Quantitative stock selection has become a research hotspot in the field of investment decision. As the data mining technology becomes mature, quantitative stock selection has made great progress. From the perspective ...Quantitative stock selection has become a research hotspot in the field of investment decision. As the data mining technology becomes mature, quantitative stock selection has made great progress. From the perspective of value investment, this paper selects top 200 stocks of A share in terms of market value. With the random forest (RF), financial characteristic variables with significant impact on SVR are screened out. At the same time with quantum genetic algorithm (QGA) superior to the traditional genetic algorithm (GA), SVR parameters are deeply and dynamically sought for, so as to build the RF-QGA-SVR model for year-to-year stock ranking. The quantitative stock selection model is built, and the empirical analysis of its stock selection performance is conducted. The conclusion is as follows: 1) Optimizing SVR with QGA has higher precision than the traditional genetic algorithm, and is more excellent than the traditional GA optimization;2) SVR after RF optimization of characteristic variables more significantly improves the accuracy of stock ranking and prediction;3) In the stock ranking obtained from the RF-QGA-SVR model, the yields of top stock portfolios are much higher than the market benchmark yield. At the same time, the yields of the top 10 stock portfolios are the highest, and the top 30 stock portfolios are the most stable. This study has positive reference significance on quantitative stock selection in the field of quantitative investment.展开更多
Forecasting stock returns is extremely challenging in general,and this task becomes even more difficult given the turbulent nature of the Chinese stock market.We address the stock selection process as a statistical le...Forecasting stock returns is extremely challenging in general,and this task becomes even more difficult given the turbulent nature of the Chinese stock market.We address the stock selection process as a statistical learning problem and build crosssectional forecast models to select individual stocks in the Shanghai Composite Index.Decile portfolios are formed according to rankings of the forecasted future cumulative returns.The equity market’s neutral portfolio-formed by buying the top decile portfolio and selling short the bottom decile portfolio-exhibits superior performance to,and a low correlation with,the Shanghai Composite Index.To make our strategy more useful to practitioners,we evaluate the proposed stock selection strategy’s performance by allowing only long positions,and by investing only in Ashare stocks to incorporate the restrictions in the Chinese stock market.The longonly strategies still generate robust and superior performance compared to the Shanghai Composite Index.A close examination of the coefficients of the features provides more insights into the changes in market dynamics from period to period.展开更多
This article attempted to construct a multi-factor quantitative stock selection model,analyze the financial indicators and transaction data of listed companies in detail via the big data statistical test method,and to...This article attempted to construct a multi-factor quantitative stock selection model,analyze the financial indicators and transaction data of listed companies in detail via the big data statistical test method,and to find out the alpha excess return relative to the market in the case of short stock index futures as a hedge in the Chinese market.展开更多
文摘Quantitative stock selection has become a research hotspot in the field of investment decision. As the data mining technology becomes mature, quantitative stock selection has made great progress. From the perspective of value investment, this paper selects top 200 stocks of A share in terms of market value. With the random forest (RF), financial characteristic variables with significant impact on SVR are screened out. At the same time with quantum genetic algorithm (QGA) superior to the traditional genetic algorithm (GA), SVR parameters are deeply and dynamically sought for, so as to build the RF-QGA-SVR model for year-to-year stock ranking. The quantitative stock selection model is built, and the empirical analysis of its stock selection performance is conducted. The conclusion is as follows: 1) Optimizing SVR with QGA has higher precision than the traditional genetic algorithm, and is more excellent than the traditional GA optimization;2) SVR after RF optimization of characteristic variables more significantly improves the accuracy of stock ranking and prediction;3) In the stock ranking obtained from the RF-QGA-SVR model, the yields of top stock portfolios are much higher than the market benchmark yield. At the same time, the yields of the top 10 stock portfolios are the highest, and the top 30 stock portfolios are the most stable. This study has positive reference significance on quantitative stock selection in the field of quantitative investment.
文摘Forecasting stock returns is extremely challenging in general,and this task becomes even more difficult given the turbulent nature of the Chinese stock market.We address the stock selection process as a statistical learning problem and build crosssectional forecast models to select individual stocks in the Shanghai Composite Index.Decile portfolios are formed according to rankings of the forecasted future cumulative returns.The equity market’s neutral portfolio-formed by buying the top decile portfolio and selling short the bottom decile portfolio-exhibits superior performance to,and a low correlation with,the Shanghai Composite Index.To make our strategy more useful to practitioners,we evaluate the proposed stock selection strategy’s performance by allowing only long positions,and by investing only in Ashare stocks to incorporate the restrictions in the Chinese stock market.The longonly strategies still generate robust and superior performance compared to the Shanghai Composite Index.A close examination of the coefficients of the features provides more insights into the changes in market dynamics from period to period.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(11961005)Guangdong Province General University Characteristic Innovation Project(2018KTSCX253).
文摘This article attempted to construct a multi-factor quantitative stock selection model,analyze the financial indicators and transaction data of listed companies in detail via the big data statistical test method,and to find out the alpha excess return relative to the market in the case of short stock index futures as a hedge in the Chinese market.