A regional multiple objective water resource and economic optimization model was developed using a quantitative method of systematic analysis. Input to the model includes indexes of economic structure and development,...A regional multiple objective water resource and economic optimization model was developed using a quantitative method of systematic analysis. Input to the model includes indexes of economic structure and development, water resource utilization, wastewater and pollutant discharge, and investment in wastewater treatment. The model, which consists of production structure and industrial structure optimization modules, was applied to the Guanzhong region in the middle reaches of the Huanghe (Yellow) River basin in China. By evaluating several alternative production and industrialization schemes, the modal indicate that water pollution will get worsen though wastewater treatment improves if the economy continues to develop at the planned speed without structural adjustment. However, the results also show that not only economic goals but also water resource protection and pollution control targets can be achieved under an alternative, recommended production and industrial structure. This example illustrates that economic development and environmental protection can be improved coordinately by the regional multiple objective water resource and economic optimization model. It provides an operable approach to the simultaneous sustained development of water resources and economic growth.展开更多
Understanding the dynamics of decision making in the right way is an important problem for the management of organizations.In today’s business life organizations are becoming more complex,and the environments they ar...Understanding the dynamics of decision making in the right way is an important problem for the management of organizations.In today’s business life organizations are becoming more complex,and the environments they are operating in,are becoming increasingly uncertain.The aim of this paper is to contribute to the understanding of the dynamics of managerial decision-making process in complex internal and external environments by sharing the results of an empirical study(Onuk,2009).While taking the levels of the organizational structure as one of the important dimensions of complex internal environment,complex external environment is reflected within the study as economic crisis.Using the survey tool developed by Onuk(2009),the empirical study realized in the Turkish organization of a large global company investigated decision-making process to understand how decision-making authority for different types of decisions,identified as strategic,tactical,and operational level decisions,was distributed throughout the organization levels,and how this distribution was impacted by economic crisis.The results of the study confirmed the following common expectations:(1)Strategic decisions are mostly taken at upper hierarchical levels of the organizational structure;(2)during times of economic crisis strategic decision making is centralized;and(3)during times of economic crisis distribution of decision-making authority is concentrated at upper management levels.展开更多
The objectives of this paper are to examine the nexus between financial liberalization,balance of payment and economic growth in Nigeria.The scope of this study due to data availability,especially on measures of balan...The objectives of this paper are to examine the nexus between financial liberalization,balance of payment and economic growth in Nigeria.The scope of this study due to data availability,especially on measures of balance of payment,covers the period of 1986-2017.This study adopts econometrics techniques of analysis by using Panel Unit Root Tests and Co-integration analysis which is used to determine the long run relationship among economic variables.To test the co-integration relationship this study followed the system proposed by Pedroni(1991)who expands the Engle and Granger[9]two stage technique to heterogeneous board information structure.The study adopts annual time series secondary data for the period of 1986 to 2017.Balance of payment,Official Exchange Rate,Inflation rate(%),Balance of trade,Trade openness,Real Gross Domestic Product growth,and Term of Trade,all data used were obtained from the World Development Indicators.The findings of this study revealed that an increase in exchange rate,interest rate,inflation rate,and trade openness have negatively affect economic growth.Hence,changes or movements in these variables do not necessarily prompt the liberalization decision in the real sector.Therefore,the need to address balance of payment is important,in accordance with the low rate of development in Nigeria.We therefore,recommend that government should monitor both Fiscal and Monetary policies’variables that can significantly influence economic growth in Nigeria.That is,adequate balance of payment that can encourage appropriate financial liberalization should be put in place with,Official Exchange Rate,Inflation rate(%),Balance of trade,Trade openness.展开更多
To analyze the efficiency of the agro-ecosystem of Dongting Rim in Hunan Province,this paper adopted the emergy theory to study the agricultural output of this region during 2001 to 2010.The results showed that the va...To analyze the efficiency of the agro-ecosystem of Dongting Rim in Hunan Province,this paper adopted the emergy theory to study the agricultural output of this region during 2001 to 2010.The results showed that the value of regional agricultural emergy output increased by44.68%to(6.50 E)sej,but lower than the growth of non-agricultural industry output.Compared with 2001,the emergy output of planting industry was(4.10E)sej in 2010 which occupied 63.09%of the total agricultural emergy output and got an increase of 2.93 percentage points,while the emergy output of stock farming got a decrease of 2.87 percentage points.The growth of fishery emergy output was not in conformity with the characteristics of Dongting Rim in Hunan.From the contrast between emergy output and economic output,we could find that the economic return ratio of planting industry and fishery industry were lower than those of forestry industry and stock farming industry,which indicated that it is necessary to improve the economic benefits of planting industry and fishery industry which were the traditional industries with advantages of the Dongting Rim in Hunan.展开更多
