Late Quaternary. Moreover, the total offset along the Xiaushuihe-Xiaojiang fault system suggests that the lateral extrusion of the Southeastern Tibetan Block relative to Northeastern Tibetan Block is about 160 km and 200-240 km relative to the Tarim-North China block. This amount of lateral extrusion of the Tibetan crust should have accommodated about 13-24% convergence between India and Eurasia based on mass balance calculations. Assuming that the slip rate of 15±2 mm/a is constant throughout the entire history of the Xianshuihe-Xiaojiang fault system, 11±1.5 Ma is needed for the Xianshuihe-Xiaojiang fault system to attain the 160 km of total offset. This implies that left-slip faulting on the Xianshuihe-Xiaojiang fault system might start at 11±1.5 Ma.

Late-Quaternary Slip Rate and Seismic Activity of the Xianshuihe Fault Zone in Southwest China

The Xianshuihe fault zone is a seismo-genetic fault zone of left-lateral slip in Southwest China. Since 1725, a total of 59 Ms ≥ 5.0 earthquakes have occurred along this fault zone, including 18 Ms 6.0–6.9 and eight Ms ≥ 7.0 earthquakes. The seismic risk of the Xianshuihe fault zone is a large and realistic threat to the western Sichuan economic corridor. Based on previous studies, we carried out field geological survey and remote sensing interpretation in the fault zone. In addition, geophysical surveys, trenching and age-dating were conducted in the key parts to better understand the geometry, spatial distribution and activity of the fault zone. We infer to divide the fault zone into two parts： the northwest part and the southeast part, with total eight segments. Their Late Quaternary slip rates vary in a range of 11.5 mm/a –（3±1） mm/a. The seismic activities of the Xianshuihe fault zone are frequent and strong, periodical, and reoccurred. Combining the spatial and temporal distribution of the historical earthquakes, the seismic hazard of the Xianshuihe fault zone has been predicted by using the relationship between magnitude and frequency of earthquakes caused by different fault segments. The prediction results show that the segment between Daofu and Qianning has a possibility of Ms ≥ 7.0 earthquakes, while the segment between Shimian and Luding is likely to have earthquakes of about Ms 7.0. It is suggested to establish a GPS or In SAR-based real-time monitoring network of surface displacement to cover the Xianshuihe fault zone, and an early warning system of earthquakes and post seismic geohazards to cover the major residential areas.

Revisiting Late Quaternary Slip-rate along the Maqu Segment of the Eastern Kunlun Fault, Northeast Tibet

The Late Quaternary slip rate along the Maqu segment of the eastern Kunlun Fault was estimated using a combination of high-resolution remote sensing imagery interpretation, field observations and differential Global Positioning System（GPS） measurements of offset river terraces, and 14 C dating of snail shells collected from offset risers. The results show that the left-slip rate along the segment is 3–5 mm/a, and that the vertical slip rate is 0.3–0.5 mm/a. Both the horizontal and vertical slips on the segment remain consistent over a distance of ~100 km. It means that no slip gradient as previously suggested occurred along the Maqu segment, and which thus might behave as an independent seismogenic fault. Judging from multiple relationships among young terrace offsets, we infer that co-seismic surface rupture produced by a characteristic earthquake with a magnitude of Ms7.0–7.5 on the Maqu fault could generate a horizontal slip of 4.5–5 m and a vertical slip of 0.45–0.5 m, with a corresponding ratio（Dh/Dv） of about 9. Two surface rupture events must have occurred over the past 3300 years, the latest one possibly between 1485 cal BP and 1730 cal BP.

Slip Rate of Yema River–Daxue Mountain Fault since the Late Pleistocene and Its Implications on the Deformation of the Northeastern Margin of the Tibetan Plateau

The slip rate of Yema River-Daxue Mountain fault in the western segment of Qilian Mountains was determined by the dated offset of river risers or gullies. Results indicate that the left-lateral fault slip rate is 2.82± 0.20 mm/a at Dazangdele site, 2.00 ± 0.24 mm/a at Shibandun site, and 0.50± 0.36 and 2.80±0.33 mm/a at two sites in Zhazihu. The ideal average slip rate of the whole fault is 2.81 ± 0.32 mm/a. The lower slip rate confirms part of the displacement of Altyn Tagh fault was transformed into an uplifting of the strap mountains in the western segment of Qilian Mountains, whereas another part transformed into sinistral displacement of Haiyuan fault. This study illustrates that the slip of large strike-slip faults in the northeastern margin of the plateau transforms into crust thickening at the tip of the fault without large-scale propagation to the outer parts of the plateau.

