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Selecting suitable key supplier for core components during smart complex equipment central-private enterprises collaborative development process:from two different forms of evaluation information and matching perspective
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作者 HUANG Xin QI Xiaoyan +1 位作者 CHEN Hongzhuan CAI Xiang 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2023年第4期939-954,共16页
With the development of central-private enterprises integration,selecting suitable key suppliers are able to provide core components for smart complex equipment.We consider selecting suitable key suppliers from matchi... With the development of central-private enterprises integration,selecting suitable key suppliers are able to provide core components for smart complex equipment.We consider selecting suitable key suppliers from matching perspective,for it not only satisfies natural development of smart complex equipment,it is also a good implementation of equipment project in central-private enterprises integration context.In in this paper,we carry out two parts of research,one is evaluation attributes based on comprehensive analysis,and the other is matching process between key suppliers and core components based on the matching attribute.In practical analysis process,we employ comprehensive evaluated analysis methods to acquire relevant attributes for the matching process that follows.In the analysis process,we adopt entropy-maximum deviation method(MDM)-decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory(DEMATEL)-technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution(TOPSIS)to obtain a comprehensive analysis.The entropy-MDM is applied to get weight value,DEMATEL is utilized to obtain internal relations,and TOPSIS is adopted to get ideal evaluated solution.We consider aggregating two types of evaluation information according to similarities of smart complex equipment based on the combination between geometric mean and arithmetic mean.Moreover,based on the aforementioned attributes and generalized power Heronian mean operator,we aggregate preference information to acquire relevant satisfaction degree,then combine the constructed matching model to get suitable key supplier.Through comprehensive analysis of selecting suitable suppliers,we know that two-sided matching and information aggregation can provide more research perspectives for smart complex equipment.Through analysis for relevant factors,we find that leading role and service level are also significant for the smart complex equipment development process. 展开更多
关键词 smart complex equipment key supplier entropymaximum deviation method(MDM) decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory(DEMATEL) technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution(TOPSIS) heronian mean operator central-private enterprises collaborative development
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Study on Evaluation of Supplier's Quality Assurance System
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作者 GAO Zhi-yong, GAO Jian-min, CHEN Fu-min (CIMS Center, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China) 《厦门大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2002年第S1期230-,共1页
To be a worldwide competitor, enterprise needs to e va luate and select its supplier carefully. Generally, to evaluate a supplier, the evaluating effort is focused on the purchase price, delivery time, product quali t... To be a worldwide competitor, enterprise needs to e va luate and select its supplier carefully. Generally, to evaluate a supplier, the evaluating effort is focused on the purchase price, delivery time, product quali ty, etc. The vendors’ quality assurance is seldom considered. However, it reflec ts the ability that a vendor can provide high quality but low cost products cont inuously and stably. In this paper, with the study on evaluation of supplier’s q uality assurance system, a set of methods and indices to supplier’s quality assu rance evaluation is introduced. The indices construct an index system, which is based on the ISO9000 series standards. According to the problem’s character and the requirement of evaluation, all the evaluation indices are set off to three k inds: general index, functional index and protective index. And the evaluation m ethod combines quantitative analysis with qualitative analysis. Firstly, a sensi tive factor model is constructed to estimate the contribution of factors that ha ve key effect on synthetic evaluation in supplier’s quality system. Then, those suppliers having low evaluating value are rejected. Secondly, fuzzy logic is int roduced to evaluate other suppliers synthetically. The rest suppliers are compar able. So, supplier’s quality assurance system can be evaluated in quantity. Afte r unification works, the evaluated suppliers can be ranked. And the best vendor can be selected out intuitively. 展开更多
关键词 supplier evaluation quality assurance system Fu zzy logic
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Supplier Evaluation Model Based on Fuzzy Measures and Choquet Integral
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作者 武建章 张强 桑圣举 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2010年第1期109-114,共6页
