Development Trend of Energy and Key Points of Ecological Environment Protection in China's "14^(th) Five-Year Plan" Period

From the changes of total primary energy consumption and primary energy consumption structure,installed capacity and power generation of secondary energy(electricity),etc.,the development characteristics of China's energy structure in the"13^(th) Five-Year Plan"period was comprehensively studied.Combined with the complexity of the international situation,the diversification of the domestic energy system,the intelligence of the energy industry,etc.,the situation and challenges faced by China's energy development were deeply discussed in the four aspects of energy security,energy low-carbon transformation,energy system efficiency,and energy technology level.From the angle of ecological environment protection,the development of energy in the"14^(th) Five-Year Plan"period in China was analyzed,and some policies and measures were put forward.

Economic development, energy demand, and carbon emission prospects ofChina's provinces during the 14th Five-Year Plan period: Application ofCMRCGE model

This study focuses on a national regional coordinated development strategy and adopts China Multi-Regional Computable General Equilibrium model to analyze the economic and social development, energy demand, and carbon emissions of the provinces during the 14th Five-Year Plan (FYP, 2021 2025) period based on the economic development and energy demand since the New Normal. The main conclusions are the following: 1) Under the guidance of the regional coordinated development strategy, 13 provinces/municipalities are expected to have a per capita gross domestic product (GDP) of more than US$15,000, and 16 provinces/municipalities will have a per capita GDP of US$10,000 15,000. All provincial economies are expected to achieve steady and rapid development by the end of the 14th FYP. 2) The total energy consumption of the provinces is expected to reach 5.45 Gtce (excluding Tibet) in 2025, and the average annual growth rate is approximately 1.5%. The growth of energy demand will remain in low speed. The key point of energy demand will gradually shift from the eastern to the middle area, while the proportion of energy use in the western provinces will remain stable, which is consistent with the economic development stage and regional coordinated development strategy. 3) The annual average carbon intensity (mainly considering carbon emissions from energy use) of the provinces will approximately with most provinces dropping by over 4.0%. The trend of a considerable decline in carbon intensity, as observed in recent years, is expected to continue.

Economists’Judgement on China’s Socio-Economic Development in the 14th Five-Year Plan Period

2020 is the final year of China’s 13th Five-Year Plan period and an intersection between the“two centennial goals.”It is also a vital year for drafting the 14th Five-year Plan and embarking on a new journey of socialist modernization.What socio-economic progress has China achieved during the 13th Five-Year Plan period and what are the opportunities,challenges and countermeasures for the 14th Five-Year Plan period?In May 2020,the China Economist conducted a questionnaire survey among economists.Results suggest that during the 13th Five-Year Plan period,China has achieved remarkable progress in the following areas:significant socio-economic development,deepening industry-ICT integration,and rapid growth of new economy;mass entrepreneurship and mass innovation,and enhanced R&D capabilities for cutting-edge technologies;green production and the abatement of air and water pollution;and poverty reduction.In the 14th Five-Year Plan period,opportunities co-exist with challenges for China’s socio-economic development,which brims with resiliency.Surveyed economists felt sanguine about China’s development outlook.Based on the results,surveyed economists believed that the Chinese government should focus on the following priorities during the 14th Five-Year Plan period:expediting industrial transition,strengthening the real economy,and exploring domestic consumption potentials;ramping up research in fundamental science,and accelerating the research of critical technologies;increasing equal access to basic public services;and promoting green development in all respects,including green consumption,production,distribution,innovation,and finance.

China’s 13th and 14th Five-Year Plans:Review and Advice

The 13th Five-year Plan period ushered in a new era of socialism with Chinese characteristics.During this period,China’s economy transitioned from rapid to high-quality growth and weathered the storms of the trade war with the United States and the COVID-19 outbreak.Chinese policymakers embraced new development concepts,and fought to cut overcapacity and excess inventory,deleverage,lower costs,and bolster weak areas under the theme of supply-side structural reforms.In fighting the three tough battles of major risk prevention,targeted poverty reduction and pollution abatement,China has largely resolved myriad structural contradictions and maintained rapid domestic economic growth and stability.Most targets for the 13th Five-year Plan period have been achieved ahead of time or are near completion on time.Institutional sophistication has bolstered high-quality development.

