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Comparative study of different machine learning models in landslide susceptibility assessment: A case study of Conghua District, Guangzhou, China
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作者 Ao Zhang Xin-wen Zhao +8 位作者 Xing-yuezi Zhao Xiao-zhan Zheng Min Zeng Xuan Huang Pan Wu Tuo Jiang Shi-chang Wang Jun He Yi-yong Li 《China Geology》 CAS CSCD 2024年第1期104-115,共12页
Machine learning is currently one of the research hotspots in the field of landslide prediction.To clarify and evaluate the differences in characteristics and prediction effects of different machine learning models,Co... Machine learning is currently one of the research hotspots in the field of landslide prediction.To clarify and evaluate the differences in characteristics and prediction effects of different machine learning models,Conghua District,which is the most prone to landslide disasters in Guangzhou,was selected for landslide susceptibility evaluation.The evaluation factors were selected by using correlation analysis and variance expansion factor method.Applying four machine learning methods namely Logistic Regression(LR),Random Forest(RF),Support Vector Machines(SVM),and Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGB),landslide models were constructed.Comparative analysis and evaluation of the model were conducted through statistical indices and receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves.The results showed that LR,RF,SVM,and XGB models have good predictive performance for landslide susceptibility,with the area under curve(AUC)values of 0.752,0.965,0.996,and 0.998,respectively.XGB model had the highest predictive ability,followed by RF model,SVM model,and LR model.The frequency ratio(FR)accuracy of LR,RF,SVM,and XGB models was 0.775,0.842,0.759,and 0.822,respectively.RF and XGB models were superior to LR and SVM models,indicating that the integrated algorithm has better predictive ability than a single classification algorithm in regional landslide classification problems. 展开更多
关键词 landslides susceptibility assessment Machine learning Logistic Regression Random Forest Support Vector Machines XGBoost assessment model Geological disaster investigation and prevention engineering
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Comparison of LR,5-CV SVM,GA SVM,and PSO SVM for landslide susceptibility assessment in Tibetan Plateau area,China 被引量:1
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作者 ZHANG Ying-bin XU Pei-yi +5 位作者 LIU Jing HE Jian-xian YANG Hao-tian ZENG Ying HE Yun-yong YANG Chang-feng 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第4期979-995,共17页
The applicability of statistics-based landslide susceptibility assessment methods is affected by the number of historical landslides.Previous studies have proposed support vector machine(SVM)as a small-sample learning... The applicability of statistics-based landslide susceptibility assessment methods is affected by the number of historical landslides.Previous studies have proposed support vector machine(SVM)as a small-sample learning method.However,those studies demonstrated that different parameters can affect model performance.We optimized the SVM and obtained models as 5-fold cross validation(5-CV)SVM,genetic algorithm(GA)SVM,and particle swarm optimization(PSO)SVM.This study compared the prediction performances of logistic regression(LR),5-CV SVM,GA SVM,and PSO SVM on landslide susceptibility mapping,to explore the spatial distribution of landslide susceptibility in the study area in Tibetan Plateau,China.A geospatial database was established based on 392 historical landslides and 392 non-landslides in the study area.We used 11 influencing factors of altitude,slope,aspect,curvature,lithology,normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI),distance to road,distance to river,distance to fault,peak ground acceleration(PGA),and rainfall to construct an influencing factor evaluation system.To evaluate the models,four susceptibility maps were compared via receiver operating characteristics(ROC)curve and the results showed that prediction rates for the models are 84%(LR),87%(5-CV SVM),85%(GA SVM),and 90%(PSO SVM).We also used precision,recall,F1-score and accuracy to assess the quality performance of these models.The results showed that the PSO SVM had greater potential for future implementation in the Tibetan Plateau area because of its superior performance in the landslide susceptibility assessment. 展开更多
关键词 Tibetan Plateau area Logistic regression Support vector machine landslide susceptibility assessment
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Landslide susceptibility assessment in Western Henan Province based on a comparison of conventional and ensemble machine learning 被引量:1
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作者 Wen-geng Cao Yu Fu +4 位作者 Qiu-yao Dong Hai-gang Wang Yu Ren Ze-yan Li Yue-ying Du 《China Geology》 CAS CSCD 2023年第3期409-419,共11页
