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Prediction Model of Drilling Costs for Ultra-Deep Wells Based on GA-BP Neural Network 被引量:1
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作者 Wenhua Xu Yuming Zhu +4 位作者 YingrongWei Ya Su YanXu Hui Ji Dehua Liu 《Energy Engineering》 EI 2023年第7期1701-1715,共15页
Drilling costs of ultra-deepwell is the significant part of development investment,and accurate prediction of drilling costs plays an important role in reasonable budgeting and overall control of development cost.In o... Drilling costs of ultra-deepwell is the significant part of development investment,and accurate prediction of drilling costs plays an important role in reasonable budgeting and overall control of development cost.In order to improve the prediction accuracy of ultra-deep well drilling costs,the item and the dominant factors of drilling costs in Tarim oilfield are analyzed.Then,those factors of drilling costs are separated into categorical variables and numerous variables.Finally,a BP neural networkmodel with drilling costs as the output is established,and hyper-parameters(initial weights and bias)of the BP neural network is optimized by genetic algorithm(GA).Through training and validation of themodel,a reliable prediction model of ultra-deep well drilling costs is achieved.The average relative error between prediction and actual values is 3.26%.Compared with other models,the root mean square error is reduced by 25.38%.The prediction results of the proposed model are reliable,and the model is efficient,which can provide supporting for the drilling costs control and budget planning of ultra-deep wells. 展开更多
关键词 Ultra-deep well drilling costs cost estimation bp neural network genetic algorithm
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Mechanical Properties Prediction of the Mechanical Clinching Joints Based on Genetic Algorithm and BP Neural Network 被引量:22
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作者 LONG Jiangqi LAN Fengchong CHEN Jiqing YU Ping 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2009年第1期36-41,共6页
For optimal design of mechanical clinching steel-aluminum joints, the back propagation (BP) neural network is used to research the mapping relationship between joining technique parameters including sheet thickness,... For optimal design of mechanical clinching steel-aluminum joints, the back propagation (BP) neural network is used to research the mapping relationship between joining technique parameters including sheet thickness, sheet hardness, joint bottom diameter etc., and mechanical properties of shearing and peeling in order to investigate joining technology between various material plates in the steel-aluminum hybrid structure car body. Genetic algorithm (GA) is adopted to optimize the back-propagation neural network connection weights. The training and validating samples are made by the BTM Tog-L-Loc system with different technologic parameters. The training samples' parameters and the corresponding joints' mechanical properties are supplied to the artificial neural network (ANN) for training. The validating samples' experimental data is used for checking up the prediction outputs. The calculation results show that GA can improve the model's prediction precision and generalization ability of BP neural network. The comparative analysis between the experimental data and the prediction outputs shows that ANN prediction models after training can effectively predict the mechanical properties of mechanical clinching joints and prove the feasibility and reliability of the intelligent neural networks system when used in the mechanical properties prediction of mechanical clinching joints. The prediction results can be used for a reference in the design of mechanical clinching steel-aluminum joints. 展开更多
关键词 genetic algorithm bp neural network mechanical clinching JOINT properties prediction
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Fault Diagnosis Based on BP Neural Network Optimized by Beetle Algorithm 被引量:7
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作者 Maohua Xiao Wei Zhang +2 位作者 Kai Wen Yue Zhu Yilidaer Yiliyasi 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2021年第6期252-261,共10页