China’s Rural Development in the 14^(th) Five-Year Plan Period

The 14^(th) Five-Year Plan period(2021-2025)is a critical transition for China’s social and economic development.After achieving moderate prosperity and eradicating absolute poverty in 2020,China will embark upon a new journey towards an affluent society with rural revitalization replacing poverty eradication as a new priority of government agenda on agriculture and rural affairs.In the 14^(th) FYP period,China should increase rural prosperity in all respects,modernize agriculture and the countryside,address food security challenges,raise farmers’incomes,and roll out rural reforms.

A Review of Development of Environmental Protection Information during the 12^(th) Five-Year Plan Period and Its Outlook

During the 12^(th)Five-Year Plan period,the environmental protection information work made remarkable achievements,and the construction of nationwide air quality monitoring network was completed; the trinitarian monitoring system was established,and environmental emergency command ability enhanced significantly. However,the issues of " information island" and " application silo" are still outstanding,and the application and promotion of new technologies make slow progress; the capacity of information system to support environmental protection business is insufficient,and there is no capacity for decision analysis. In the 13^(th)Five-Year Plan period,it is needed to strengthen the application and promotion of new technologies such as cloud computing,big data,Internet of Things,and spatial information,mainly construct and improve " Cloud Computing Based Environmental Protection( CCBEP) ", " big data platform of ecological environment",and then realize the core objective of improving environmental quality.

Small Town Construction in the 13th Five-Year Plan Period: A Case Study of Shangrao City

The 12 th Five-Year Plan period was unusual five years in the development of China. Under the dual pressure of complex international environment and arduous domestic reform task,China made outstanding achievements in economic development,which lays a solid foundation for building a moderately prosperous society in all respects in the 13 th Five-Year Plan period. The key and difficult points of building a moderately prosperous society in all respects lie in solving issues concerning agriculture,farmers,and rural areas. The 18 th National Congress of the CPC stated that integrated urban and rural development is the fundamental approach for solving issues concerning agriculture,farmers,and rural areas. As a transitional form from rural areas to urban areas,small town play an important role in integrated urban and rural development. In the 13 th Five-Year Plan period,China should take a new road of characteristic urbanization,energetically develop key towns,central towns,and characteristic towns,use points to drive areas,and promote coordinated progress of urbanization construction and new countryside construction. Focusing on the objective of building a moderately prosperous society in all respects and taking Shangrao City as an example,we analyzed construction of small town,in order to provide scientific theoretical reference for urbanization development,plan preparation,and policy formulation of Shangrao City.

Western China Development During 13th Five-Year Plan Period:Poverty Alleviation and Green Development

The 12th Annual Conference of the Consortium for Western China Development Studies July,2017Gui-An New District,CHINABackground Since its establishment in 2004,the Consortium for Western China Development Studies(CWCDS)has organized nine conferences on vari-

Target for Power Construction in 9th Five-year Plan Period Set-up

According to the National Meeting on Power Construction and Cost Control held in Beijing on 26th August 1996, the target for power construction in the period of 9th Five- year Plan is set-up as follows:

An Analysis of China's Overall Price Trend During the 12th Five-year Plan Period and Suggestions

In this paper,the author first summarizes China’s price operation situation and characteristics since the 1990s,and thenanalyzes inflation shaping factors and types.Based on that,the author raises six inflation early-warning indexes andfully dissects influencing factors of the overall price trend and inflation risks during the 12th Five-year Plan period.Afterthat,the author explains some aspects of price fluctuation that warrants attention during the 12th Five-year Plan period.Finally,the author puts forward policies and suggestions for stabilizing the overall price during the transformation of theeconomic development mode based on our actual situation.

Vehicle emissions of primary air pollutants from 2009 to 2019 and projection for the 14th Five-Year Plan period in Beijing, China

Over the past decade,the emission standards and fuel standards in Beijing have been upgraded twice,and the vehicle structure has been improved by accelerating the elimination of 2.95 million old vehicles.Through the formulation and implementation of these policies,the emissions of carbon monoxide(CO),volatile organic compounds(VOCs),nitrogen oxides(NO_(x)),and fine particulate matter(PM_(2.5))in 2019 were 147.9,25.3,43.4,and 0.91 kton in Beijing,respectively.The emission factor method was adopted to better understand the emissions characteristics of primary air pollutants from combustion engine vehicles and to improve pollution control.In combination with the air quality improvement goals and the status of social and economic development during the 14th Five-Year Plan period in Beijing,different vehicle pollution control scenarios were established,and emissions reductions were projected.The results show that the emissions of four air pollutants(CO,VOCs,NO_(x),and PM_(2.5))fromvehicles in Beijing decreased by an average of 68% in 2019,compared to their levels in 2009.The contribution of NOx emissions from diesel vehicles increased from 35% in 2009 to 56% in 2019,which indicated that clean and energy-saving diesel vehicle fleets should be further improved.Electric vehicle adoption could be an important measure to reduce pollutant emissions.With the further upgrading of vehicle structure and the adoption of electric vehicles,it is expected that the total emissions of the four vehicle pollutants can be reduced by 20%-41% by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan period.