SLIP RATE AND RECURRENCE INTERVAL OF STRONG EARTHQUAKE OF QIANNING—KANGDING SEGMENT ON XIANSHUIHE FAULT

Located on the western of Sichuan, the east border of Tibet plateau, Xianshuihe fault is a significant strong earthquake zone. From Huiyuansi pull\|apart basin in Qianning, Xianshuihe fault can be divided two segments\|NW section and SE section: the construction of the former is single and a main fault; the construction of the latter is complex and composed by three parallel faults, its main fault is named as Selaha—Kangding fault, which distributes along Jinlongsi, Sehala, Mugecuo and Kangding. Yalahe fault, located at the NE direction of the main fault, and Zeduotang fault, located at the SW direction of the main fault, are all secondary faults, which are 9～13km away from the main fault. At the south of Kangding, the segment of Xianshuihe fault is a single main section, called as Moxi fault. On the basis of recent researching results, this paper mainly discusses the slip rate and recurrence interval of strong earthquake of the SE segment (Qianning—Kangding) on Xianshuihe.

Large slip rate detected at the seismogenic zone of the 2008 M_W7.9 Wenchuan earthquake

Repeating microearthquakes were identified along the edge of the rupture area of the 2008 MW7.9 Wenchuan earthquake. Slip rates at depths derived from seismic moments and recurrence intervals are found to be systematically larger than those observed at surface. This large deep slip rate may explain the odds about the occurrence of this unanticipated event. Our observations here suggested that seismic hazard could be underestimated if surface measurements alone are employed.

Paleoseismological Study of the Late Quaternary Slip-rate along the South Barkol Basin Fault and Its Tectonic Implications,Eastern Tian Shan,Xinjiang

The easternmost Tian Shan lies in eastern Xinjiang, Central Asia. The South Barkol basin fault（SBF） in the northern part of the easternmost Tian Shan is a major tectonic structure in this orogenic region. The late Quaternary activity, paleoseismology, and deformation characteristics of the fault provide important clues for understanding the tectonic process of the eastern Tian Shan orogen and implementing seismic mitigation. Through interpretation of high-resolution satellite images, unmanned aerial vehicle measurements, and detailed geological and geomorphic investigations, we suggest that the fault exhibits clear left-lateral slip along its western segment. Paleoseismic trenches dug near Xiongkuer reveal evidence of six large paleoearthquakes. The four latest paleoearthquakes were dated： the oldest event occurred at 4663 BC–3839 BC. Data on the horizontal offsets along the probable 1842 Barkol earthquake coseismic rupture suggest clear multiple relationships between cumulative offsets and possible ~4 m of coseismic left-lateral slip per event. From the cumulative offsets and 14 C sample ages, we suggest an average Holocene left-lateral slip rate of 2.4–2.8 mm/a on the SBF, accounting for ~80% of lateral deformation within the entire eastern Tian Shan fault system. This result is comparable with the shortening rate of 2–4 mm/a in the whole eastern Tian Shan, indicating an equal role of strike-slip tectonics and compressional tectonics in this orogen, and that the SBF may accommodate substantial lateral tectonic deformation.

Geomorphic Evidence for and Rate of Sinistral Strike-slip Movement Along Northwest-trending Faults in Chaoshan Plain

Two sets of active faults,northwest-and northeast-trending faults,are developed in the Chao-shan Plain of East Guangdong.After detailed interpretation of aerophotos,we have found outthat there is the clear phenomenon of sinistral dislocation of drainage system on the Huang-gang-shui fault and part of Fengshun-Shantou fault.Field investigation confirmed that the geo-morphic bodies along the two faults have undergone displacement.Large-scale topographicmapping was made at three displaced sites and samples for age dating were collected from thegeomorphic booies.Calculation indicates that the average rate of sinistral strike-slip movementin the Holocene time amounts to 1.11±0.09～2.69±0.24mm/a along the Huanggangshuifault and 3.26±0.26mm/a along the Fengshun-Shantou fault.These two more active NW-trending faults extend into sea area,where they intersect the NE-trending strongly active Nius-han Island-Xiongdi Isle-Nanpeng Isles fault at a depth of 40～50m in water.The intersection isa location favorable