To identify interactions among evaluation criteria and describe their importance,a new identification method making use of a fuzzy measure is presented.The relative weight and interaction degree of every evaluation cr... To identify interactions among evaluation criteria and describe their importance,a new identification method making use of a fuzzy measure is presented.The relative weight and interaction degree of every evaluation criteria pair are obtained by using the diamond pairwise comparison method.Based on comparison results,the maximum eigenvector method of analytic hierarchy process (AHP),the hierarchical clustering method,and the phi(s) transformation are utilized to generate values of the fuzzy measure for each subset of the evaluation criterion set.Overall evaluation on each supplier is aggregated by Choquet integral with respect to the fuzzy measure.Finally,an illustrative example demonstrates the practical feasibility and validity of the proposed method. 展开更多
关键词 fuzzy measure Choquet integral diamond pairwise comparison phi(s) transformation supplier evaluation
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Selection Model in Buyer-Supplier Relationships 被引量:2
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作者 孙晓林 罗定提 +1 位作者 黄国全 仲伟俊 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2002年第4期346-350,共5页
This paper proposes a new method of selecting appropriate buyer supplier relationships (BSR) for specific projects. Because it is almost impossible in reality to establish mathematical relationships between the BSR at... This paper proposes a new method of selecting appropriate buyer supplier relationships (BSR) for specific projects. Because it is almost impossible in reality to establish mathematical relationships between the BSR attributes and the factors of a project, the concept of relationship indices (RI) is introduced to quantify such BSR which are in turn established through design of experiments. Based on the experimental results, the contributions of project factors, known as factors relationship worths (RW... 展开更多
关键词 supply chain buyer supplier relationship experimental design
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Web-based supplier relationship framework using agent systems 被引量:1
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作者 Oboulhas Conrad Tsahat Onesime 徐晓飞 战德臣 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2004年第1期54-59,共6页
In order to enable both manufacturers and suppliers to be profitable on today’s highly competitive markets, manufacturers and suppliers must be quick in selecting best partners establishing strategic relationship, an... In order to enable both manufacturers and suppliers to be profitable on today’s highly competitive markets, manufacturers and suppliers must be quick in selecting best partners establishing strategic relationship, and collaborating with each other so that they can satisfy the changing competitive manufacturing requirements. A web-based supplier relationships (SR) framework is therfore proposed using multi-agent systems and linear programming technique to reduce supply cost, increase flexibility and shorten response time. Web-based SR approach is an ideal platform for information exchange that helps buyers and suppliers to maintain the availability of materials in the right quantity, at the right place, and at the right time, and keep the customer-supplier relationship more transparent. A multi-agent system prototype was implemented by simulation, which shows the feasibility of the proposed architecture. 展开更多
关键词 web-based supplier relationship management supplier selection linear programming (LP) multi-agent system (MAS)
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Lean Construction in Supply Chain Management: Supplier and Buyer Relationship in Social Housing
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作者 Aline Valverde Arroteia Tatiana Gondim do Amaral Camilla Pompeo de Camargo e Silva Mariana Franco Pacheco 《Journal of Civil Engineering and Architecture》 2015年第12期1406-1414,共9页
To the accomplishment of this article, we have chosen, as a case study, a small Goiana construction company that acted in the market of social housing. The main goal of this work is to analyze the fundamental aspects ... To the accomplishment of this article, we have chosen, as a case study, a small Goiana construction company that acted in the market of social housing. The main goal of this work is to analyze the fundamental aspects related to the management of the flow of supplies in civil construction to achieve a greater streamlining of logistic processes involved in supplying material. A checklist was developed for the purpose of data collection, and it was applied by means of an interview with the person in charge of the purchase department of the enterprise. In addition, this person is the engineer of the site. Taking into account the exploratory feature of this research, the construction site was visited so that some issues, such as quality aspects, losses, cleanliness and organization, could be observed. This on-site data collection visit was carried out through visual analyses and photographs. The obtained results were subdivided into a quantitative and a qualitative analysis. In this way, it was possible to see that the production process still has many phases to be improved. What is more, it was possible to see that the construction company knows its flaws and necessities to improve its processes although the final result does not have the expected quality. Being aware of this need for improvement, the construction company aims at having an affordable price product to the target public, especially when it is associated to an image that shows quality. 展开更多
关键词 Lean construction logistics and supply distribution buyer and supplier relationship.