Landslide is a serious natural disaster next only to earthquake and flood,which will cause a great threat to people’s lives and property safety.The traditional research of landslide disaster based on experience-drive... Landslide is a serious natural disaster next only to earthquake and flood,which will cause a great threat to people’s lives and property safety.The traditional research of landslide disaster based on experience-driven or statistical model and its assessment results are subjective,difficult to quantify,and no pertinence.As a new research method for landslide susceptibility assessment,machine learning can greatly improve the landslide susceptibility model’s accuracy by constructing statistical models.Taking Western Henan for example,the study selected 16 landslide influencing factors such as topography,geological environment,hydrological conditions,and human activities,and 11 landslide factors with the most significant influence on the landslide were selected by the recursive feature elimination(RFE)method.Five machine learning methods[Support Vector Machines(SVM),Logistic Regression(LR),Random Forest(RF),Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost),and Linear Discriminant Analysis(LDA)]were used to construct the spatial distribution model of landslide susceptibility.The models were evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve and statistical index.After analysis and comparison,the XGBoost model(AUC 0.8759)performed the best and was suitable for dealing with regression problems.The model had a high adaptability to landslide data.According to the landslide susceptibility map of the five models,the overall distribution can be observed.The extremely high and high susceptibility areas are distributed in the Funiu Mountain range in the southwest,the Xiaoshan Mountain range in the west,and the Yellow River Basin in the north.These areas have large terrain fluctuations,complicated geological structural environments and frequent human engineering activities.The extremely high and highly prone areas were 12043.3 km^(2)and 3087.45 km^(2),accounting for 47.61%and 12.20%of the total area of the study area,respectively.Our study reflects the distribution of landslide susceptibility in western Henan Province,which provides a scientific basis for regional disaster warning,prediction,and resource protection.The study has important practical significance for subsequent landslide disaster management. 展开更多
关键词 landslide susceptibility model Risk assessment Machine learning Support vector machines Logistic regression Random forest Extreme gradient boosting Linear discriminant analysis Ensemble modeling Factor analysis Geological disaster survey engineering Middle mountain area Yellow River Basin
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Effects of the probability of pulse-like ground motions on landslide susceptibility assessment in near-fault areas
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作者 LIU Jing FU Hai-ying +6 位作者 ZHANG Ying-bin XU Pei-yi HAO Run-dan YU Hai-hong HE Yun-yong DENG Hong-yan ZHENG Lu 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第1期31-48,共18页
Earthquake-induced strong near-fault ground motion is typically accompanied by largevelocity pulse-like component,which causes serious damage to slopes and buildings.Although not all near-fault ground motions contain ... Earthquake-induced strong near-fault ground motion is typically accompanied by largevelocity pulse-like component,which causes serious damage to slopes and buildings.Although not all near-fault ground motions contain a pulse-like component,it is important to consider this factor in regional earthquake-induced landslide susceptibility assessment.In the present study,we considered the probability of the observed pulse-like ground motion at each site(PP)in the region of an earthquake as one of the conditioning factors for landslide susceptibility assessment.A subset of the area affected by the 1994Mw6.7 Northridge earthquake in California was examined.To explore and verify the effects of PP on landslide susceptibility assessment,seven models were established,consisting of six identical influencing factors(elevation,slope gradient,aspect,distance to drainage,distance to roads,and geology)and one or two factors characterizing the intensity of the earthquake(distance to fault,peak ground acceleration,peak ground velocity,and PP)in logistic regression analysis.The results showed that the model considering PP performed better in susceptibility assessment,with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve value of 0.956.Based on the results of relative importance analysis,the contribution of the PP value to earthquakeinduced landslide susceptibility was ranked fourth after the slope gradient,elevation,and lithology.The prediction performance of the model considering the pulse-like effect was better than that reported previously.A logistic regression model that considers the pulse-like effect can be applied in disaster prevention,mitigation,and construction planning in near-fault areas. 展开更多
关键词 EARTHQUAKE landslides Pulse-like ground motion Logistic regression susceptibility assessment 1994 Northridge earthquake
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A Hazard Assessment Method for Potential Earthquake-Induced Landslides – A Case Study in Huaxian County, Shaanxi Province 被引量:8
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作者 LIU Jiamei GAO Mengtan +2 位作者 WU Shuren WANG Tao WU Jian 《Acta Geologica Sinica(English Edition)》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2016年第2期590-603,共14页
