Integration of Ideological and Political Education into the Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics Course:A Teaching Design Based on Estimation and Hypothesis Testing

With the rapid development of higher education in China,colleges and universities are facing new challenges and impacts in talent training.Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics is one of the important courses in higher education for science and engineering majors and economics and management majors.Its critical role in cultivating students’thinking skills and improving their problem-solving skills is self-evident.Course ideological and political education construction is an important link in college talent training work.Combining ideological and political education with course teaching can help students establish correct value concepts and play a certain role in improving their comprehensive ability and quality.At present,the construction of ideological and political education in the Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics course still faces some problems,mainly manifested in the lack of attention paid by teachers to course ideological and political education,insufficient exploitation of ideological and political elements,and the simplification of ideological and political education implementation methods.In order to comprehensively deepen the construction of course ideological and political education in line with the actual needs of Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics course teaching,we should strengthen the construction of teacher teams,improve teachers’ability to carry out course ideological and political education,integrate educational resources,develop educational resources for ideological and political education,and innovate teaching methods to improve the overall effect of ideological and political education integration.

Research on the Application of PBL+SPOC Blended Teaching Model in Probability and Statistics Course

To cultivate talents with an exploratory spirit and practical skills in the era of information technology,it is imperative to reform teaching methods and approaches.In the teaching process of the Probability and Statistics course,an application-oriented blended teaching model combining problem-based learning and small private online course was explored.By organizing and implementing online and offline teaching activities based on problem-based learning,a multidimensional process-oriented learning assessment system was established.Practice has shown that this model can effectively enhance classroom teaching effectiveness,benefiting the improvement of students’overall skills and mathematical literacy.

Incomplete nonextensive statistics and the zeroth law of thermodynamics

On the basis of the entropy of incomplete statistics （IS） and the joint probability factorization condition, two controversial problems existing in IS are investigated： one is what expression of the internal energy is reasonable for a composite system and the other is whether the traditional zeroth law of thermodynamics is suitable for IS. Some new equivalent expressions of the internal energy of a composite system are derived through accurate mathematical calculation. Moreover, a self-consistent calculation is used to expound that the zeroth law of thermodynamics is also suitable for IS, but it cannot be proven theoretically. Finally, it is pointed out that the generalized zeroth law of thermodynamics for incomplete nonextensive statistics is unnecessary and the nonextensive assumptions for the composite internal energy will lead to mathematical contradiction.

SOME ISSUES OF TURBULENCE STATISTICS

The issue of dropping the random force f(i) and the arbitrariness of choosing the basic variable in the variational approach to turbulence closure problem, pointed out recently by the Russian scientists Bazdenkov and Kukharkin, are discussed. According to the mean-square estimation method, the random force f(i) should be dropped in the error expression of the LFP (Langevin-Fokker-Planck) model. However, f(i) is not neglected, its effect has been taken into account by the variational approach. In order to optimize the perturbation solution of the Liouville equation, the LFP model requires that the basic variable is as near to Gaussian as possible. Hence, the velocity, instead of the vorticity, should be chosen as the basic variable in the three-dimensional turbulence. Although the LFP model and the zero-order Gaussian term of PDF (probability density function) imply whiteness assumption (zero correlation time of f(i)), the higher-order non-Gaussian terms of PDF correspond to the nonwhiteness of turbulence dynamics, the variational approach does calculate the nonwhiteness effect properly.

Applications of Mogulskii, and Kurtz-Feng Large Deviation Results to Risk Reserve Processes with Aggregate Claims

In this paper we examine the large deviations principle (LDP) for sequences of classic Cramér-Lundberg risk processes under suitable time and scale modifications, and also for a wide class of claim distributions including (the non-super- exponential) exponential claims. We prove two large deviations principles: first, we obtain the LDP for risk processes on D∈[0,1] with the Skorohod topology. In this case, we provide an explicit form for the rate function, in which the safety loading condition appears naturally. The second theorem allows us to obtain the LDP for Aggregate Claims processes on D∈[0,∞) with a different time-scale modification. As an application of the first result we estimate the ruin probability, and for the second result we work explicit calculations for the case of exponential claims.