Activity Features and Slip Rate of the Lingwu Fault in Late Quaternary

The I ingwu fault is in the eastern boundary of the southern section of Yinchuan graben. It hasa close relation to seismicity in the Lingwu-Wuzhong region.Few researches have been done.In this Paper,on the basis of tee data obtained from field investigation,the activity features inLate Quaternary have been discussed.The vertical displacement and its slip rate have been alsoestimated.The fault is 48km in length,being divided into 3 segments according to geologicaland topographical characteristics.The last rupture along its northern and middle segments wasoccurred in late of Late Pleistocene or early Holocene while that along the southern segmentwas occurred in midle Holocene.The vertical slip rate is estimated as 0.23～025mm/a sinceabout 66ka B.P.based on the vertical displacements of terracesⅠ,Ⅱ and Ⅲ and their ages.

川西理塘-义敦断裂措普湖段第四纪晚期滑动速率与古地震序列

理塘-义敦断裂是川滇菱形块体内部一条延伸约130 km的全新世活动的左旋走滑断裂带,是川西理塘地区地震活动的重要控震构造,目前其北段的措普湖段研究程度相对较低。将理塘-义敦断裂措普湖段作为研究对象,运用野外勘察、高精度测绘、探槽与14C测年等方法对措普湖段进行滑动速率和古地震探究。开挖的2处探槽位于冬欧山坡麓处,通过识别探槽内断裂与地层的切割关系、地层沉积特征、断层运动性质等标志;共识别出4次古地震事件:事件Ⅰ发生于BC 3382±60 a之前;事件Ⅱ发生于BC 3382±60 a~BC 1094±51 a之间;事件Ⅲ与事件Ⅳ均发生于AD 1330±44 a之后。可以推断理塘-义敦断裂措普湖段具有大概率的古地震复发间隔为2.4 ka左右,不排除有小概率复发间隔0.4±0.3 ka的可能。理塘-义敦断裂措普湖段古地震事件与大毛垭坝段和理塘段古地震事件之间存在差异,但是不同分段断裂的地震活动性在全新世以来均表现出持续增强趋势。根据测绘断错地貌和末次冰期冰碛垄推算出晚更新世以来措普湖段平均滑动速率为4.15±0.5 mm/a,与理塘-义敦断裂第四纪晚期不同分支滑动速率处于同一量级水平。文章完善了理塘-义敦断裂的构造特征全貌和古地震、滑动速率等信息,有助于更好地理解该断裂及该地区地震活动史和构造变形模式,为今后地震的中长期预测提供更多的数据,同时也有助于川藏铁路沿线相关工程的地震风险评估。

新疆乌什7.1级地震前GNSS变形特征分析

2024年1月23日新疆乌什发生7.1级地震。为了研究震前GNSS变形特征,通过对比分析GNSS基线时间序列结果和区域应变结果,发现迈丹断裂带东西两段的地壳运动有所差异,东段的运动较强,乌什地震即发生在断裂带东段;利用4期速度场结果,计算得到动态应变场变化,从NS向应变场结果可以看出该区域的应变量值持续增加,应变持续在积累状态,从长期背景场可以看出7.1级地震发生在应变高值区的边缘;发震断层东西两侧的挤压滑动速率存在明显差异,西侧为(1.0±0.35)mm/a,东侧为(4.1±0.51)mm/a,且东侧的闭锁程度较高。研究认为迈丹断裂带两侧运动差异明显,乌什7.1级地震发生在滑动速率较高的东段,且该区域处于应变高值区的边缘。