The hazard assessment of potential earthquake-induced landslides is an important aspect of the study of earthquake-induced landslides. In this study, we assessed the hazard of potential earthquake-induced landslides i... The hazard assessment of potential earthquake-induced landslides is an important aspect of the study of earthquake-induced landslides. In this study, we assessed the hazard of potential earthquake-induced landslides in Huaxian County with a new hazard assessment method. This method is based on probabilistic seismic hazard analysis and the Newmark cumulative displacement assessment model. The model considers a comprehensive suite of information, including the seismic activities and engineering geological conditions in the study area, and simulates the uncertainty of the intensity parameters of the engineering geological rock groups using the Monte Carlo method. Unlike previous assessment studies on ground motions with a given exceedance probability level, the hazard of earthquake-induced landslides obtained by the method presented in this study allows for the possibility of earthquake-induced landslides in different parts of the study area in the future. The assessment of the hazard of earthquake-induced landslides in this study showed good agreement with the historical distribution of earthquake-induced landslides. This indicates that the assessment properly reflects the macroscopic rules for the development of earthquake-induced landslides in the study area, and can provide a reference framework for the management of the risk of earthquakeinduced landslides and land planning. 展开更多
关键词 earthquake-induced landslide hazard assessment Newmark displacement model Monte Carlo
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Distribution and Susceptibility Assessment of Collapses and Landslides in the Riparian Zone of the Xiaowan Reservoir 被引量:1
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作者 ZHONG Ronghua HE Daming +3 位作者 HU Jinming DUAN Xingwu HUANG Jiangcheng CHENG Xupeng 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2019年第1期70-85,共16页
The southwest alpine gorge region is the major state base of hydropower energy development in China and hence planned many cascading hydropower stations. After the reservoir impoundment, the intense water level fluctu... The southwest alpine gorge region is the major state base of hydropower energy development in China and hence planned many cascading hydropower stations. After the reservoir impoundment, the intense water level fluctuations under the interaction of cascade dams operating and the mountainous flooding, usually cause bank collapse, landslide and debris flow hazards. The Xiaowan reservoir(XWR), for example, as the ‘dragon head' meg reservoir located in the middle mainstream of Lancang River, have resulted in a series of geohazards during its building and operating. In this study, we investigated the number and surface area of collapses and landslides(CLs) occurred in the water level fluctuations zone(WLFZ) of XWR using remote sensing images of Gaofen-1 and Google Earth; evaluated the CLs susceptibility using information value method. The results presented that the total WLFZ area of 87.03 km2 and 804 CLs masses with a total area of 1.98 km2 were identified in the riparian zone of XWR. CLs mainly occurred at an elevation of 1190–1240 m, and the CLs density increased with an increase in altitude. The WLFZ with a slope gradient of 25°– 45° is the main CLs distribution area that accounts for more than half of the total CLs area. The susceptibility assessment revealed that high and very high susceptibility zones are generally distributed along zones with an elevation of 1210–1240 m, a slope degree of 25°–45° and a slope aspect perpendicular to the direction of Lancang River. Furthermore, these susceptible zones are close in distance to the dam site and tend to be in the riparian zones with the formation lithology of Silurian strata. These results provide a valuable contribution to prevent and control geohazards in the XWR area. Moreover, this study offers a constructive sample of geohazards assessment in the riparian zone of large reservoirs throughout the mountains of southwest China. 展开更多
关键词 susceptibility assessment collapses and landslides water level FLUCTUATIONS Xiaowan RESERVOIR Lancang-Mekong River
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Landslide susceptibility assessment using the certainty factor and analytic hierarchy process 被引量:10
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作者 FAN Wen WEI Xin-sheng +1 位作者 CAO Yan-bo ZHENG Bin 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第5期906-925,共20页
A new approach combining the certainty factor(CF) and analytic hierarchy process(AHP) methods was proposed to assess landslide susceptibility in the Ziyang district, which is situated in the Qin-Ba Mountain region, Ch... A new approach combining the certainty factor(CF) and analytic hierarchy process(AHP) methods was proposed to assess landslide susceptibility in the Ziyang district, which is situated in the Qin-Ba Mountain region, China. Landslide inventory data were collected based on field investigations and remote sensing interpretations. A total of 791 landslides were identified. A total of 633 landslides were randomly selected from this data setas the training set, and the remaining landslides were used for validation as the test set. Nine factors, including the slope angle, slope aspect, slope curvature, lithology, distance to faults, distance to streams, precipitation, road network intensity degree and land use were chosen as the landslide causal factors for further susceptibility assessment. The weight of each factor and its subclass were calculated by AHP and CF methods. Landslide susceptibility was compared between the bivariate statistical method and the proposed CF-AHP method. The results indicate that the distance to streams, distance to faults and lithology are the most dominant causal factors associated with landslides. The susceptibility zonation was categorized into five classes of landslide susceptibility, i.e., very high, high, moderate, low and very low level. Lastly, the relative operating characteristics(ROC) curve was used to validate the accuracy of the new approach, and the result showed a satisfactory prediction rate of 78.3%, compared to 69.2% obtained with the landslide susceptibility index method. The results indicate that the CF-AHP combined method is more appropriate for assessing the landslide susceptibility in this area. 展开更多
