As the largest developing country in the world, China has not be involved in the obligation of emissions reduction in the （〈Kyoto Protocol）） . But it has become the largest CO2 emissions countries in the world. Th...As the largest developing country in the world, China has not be involved in the obligation of emissions reduction in the （〈Kyoto Protocol）） . But it has become the largest CO2 emissions countries in the world. This makes China confronted with more pressure of carbon emissions reduction in the post-Kyoto era, and face great challenges in response to climate change issues. On one hand, China＇ s economic growth stage has decided that the situation of more energy consumption and increased carbon emissions is diffficult to reverse in the short term; On the other hand, the traditional policy under the control of total amount of carbon emission has largely restricted economic development. If a developing country in economic transition is carried out compulsory absolute amount of carbon reduction policies, its economic activity and social consumption will be imposed additional constraints inevitably, which will eventually lead to lower economic competitiveness and decline in social standards of living. Ultimately it will affect the good effects of carbon emissions reduction, so the policy can not achieve a satisfactory result. This paper introduces the financial mechanism into the carbon market model, extends the time of model from one phase to multi-phase. And this paper tries to establish a cross-time carbon credits trade system, and the current strength of the traditional carbon emission market trade model is extended. The paper designs two type of option mechanism model--call options trade carbon emissions model and put options carbon emissions model. Models＇ results show that choosing options tool to extend our traditional carbon market model can bring following impacts on carbon market development： trade costs have fallen, the carbon intensity also has descended, and has realized the flow of carbon intensity in diffident time; it enables manufacturers to effectively avoid the risk of carbon emissions trade; it increases the flexibility and maneuverability of the carbon trade market. Finally, the policy recommendations in the financial mechanisms carbon market trade are put forward.展开更多
The European Commission has proposed a Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism(CBAM)to reduce carbon leakage and create a level playing field for its domestic products and imported goods.Nevertheless,the effectiveness of t...The European Commission has proposed a Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism(CBAM)to reduce carbon leakage and create a level playing field for its domestic products and imported goods.Nevertheless,the effectiveness of the proposal remains unclear,especially when it triggers threats of retaliation from trading partners of the European Union.We apply a Computable General Equilibrium model-Global Trade Analysis Project-to assess the economic and environmental impacts of different CBAM schemes.Here we show that the effectiveness of the CBAM to address carbon leakage risks is rather limited,and the CBAM raises concerns over global welfare costs,Correct to Gross Domestic Product(GDP)losses,and violation of equality principles.Trade retaliation leads to multiplied welfare losses,which would mostly be borne by poor countries.Our results question the carbon leakage reduction effect of a unilateral trade policy and suggest that climate change mitigation still needs to be performed within the framework of international cooperation.展开更多
China formally launched the carbon trading pilots in seven provinces and cities in 2013.Based on the operating situations of international carbon emission trading markets and that in China,this study compares and anal...China formally launched the carbon trading pilots in seven provinces and cities in 2013.Based on the operating situations of international carbon emission trading markets and that in China,this study compares and analyzes the potential risks in the European Union Emission Trading Scheme,California’s cap-and-trade system,and the seven regional carbon trading pilots in China.It mainly recognizes market operation risks,risks of uncertain policy expectation,and risks of uncertain mechanism designs existing in China's carbon trading pilots.The carbon market risks are not good for the formation of rational price signals,making it difficult to guide enterprises on how to make low-carbon technology in-vestments.Such risks also affect the effectiveness and functions of carbon markets,which can lead to the non-achievement of national emission reduction goals.China has launched the national carbon emission trading scheme on December 19,2017.While building the national carbon trading scheme,it is important to fully refer to the experiences of international carbon markets and China's carbon trading pilots apart from strengthening the recognition,control,and supervision of carbon market risks.Doing so can promote the healthy development of China's na-tional carbon trading scheme.展开更多