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Research on Supplier Relationship Management of the Main Manufacturer of Large Aircraft Project:A Psychological Contract Perspective
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作者 ZHAN An-ling CHANG Yu CHEN Hong 《International Journal of Plant Engineering and Management》 2013年第3期173-181,共9页
The main manufacturer and its suppliers' relationship management is very important for success of the large aircraft project. The study concentrates on analysis of the relationship management on a psychological con- ... The main manufacturer and its suppliers' relationship management is very important for success of the large aircraft project. The study concentrates on analysis of the relationship management on a psychological con- tract perspective, shows that constructing good psychological contract is useful to promote mutual trust, reduce the transaction cost caused by incompleteness of formal contract, avoid the risk of supplier management between the main manufacturer and suppliers of the large aircraft project. And with further understanding of the dynamic contracting process as well as formation framework of psychological contract between the main manufacturer and suppliers, we can better understand the relationship black-box and provide a new perspective for the study of the relationship management, then given some constructive suggestions to supplier relationship management. 展开更多
关键词 psychological contract the main manufacturer large aircraft project supplier relationship manage-ment
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Vertical Spillover Effects of Multinationals on Chinese Domestic Firms via Supplier-Customer Relationships 被引量:4
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作者 Faqin Lin Chao Zhang Lin Wang 《China & World Economy》 SCIE 2013年第6期37-57,共21页
Foreign direct investment (FDI) can benefit domestic firms in the host country. Using firm- level data for China, we find statistically positive vertical spillover effects of multinational enterprises on the perform... Foreign direct investment (FDI) can benefit domestic firms in the host country. Using firm- level data for China, we find statistically positive vertical spillover effects of multinational enterprises on the performance of domestic firms through backward and forward supplier- customer relationships. The spillover effects are mainly from large multinational enterprises and are greater for state-owned firms and in poor regions. Our results are robust for both parametric regression and nonparametric matching techniques. Our findings have strong policy implications: while regulations relating to building business relationships with domestic firms when seeking foreign direct investment should be established, such policies should be aimed at private firms, big multinationals and less developed regions. 展开更多
