Eight casing failure modes and 32 risk factors in oil and gas wells are given in this paper. According to the quantitative analysis of the influence degree and occurrence probability of risk factors, the Borda counts ...Eight casing failure modes and 32 risk factors in oil and gas wells are given in this paper. According to the quantitative analysis of the influence degree and occurrence probability of risk factors, the Borda counts for failure modes are obtained with the Borda method. The risk indexes of failure modes are derived from the Borda matrix. Based on the support vector machine (SVM), a casing life prediction model is established. In the prediction model, eight risk indexes are defined as input vectors and casing life is defined as the output vector. The ideal model parameters are determined with the training set from 19 wells with casing failure. The casing life prediction software is developed with the SVM model as a predictor. The residual life of 60 wells with casing failure is predicted with the software, and then compared with the actual casing life. The comparison results show that the casing life prediction software with the SVM model has high accuracy.展开更多
In recent years, experienced rapid economic the Pearl River Delta has growth which may create a substantial burden to its ecology. In this study, the wetlands of the Pearl River Delta are investigated. Through the use...In recent years, experienced rapid economic the Pearl River Delta has growth which may create a substantial burden to its ecology. In this study, the wetlands of the Pearl River Delta are investigated. Through the use of remote sensing methods, we analyze spatial and temporal variations of wetlands in this area over the past twenty years. The support vector machine (SVM) method is proven to be an effective approach for classifying the wetlands of the Pearl River Delta, and the total classifica- tion resolution reaches 94.94% with a Kappa coefficient exceeding 0.94, higher than other comparable analysis methods. Our results show that wetland areas were reduced by 36.9% during the past twenty years. The change detection analysis method shows that there was a 95.58% intertidal zone change to other land-use types, most of which (57.12%) was converted to construction land. In addition, farmland was reduced by 54.89% during the past twenty years, 47.19% of which was changed to construction land use. The inland water area increased 19.02%, but most of this growth (18.77%) was converted from the intertidal zone.展开更多
To ameliorate reliability analysis efficiency for aeroengine components, such as compressor blade, support vector machine response surface method(SRSM) is proposed. SRSM integrates the advantages of support vector mac...To ameliorate reliability analysis efficiency for aeroengine components, such as compressor blade, support vector machine response surface method(SRSM) is proposed. SRSM integrates the advantages of support vector machine(SVM) and traditional response surface method(RSM), and utilizes experimental samples to construct a suitable response surface function(RSF) to replace the complicated and abstract finite element model. Moreover, the randomness of material parameters, structural dimension and operating condition are considered during extracting data so that the response surface function is more agreeable to the practical model. The results indicate that based on the same experimental data, SRSM has come closer than RSM reliability to approximating Monte Carlo method(MCM); while SRSM(17.296 s) needs far less running time than MCM(10958 s) and RSM(9840 s). Therefore,under the same simulation conditions, SRSM has the largest analysis efficiency, and can be considered a feasible and valid method to analyze structural reliability.展开更多
基金support from "973 Project" (Contract No. 2010CB226706)
文摘Eight casing failure modes and 32 risk factors in oil and gas wells are given in this paper. According to the quantitative analysis of the influence degree and occurrence probability of risk factors, the Borda counts for failure modes are obtained with the Borda method. The risk indexes of failure modes are derived from the Borda matrix. Based on the support vector machine (SVM), a casing life prediction model is established. In the prediction model, eight risk indexes are defined as input vectors and casing life is defined as the output vector. The ideal model parameters are determined with the training set from 19 wells with casing failure. The casing life prediction software is developed with the SVM model as a predictor. The residual life of 60 wells with casing failure is predicted with the software, and then compared with the actual casing life. The comparison results show that the casing life prediction software with the SVM model has high accuracy.
基金This work is supported by the General Research Fund of Hong Kong Research Grants Council (RGC) under Grants CUHK 402912 and 403113, the Hong Kong Innovation and Technology Fund under Grant ITS/321/13, the direct grants of the Chinese University of Hong Kong, and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41376035, 41376125, and 41006070).
文摘In recent years, experienced rapid economic the Pearl River Delta has growth which may create a substantial burden to its ecology. In this study, the wetlands of the Pearl River Delta are investigated. Through the use of remote sensing methods, we analyze spatial and temporal variations of wetlands in this area over the past twenty years. The support vector machine (SVM) method is proven to be an effective approach for classifying the wetlands of the Pearl River Delta, and the total classifica- tion resolution reaches 94.94% with a Kappa coefficient exceeding 0.94, higher than other comparable analysis methods. Our results show that wetland areas were reduced by 36.9% during the past twenty years. The change detection analysis method shows that there was a 95.58% intertidal zone change to other land-use types, most of which (57.12%) was converted to construction land. In addition, farmland was reduced by 54.89% during the past twenty years, 47.19% of which was changed to construction land use. The inland water area increased 19.02%, but most of this growth (18.77%) was converted from the intertidal zone.
基金Project(51335003)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(20111102110011)supported by the Specialized Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education of China
文摘To ameliorate reliability analysis efficiency for aeroengine components, such as compressor blade, support vector machine response surface method(SRSM) is proposed. SRSM integrates the advantages of support vector machine(SVM) and traditional response surface method(RSM), and utilizes experimental samples to construct a suitable response surface function(RSF) to replace the complicated and abstract finite element model. Moreover, the randomness of material parameters, structural dimension and operating condition are considered during extracting data so that the response surface function is more agreeable to the practical model. The results indicate that based on the same experimental data, SRSM has come closer than RSM reliability to approximating Monte Carlo method(MCM); while SRSM(17.296 s) needs far less running time than MCM(10958 s) and RSM(9840 s). Therefore,under the same simulation conditions, SRSM has the largest analysis efficiency, and can be considered a feasible and valid method to analyze structural reliability.