为有效提高碳排放配额分配的合理性,并且避免年度结算时碳排放量超标导致环境污染加剧问题,提出基于奖惩因子的季节性碳交易机制,以园区综合能源系统(park integrated energy system,PIES)为对象进行低碳经济调度。首先,构建包含能量层...为有效提高碳排放配额分配的合理性,并且避免年度结算时碳排放量超标导致环境污染加剧问题,提出基于奖惩因子的季节性碳交易机制,以园区综合能源系统(park integrated energy system,PIES)为对象进行低碳经济调度。首先,构建包含能量层–碳流层–管理层的综合能源系统(integrated energy system,IES)运行框架,建立电气热多能流供需动态一致性模型;其次,分析系统内“日–季节–年度”碳排放特性,打破传统应用指标法的配额分配方法,采用灰色关联分析法建立碳排放配额分配模型,并基于奖惩阶梯碳价制定季节性碳交易机制;最后,以系统内全寿命周期运行成本及碳交易成本最小为目标,对执行季节性碳交易机制的PIES进行低碳经济调度,分析长时间尺度下季节性储能参与调度的减碳量。搭建IEEE 33节点电网5节点气网7节点热网的PIES,并基于多场景进行算例分析,验证此调度方法能够实现零碳经济运行,保证系统供能可靠性,为建立零碳园区奠定理论基础。展开更多
综合需求响应(integrated demand response,IDR)作为区域综合能源系统(regional integrated energy system,RIES)维持供需平衡、实现分布式能源就地消纳的重要途径,已成为当下的研究热点。但现有IDR研究存在3个方面不足:综合能源服务商(...综合需求响应(integrated demand response,IDR)作为区域综合能源系统(regional integrated energy system,RIES)维持供需平衡、实现分布式能源就地消纳的重要途径,已成为当下的研究热点。但现有IDR研究存在3个方面不足:综合能源服务商(integrated energy service provider,IESP)制定激励策略时,未考虑区域内用户的响应疲劳特性;在实施IDR的复杂场景下,未考虑区域IESP间的响应责任交易;忽略响应责任与碳排放责任的耦合关系。为此,首先分析用户响应意愿随响应次数的演化特性,通过引入响应疲劳函数实现对用户响应疲劳特性的有效建模;在此基础上,根据IESP的响应任务类型,设置多个IESP参与IDR的复杂场景。进一步,为实现各IESP参与IDR的经济性与低碳性,在考虑复杂场景下IESP间响应责任交易时的能源转移与碳排放责任转移基础上,建立响应责任-碳排放责任耦合交易机制。最终,采用基于自适应迭代步长的议价方法以确定最优交易价格。通过仿真算例验证所提模型的有效性:考虑用户响应疲劳特性的改进模型使用户的总收益提升27%;所提交易机制不仅使各场景下IESP的总成本分别降低15.8%、9.8%、94.1%,还使典型场景下IESP的碳排放量降低17.8%,提高IESP参与IDR的经济性与低碳性,实现IESP与用户的共赢。展开更多
在碳达峰碳中和的政策方针背景下,北方地区的冬季由于需要供热,使得热电联产机组(combined heat and power,CHP)强迫出力,限制了新能源的消纳与碳减排的能力。利用碳捕集与封存(carbon capture and storage,CCS)技术将热电联产机组产生...在碳达峰碳中和的政策方针背景下,北方地区的冬季由于需要供热,使得热电联产机组(combined heat and power,CHP)强迫出力,限制了新能源的消纳与碳减排的能力。利用碳捕集与封存(carbon capture and storage,CCS)技术将热电联产机组产生的CO_(2)捕捉并封存,将新能源发电通过电转气(power to gas,P2G)产生氢能并与捕集到的CO_(2)反应生成CH_(4),热电联产的燃气轮机使用合成的CH_(4)并掺入一定比例的H_(2)进行燃烧,循环使用CO_(2),减少碳排放并增加收益,进一步提高虚拟电厂参与电力市场的经济性与低碳性,促进新能源消纳,并保障北方冬季的供热量。建立了考虑P2G及碳捕集的热电联产虚拟电厂的数学模型,并通过MATLAB调用CPLEX求解器进行求解,仿真结果验证了所建模型的有效性。展开更多
文摘As the largest developing country in the world, China has not be involved in the obligation of emissions reduction in the （〈Kyoto Protocol）） . But it has become the largest CO2 emissions countries in the world. This makes China confronted with more pressure of carbon emissions reduction in the post-Kyoto era, and face great challenges in response to climate change issues. On one hand, China＇ s economic growth stage has decided that the situation of more energy consumption and increased carbon emissions is diffficult to reverse in the short term; On the other hand, the traditional policy under the control of total amount of carbon emission has largely restricted economic development. If a developing country in economic transition is carried out compulsory absolute amount of carbon reduction policies, its economic activity and social consumption will be imposed additional constraints inevitably, which will eventually lead to lower economic competitiveness and decline in social standards of living. Ultimately it will affect the good effects of carbon emissions reduction, so the policy can not achieve a satisfactory result. This paper introduces the financial mechanism into the carbon market model, extends the time of model from one phase to multi-phase. And this paper tries to establish a cross-time carbon credits trade system, and the current strength of the traditional carbon emission market trade model is extended. The paper designs two type of option mechanism model--call options trade carbon emissions model and put options carbon emissions model. Models＇ results show that choosing options tool to extend our traditional carbon market model can bring following impacts on carbon market development： trade costs have fallen, the carbon intensity also has descended, and has realized the flow of carbon intensity in diffident time; it enables manufacturers to effectively avoid the risk of carbon emissions trade; it increases the flexibility and maneuverability of the carbon trade market. Finally, the policy recommendations in the financial mechanisms carbon market trade are put forward.