Riemann Hypothesis, Catholic Information and Potential of Events with New Techniques for Financial and Other Applications

In this research we are going to define two new concepts: a) “The Potential of Events” (EP) and b) “The Catholic Information” (CI). The term CI derives from the ancient Greek language and declares all the Catholic (general) Logical Propositions () which will true for every element of a set A. We will study the Riemann Hypothesis in two stages: a) By using the EP we will prove that the distribution of events e (even) and o (odd) of Square Free Numbers (SFN) on the axis Ax(N) of naturals is Heads-Tails (H-T) type. b) By using the CI we will explain the way that the distribution of prime numbers can be correlated with the non-trivial zeros of the function ζ(s) of Riemann. The Introduction and the Chapter 2 are necessary for understanding the solution. In the Chapter 3 we will present a simple method of forecasting in many very useful applications (e.g. financial, technological, medical, social, etc) developing a generalization of this new, proven here, theory which we finally apply to the solution of RH. The following Introduction as well the Results with the Discussion at the end shed light about the possibility of the proof of all the above. The article consists of 9 chapters that are numbered by 1, 2, …, 9.

Multi-fractal analysis of highway traffic data

The purpose of the present study is to investigate the presence of multi-fractal behaviours in the traffic time series not only by statistical approaches but also by geometrical approaches. The pointwisc Hǒlder exponent of a function is calculated by developing an algorithm for the numerical evaluation of HSlder exponent of time series. The traffic time series observed on the Beijing Yuquanying highway are analysed. The results from all these methods indicate that the traffic data exhibit the multi-fractal behaviour.

Clarifications for the Published Article: “A Solution to the Famous Twin’s Problem” in the APM of SCIRP at 24 September of 2019

This article B is almost autonomous because it can be read independently from the first published article A [1] using only a few parts of the article A. Be-low are given instructions so to need the reader study only on few places of the article A. Also, in the part A of Introduction, here, you will find simple and useful definitions and the strategy we are going to follow as well useful new theorems (also and in Section 5, which have been produced in this solution). So the published solution of twin’s problem can now be easily understood. The inequalities (4.17), (4.18) of Article A are proved here in Section 4 by a new clear method, without the possible ambiguity of the text between the relations (4.14), (4.16) of the Article A. Also we complete the proof for the twin’s distri-bution which we use. At the end here are presented the Conclusions, the No-menclatures and the numerical control of the proof, which is probably useful as well in coding methods. For a general and convincing picture is sufficient, a study from the beginning of this article B until the end of the part A of the In-troduction here as well a general glance on the Section 5 and on the Conclu-sions below.

新文科建设背景下《概率论与数理统计》课程教学创新实践

在新文科建设背景下,结合经济类专业《概率论与数理统计》课程现状,针对课程教学中出现的问题,从教学内容设计、教学手段模式和教学评价三方面实施了教学创新实践。构建了课前、课中和课后三阶段和课程思政引领的“三阶段一引领”教学内容,设计了课前课后阶段线上、课中阶段线下的混合式教学模式,对评价标准应用线上学习数据和期末考试结合的“全过程”评价模式创新,从多个方面多个角度提升课堂教学效果,改进教学质量,全面提升经济类专业学生数学科学素养。

地矿特色的“概率统计”课程教学改革研究与实践

“概率统计”是一门应用性很强的大学数学基础课程。地质空间是一个高度不确定性的复杂系统,地质过程具有不确定性,研究地质空间和地质过程常用的数学模型是随机数学类模型,因此概率统计在地球科学中有着广泛的应用。本文结合办学特色,开展基于地球科学应用为特色的地矿类“概率统计”课程教学改革研究与实践,包括教学改革的必要性、主要工作和研究成果。研究结果显示,结合专业应用的课程教学改革可以有效地提高学生的学习兴趣和应用能力。

工程教育认证下“概率论与数理统计”教学改革

“概率论与数理统计”是理工和经管类各专业的数学基础课程,课程中的方法在解决实际问题时应用广泛。但是该课程理论性强、学习难度大,课程教学中通常存在课时少、实践少、学用分离等教学痛点,不符合工程教育认证理念。分析了防灾科技学院地质工程专业工程教育认证对“概率论与数理统计”课程的要求,以及大学传统的数学课堂教学存在的问题,结合地质工程专业发展规划和应用型人才培养目标,探讨如何进行数学类课程的教学改革,以达到工程教育认证标准。

概率论与数理统计课程情境化教学模式探索与实践

概率论与数理统计是高校理工专业的核心基础课程,开展概率论与数理统计情境化教学模式探索与实践能够显著提升教学质量。该文首先从课程属性、智慧教学环境、教学理念等视角分析开展情境化教学模式的必要性,进而从情境案例准备、学习情境设定、自主探究学习、智能系统辅助和数据分析与评估等五个环节探讨情境化教学模式设计问题。最后,以条件概率为例,研究情境化教学模式的实施过程。情境化教学模式还可以向其他公共基础课程与专业课程推广应用,能够在学生创新实践能力培养方面发挥重要作用。