In the process of Wavelet Analysis,only the low-frequency signals are re-decomposed,and the high-frequency signals are no longer decomposed,resulting in a decrease in frequency resolution with increasing frequency.The... In the process of Wavelet Analysis,only the low-frequency signals are re-decomposed,and the high-frequency signals are no longer decomposed,resulting in a decrease in frequency resolution with increasing frequency.Therefore,in this paper,firstly,Wavelet Packet Decomposition is used for feature extraction of vibration signals,which makes up for the shortcomings of Wavelet Analysis in extracting fault features of nonlinear vibration signals,and different energy values in different frequency bands are obtained by Wavelet Packet Decomposition.The features are visualized by the K-Means clustering method,and the results show that the extracted energy features can accurately distinguish the different states of the bearing.Then a fault diagnosis model based on BP Neural Network optimized by Beetle Algo-rithm is proposed to identify the bearing faults.Compared with the Particle Swarm Algorithm,Beetle Algorithm can quickly find the error extreme value,which greatly reduces the training time of the model.At last,two experiments are conducted,which show that the accuracy of the model can reach more than 95%,and the model has a certain anti-interference ability. 展开更多
关键词 Rolling bearing bp neural network Beetle algorithm Wavelet packet transform
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Intelligent direct analysis of physical and mechanical parameters of tunnel surrounding rock based on adaptive immunity algorithm and BP neural network 被引量:3
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作者 Xiao-rui Wang1,2, Yuan-han Wang1, Xiao-feng Jia31.School of Civil Engineering and Mechanics,Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074,China 2.Department of Civil Engineering,Nanyang Institute of Technology,Nanyang 473004,China 3.Department of Chemistry and Bioengineering,Nanyang Institute of Technology,Nanyang 473004,China. 《Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis》 SCIE CAS 2009年第1期22-30,共9页
Because of complexity and non-predictability of the tunnel surrounding rock, the problem with the determination of the physical and mechanical parameters of the surrounding rock has become a main obstacle to theoretic... Because of complexity and non-predictability of the tunnel surrounding rock, the problem with the determination of the physical and mechanical parameters of the surrounding rock has become a main obstacle to theoretical research and numerical analysis in tunnel engineering. During design, it is a frequent practice, therefore, to give recommended values by analog based on experience. It is a key point in current research to make use of the displacement back analytic method to comparatively accurately determine the parameters of the surrounding rock whereas artificial intelligence possesses an exceptionally strong capability of identifying, expressing and coping with such complex non-linear relationships. The parameters can be verified by searching the optimal network structure, using back analysis on measured data to search optimal parameters and performing direct computation of the obtained results. In the current paper, the direct analysis is performed with the biological emulation system and the software of Fast Lagrangian Analysis of Continua (FLAC3D. The high non-linearity, network reasoning and coupling ability of the neural network are employed. The output vector required of the training of the neural network is obtained with the numerical analysis software. And the overall space search is conducted by employing the Adaptive Immunity Algorithm. As a result, we are able to avoid the shortcoming that multiple parameters and optimized parameters are easy to fall into a local extremum. At the same time, the computing speed and efficiency are increased as well. Further, in the paper satisfactory conclusions are arrived at through the intelligent direct-back analysis on the monitored and measured data at the Erdaoya tunneling project. The results show that the physical and mechanical parameters obtained by the intelligent direct-back analysis proposed in the current paper have effectively improved the recommended values in the original prospecting data. This is of practical significance to the appraisal of stability and informationization design of the surrounding rock. 展开更多