基金supported by the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council(EP/V041665/1)the British Council(2019-RLWK11-10577)。
文摘The European Commission has proposed a Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism(CBAM)to reduce carbon leakage and create a level playing field for its domestic products and imported goods.Nevertheless,the effectiveness of the proposal remains unclear,especially when it triggers threats of retaliation from trading partners of the European Union.We apply a Computable General Equilibrium model-Global Trade Analysis Project-to assess the economic and environmental impacts of different CBAM schemes.Here we show that the effectiveness of the CBAM to address carbon leakage risks is rather limited,and the CBAM raises concerns over global welfare costs,Correct to Gross Domestic Product(GDP)losses,and violation of equality principles.Trade retaliation leads to multiplied welfare losses,which would mostly be borne by poor countries.Our results question the carbon leakage reduction effect of a unilateral trade policy and suggest that climate change mitigation still needs to be performed within the framework of international cooperation.
基金the National Key Researchand Development Program of China(2016YFA0602702)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(71673162,71173131,71673019,71273253)Major projects of the Na-tional Social Science Fund of China(18ZDA106).
文摘China formally launched the carbon trading pilots in seven provinces and cities in 2013.Based on the operating situations of international carbon emission trading markets and that in China,this study compares and analyzes the potential risks in the European Union Emission Trading Scheme,California’s cap-and-trade system,and the seven regional carbon trading pilots in China.It mainly recognizes market operation risks,risks of uncertain policy expectation,and risks of uncertain mechanism designs existing in China's carbon trading pilots.The carbon market risks are not good for the formation of rational price signals,making it difficult to guide enterprises on how to make low-carbon technology in-vestments.Such risks also affect the effectiveness and functions of carbon markets,which can lead to the non-achievement of national emission reduction goals.China has launched the national carbon emission trading scheme on December 19,2017.While building the national carbon trading scheme,it is important to fully refer to the experiences of international carbon markets and China's carbon trading pilots apart from strengthening the recognition,control,and supervision of carbon market risks.Doing so can promote the healthy development of China's na-tional carbon trading scheme.
文摘为有效提高碳排放配额分配的合理性,并且避免年度结算时碳排放量超标导致环境污染加剧问题,提出基于奖惩因子的季节性碳交易机制,以园区综合能源系统(park integrated energy system,PIES)为对象进行低碳经济调度。首先,构建包含能量层–碳流层–管理层的综合能源系统(integrated energy system,IES)运行框架,建立电气热多能流供需动态一致性模型;其次,分析系统内“日–季节–年度”碳排放特性,打破传统应用指标法的配额分配方法,采用灰色关联分析法建立碳排放配额分配模型,并基于奖惩阶梯碳价制定季节性碳交易机制;最后,以系统内全寿命周期运行成本及碳交易成本最小为目标,对执行季节性碳交易机制的PIES进行低碳经济调度,分析长时间尺度下季节性储能参与调度的减碳量。搭建IEEE 33节点电网5节点气网7节点热网的PIES,并基于多场景进行算例分析,验证此调度方法能够实现零碳经济运行,保证系统供能可靠性,为建立零碳园区奠定理论基础。
文摘综合需求响应(integrated demand response,IDR)作为区域综合能源系统(regional integrated energy system,RIES)维持供需平衡、实现分布式能源就地消纳的重要途径,已成为当下的研究热点。但现有IDR研究存在3个方面不足:综合能源服务商(integrated energy service provider,IESP)制定激励策略时,未考虑区域内用户的响应疲劳特性;在实施IDR的复杂场景下,未考虑区域IESP间的响应责任交易;忽略响应责任与碳排放责任的耦合关系。为此,首先分析用户响应意愿随响应次数的演化特性,通过引入响应疲劳函数实现对用户响应疲劳特性的有效建模;在此基础上,根据IESP的响应任务类型,设置多个IESP参与IDR的复杂场景。进一步,为实现各IESP参与IDR的经济性与低碳性,在考虑复杂场景下IESP间响应责任交易时的能源转移与碳排放责任转移基础上,建立响应责任-碳排放责任耦合交易机制。最终,采用基于自适应迭代步长的议价方法以确定最优交易价格。通过仿真算例验证所提模型的有效性:考虑用户响应疲劳特性的改进模型使用户的总收益提升27%;所提交易机制不仅使各场景下IESP的总成本分别降低15.8%、9.8%、94.1%,还使典型场景下IESP的碳排放量降低17.8%,提高IESP参与IDR的经济性与低碳性,实现IESP与用户的共赢。
文摘在碳达峰碳中和的政策方针背景下,北方地区的冬季由于需要供热,使得热电联产机组(combined heat and power,CHP)强迫出力,限制了新能源的消纳与碳减排的能力。利用碳捕集与封存(carbon capture and storage,CCS)技术将热电联产机组产生的CO_(2)捕捉并封存,将新能源发电通过电转气(power to gas,P2G)产生氢能并与捕集到的CO_(2)反应生成CH_(4),热电联产的燃气轮机使用合成的CH_(4)并掺入一定比例的H_(2)进行燃烧,循环使用CO_(2),减少碳排放并增加收益,进一步提高虚拟电厂参与电力市场的经济性与低碳性,促进新能源消纳,并保障北方冬季的供热量。建立了考虑P2G及碳捕集的热电联产虚拟电厂的数学模型,并通过MATLAB调用CPLEX求解器进行求解,仿真结果验证了所建模型的有效性。