新疆及邻区现今GNSS变形特征与地震关系研究

基于GNSS观测数据,采用球面最小二乘配置方法计算了新疆及邻区的应变率张量特征,在统计分析研究区域应变率分布以及1900—2022年M≥6.0地震分布之间的关系的基础上,研究了GNSS应变率特征对强震地点的指示意义。通过构建三维弹性块体模型反演得到的区内主要断裂的运动变形特征,结合震源机制解结果,对比分析了断裂运动变形特征与不同区域强震类型之间的关系。结果表明:天山西段—帕米尔地区、阿尔金断裂带邻近地区呈现第二应变率高值特征,其中帕米尔构造结附近高值特性最明显;最大剪应变率方向在南天山西段—帕米尔地区主要为NE-NEE向,反映了该区以倾滑变形为主的特征。研究区域的M≥6.0地震主要分布在应变率高值区及其边缘,特别是帕米尔构造结东部地区的强震集中非常明显。区内断裂运动性质具有明显的分类特征,除整体以挤压运动为主外,NE走向断裂带以左旋走滑运动为主,NW走向的断裂以右旋走滑运动为主。NE走向的柯坪、迈丹和那拉提断裂带与NW走向的克孜勒陶、塔拉斯—费尔干纳断裂带汇集的南天山西段和帕米尔西构造结东部地区强震密集分布,强震的震源机制类型与断层运动方式较为一致。

汽车电子机械制动系统的ABS自抗扰控制

为解决传统车辆液压制动系统响应滞后、ABS存在滑移率非线性等问题,设计了一种“行星齿轮减速机构+滚珠丝杠+活塞”的电子机械制动执行器方案,提出一种基于滑移率的ABS自抗扰控制策略,使电子机械制动系统能够快速、准确地调节各个车轮的制动力,有效满足ABS的要求。运用Matlab/Simulink验证执行器的响应性能,分别在2种路面工况下进行ABS制动过程的仿真。研究结果表明:自抗扰控制对于系统内外部扰动具有较强的鲁棒性,能保证车辆的前、后轮滑移率更快稳定在目标滑移率处,有效减少了车辆的制动时间与制动距离。

港口重载AGV驱动防滑设计

针对港口重载自动导引运输车(AGV)工作中遇到的过度滑转危险,文中提出一种基于最佳滑转率控制的驱动防滑设计。该设计根据港口环境特点建立路面附着特性模型;选用T-S型模糊控制器进行港口路面模糊识别设计,对峰值纵向附着系数及最佳滑转率进行识别,并将识别结果用于最佳滑转率控制中,进而提升港口AGV驱动防滑性能。通过单一路面与对接路面识别试验,验证了港口路面模糊识别器具有准确识别能力。

车辆运行参数自适应软测量的防抱死控制研究

建立了一种将Sage-Husa噪声估计器与无迹卡尔曼滤波器有机的结合的软测量算法,通过自适应软测量算法对车速等车辆运行参数进行有效的测量,结合采用轮速传感器得到的易测量轮速信号,实时计算车辆防抱死系统的实际的滑移率,通过与理想路面滑移率比较,从而实现各轮缸压力的有效控制,避免了车轮的抱死。通过CARSIM/Simulink联合仿真实验表明:建立的自适应软测量算法可以实现车速的准确测量,并且在对开路面上可以有效抑制了制动过程中的车轮抱死,从而保证了车辆的制动稳定性。

基于GNSS的西秦岭北缘断裂带现今活动特征研究

基于1999~2007年、2009~2013年、2013~2017年和2017~2021年共4期GNSS地壳运动速度场构建GNSS速度剖面,分析西秦岭北缘断裂带各次级断裂现今地壳差异运动特征,并进一步建立负位错模型反演获取各次级断裂现今闭锁程度与滑动亏损速率。结果表明:1)西秦岭北缘断裂带现今整体呈现出以左旋走滑为主、兼逆冲挤压的活动特征。2)1999~2007年,锅麻滩段和天水-宝鸡段整体处于强闭锁状态,漳县段和鸳凤段仅部分区段闭锁且闭锁程度较低,闭锁深度也较浅;2009~2013年,西秦岭北缘断裂带中段闭锁程度有所减弱,鸳凤段东部与天水-宝鸡段东部由较强闭锁转变为蠕滑状态,锅麻滩段和天水-宝鸡段中西部依然呈强闭锁状态;2013~2017年,西秦岭北缘断裂带整体处于较强闭锁状态,仅天水-宝鸡段东部呈蠕滑状态;2017~2021年,锅麻滩段中西部、漳县段、鸳凤段东部和天水-宝鸡段中部处于较强闭锁状态,鸳凤段中西部与天水-宝鸡段西部则呈蠕滑状态。3)各次级断裂滑动亏损速率整体分布特征与断裂闭锁程度基本一致。西秦岭北缘断裂带锅麻滩段和天水-宝鸡段中部现今处于较强闭锁状态,具有较强的应变能累积背景。