关键词 adaptive immunity algorithm bp neural network physical and mechanical parameters surrounding rock direct-back analysis
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An Image Encryption Algorithm Based on BP Neural Network and Hyperchaotic System 被引量:5
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作者 Feifei Yang Jun Mou +1 位作者 Yinghong Cao Ran Chu 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2020年第5期21-28,共8页
To reduce the bandwidth and storage resources of image information in communication transmission, and improve the secure communication of information. In this paper, an image compression and encryption algorithm based... To reduce the bandwidth and storage resources of image information in communication transmission, and improve the secure communication of information. In this paper, an image compression and encryption algorithm based on fractional-order memristive hyperchaotic system and BP neural network is proposed. In this algorithm, the image pixel values are compressed by BP neural network, the chaotic sequences of the fractional-order memristive hyperchaotic system are used to diffuse the pixel values. The experimental simulation results indicate that the proposed algorithm not only can effectively compress and encrypt image, but also have better security features. Therefore, this work provides theoretical guidance and experimental basis for the safe transmission and storage of image information in practical communication. 展开更多
关键词 bp neural network fractional-order hyperchaotic system image encryption algorithm secure communication
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Component Content Soft-sensor Based on Neural Networks in Rare-earth Countercurrent Extraction Process 被引量:12
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作者 YANG Hui CHAI Tian-You 《自动化学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2006年第4期489-495,共7页
Throught fusion of the mechanism modeling and the neural networks modeling,a compo- nent content soft-sensor,which is composed of the equilibrium calculation model for multi-component rare earth extraction and the err... Throught fusion of the mechanism modeling and the neural networks modeling,a compo- nent content soft-sensor,which is composed of the equilibrium calculation model for multi-component rare earth extraction and the error compensation model of fuzzy system,is proposed to solve the prob- lem that the component content in countercurrent rare-earth extraction process is hardly measured on-line.An industry experiment in the extraction Y process by HAB using this hybrid soft-sensor proves its effectiveness. 展开更多
关键词 RARE-EARTH countercurrent extraction soft-sensor equilibrium calculation model neural networks
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CNC Thermal Compensation Based on Mind Evolutionary Algorithm Optimized BP Neural Network 被引量:6
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作者 Yuefang Zhao Xiaohong Ren +2 位作者 Yang Hu Jin Wang Xuemei Bao 《World Journal of Engineering and Technology》 2016年第1期38-44,共7页
Thermal deformation error is one of the most important factors affecting the CNCs’ accuracy, so research is conducted on the temperature errors affecting CNCs’ machining accuracy;on the basis of analyzing the unpred... Thermal deformation error is one of the most important factors affecting the CNCs’ accuracy, so research is conducted on the temperature errors affecting CNCs’ machining accuracy;on the basis of analyzing the unpredictability and pre-maturing of the results of the genetic algorithm, as well as the slow speed of the training speed of the particle algorithm, a kind of Mind Evolutionary Algorithm optimized BP neural network featuring extremely strong global search capacity was proposed;type KVC850MA/2 five-axis CNC of Changzheng Lathe Factory was used as the research subject, and the Mind Evolutionary Algorithm optimized BP neural network algorithm was used for the establishment of the compensation model between temperature changes and the CNCs’ thermal deformation errors, as well as the realization method on hardware. The simulation results indicated that this method featured extremely high practical value. 展开更多