关键词 Ziyang district landslidE Certainty factor Analytic hierarchy process susceptibility assessment ARCGIS
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Optimizing the frequency ratio method for landslide susceptibility assessment: A case study of the Caiyuan Basin in the southeast mountainous area of China 被引量:6
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作者 ZHANG Yi-xing LAN Heng-xing +3 位作者 LI Lang-ping WU Yu-ming CHEN Jun-hui TIAN Nai-man 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2020年第2期340-357,共18页
Bivariate statistical analysis of data-driven approaches is widely used for landslide susceptibility assessment, and the frequency ratio(FR) method is one of the most popular. However, the results of such assessments ... Bivariate statistical analysis of data-driven approaches is widely used for landslide susceptibility assessment, and the frequency ratio(FR) method is one of the most popular. However, the results of such assessments are dominated by the number of classes and bounds of landslide-related causative factors, and the optimal assessment is unknown. This paper optimizes the frequency ratio method as an example of bivariate statistical analysis for landslide susceptibility mapping based on a case study of the Caiyuan Basin, a region with frequent landslides, which is located in the southeast coastal mountainous area of China. A landslide inventory map containing a total of 1425 landslides(polygons) was produced, in which 70% of the landslides were selected for training purposes, and the remaining were used for validationpurposes. All datasets were resampled to the same 5 m × 5 m/pixel resolution. The receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curves of the susceptibility maps were obtained based on different combinations of dominating parameters, and the maximum value of the areas under the ROC curves(AUCs) as well as the corresponding optimal parameter was identified with an automatic searching algorithm. The results showed that the landslide susceptibility maps obtained using optimal parameters displayed a significant increase in the prediction AUC compared with those values obtained using stochastic parameters. The results also showed that one parameter named bin width has a dominant influence on the optimum. In practice, this paper is expected to benefit the assessment of landslide susceptibility by providing an easy-to-use tool. The proposed automatic approach provides a way to optimize the frequency ratio method or other bivariate statistical methods, which can furtherfacilitate comparisons and choices between different methods for landslide susceptibility assessment. 展开更多
关键词 Automatic optimization Frequency ratio GIS landslide susceptibility assessment
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Landslide inventory and susceptibility assessment using multiple statistical approaches along the Karakoram highway,northern Pakistan 被引量:6
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作者 Mian Luqman HUSSAIN Muhammad SHAFIQUE +2 位作者 Alam Sher BACHA CHEN Xiao-qing CHEN Hua-yong 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2021年第3期583-598,共16页
China-Pakistan Economic Corridor(CPEC)is a framework of regional connectivity,which will not only benefit China and Pakistan but will have positive impact on Iran,Afghanistan,India,Central Asian Republic,and the regio... China-Pakistan Economic Corridor(CPEC)is a framework of regional connectivity,which will not only benefit China and Pakistan but will have positive impact on Iran,Afghanistan,India,Central Asian Republic,and the region.The surrounding area in CPEC is prone to frequent disruption by geological hazards mainly landslides in northern Pakistan.Comprehensive landslide inventory and susceptibility assessment are rarely available to utilize for landslide mitigation strategies.This study aims to utilize the high-resolution satellite images to develop a comprehensive landslide inventory and subsequently develop landslide susceptibility maps using multiple techniques.The very high-resolution(VHR)satellite images are utilized to develop a landslide inventory using the visual image classification techniques,historic records and field observations.A total of 1632 landslides are mapped in the area.Four statistical models i.e.,frequency ratio,artificial neural network,weights of evidence and logistic regression were used for landslide susceptibility modeling by comparing the landslide inventory with the topographic parameters,geological features,drainage and road network.The developed landslides susceptibility maps were verified using the area under curve(AUC)method.The prediction power of the model was assessed by the prediction rate curve.The success rate curves show 93%,92.8%,92.7%and 87.4%accuracy of susceptibility maps for frequency ratio,artificial neural network,weights of evidence and logistic regression,respectively.The developed landslide inventory and susceptibility maps can be used for land use planning and landslide mitigation strategies. 展开更多