The structural adjustment of China's economy requires the support of economic theories dedicated to structural issues. But new structural economics (NSE) is significantly different from old structural economics (...The structural adjustment of China's economy requires the support of economic theories dedicated to structural issues. But new structural economics (NSE) is significantly different from old structural economics (OSE) in terms of development strategies and policies. They expound on the paths of industrial structure improvement and steady economic growth for developing countries from two different perspectives, comparative advantage and first-mover advantage, which result in a toss-up. From the clashing theories and observations of the true state of Chinese economy, we can see that the core features of China's current economic structure are a cumulative result of the insufficient "complementary" and "inducing" roles of government investment, which requires the introduction of certain investment models to design an effective structural adjustment plan. From the perspective of investment priority, scope (public service or production), motives, capacity and decision-making and multi-sectoral coordination, this paper analyzes the key connections between NSE and OSE and strives to design an appropriate and accurate investment plan from the perspective of stability, flexibility and under- pinning in the hope of resolving the issues facing the structural adjustment of the Chinese economy. The first step is to identify investment priorities and enable the market to play the decisive role and the government the guiding role. The second step is to identify crucial nodes and adapt investments to trends of the new industrial revolution. The third step is to focus on the resolution of livelihood issues to steer China out of the low-income trap and clear of the middle-income trap. Not only do investment variables have to become an instrument to continuously improve Chi- na's factor endowment structure, but also investment as a mechanism underpinning development has to be adopted throughout the entire duration of the process of reform to fulfill the goal of structural adjustment pursued by both NSE and OSE.展开更多
党的二十大报告提出,积极稳妥推进碳达峰碳中和。能源结构调整是实现碳中和目标的重要途径,从碳排放产生机制与经济增长的共生关系出发,将经济高质量发展纳入碳中和目标考虑范畴。基于长三角地区3省1市2017年投入产出表,构建区域宏、微...党的二十大报告提出,积极稳妥推进碳达峰碳中和。能源结构调整是实现碳中和目标的重要途径,从碳排放产生机制与经济增长的共生关系出发,将经济高质量发展纳入碳中和目标考虑范畴。基于长三角地区3省1市2017年投入产出表,构建区域宏、微观SAM表及能源结构调整模拟分析CGE(computable general equilibrium)模型,建立长三角地区宏观经济闭合系统,研究能源结构调整对长三角地区的经济影响及其差异性。研究发现:1)长三角各区域随着能源结构转型不断推进,其经济影响存在明显差异性,以江苏省为例,当清洁能源替代5%、10%、15%、20%时,江苏省能源结构调整的多数经济指标的经济影响以替代5%时的损失最多,替代10%时的损失小于替代5%、15%时的损失;2)长三角各区域经济发展对传统化石能源的依赖程度存在较大差异,安徽省、上海市经济发展受到能源结构调整的影响较低,江苏省次之,浙江省受到能源结构调整的影响最大;3)随着能源结构调整不断推进,长三角部分区域的经济影响存在阶段性浮动,以江苏省为例,当清洁能源替代10%时,多数经济指标,如农业、制造业、服务业部门的产出以及GDP、政府收入等的经济影响均小于清洁能源替代5%、15%时产生的影响。能源结构调整对长三角地区乃至全国各地实现碳中和目标至关重要,亟须关注。展开更多
The scientific evaluation of trends in China's future energy demands is highly important.Using provincial-level panel data from 1995 to 2015,we studied the relationships between the economic aggregate,the developm...The scientific evaluation of trends in China's future energy demands is highly important.Using provincial-level panel data from 1995 to 2015,we studied the relationships between the economic aggregate,the development of energy-intensive industries and energy demand from the perspective of changes in the proportion of energy-intensive industries in the national economy.We find that economic aggregate affects energy demand through energy-intensive industries and that changes in the economic structure are the key factor for change in energy demand.This means that China's future energy demand will be much lower than that contained in forecasts that did not consider this factor.Comprehensively promoting green-tech development and strengthening the regulation of energy-extensive industries will be one of the key options for realizing China's objective of controlling total energy consumption.展开更多
文摘A regional multiple objective water resource and economic optimization model was developed using a quantitative method of systematic analysis. Input to the model includes indexes of economic structure and development, water resource utilization, wastewater and pollutant discharge, and investment in wastewater treatment. The model, which consists of production structure and industrial structure optimization modules, was applied to the Guanzhong region in the middle reaches of the Huanghe (Yellow) River basin in China. By evaluating several alternative production and industrialization schemes, the modal indicate that water pollution will get worsen though wastewater treatment improves if the economy continues to develop at the planned speed without structural adjustment. However, the results also show that not only economic goals but also water resource protection and pollution control targets can be achieved under an alternative, recommended production and industrial structure. This example illustrates that economic development and environmental protection can be improved coordinately by the regional multiple objective water resource and economic optimization model. It provides an operable approach to the simultaneous sustained development of water resources and economic growth.