关键词 foreign direct investment multinational enterprises supplier-customer relationships vertical spillover effects
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基于云-TOPSIS法的应急物流供应商综合评价 被引量:1
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作者 黄国平 雷皓翔 《中国安全科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期217-224,共8页
为实现应急物流降本增效的目标,从供应商层面出发,运用云-逼近理想解排序法(TOPSIS)评价应急物流供应商综合能力;根据应急物流特点,从应急响应能力、物资质量、成本控制、应急响应柔性、企业内外部条件等5方面,构建应急物流供应商综合... 为实现应急物流降本增效的目标,从供应商层面出发,运用云-逼近理想解排序法(TOPSIS)评价应急物流供应商综合能力;根据应急物流特点,从应急响应能力、物资质量、成本控制、应急响应柔性、企业内外部条件等5方面,构建应急物流供应商综合评价指标体系;借鉴博弈论思想,将用改进熵权法求得的客观权重和用层次分析法(AHP)求得的主观权重作为博弈对手,确定最优组合权重;运用云模型量化指标决策云和加权云对供应商的模糊定性评价语义;采用TOPSIS法构建正负理想解集合,计算备选方案与正负理想解的距离确定相对贴近度,确定最优备选方案。研究结果表明:指标决策云能准确地将评价语言量化,云-TOPSIS法的评价结果更合理;在供应商相对贴近度排序中,采用云-TOPSIS法计算的最优与最劣者差值为0.3315,而TOPSIS法为0.0882,两者相差0.2433,表明云-TOPSIS法的评价结果区分度更大,能更直观地辅助决策者做出最优选择。 展开更多
关键词 云模型 逼近理想解排序法(TOPSIS) 应急物流 供应商 综合评价
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绿色发展视角下钢铁产业物资供应商评价与选择
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作者 邹筱 刘鹏德 +1 位作者 庞天赐 李丹 《物流科技》 2024年第11期43-47,共5页
钢铁产业原材料成本占产品成本的70%左右甚至更高,加强钢铁产业原材料供应商管理,建立完善的供应商评价体系,是钢铁产业降本增效的重要举措。为了科学合理的对供应商进行评价与选择,针对我国对钢铁行业提出的降成本、增效率、低能耗的... 钢铁产业原材料成本占产品成本的70%左右甚至更高,加强钢铁产业原材料供应商管理,建立完善的供应商评价体系,是钢铁产业降本增效的重要举措。为了科学合理的对供应商进行评价与选择,针对我国对钢铁行业提出的降成本、增效率、低能耗的发展要求,从经济、效率以及社会效益三个维度,构建了钢铁行业供应商评价体系,并对各个指标进行细分,运用层次分析法,结合实例分析,最终确定影响钢铁行业供应商选择的关键指标是效率指标,其次是经济指标,最后是社会效益指标,为钢铁行业供应商的选择提供借鉴。 展开更多
关键词 层次分析法 供应商选择 供应商评价
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基于CRITIC-TOPSIS模型的图书馆图书供应商评价研究
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作者 唐艺军 王艳灵 《情报探索》 2024年第3期89-94,共6页
[目的/意义]旨在构建图书供应商的评价指标体系与评价模型,为图书馆优选图书供应商提供决策依据和方法。[方法/过程]以BSC模型为分析基础从供应商的影响力、供应能力、服务水平、价格、响应能力等维度形成了图书供应商的评价指标体系,... [目的/意义]旨在构建图书供应商的评价指标体系与评价模型,为图书馆优选图书供应商提供决策依据和方法。[方法/过程]以BSC模型为分析基础从供应商的影响力、供应能力、服务水平、价格、响应能力等维度形成了图书供应商的评价指标体系,构建了CRITIC-TOPSIS评价模型,以对图书供应商进行评价和选择。[结果/结论]该评价模型考虑了评价指标间的变异性和相关性,缓解了选择图书供应商时存在的主观不确定性,可以为图书馆选择优质图书供应商提供方法和指导。 展开更多
关键词 图书馆 图书供应商 评价指标体系 CRITIC-TOPSIS评价模型
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企业数字化转型对供应商创新的机制影响研究
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作者 张敬文 游婷 《科技广场》 2024年第3期5-17,共13页
在数字经济快速发展背景下,数字化转型已成为企业的关注焦点,供应商作为企业发展的重要合作伙伴,其创新水平受到广泛关注。基于供应商-客户关系视角,以2012—2021年A股上市制造业企业为样本,探究企业数字化转型对供应商创新的作用机制... 在数字经济快速发展背景下,数字化转型已成为企业的关注焦点,供应商作为企业发展的重要合作伙伴,其创新水平受到广泛关注。基于供应商-客户关系视角,以2012—2021年A股上市制造业企业为样本,探究企业数字化转型对供应商创新的作用机制。研究发现:第一,企业数字化转型与供应商创新绩效正相关,表明企业数字化转型有助于供应商创新绩效的提高,该结论在经过一系列稳健性和内生性检验后依旧成立;第二,供应商集中度对企业数字化转型促进供应商创新具有正向调节作用;第三,进一步分析发现,企业数字化转型通过倒逼效应和创新溢出效应促进供应商创新绩效提升。 展开更多