关键词 landslides Inventory map susceptibility assessment Northern Pakistan CPEC
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Regional Scale Rainfall- and Earthquake-triggered Landslide Susceptibility Assessment in Wudu County, China 被引量:8
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作者 BAI Shi-biao CHENG Chen +2 位作者 WANG Jian Benni THIEBES ZHANG Zhi-gang 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2013年第5期743-753,共11页
Wudu County in northwestern China frequently experiences large-scale landslide events.High-magnitude earthquakes and heavy rainfall events are the major triggering factors in the region.The aim of this research is to ... Wudu County in northwestern China frequently experiences large-scale landslide events.High-magnitude earthquakes and heavy rainfall events are the major triggering factors in the region.The aim of this research is to compare and combine landslide susceptibility assessments of rainfalltriggered and earthquake-triggered landslide events in the study area using Geographical Information System(GIS) and a logistic regression model.Two separate susceptibility maps were produced using inventories reflecting single landslide-triggering events,i.e.,earthquakes and heavy rain storms.Two groups of landslides were utilized: one group containing all landslides triggered by extreme rainfall events between 1995 and 2003 and the other group containing slope failures caused by the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake.Subsequently,the individual maps were combined to illustrate the locations of maximum landslide probability.The use of the resulting three landslide susceptibility maps for landslide forecasting,spatial planning and for developing emergency response actions are discussed.The combined susceptibility map illustrates the total landslide susceptibility in the study area. 展开更多
关键词 敏感性评价 山体滑坡 中国西北部 武都县 地震 引发 降雨 区域尺度
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Statistical landslide susceptibility assessment in a dynamic environment:A case study for Lanzhou City,Gansu Province,NW China 被引量:1
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作者 TORIZIN Jewgenij WANG Li-chao +6 位作者 FUCHS Michael TONG Bin BALZER Dirk WAN Li-qin KUHN Dirk LI Ang CHEN Liang 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2018年第6期1299-1318,共20页
This study presents a statistical landslide susceptibility assessment(LSA) in a dynamic environment. The study area is located in the eastern part of Lanzhou, NW China. The Lanzhou area has exhibited rapid urbanizatio... This study presents a statistical landslide susceptibility assessment(LSA) in a dynamic environment. The study area is located in the eastern part of Lanzhou, NW China. The Lanzhou area has exhibited rapid urbanization rates over the past decade associated with greening, continuous land use change, and geomorphic reshaping activities. To consider the dynamics of the environment in the LSA, multitemporal data for landslide inventories and the corresponding causal factors were collected. The weights of evidence(Wof E) method was used to perform the LSA. Three time stamps, i.e., 2000, 2012, and 2016, were selected to assess the state of landslide susceptibility over time. The results show a clear evolution of the landslide susceptibility patterns that was mainly governed by anthropogenic activities directed toward generating safer building grounds for civil infrastructure. The low and very low susceptibility areas increased by approximately 10% between 2000 and 2016. At the same time, areas of medium, high and very high susceptibility zones decreased proportionally. Based on the results, an approach to design the statistical LSA under dynamic conditions is proposed, the issues and limitations of this approach are also discussed. The study shows that under dynamic conditions, the requirements for data quantity and quality increase significantly. A dynamic environment requires greater effort to estimate the causal relations between the landslides and controlling factors as well as for model validation. 展开更多
关键词 危险性评价 山崩 环境 统计 中国 案例 城市 LSA
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Probabilistic Study of Landslide Susceptibility in the Sagrado River Watershed,Brazil
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作者 Maiely Minozzo Vitor Pereira Faro 《Journal of Environmental Science and Engineering(A)》 2023年第3期92-99,共8页
In this paper,we present a probabilistic study of landslide susceptibility at the Sagrado River Watershed in Morretes,Brazil.The area is characterized by slopes higher than 20%in a large part of the relief,variable so... In this paper,we present a probabilistic study of landslide susceptibility at the Sagrado River Watershed in Morretes,Brazil.The area is characterized by slopes higher than 20%in a large part of the relief,variable soil depths,and by strong rainfall intensities due to orographic rains.Taken together,these factors promote the occurrence of translational landslides.Anthropic occupation is distributed along the lowlands and on the less inclined slopes of the Serra do Mar.The infinite slope method was used to determine the distribution of susceptibility to landslides.Input parameters of the model consisted of geotechnical soil parameters,soil layer thickness,slope of the hillside,and matric suction,and the analysis implemented a Monte Carlo probabilistic method.As such,this method allows the quantification of uncertainties due to the variability in geotechnical parameters,which enables the determination of a probability of rupture.The elaboration of susceptibility maps to landslides for unsaturated soil conditions represents a useful tool to support the identification of critical events occurrences in this location. 展开更多