文摘Understanding the dynamics of decision making in the right way is an important problem for the management of organizations.In today’s business life organizations are becoming more complex,and the environments they are operating in,are becoming increasingly uncertain.The aim of this paper is to contribute to the understanding of the dynamics of managerial decision-making process in complex internal and external environments by sharing the results of an empirical study(Onuk,2009).While taking the levels of the organizational structure as one of the important dimensions of complex internal environment,complex external environment is reflected within the study as economic crisis.Using the survey tool developed by Onuk(2009),the empirical study realized in the Turkish organization of a large global company investigated decision-making process to understand how decision-making authority for different types of decisions,identified as strategic,tactical,and operational level decisions,was distributed throughout the organization levels,and how this distribution was impacted by economic crisis.The results of the study confirmed the following common expectations:(1)Strategic decisions are mostly taken at upper hierarchical levels of the organizational structure;(2)during times of economic crisis strategic decision making is centralized;and(3)during times of economic crisis distribution of decision-making authority is concentrated at upper management levels.
文摘The objectives of this paper are to examine the nexus between financial liberalization,balance of payment and economic growth in Nigeria.The scope of this study due to data availability,especially on measures of balance of payment,covers the period of 1986-2017.This study adopts econometrics techniques of analysis by using Panel Unit Root Tests and Co-integration analysis which is used to determine the long run relationship among economic variables.To test the co-integration relationship this study followed the system proposed by Pedroni(1991)who expands the Engle and Granger[9]two stage technique to heterogeneous board information structure.The study adopts annual time series secondary data for the period of 1986 to 2017.Balance of payment,Official Exchange Rate,Inflation rate(%),Balance of trade,Trade openness,Real Gross Domestic Product growth,and Term of Trade,all data used were obtained from the World Development Indicators.The findings of this study revealed that an increase in exchange rate,interest rate,inflation rate,and trade openness have negatively affect economic growth.Hence,changes or movements in these variables do not necessarily prompt the liberalization decision in the real sector.Therefore,the need to address balance of payment is important,in accordance with the low rate of development in Nigeria.We therefore,recommend that government should monitor both Fiscal and Monetary policies’variables that can significantly influence economic growth in Nigeria.That is,adequate balance of payment that can encourage appropriate financial liberalization should be put in place with,Official Exchange Rate,Inflation rate(%),Balance of trade,Trade openness.
基金Supported by National Social Science Fund Project(11BJY029)Hunan Provincial Conditions and Decision-making Advisory Research Project(2012BZZ16)Arts Tender Project of Central South University of Forestry and Technology(2011ZB003)
文摘To analyze the efficiency of the agro-ecosystem of Dongting Rim in Hunan Province,this paper adopted the emergy theory to study the agricultural output of this region during 2001 to 2010.The results showed that the value of regional agricultural emergy output increased by44.68%to(6.50 E)sej,but lower than the growth of non-agricultural industry output.Compared with 2001,the emergy output of planting industry was(4.10E)sej in 2010 which occupied 63.09%of the total agricultural emergy output and got an increase of 2.93 percentage points,while the emergy output of stock farming got a decrease of 2.87 percentage points.The growth of fishery emergy output was not in conformity with the characteristics of Dongting Rim in Hunan.From the contrast between emergy output and economic output,we could find that the economic return ratio of planting industry and fishery industry were lower than those of forestry industry and stock farming industry,which indicated that it is necessary to improve the economic benefits of planting industry and fishery industry which were the traditional industries with advantages of the Dongting Rim in Hunan.