关键词 Thermal Errors Thermal Error Compensation Genetic algorithm Mind Evolutionary algorithm bp neural network
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Parameters Optimization of the Heating Furnace Control Systems Based on BP Neural Network Improved by Genetic Algorithm 被引量:4
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作者 Qiong Wang Xiaokan Wang 《Journal on Internet of Things》 2020年第2期75-80,共6页
The heating technological requirement of the conventional PID control is difficult to guarantee which based on the precise mathematical model,because the heating furnace for heating treatment with the big inertia,the ... The heating technological requirement of the conventional PID control is difficult to guarantee which based on the precise mathematical model,because the heating furnace for heating treatment with the big inertia,the pure time delay and nonlinear time-varying.Proposed one kind optimized variable method of PID controller based on the genetic algorithm with improved BP network that better realized the completely automatic intelligent control of the entire thermal process than the classics critical purporting(Z-N)method.A heating furnace for the object was simulated with MATLAB,simulation results show that the control system has the quicker response characteristic,the better dynamic characteristic and the quite stronger robustness,which has some promotional value for the control of industrial furnace. 展开更多
关键词 Genetic algorithm parameter optimization PID control bp neural network heating furnace
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Neural Network Based on GA-BP Algorithm and its Application in the Protein Secondary Structure Prediction 被引量:8
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作者 YANG Yang LI Kai-yang 《Chinese Journal of Biomedical Engineering(English Edition)》 2006年第1期1-9,共9页
The advantages and disadvantages of genetic algorithm and BP algorithm are introduced. A neural network based on GA-BP algorithm is proposed and applied in the prediction of protein secondary structure, which combines... The advantages and disadvantages of genetic algorithm and BP algorithm are introduced. A neural network based on GA-BP algorithm is proposed and applied in the prediction of protein secondary structure, which combines the advantages of BP and GA. The prediction and training on the neural network are made respectively based on 4 structure classifications of protein so as to get higher rate of predication---the highest prediction rate 75.65%,the average prediction rate 65.04%. 展开更多
关键词 bp algorithm GENETIC algorithm neural network STRUCTURE classification Protein SECONDARY STRUCTURE prediction
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Neural Networks Based Component Content Soft-Sensor in Countercurrent Rare-Earth Extraction 被引量:2
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作者 杨辉 谭明皓 柴天佑 《Journal of Rare Earths》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2003年第6期691-696,共6页
The equilibrium model for multicomponent rare earth extraction is developed using neural networks, which combined with the material balance model could give online prediction of component content in countercurrent rar... The equilibrium model for multicomponent rare earth extraction is developed using neural networks, which combined with the material balance model could give online prediction of component content in countercurrent rare earth (extraction) production. Simulation experiments with industrial operation data prove the effectiveness of the hybrid soft-(sensor). 展开更多
关键词 countercurrent extraction first principle model soft-sensor model neural networks rare earths
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Soft measurement model of ring's dimensions for vertical hot ring rolling process using neural networks optimized by genetic algorithm 被引量:2
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作者 汪小凯 华林 +3 位作者 汪晓旋 梅雪松 朱乾浩 戴玉同 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第1期17-29,共13页
