TRIZ TECHNOLOGY FORECASTING AS QFD INPUT WITHIN THE NPD ACTIVITIES

As a result of the fierceness of business competition, companies, to remaincompetitive, have to charm their customers by anticipating their needs and being able to rapidlydevelop exciting new products for them. To overcome this challenge, technology forecasting isconsidered as a powerful tool in today's business environment, while there are as many successstories as there are failures, a good application of this method will give a good result. Amethodology of integration of patterns or lines of technology evolution in TRIZ parlance ispresented, which is also known as TRIZ technology forecasting, as input to the QFD process to designa new product. For this purpose, TRIZ technology forecasting, one of the TRIZ major tools, isdiscussed and some benefits compared to the traditional forecasting techniques are highlighted. Thena methodology to integrate TRIZ technology forecasting and QFD process is highlighted.

Forecasting promising technology using analysis of patent information:Focused on next generation mobile communications

In order to forecast promising technologies in the field of next generation mobile communication, various patent indicators were analyzed such as citation per patent, patent family information, patent share, increase rate, and patent activity. These indicators were quantified into several indexes and then integrated into an evaluation score to provide promising technologies. As a result of the suggested patent analysis, four technologies out of twenty two in details classification were selected, which showed outstanding technology competitiveness, high patent share and increasing rates as well as high recent-patent-ratios and triad-patent-family-ratios. Each of the selected technologies scored more than 10 points in total, and the following four technologies were suggested as promising ones in the field of next generation mobile communication: 1) 3GPP based mobile communication, 2) beyond 4G mobile communication, 3) IEEE 802.16 based mobile communication, which are in medium classification of broadband mobile communication system, and 4) testing/certification system of mobile communication, which is in medium classification of mobile communication testing/certification system.

Forecasting the Quasi-stationary Front Rainstorm in Southeast China Using the Synthetically Multilevel Analog Forecast Technology

The authors use numerical model integral products in a third level forecast of synthetically multi-level analog forecast technology.This is one of the strongest points of this study,which also includes the re-ducing mean vacant-forecast rate method,which pos-sesses many advantages with regard to filtering the analog term.Moreover,the similitude degree between samples is assessed using a combination of meteorological elements,which works better than that described using a single element in earlier analog forecast studies.Based on these techniques,the authors apply the model output,air sounding,surface observation and weather map data from 1990 to 2002 to perform an analog experiment of the quasi-stationary front rainstorm.The most important re-sults are as follows:(1) The forecast successful index is 0.36,and was improved after the forecast model was re-vised.(2) The forecast precise rate (0.59) and the lost-forecast rate (0.33) are also better than those of other methods.(3) Based on the model output data,the syn-thetically multilevel analog forecast technology can pro-duce more accurate forecasts of a quasi-stationary front rainstorm.(4) Optimal analog elements reveal that trig-gering mechanisms are located in the lower troposphere while upper level systems are more important in main-taining the phase of the rainstorm.These variables should be first taken into account in operational forecasts of the quasi-stationary front rainstorm.(5) In addition,experi-ments reveal that the position of the key zone is mainly decided by the position of the system causing the heavy rainfall.

A Study on Technological Dynamics in Structural Health Monitoring Using Intelligent Fault Diagnosis Techniques:A Patent-Based Approach

The performance and reliability of structural components are greatly influenced by the presence of any abnormality in them.To this purpose,structural health monitoring(SHM)is recognized as a necessary tool to ensure the safety precautions and efficiency of both mechanical and civil infrastructures.Till now,most of the previous work has emphasized the functioning of several SHM techniques and systematic changes in SHM execution.However,there exist insufficient data in the literature regarding the patent-based technological developments in the SHM research domain which might be a useful source of detailed information for worldwide research institutes.To address this research gap,a method based on the Co-Operative Patent Classification(CPC)codes is proposed in the current study.The proposed method includes the patent analysis of SHM in terms of its global publication trend and technology-based applications.This analysis is performed using patent database search tools,namely,IncoPat and Espacenet.The period ranging from 2005 to 2019 is selected to retrieve the required patent documents.A new approach termed as Patents’value is utilized to investigate the technological impact of a patent in the form of forward citations,technical stability,and scope of protection.The identification of emerging SHM techniques and forecasting of vacant technology is also part of current research work.The research results have revealed the increasing trend in the number of published patents each year related to various SHM technologies.In this regard,China,the United States,and South Korea are notified as to the major depositor countries,respectively.Hence,mapping of patent data in this research is an effort to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method to demonstrate the development trends and dynamic inventions over the time in SHM research domain to achieve the optimal damage inspections of various mechanical components.

Marine Meteorology Research Progress of China from 2003 to 2006

The progress in marine meteorology research achieved by scientists in China during the four-year period from 2003 to 2006 is summarized under four categories： marine disaster study, typhoon over the ocean, ocean-atmosphere monitoring technology, and ocean-atmosphere forecasting technology. Compared to the previous four years, many more first-hand datasets have been obtained and more scientific issues have been addressed. In particular, many contributions have been made by young scientists. A brief statement on the research strategy of marine meteorology in China for the coming years is given at the end.

Blockchain technology forecasting by patent analytics and text mining

Information technologies(ITs)have been playing an important role in improving our society,and the fast evolution of ITs creates a competitive environment not only for companies but also for regions.Hence,recognizing the future trend of technologies can be effective in decision-making with regard to technology selection and investment.Blockchain technology with its vast and impressive applications has received considerable attention from researchers,investors,and public agencies.The purpose of this research is to investigate blockchain technology to explore its trends according to their classification by use of the World Intellectual Property Organization(WIPO)database.Furthermore,we particularly evaluate the registered patents in the world's most well-known patent databases such as the USA patent database.We drew the current technology trends in blockchain patents by applying the text mining and clustering approach.The results represent that the registered patents in the USA patent database have been achieved in the growth phase.That means,attention to the blockchain is rising nowadays and most patents focused the cryptocurrencies and their applications in finance.However,blockchain technology is in the emergence phase and is evolving by researchers and inventors.

All-solid-state narrow-linewidth 455-nm blue laser based on Ti:sapphire crystal

A compact, all-solid-state, narrow-linewidth, pulsed 455-nm blue laser based on Ti：sapphire crystal is developed. Pumped by a 10-Hz, frequency-doubled all-solid-state Nd：YAG laser and injection-seeded by an external cavity laser diode, the narrow-linewidth 910-nm laser with pulse width of 20 ns is obtained from a Ti：sapphire laser. 3.43-mJ blue laser can be obtained from the laser system by frequency-doubling with BBO crystal. This research is very useful to determine the roadmap of developing the practical, high power blue laser. This kind of laser will have potential application for underwater communication.