关键词 Monte Carlo method landslides susceptibility assessment probabilistic analysis
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Debris Flow Susceptibility Assessment Using a Probabilistic Approach:A Case Study in the Longchi Area, Sichuan Province, China 被引量:17
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作者 CHANG Ming TANG Chuan +1 位作者 ZHANG Dan-dan MA Guo-chao 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2014年第4期1001-1014,共14页
The Longchi area with the city of Dujiangyan, in the Sichuan province of China, is composed of Permian stone and diorites and Triassic sandstones and mudstones intercalated with slates. An abundance of loose co-seismi... The Longchi area with the city of Dujiangyan, in the Sichuan province of China, is composed of Permian stone and diorites and Triassic sandstones and mudstones intercalated with slates. An abundance of loose co-seismic materials were present on the slopes after the May 12, 2008 Wenchuan earthquake, which in later years served as source material for rainfall-induced debris flows or shallow landslides. A total of 48 debris flows, all triggered by heavy rainfall on 13 th August 2010, are described in this paper. Field investigation, supported by remote sensing image interpretation, was conducted to interpret the co-seismic landslides in the debris flow gullies. Specific characteristics of the study area such as slope, aspect, elevation, channel gradient, lithology, and gully density were selected for the evaluation of debris flow susceptibility. A score was given to all the debris flow gullies based on the probability of debris flow occurrence for the selected factors. In order to get the contribution of the different factors, principal component analyses were applied. A comprehensive score was obtained for the 48 debris flow gullies which enabled us to make a susceptibility map for debris flows with three classes. Twenty-two gullies have a high susceptibility, twenty gullies show a moderate susceptibility and six gullies have a low susceptibility for debris flows. 展开更多
关键词 敏感性评价 泥石流沟 概率方法 四川省 龙池 中国 遥感影像解译 沟壑密度
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Debris flow susceptibility and propagation assessment in West Koyulhisar, Turkey 被引量:4
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作者 Ali POLAT Dursun ERİK 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2020年第11期2611-2623,共13页
Turkey is highly prone to landslides because of the geological and geographic location.The study area,which is located in a tectonically active region,has been significantly affected by mass movements.Flow type landsl... Turkey is highly prone to landslides because of the geological and geographic location.The study area,which is located in a tectonically active region,has been significantly affected by mass movements.Flow type landslides are frequently observed due to this location.This study aims at determining the source area and propagation of debris flows in the study area.We used the heuristic method to extract source areas of debris flow,and then used receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis to assess the performance of the method,and finally calculated the Area under curve(AUC)values being 83.64%and 80.39%for the success rate and prediction rate,respectively.We calculated potential propagation area and runout distance with Flow-R software.In conclusion,the obtained results(susceptibility map,propagation and runout distance)are very important for decisionmakers at the region located on an active fault zone,which is highly prone to natural disasters.The outputs of this study could be used in site selection studies,designing erosion prevention systems and protecting existing human-made structures. 展开更多
关键词 Koyulhisar Debris flow Flow path assessment Heuristic method landslide susceptibility mapping Geographical Information System(GIS)
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Landslide susceptibility modeling based on ANFIS with teaching-learning-based optimization and Satin bowerbird optimizer 被引量:12
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作者 Wei Chen Xi Chen +2 位作者 Jianbing Peng Mahdi Panahi Saro Lee 《Geoscience Frontiers》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第1期93-107,共15页
As threats of landslide hazards have become gradually more severe in recent decades,studies on landslide prevention and mitigation have attracted widespread attention in relevant domains.A hot research topic has been ... As threats of landslide hazards have become gradually more severe in recent decades,studies on landslide prevention and mitigation have attracted widespread attention in relevant domains.A hot research topic has been the ability to predict landslide susceptibility,which can be used to design schemes of land exploitation and urban development in mountainous areas.In this study,the teaching-learning-based optimization(TLBO)and satin bowerbird optimizer(SBO)algorithms were applied to optimize the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system(ANFIS)model for landslide susceptibility mapping.In the study area,152 landslides were identified and randomly divided into two groups as training(70%)and validation(30%)dataset.Additionally,a total of fifteen landslide influencing factors were selected.The relative importance and