High penetration level of renewable energy has brought great challenges to operation of power systems,and use of flexible resources(FRs)is becoming increasingly important.Flexibility of power systems can be improved b...High penetration level of renewable energy has brought great challenges to operation of power systems,and use of flexible resources(FRs)is becoming increasingly important.Flexibility of power systems can be improved by changing generation arrangements,but the interests of some market participants may be harmed in the process.This study proposes a stochastic economic dispatch model with trading of flexible ramping products(FRPs).To calculate changes in revenue and reasonably compensate units that provide FRs,multisegmented marginal bidding for energy is simulated by linearizing generation cost,and an optimal market clearing strategy for FRPs is developed according to changes in clearing energy and marginal clearing price.Then,the correlation between prediction errors of wind speeds among different wind farms is determined based on a joint distribution function modeled by the copula function,and quasi-Monte Carlo simulation(QMC)is used to generate wind power scenarios.Finally,numerical simulations of modified IEEE-30 and IEEE-118 bus systems is performed with minimum comprehensive cost as the objective function.This verifies the proposed model could effectively deal with wind variability and uncertainty,stabilize the marginal clearing price of the electricity market,and ensure fairness in the market.展开更多
Wind farms usually cluster in areas with abundant wind resources.Therefore,spatial dependence of wind speeds among nearby wind farms should be taken into account when modeling a power system with large-scale wind powe...Wind farms usually cluster in areas with abundant wind resources.Therefore,spatial dependence of wind speeds among nearby wind farms should be taken into account when modeling a power system with large-scale wind power penetration.This paper proposes a novel non-parametric copula method,multivariate Gaussian kernel copula(MGKC),to describe the dependence structure of wind speeds among multiple wind farms.Wind speed scenarios considering the dependence among different wind farms are sampled from the MGKC by the quasi-Monte Carlo(QMC)method,so as to solve the stochastic economic dispatch(SED)problem,for which an improved meanvariance(MV)model is established,which targets at minimizing the expectation and risk of fuel cost simultaneously.In this model,confidence interval is applied in the wind speed to obtain more practical dispatch solutions by excluding extreme scenarios,for which the quantile-copula is proposed to construct the confidence interval constraint.Simulation studies are carried out on a modified IEEE 30-bus power system with wind farms integrated in two areas,and the results prove the superiority of the MGKC in formulating the dependence among different wind farms and the superiority of the improved MV model based on quantilecopula in determining a better dispatch solution.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China 51937005the Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province 2019A1515010689.
文摘High penetration level of renewable energy has brought great challenges to operation of power systems,and use of flexible resources(FRs)is becoming increasingly important.Flexibility of power systems can be improved by changing generation arrangements,but the interests of some market participants may be harmed in the process.This study proposes a stochastic economic dispatch model with trading of flexible ramping products(FRPs).To calculate changes in revenue and reasonably compensate units that provide FRs,multisegmented marginal bidding for energy is simulated by linearizing generation cost,and an optimal market clearing strategy for FRPs is developed according to changes in clearing energy and marginal clearing price.Then,the correlation between prediction errors of wind speeds among different wind farms is determined based on a joint distribution function modeled by the copula function,and quasi-Monte Carlo simulation(QMC)is used to generate wind power scenarios.Finally,numerical simulations of modified IEEE-30 and IEEE-118 bus systems is performed with minimum comprehensive cost as the objective function.This verifies the proposed model could effectively deal with wind variability and uncertainty,stabilize the marginal clearing price of the electricity market,and ensure fairness in the market.
基金This research is supported by the Key-Area Research and Development Program of Guangdong Province(No.2020B010166004)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,SCUT(No.2018ZD06).
文摘Wind farms usually cluster in areas with abundant wind resources.Therefore,spatial dependence of wind speeds among nearby wind farms should be taken into account when modeling a power system with large-scale wind power penetration.This paper proposes a novel non-parametric copula method,multivariate Gaussian kernel copula(MGKC),to describe the dependence structure of wind speeds among multiple wind farms.Wind speed scenarios considering the dependence among different wind farms are sampled from the MGKC by the quasi-Monte Carlo(QMC)method,so as to solve the stochastic economic dispatch(SED)problem,for which an improved meanvariance(MV)model is established,which targets at minimizing the expectation and risk of fuel cost simultaneously.In this model,confidence interval is applied in the wind speed to obtain more practical dispatch solutions by excluding extreme scenarios,for which the quantile-copula is proposed to construct the confidence interval constraint.Simulation studies are carried out on a modified IEEE 30-bus power system with wind farms integrated in two areas,and the results prove the superiority of the MGKC in formulating the dependence among different wind farms and the superiority of the improved MV model based on quantilecopula in determining a better dispatch solution.