四轮独立电驱动越野车驱动力优化控制

为了充分利用四轮独立电驱动越野车各轮转矩独立可控的优势,提高越野车的牵引力和越野能力,提出了一种驱动转矩协调控制策略.根据越野车前后轴载荷预分配驱动电动机转矩,利用基于车轮滑转率-路面附着系数的极值寻求算法实现路面最优滑转率估计.采用比例-积分-微分(proportional-integral-differential, PID)控制-滑模控制(sliding mode control, SMC)和基于状态的驱动力再分配方法实现各轮驱动转矩的协调分配,抑制越野车在恶劣路面条件下的车轮打滑.通过CarSim/MATLAB联合仿真以及硬件在环(hardware-in-the-loop, HIL)测试,进行了爬陡坡、单一附着路面、对开路面及连续起伏路面工况的试验验证.结果表明:提出的控制策略能根据实际工况分配驱动轮的转矩,降低驱动轮滑转率,实现整车驱动力的优化.

卸载速率对卸载诱发注浆加固节理岩体滑移行为影响的试验研究

为研究卸载速率对水泥注浆加固节理花岗岩卸载诱发滑移行为的影响,利用TATW-2000岩石三轴试验系统对接近临界应力状态下的注浆加固节理花岗岩进行了恒轴压分级卸围压的诱发滑移试验,卸载速率分别为0.1、0.5、1、5、10 MPa/min。研究表明:(1)在剪切滑移过程中,岩-浆黏结界面会相互磨损,花岗岩会在水泥断面表面留下大量微划痕。随着卸载速率升高,节理粗糙度系数(joint roughness coefficient,JRC)值分别为17.52、16.25、15.65、12.82、10.72,这表明卸载速率越大,水泥断面表面的微划痕越小。(2)各围压卸载期内的平均剪切滑移速率随卸载速率变化关系符合幂函数关系,平均剪切滑移速率随卸载速率的升高而升高,但升高速率逐渐减小。在应力-应变滞后效应的影响下,各围压保持期内的平均剪切滑移速率也随卸载速率的增加而增加。卸载速率为0.5、1、5、10 MPa/min时,围压保持期的平均剪切滑移速率远小于围压卸载期的平均剪切滑移速率;卸载速率为0.1 MPa/min时,围压卸载期和围压保持期的平均剪切滑移速率相对差距较小。(3)动态滑移的平均剪切滑移速率比蠕变滑移的平均剪切滑移速率高一个数量级。蠕变滑移和动态滑移的平均剪切滑移速率随卸载速率的升高而升高,持续时间随卸载速率的升高而减小。(4)卸载速率小于1 MPa/min时,试样发生失稳滑移时对应的围压与卸载速率呈正相关,卸载速率大于1 MPa/min时呈负相关。

基于变量马达控制的喷雾机驱动防滑系统设计与试验

高地隙自走式喷雾机因其作业环境复杂易产生车轮滑转,影响静液压驱动系统流量及压力稳定性,严重时导致整机失去通过性能,故须进行防滑控制,保证其具备驱动稳定性和脱困能力。本文提出一种高地隙自走式喷雾机静液压驱动系统防滑控制方法,采用双线性模型定义滑转率与附着系数之间的关系,设计了滑模控制器,并通过田间非道路试验验证了驱动防滑系统的控制性能。试验结果表明,该系统可将喷雾机滑转率控制在0.15以内。在起步加速与匀速工况下,喷雾机滑转率均值为0.020和0.019;在越沟工况下,可2 s内实现整机快速脱困。以上结果验证了所设计的喷雾机滑模驱动防滑系统具有良好的防滑性能,能够保证喷雾机在典型工况下平稳行驶,有效减少了地面不利条件对整机行驶稳定性的影响。