文摘The structural adjustment of China's economy requires the support of economic theories dedicated to structural issues. But new structural economics (NSE) is significantly different from old structural economics (OSE) in terms of development strategies and policies. They expound on the paths of industrial structure improvement and steady economic growth for developing countries from two different perspectives, comparative advantage and first-mover advantage, which result in a toss-up. From the clashing theories and observations of the true state of Chinese economy, we can see that the core features of China's current economic structure are a cumulative result of the insufficient "complementary" and "inducing" roles of government investment, which requires the introduction of certain investment models to design an effective structural adjustment plan. From the perspective of investment priority, scope (public service or production), motives, capacity and decision-making and multi-sectoral coordination, this paper analyzes the key connections between NSE and OSE and strives to design an appropriate and accurate investment plan from the perspective of stability, flexibility and under- pinning in the hope of resolving the issues facing the structural adjustment of the Chinese economy. The first step is to identify investment priorities and enable the market to play the decisive role and the government the guiding role. The second step is to identify crucial nodes and adapt investments to trends of the new industrial revolution. The third step is to focus on the resolution of livelihood issues to steer China out of the low-income trap and clear of the middle-income trap. Not only do investment variables have to become an instrument to continuously improve Chi- na's factor endowment structure, but also investment as a mechanism underpinning development has to be adopted throughout the entire duration of the process of reform to fulfill the goal of structural adjustment pursued by both NSE and OSE.
文摘党的二十大报告提出,积极稳妥推进碳达峰碳中和。能源结构调整是实现碳中和目标的重要途径,从碳排放产生机制与经济增长的共生关系出发,将经济高质量发展纳入碳中和目标考虑范畴。基于长三角地区3省1市2017年投入产出表,构建区域宏、微观SAM表及能源结构调整模拟分析CGE(computable general equilibrium)模型,建立长三角地区宏观经济闭合系统,研究能源结构调整对长三角地区的经济影响及其差异性。研究发现:1)长三角各区域随着能源结构转型不断推进,其经济影响存在明显差异性,以江苏省为例,当清洁能源替代5%、10%、15%、20%时,江苏省能源结构调整的多数经济指标的经济影响以替代5%时的损失最多,替代10%时的损失小于替代5%、15%时的损失;2)长三角各区域经济发展对传统化石能源的依赖程度存在较大差异,安徽省、上海市经济发展受到能源结构调整的影响较低,江苏省次之,浙江省受到能源结构调整的影响最大;3)随着能源结构调整不断推进,长三角部分区域的经济影响存在阶段性浮动,以江苏省为例,当清洁能源替代10%时,多数经济指标,如农业、制造业、服务业部门的产出以及GDP、政府收入等的经济影响均小于清洁能源替代5%、15%时产生的影响。能源结构调整对长三角地区乃至全国各地实现碳中和目标至关重要,亟须关注。
基金the project of the National Natural Science Fund of China,“Research on Household Energy Consumption in China”(71774165)the Research Fund of Renmin University of China,i.e.,the Basic Research Funds for the Central Universities(17XNS001 and 11XNL004).
文摘The scientific evaluation of trends in China's future energy demands is highly important.Using provincial-level panel data from 1995 to 2015,we studied the relationships between the economic aggregate,the development of energy-intensive industries and energy demand from the perspective of changes in the proportion of energy-intensive industries in the national economy.We find that economic aggregate affects energy demand through energy-intensive industries and that changes in the economic structure are the key factor for change in energy demand.This means that China's future energy demand will be much lower than that contained in forecasts that did not consider this factor.Comprehensively promoting green-tech development and strengthening the regulation of energy-extensive industries will be one of the key options for realizing China's objective of controlling total energy consumption.