weights of various influencing factors were determined using the step-wise weight assessment ratio analysis(SWARA)method.Finally,the comprehensive performance of the two models was validated and compared using various indexes,such as the root mean square error(RMSE),processing time,convergence,and area under receiver operating characteristic curves(AUROC).The results demonstrated that the AUROC values of the ANFIS,ANFIS-TLBO and ANFIS-SBO models with the training data were 0.808,0.785 and 0.755,respectively.In terms of the validation dataset,the ANFISSBO model exhibited a higher AUROC value of 0.781,while the AUROC value of the ANFIS-TLBO and ANFIS models were 0.749 and 0.681,respectively.Moreover,the ANFIS-SBO model showed lower RMSE values for the validation dataset,indicating that the SBO algorithm had a better optimization capability.Meanwhile,the processing time and convergence of the ANFIS-SBO model were far superior to those of the ANFIS-TLBO model.Therefore,both the ensemble models proposed in this paper can generate adequate results,and the ANFIS-SBO model is recommended as the more suitable model for landslide susceptibility assessment in the study area considered due to its excellent accuracy and efficiency. 展开更多
关键词 landslide susceptibility Step-wise weight assessment ratio analysis Adaptive neuro-fuzzy fuzzy inference system Teaching-learning-based optimization Satin bowerbird optimizer
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Landslide inventory and susceptibility modelling using geospatial tools,in Hunza-Nagar valley,northern Pakistan 被引量:9
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作者 Alam Sher BACHA Muhammad SHAFIQUE Harald van der WERFF 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2018年第6期1354-1370,共17页
A comprehensive landslide inventory and susceptibility maps are prerequisite for developing and implementing landslide mitigation strategies. Landslide susceptibility maps for the landslides prone regions in northern ... A comprehensive landslide inventory and susceptibility maps are prerequisite for developing and implementing landslide mitigation strategies. Landslide susceptibility maps for the landslides prone regions in northern Pakistan are rarely available. The Hunza-Nagar valley in northern Pakistan is known for its frequent and devastating landslides. In this paper, we have developed a landslide inventory map for Hunza-Nagar valley by using the visual interpretation of the SPOT-5 satellite imagery and mapped a total of 172 landslides. The landslide inventory was subsequently divided into modelling and validation data sets. For the development of landslide susceptibility map seven discrete landslide causative factors were correlated with the landslide inventory map using weight of evidence and frequency ratio statistical models. Four different models of conditional independence were used for the selection of landslide causative factors. The produced landslides susceptibility maps were validated by the success rate and area under curves criteria. The prediction power of the models was also validated with the prediction rate curve. The validation results shows that the success rate curves of the weight of evidence and the frequency models are 82% and 79%, respectively. The prediction accuracy results obtained from this study are 84% for weight of evidence model and 80% for the frequency ratio model. Finally, the landslide susceptibility index maps were classified into five different varying susceptibility zones. The validation and prediction result indicates that the weight of evidence and frequency ratio model are reliable to produce an accurate landslide susceptibility map, which may be helpful for landslides management strategies. 展开更多
关键词 巴基斯坦 危险性 山崩 库存 山谷 建模 统计模型 工具
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Analysing post-earthquake landslide susceptibility using multi-temporal landslide inventories——a case study in Miansi Town of China
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作者 LI Ning TANG Chuan +1 位作者 YANG Tao CHEN Ming 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2020年第2期358-372,共15页
The earthquake that occurred on May 12, 2008, in Wenchuan County aroused a great deal of research on co-seismic landslide susceptibility assessment, but there is still a lack of an evaluation method that considers the... The earthquake that occurred on May 12, 2008, in Wenchuan County aroused a great deal of research on co-seismic landslide susceptibility assessment, but there is still a lack of an evaluation method that considers the activity state of the landslide itself. Therefore, this paper establishes a new susceptibility evaluation model that superimposes the active landslide state based on previous susceptibility evaluation models. Based on a multi-phase landslide database, the probabilistic approach was used to evaluate landslide susceptibility in the Miansi town over many years. We chose the elevation, slope, aspect, and distance from the channel as trigger factors and then used the probability comprehensive discrimination method to calculate the probability of landslide occurrence. Then, the susceptibility results of each period were calculated by superposition with the activity rate. The results show that between 2008 and 2014, the proportion of areas with low landslide susceptibility in the study area was the largest, and the proportionof areas with the highest susceptibility was minimal. The landslide area with highest susceptibility gradually decreased from 2014 to 2017. However, in 2017, 15.06% of the area was still with high susceptibility, and relevant disaster prevention and reduction measures should be taken in these areas. The larger area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC) indicates that the results of the landslide susceptibility assessment in this study are more objective and reliable than those of previous models. The difference in the AUC values over many years shows that the accuracy of the evaluation results of this model is not constant, and a greater number of landslides or higher landslide activity corresponds to a higher accuracy of the evaluation results. 展开更多