Vertical hot ring rolling(VHRR) process has the characteristics of nonlinearity,time-variation and being susceptible to disturbance.Furthermore,the ring's growth is quite fast within a short time,and the rolled ri... Vertical hot ring rolling(VHRR) process has the characteristics of nonlinearity,time-variation and being susceptible to disturbance.Furthermore,the ring's growth is quite fast within a short time,and the rolled ring's position is asymmetrical.All of these cause that the ring's dimensions cannot be measured directly.Through analyzing the relationships among the dimensions of ring blanks,the positions of rolls and the ring's inner and outer diameter,the soft measurement model of ring's dimensions is established based on the radial basis function neural network(RBFNN).A mass of data samples are obtained from VHRR finite element(FE) simulations to train and test the soft measurement NN model,and the model's structure parameters are deduced and optimized by genetic algorithm(GA).Finally,the soft measurement system of ring's dimensions is established and validated by the VHRR experiments.The ring's dimensions were measured artificially and calculated by the soft measurement NN model.The results show that the calculation values of GA-RBFNN model are close to the artificial measurement data.In addition,the calculation accuracy of GA-RBFNN model is higher than that of RBFNN model.The research results suggest that the soft measurement NN model has high precision and flexibility.The research can provide practical methods and theoretical guidance for the accurate measurement of VHRR process. 展开更多
关键词 径向基函数神经网络 软测量模型 毛坯尺寸 遗传算法 RBFNN模型 优化 神经网络模型 高分辨力
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Research on BP Neural Network Algorithm Based on Quasi- Newton Method 被引量:3
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作者 Lu Peixin 《International Journal of Technology Management》 2014年第7期71-74,共4页
关键词 bp神经网络算法 牛顿方法 bp算法 BFGS算法 拟牛顿法 DFP算法 改进算法 实证分析
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Circle BP Algorithm for MLP Neural Network 被引量:1
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作者 CHEN Jianyong,CHEN Zhenxiang,LU Yingyang,XU Shenchu (Dept.of Physics,Xiamen University,Xiamen 361005,CHN) 《Semiconductor Photonics and Technology》 CAS 1998年第3期179-182,192,共5页
1IntroductionInthepastseveraldecades,thenervoussystemhasbenstudied,analyzedandmodeledinthehopeofachievinghum... 1IntroductionInthepastseveraldecades,thenervoussystemhasbenstudied,analyzedandmodeledinthehopeofachievinghuman-likeinteligenc... 展开更多
关键词 神经网络 bp算法 反传播算法
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Application of the Spectrum Peak Positioning Technology Based on BP Neural Network in Demodulation of Cavity Length of EFPI Fiber Optical Sensor
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作者 Mengran Zhou Mengya Nie 《Journal of Computer and Communications》 2013年第7期67-71,共5页
An Extrinsic Fabry-Perot Interferometric (EFPI) fiber optical sensor system is an online testing system for the gas density. The system achieves the measurement of gas density information mainly by demodulating the ca... An Extrinsic Fabry-Perot Interferometric (EFPI) fiber optical sensor system is an online testing system for the gas density. The system achieves the measurement of gas density information mainly by demodulating the cavity length of EF- PI fiber optical sensor. There are many ways to achieve the demodulation of the cavity length. For shortcomings of the big intensity demodulation error and complex structure of phase demodulation, this paper proposes that BP neural net-work is used to locate the special peak points in normalized interference spectrum and combining the advantages of the unimodal and bimodal measurement achieves the demodulation of the cavity length. Through online simulation and actual measurement, the results show that the peak positioning technology based on BP neural network can not only achieve high-precision demodulation of the cavity length, but also achieve an absolute measurement of cavity length in large dynamic range. 展开更多
关键词 EFPI Fiber Optical sensor The DEMODULATION of CAVITY Length bp neural network The PEAK POSITIONING Technology
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正交实验结合AHP和GA-BP神经网络优化益黄散醇提工艺 被引量:1