关键词 数字化转型 供应商创新 供应商-客户关系
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基于层次分析法的血站关键物料供应商评价体系构建与应用
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作者 史超怡 何亚琴 +1 位作者 徐立 魏蓓 《中国卫生质量管理》 2024年第3期76-80,90,共6页
目的构建血站关键物料供应商评价体系,以规范供应商行为,确保血液质量安全。方法利用层次分析法建立包含4个准则层指标和12个子准则层指标的关键物料供应商评价指标体系,通过判断矩阵确定各指标权重,并进行一致性检验。结果利用关键物... 目的构建血站关键物料供应商评价体系,以规范供应商行为,确保血液质量安全。方法利用层次分析法建立包含4个准则层指标和12个子准则层指标的关键物料供应商评价指标体系,通过判断矩阵确定各指标权重,并进行一致性检验。结果利用关键物料供应商评价体系对既有供应商年度履约能力进行评价,并将滚动扣分法、引导加分法、预警机制、考评与激励机制等引入供应商评价过程,将供应商分为优秀级、良好级、合格级、控制级4个等级。结论基于层次分析法构建的血站关键物料供应商评价体系,证实了评价数据的可靠性和价值,发挥了供应商评价在质量管理体系中应有的作用,为采供血机构评价关键物料供应商提供了参考。 展开更多
关键词 血站 关键物料 供应商 评价体系 层次分析法 血液质量
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基于模糊综合评价法考核原材料供应商服务情况的研究
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作者 张琨 郭鸿飞 程占龙 《食品安全导刊》 2024年第8期39-43,共5页
随着高校后勤服务社会化的推进,精确评估供应商服务水平越发关键。为建立一个量化评估高校餐饮原材料供应商的体系,本研究采用模糊综合评价法构建一个评估矩阵,确定15个评价指标的权重分布,并将考核结果归一化计算分项得分。综合测算结... 随着高校后勤服务社会化的推进,精确评估供应商服务水平越发关键。为建立一个量化评估高校餐饮原材料供应商的体系,本研究采用模糊综合评价法构建一个评估矩阵,确定15个评价指标的权重分布,并将考核结果归一化计算分项得分。综合测算结果显示,某校甲供应商在货品品质方面得分为4.05分,高于其价格情况、服务质量得分;甲供应商综合评价得分3.86分,略高于乙供应商的3.82分。该体系无须复杂的专业统计软件,多角度考核供应商的供货服务水平,并实现不同供应商间的定量比较,为提高高校后勤管理水平提供数据支持。 展开更多
关键词 餐饮供应商 高校食堂 模糊综合评价法 服务评价
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企业财务困境与供应商稳定性的关系 被引量:1
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作者 吴锡皓 陈奕旭 《中国流通经济》 北大核心 2024年第5期113-126,共14页
产业链供应链安全是国家安全的重要组成部分,如何维护供应链稳定发展历来备受关注。以不同产权性质和不同危机来源为标准,将陷入财务困境的上市公司分为四类,然后根据类别,选取4家上市公司作为样本代表,探究企业财务困境与供应商稳定性... 产业链供应链安全是国家安全的重要组成部分,如何维护供应链稳定发展历来备受关注。以不同产权性质和不同危机来源为标准,将陷入财务困境的上市公司分为四类,然后根据类别,选取4家上市公司作为样本代表,探究企业财务困境与供应商稳定性的关系。研究发现,企业陷入财务困境后,供应商的稳定性通常会下降。当危机来源相同时,国有控股企业的供应商稳定性低于民营企业;当产权性质相同时,来源于整个行业的危机对企业供应商稳定性的影响高于来源于自身经营危机的影响。进一步研究发现,与困境企业有着共同投资项目、合作时间较长、存在关联关系的供应商,继续保持合作的倾向较高。在企业度过财务困境后,供应商稳定性受企业发展战略是否变动、经营区域布局是否变动、是否有共患难经历三个因素的影响较大。鉴于企业陷入财务困境是导致供应商不稳定的重要因素,必须谨防企业大面积陷入财务困境引发的供应链中断风险,加强供应链企业间的合作;危机过后企业经营稳定性能够强化供应链稳定性,因此危机过后不宜对企业的发展战略和经营区域布局进行大调整。 展开更多
关键词 供应商稳定性 企业财务困境 供应链关系 共同经历
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一套医用耗材供应商评价指标体系的构建及应用
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作者 沈良 杨丽君 卢敏 《医疗装备》 2024年第4期7-10,14,共5页
目的为进一步规范医用耗材供应商的考核评价工作,确保医院的医用耗材供应,建立一套科学合理的医用耗材供应商评价指标体系。方法采用德尔菲法对来自院内外的18名专家进行2轮咨询后确定评价指标,并利用层次分析法计算评价指标的权重。结... 目的为进一步规范医用耗材供应商的考核评价工作,确保医院的医用耗材供应,建立一套科学合理的医用耗材供应商评价指标体系。方法采用德尔菲法对来自院内外的18名专家进行2轮咨询后确定评价指标,并利用层次分析法计算评价指标的权重。结果通过2轮专家咨询确定了包括4个一级指标和18个二级指标在内的医用耗材供应商评价指标体系。实际应用效果显示,医院应用评价指标体系后48家缝线供应商的验收合格率、票据准确率均高于应用前,交货周期、订单响应时间均短于应用前,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。结论该医用耗材供应商评价指标体系能够帮助医院管理医用耗材供应商,并进行定量化考评工作,具备科学性和合理性,是一套有效的管理工具。 展开更多
关键词 医用耗材 供应商 评价指标体系 德尔菲法 层次分析法