“少教多学”理念下国家级一流课程概率论与数理统计本校化混合式教学实践研究

“少教多学”倡导“先学后教,以学定教”,体现以学生为中心的现代教育理念。在该理念的指导下,引入国家级一流线上课程概率论与数理统计资源,并进行适合该校学生特点的本校化课程改造使之可以更好地服务于课程教学。基于BOPPPS的混合式教学设计和实施,有效地提高该课程的过关率和学生的学习能力,促进学生思维的发展。

新文科背景下面向财经类高校的“概率论与数理统计”课程建设与实践——以贵州财经大学为例

根据“新文科”建设的核心要义,分析了财经类高校在探索“概率论与数理统计”课程建设的现状与困境。重点以贵州财经大学为例,探讨了“概率论与数理统计”的课程建设与实践。以超星信息技术平台为依托,深入贯彻基于学习成果为导向的教学理念,以学科竞赛为抓手,着力提升人才培养质量为目标,按照一流课程建设要求,融入课程思政,助推统计学一流专业和一流学科建设。

概率统计“3542”课程思政教学模式的研究与实践

以专业人才培养目标为依据,根据教育部颁布的《高等学校课程思政建设指导纲要》,结合概率统计课程的特点,通过明确教学目标,优化教学内容,实施教学过程,设计教学评价,探索并构建了3维度教学目标,5方面教学内容,4环节教学过程,2方面教学评价的“3542”立体化课程思政闭环教学模式,在实践中获得了良好的教学效果。

基于“三全育人”理念的概率论与数理统计课程思政教学探索与实践

课程思政是实现有效育人的重要教学方式。根据当前概率论与数理统计课程思政的现状,并基于概率论与数理统计课程教学内容,从融入时机、思政元素类型两方面阐述课程思政教学的做法,挖掘案例中蕴含的“思政元素”及所承载的思想政治教育功能,以润物无声的方式将思政元素融入课堂教学,促成知识传授、思政教育、价值引领三者有机统一,做到全员、全程、全方位育人,以此实现概率论与数理统计课程立德树人的目标。

基于层次分析法的课堂教学质量评价体系研究——以概率论与数理统计课程为例

课堂教学质量评价体系作为整个教学过程中的关键环节具有重要的地位,传统的课堂教学质量评价模式单一、评价标准固定,在一定程度上很难反映当前课堂教学效果。基于此,文章以概率论与数理统计课程为例,从学生的视角出发,提出了准则层和指标层的影响因素,构建课堂教学质量评价指标体系,并利用层次分析法研究各影响因素的权重系数。实例分析进一步验证了模型的可行性、科学性,为课堂教学质量评价研究提供了新方法。

智慧教学模式赋能概率论与数理统计教学改革

在“互联网+”背景下,一些学者将MOOC融合SPOC进行翻转课堂和混合教学以提升教学质量。为充分发挥MOOC+SPOC的优势,培养新时代大学生应具备的数学能力,结合概率论与数理统计课程培养方案,提出基于MOOC+SPOC+雨课堂直播的融合式智慧教学模式。以“中心极限定理”知识单元为例介绍融合式智慧教学模式下具体教学设计和实施过程。结果表明,雨课堂直播教学与MOOC+SPOC融合的智慧教学模式提高学生学习兴趣,体现以学生为中心的教学思想。

基于学生需求的概率论与数理统计教学策略优化

基于学生需求视角的概率论和数理统计更加关注学生在课堂教学中的表现和收获,同时对教学目标、知识呈现形式、教学辅助资源等都提出了更高的要求,旨在帮助学生理解复杂深奥的数学知识,并掌握学习要点,充分激发其学习兴趣。基于此,本文对高等院校概率论与数理统计课程的教学现状展开分析,针对存在的问题提出了相应的应对策略。

基于课程思政理念的概率论与数理统计案例设计

课程思政理念与概率论与数理统计课程进行有机结合,并基于对课程思政的理解,从政治认同、国家意识、文化自信、公民人格、人文精神、科学精神和职业素养7个方面进行案例设计.课程思政的融入,将学生的平均成绩提高4.6分,并且得到超过80%的学生认可.课程思政案例的设计,拓宽学生的知识储备,激发学生的学习兴趣,同时促进学生思想政治素质的提升,进而达成课程育人的成效.