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作者 王巍 杨武杰 +4 位作者 韩宇 安悦言 郝季 张强 鞠成国 《中国药房》 CAS 北大核心 2024年第3期327-332,共6页
目的 优化益黄散的醇提工艺。方法 采用回流提取法,以乙醇体积分数、液料比、提取时间为考察因素设计正交实验,以橙皮苷、川陈皮素、橘皮素、没食子酸、诃黎勒酸、诃子酸、甘草苷、甘草酸、丁香酚含量和干浸膏得率为指标,采用层次分析法... 目的 优化益黄散的醇提工艺。方法 采用回流提取法,以乙醇体积分数、液料比、提取时间为考察因素设计正交实验,以橙皮苷、川陈皮素、橘皮素、没食子酸、诃黎勒酸、诃子酸、甘草苷、甘草酸、丁香酚含量和干浸膏得率为指标,采用层次分析法(AHP)进行赋权并计算综合评分。通过验证正交实验和遗传算法(GA)-反向传播神经网络(BP神经网络)所预测的结果确定益黄散最佳醇提工艺参数。结果 正交实验优选的最佳醇提工艺参数为乙醇体积分数60%、液料比14∶1(mL/g)、提取时间90 min、提取2次,验证所得综合评分为79.19分;GA-BP神经网络优选的最佳醇提工艺参数为乙醇体积分数65%、液料比14∶1(mL/g)、提取时间60 min、提取2次,验证所得综合评分为85.30分,高于正交实验所得结果。结论 采用正交实验结合GA-BP神经网络的寻优方法较传统的正交实验寻优方法效果更佳,其优选出的益黄散最佳醇提工艺稳定可靠。 展开更多
关键词 益黄散 醇提工艺 正交实验 遗传算法 bp神经网络 层次分析法
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基于CSSA-BPNN模型的胶结充填体动态抗压强度预测 被引量:1
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作者 王小林 梅佳伟 +3 位作者 郭进平 卢才武 王颂 李泽峰 《有色金属工程》 CAS 北大核心 2024年第2期92-101,共10页
充填采矿法二步骤回采时胶结充填体稳定性受爆破扰动而降低。为快速准确地获得充填体动态抗压强度,利用分离式霍普金森压杆(SHPB)进行了40组不同应变率的单轴冲击实验,以灰砂比、充填体密度、养护龄期和平均应变率作为输入参数,充填体... 充填采矿法二步骤回采时胶结充填体稳定性受爆破扰动而降低。为快速准确地获得充填体动态抗压强度,利用分离式霍普金森压杆(SHPB)进行了40组不同应变率的单轴冲击实验,以灰砂比、充填体密度、养护龄期和平均应变率作为输入参数,充填体动态抗压强度作为输出参数,建立了一种基于Logistic混沌麻雀搜索算法(CSSA)优化BP神经网络(BPNN)的预测模型,并与传统BPNN和麻雀搜索算法优化的BPNN进行了对比分析。结果表明:CSSA-BPNN模型的平均相对误差为4.11%,预测值与实测值之间拟合的相关系数均在0.96以上,模型预测精度高。CSSA-BPNN模型的均方根误差为0.395 0 MPa,平均绝对误差为0.359 2 MPa,决定系数为0.995 2,均优于另外两种预测模型。实现了对充填体动态抗压强度的准确预测,可大幅减小物理实验量,为矿山胶结充填体的强度设计提供了一种新方法。 展开更多
关键词 混沌麻雀搜索算法(CSSA) bp神经网络(bpNN) 胶结充填体 分离式霍普金森压杆(SHPB) 动态抗压强度
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基于MPSO-BP算法的四电极电化学气体传感器温度补偿研究
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作者 刘伟 鲁露 +2 位作者 杨文博 赵曼玉 魏广芬 《传感技术学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第1期29-34,共6页
针对四电极电化学气体传感器的测量精度极易受环境温度影响的问题,提出一种基于粒子群优化BP神经网络算法(PSO-BP)的温度补偿方法。利用改进的PSO算法(MPSO)对BP神经网络的权值和阈值进行优化,构造四电极电化学气体传感器的温度补偿模型... 针对四电极电化学气体传感器的测量精度极易受环境温度影响的问题,提出一种基于粒子群优化BP神经网络算法(PSO-BP)的温度补偿方法。利用改进的PSO算法(MPSO)对BP神经网络的权值和阈值进行优化,构造四电极电化学气体传感器的温度补偿模型,并设计了气体传感器测试系统。实验结果表明,MPSO-BP算法可有效提高BP神经网络的收敛速度和泛化能力;基于MPSO-BP算法的四电极气体传感器温度补偿模型,可将温度补偿误差控制在0.1%以内。 展开更多
关键词 温度补偿 电化学气体传感器 粒子群优化 bp神经网络 四电极
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基于FA-BP神经网络的生姜干燥含水率预测
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作者 王雷 胡书旭 +2 位作者 钟康生 康宏彬 肖波 《农机化研究》 北大核心 2024年第7期241-248,共8页
为探索生姜的干燥特性,并实现生姜干燥的含水率预测,研究了不同干燥温度(50、55、60℃)、干燥风速(1.0、2.0、3.0m/s)、切片长度(30、35、40mm)对生姜干燥时间和干燥速率的影响。结合BP神经网络自适应能力、泛化能力、学习能力强和萤火... 为探索生姜的干燥特性,并实现生姜干燥的含水率预测,研究了不同干燥温度(50、55、60℃)、干燥风速(1.0、2.0、3.0m/s)、切片长度(30、35、40mm)对生姜干燥时间和干燥速率的影响。结合BP神经网络自适应能力、泛化能力、学习能力强和萤火虫算法(FA)参数少、寻优能力强、收敛速度快等特点,将干燥温度、干燥风速、切片长度和干燥时间作为输入层,隐藏层个数为10,输出层为生姜的含水率,搭建一个拓扑结构为“4-10-1”的FA-BP神经网络模型。研究结果表明:干燥温度、干燥风速、切片长度都是影响生姜含水率的关键因素,增加干燥风速、提高干燥温度和减少切片长度能有效缩短生姜的干燥时间,提高干燥效率。选用萤火虫算法优化BP神经网络的权值和阈值,减少了神经网络的训练时间,提高了精准度,其含水率预测值与试验值之间的决定系数R2=0.999 02,均方根误差RMSE为0.002 99,含水率预测结果准确且迅速,能够为生姜干燥过程中的含水率在线预测提供科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 生姜 热泵干燥 含水率预测 萤火虫算法 bp神经网络
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基于DBO-BP的工业机器人定位误差补偿方法
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作者 刘麒 谭丁诚 +1 位作者 刘振刚 王影 《吉林化工学院学报》 CAS 2024年第1期59-66,共8页
为提高工业机器人绝对定位精度,提出一种基于DBO-BP与离线前馈校正相结合的方法。该方法适用于工业机器人定位误差补偿研究。通过使用拉丁超立方抽样法获取工业机器人的位姿样本,并利用BP神经网络建立误差预测模型,应用DBO优化算法改善... 为提高工业机器人绝对定位精度,提出一种基于DBO-BP与离线前馈校正相结合的方法。该方法适用于工业机器人定位误差补偿研究。通过使用拉丁超立方抽样法获取工业机器人的位姿样本,并利用BP神经网络建立误差预测模型,应用DBO优化算法改善了局部最优现象,从而提高了模型的收敛性和鲁棒性。经过离线前馈补偿处理后,降低了工业机器人定位误差,大幅提高了机器人绝对定位精度。这种方法能够有效提高机器人的精度和稳定性,并为工业机器人的精准定位问题提供了可行的解决方案。 展开更多
关键词 工业机器人 bp神经网络 DBO算法 绝对定位精度 误差补偿
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基于多特征参数的GA-WOA-BP火灾概率预测模型研究
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作者 刘全义 吴孟洋 +1 位作者 艾洪舟 朱培 《消防科学与技术》 CAS 北大核心 2024年第6期820-825,共6页
为进一步提升火灾概率预测的准确率,针对BP神经网络在拟合过程中探测精度低、泛化能力差的问题,提出一种基于多特征参数的GA-WOA-BP火灾概率预测模型。首先通过试验采集了榉木、棉绳阴燃、明燃时的火灾特征参量,计算后得到了相应的火灾... 为进一步提升火灾概率预测的准确率,针对BP神经网络在拟合过程中探测精度低、泛化能力差的问题,提出一种基于多特征参数的GA-WOA-BP火灾概率预测模型。首先通过试验采集了榉木、棉绳阴燃、明燃时的火灾特征参量,计算后得到了相应的火灾类型发生概率;其次通过遗传算法优化BP神经网络的隐藏层结构,鲸鱼优化算法优化BP神经网络的初始权重,构建了GA-WOA-BP模型,提高融合算法的拟合能力。最后,以多特征火灾参数作为模型输入,以不同类型火灾发生概率作为输出完成火灾概率的预测。结果表明,相比单纯BP神经网络,基于多特征参数的GA-WOA-BP火灾概率预测模型具有更好的预测性能,其评价指标RMSE、MAE、R2分别为0.020 22、0.014 33和0.992 31,能为火灾概率预测提供数据参考。 展开更多
关键词 多特征参数 鲸鱼优化算法 遗传算法 火灾概率预测 bp神经网络
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