关键词 Wenchuan earthquake Activity rate of landslide Probabilistic approach susceptibility assessment
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Susceptibility Assessment of Landslides in Alpine-Canyon Region Using Multiple GIS-Based Models 被引量:2
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作者 HU Man LIU Qiuqiang LIU Pengyu 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 CAS CSCD 2019年第3期257-270,共14页
This study explores a comparative study of three susceptibility assessment models based on remote sensing(RS) and geographic information system(GIS). The Lenggu region(China) was selected as a case study. At first, a ... This study explores a comparative study of three susceptibility assessment models based on remote sensing(RS) and geographic information system(GIS). The Lenggu region(China) was selected as a case study. At first, a landslide inventory map was compiled using data from existing geology reports, satellite imagery, and coupling with field observations. Subsequently, three models were built to map the landslide susceptibility using analytical hierarchy process(AHP), fuzzy logic(FL) and certainty factors(CF). The resulting models were validated and compared using areas under the curve(AUC). The AUC plot estimation results indicated that the three models are promising methods for landslide susceptibility mapping. Among the three methods, CF model has highest prediction accuracy than the other two models. Similarly, the outcome of this study reveals that streams, faults, slope and elevation are the main conditioning factors of landslides. Especially, the erosion of streams plays a key role of the landslide occurrence. These landslide susceptibility maps, to some extent, reflect spatial distribution characteristics of landslides in alpine-canyon region of southwest China, and can be used for land planning and hazard risk assessment. 展开更多
关键词 landslidE susceptibility assessment GEOGRAPHIC information system (GIS) analytical hierarchy process (AHP) fuzzy logic(FL) CERTAINTY factors(CF)
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A Hybrid Multi-Hazard Susceptibility Assessment Model for a Basin in Elazig Province,Türkiye
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作者 Gizem Karakas Sultan Kocaman Candan Gokceoglu 《International Journal of Disaster Risk Science》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第2期326-341,共16页
Preparation of accurate and up-to-date susceptibility maps at the regional scale is mandatory for disaster mitigation,site selection,and planning in areas prone to multiple natural hazards.In this study,we proposed a ... Preparation of accurate and up-to-date susceptibility maps at the regional scale is mandatory for disaster mitigation,site selection,and planning in areas prone to multiple natural hazards.In this study,we proposed a novel multi-hazard susceptibility assessment approach that combines expert-based and supervised machine learning methods for landslide,flood,and earthquake hazard assessments for a basin in Elazig Province,Türkiye.To produce the landslide susceptibility map,an ensemble machine learning algorithm,random forest,was chosen because of its known performance in similar studies.The modified analytical hierarchical process method was used to produce the flood susceptibility map by using factor scores that were defined specifically for the area in the study.The seismic hazard was assessed using ground motion parameters based on Arias intensity values.The univariate maps were synthesized with a Mamdani fuzzy inference system using membership functions designated by expert.The results show that the random forest provided an overall accuracy of 92.3%for landslide susceptibility mapping.Of the study area,41.24%were found prone to multi-hazards(probability value>50%),but the southern parts of the study area are more susceptible.The proposed model is suitable for multi-hazard susceptibility assessment at a regional scale although expert intervention may be required for optimizing the algorithms. 展开更多
关键词 EARTHQUAKES Floods Fuzzy inference systems landslides Multi-hazard susceptibility assessment Random forest Türkiye
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加权信息量支持下融合InSAR形变特征的滑坡易发性评价
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作者 肖海平 万俊辉 +2 位作者 陈兰兰 范永超 陈磊 《大地测量与地球动力学》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第7期718-724,共7页
使用SBAS-InSAR处理六盘水市水城区2018-07~2019-08共69景Sentinel-1A卫星影像,获取地表形变作为动态评价因子,用于完善传统滑坡易发性评价研究缺乏动态特征数据应用的问题。结果表明,使用10种静态评价因子融合InSAR形变特征数据作为动... 使用SBAS-InSAR处理六盘水市水城区2018-07~2019-08共69景Sentinel-1A卫星影像,获取地表形变作为动态评价因子,用于完善传统滑坡易发性评价研究缺乏动态特征数据应用的问题。结果表明,使用10种静态评价因子融合InSAR形变特征数据作为动态评价因子,在耦合层次分析法与信息量法的加权信息量模型下对比仅使用静态特征数据,ROC曲线下面积分别为0.756 02和0.888 68,模型性能提升约13.3%;再将历史灾害点叠加于2种分区图下检验分区精度,相比于未融入形变特征,融入形变特征可纠正约12.44%的误分类区域,能较好地提升分区的可靠性。 展开更多
关键词 相关性矩阵 静态特征数据 InSAR形变特征数据 加权信息量 滑坡易发性评价
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