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基于Z-number-IBWM-TODIM的应急供应商评估与选择研究
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作者 谢培成 倪静 《物流科技》 2024年第8期1-4,13,共5页
文章针对应急供应商选择过程中评价信息的不完全可靠性及专家背景的多样性问题,提出了一种基于Z-number和IBWM-TODIM方法相结合的评估框架,以此来选择应急供应商。该方法利用Z-number同时描述认知信息的不确定性和可靠性,增强了决策结... 文章针对应急供应商选择过程中评价信息的不完全可靠性及专家背景的多样性问题,提出了一种基于Z-number和IBWM-TODIM方法相结合的评估框架,以此来选择应急供应商。该方法利用Z-number同时描述认知信息的不确定性和可靠性,增强了决策结果的可靠性和合理性;使用解释结构模型ISM确定最优指标和最劣指标,降低BWM方法的主观性,得到了指标权重;通过群体一致性和Z-number中的可靠性信息确定专家权重,使用TODIM方法进行排序,为应急供应商选择提供了更为准确和可靠的决策依据。 展开更多
关键词 应急供应商评估 Z-number ISM 最优最劣法 TODIM
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供应商关系持久与下游企业技术创新:理论分析与经验证据
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作者 匡慧姝 刘政 左勇华 《科技进步与对策》 北大核心 2024年第4期66-77,共12页
持久的供应商关系对下游企业技术创新具有战略意义。基于关系学习与关系治理理论,利用2015—2021年新三板上市公司数据及手工匹配企查查数据,实证研究发现,核心供应商连续在位频次越高或持续供给份额越大,下游企业获得授权专利越多、质... 持久的供应商关系对下游企业技术创新具有战略意义。基于关系学习与关系治理理论,利用2015—2021年新三板上市公司数据及手工匹配企查查数据,实证研究发现,核心供应商连续在位频次越高或持续供给份额越大,下游企业获得授权专利越多、质量越高,说明供应商关系持久能够推动下游企业技术创新量质齐升。异质性分析显示,本地供应商或高科技供应商关系持久更能促进下游企业技术创新,表明捕捉本地创新软信息与吸收垂直技术溢出是下游企业进行关系学习的重点。就中介机制而言,融资约束与关系型投资是供应商关系持久促进下游企业技术创新的主要渠道。此外,调节机制检验发现,当上下游区域正式制度距离越大或下游对上游拥有区域“制度顺差”时,供应商关系持久对下游企业技术创新的促进作用越显著。结论充分揭示了供应商关系持久对企业创新发展的重要性。 展开更多
关键词 供应商关系持久 技术创新 关系学习 关系治理
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城市轨道交通供应商履约评价体系优化研究
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作者 邱佳欣 《城市轨道交通研究》 北大核心 2024年第S01期62-66,共5页
[目的]采购活动的效率与供应商能力有很大关系,供应商优劣对企业生产和管理影响极大,优化供应商履约行为评价体系对企业物资采购管理能起到积极推进作用。[方法]以既有供应商履约行为评价体系的供应商绩效考核机制为依托,根据不同部门... [目的]采购活动的效率与供应商能力有很大关系,供应商优劣对企业生产和管理影响极大,优化供应商履约行为评价体系对企业物资采购管理能起到积极推进作用。[方法]以既有供应商履约行为评价体系的供应商绩效考核机制为依托,根据不同部门的需求设定不同的供应商履约评价指标,再使用层次分析法对供应商履约绩效进行评价,并计算各项指标的权重值。由于各部门打分不同,因此该方法能够保证对供应商履约行为评价的客观性和公正性。[结果及结论]供应商履约行为评价指标中,权重较大的是时间柔性、产品质量和专业分公司反馈。即当供应商能够满足供货周期和产品质量需求时,会更多评价供应商的其他保障能力。通过对供应商进行多层次考核和评价,确保能够选出更为优秀的供应商。 展开更多
关键词 城市轨道交通 供应商管理 履约行为评价 层次分析法
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供给主体视角下红树林碳汇项目全生命周期风险测度与评价研究——以湛江红树林造林项目为例
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作者 贺义雄 王燕炜 谢素美 《海洋通报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期248-264,共17页
发展海洋碳汇对于建设人与自然和谐共生的美好世界具有重要意义,红树林作为海洋碳汇的重要来源,拥有强大的固碳和储碳能力,具有较高的生态价值和经济价值,因此,加快开发红树林碳汇是应对气候变化的重要战略选择。本文基于三角模糊数和... 发展海洋碳汇对于建设人与自然和谐共生的美好世界具有重要意义,红树林作为海洋碳汇的重要来源,拥有强大的固碳和储碳能力,具有较高的生态价值和经济价值,因此,加快开发红树林碳汇是应对气候变化的重要战略选择。本文基于三角模糊数和结构方程构建红树林碳汇项目风险测度模型,选取湛江红树林造林项目这一我国的代表性项目,采用净现值方法和肯定当量法对其进行实证对比分析,测度风险因素对项目价值及其投资决策的影响,从而助力红树林碳汇的高质量发展。结果表明:(1)红树林碳汇项目的开发存在一定的风险,各阶段风险按照影响由高到低,依次为核查备案阶段、决策阶段、施工阶段、运营维护阶段和设计阶段,核查备案阶段的技术风险、决策阶段的政策风险、施工阶段的市场风险、运营维护阶段的市场风险和设计阶段的人类行为风险是各阶段中影响较大的风险种类;(2)风险的发生会使红树林碳汇项目的价值降低,相比传统净现值法,肯定当量法更符合红树林碳汇项目的开发和运行情况。 展开更多
关键词 红树林碳汇项目 风险测度与评价 供给主体 全生命周期
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