基于有限理性决策理论的“十四五”时期我国中医药发展注意力配置研究

目的分析“十四五”时期我国中医药发展的注意力配置情况,提出促进中医药高质量发展的建议。方法通过检索卫生行政部门相关网站,搜集31个省、自治区、直辖市的“十四五”中医药发展规划文本。基于有限理性决策理论,运用NVivo 14软件进行文本量化分析,基于关键词词频比较各地、不同经济区域/行政区域中医药发展的注意力配置情况;运用NVivo 14软件的编码功能挖掘关键词对应的关联词,分析不同经济区域/行政区域中医药发展的政策工具选择和资源布局重点。结果最终确定与中医药发展规划吻合的10个关键词,即中医、发展、服务、健康、文化、人才、创新、中药、特色、传承。词频分析结果显示,北京市、浙江省、四川省、江苏省、吉林省和河北省的关键词总词频相对较高,均超过800次;东部地区、直辖市的关键词平均总词频相对较高,分别为823.60次、813.00次。关联词分析结果显示,在中医药发展政策工具选择和资源布局重点上,四大经济区域均注重中医医院(医疗机构)建设、中医药的文化传播和传承创新,三类行政区域均注重中医医院(医疗机构)建设、高质量发展、特色优势、中医药的文化传播和传承创新;在其他关键词相同的情况下,各经济区域/行政区域仍有个性化的政策工具选择和资源布局重点。结论各地、不同经济区域或行政区域对中医药发展的注意力配置情况差异较大,中医药优质资源的区域间分布不均衡问题突出。建议持续优化中医药发展注意力配置策略,打破区域内、区域间中医药发展壁垒,充分利用好中医药发展政策工具箱,推动实现更高水平的中医药传承创新发展。

Towards carbon neutrality and China's 14th Five-Year Plan: Clean energy transition, sustainable urban development, and investment priorities

China's 14th Five-Year Plan,for the period 2021e25,presents a real opportunity for China to link its longterm climate goals with its short-to medium-term social and economic development plans.China's recent commitment to achieving carbon neutrality by 2060 has set a clear direction for its economy,but requires ratcheting up ambition on its near-term climate policy.Against this background,this paper discusses major action areas for China's 14th Five-Year Plan after COVID-19,especially focusing on three aspects:the energy transition,a new type of sustainable urban development,and investment priorities.China's role in the world is now of a magnitude that makes its actions in the immediate future critical to how the world goes forward.This decade,2021e2030,is of fundamental importance to human history.If society locks in dirty and high-carbon capital,it raises profound risks of irreversible damage to the world's climate.It is crucial for China to peak its emissions in the 14th Five-Year Plan(by 2025),making the transition earlier and cheaper,enhancing its international competitiveness in growing new markets and setting a strong example for the world.The benefits for China and the world as a whole could be immense.

“十四五”时期我国全民健身发展的形势要求、现实基础与目标举措

开展全民健身活动是全体人民增强体魄、增进健康、增添幸福的基本保障,是新时代人民日益增长的美好生活需要的重要内容,是党和国家到2035年全面建成体育强国和健康中国的重要战略部署。当前,我国全民健身公共服务体系已初步建立但仍有待完善,距离"高水平"和"高质量"发展还有一定差距,表现在全民健身相关政策效力有待实践检验、高品质的全民健身需求与滞后的全民健身市场意识矛盾凸显、全民健身公共服务供需结构性失衡、社会力量和市场机制作用尚未充分发挥以及跨领域融合发展有待进一步深化等诸多方面"。十四五"时期我国全民健身应重点围绕全民健身发展的均等化、融合化、智慧化、法治化等任务目标,将抓好全民健身政策落实、补齐全民健身供给短板、深化全民健身融合发展、推动全民健身科技赋能、健全监督评估长效机制和培育弘扬全民健身文化作为重要举措,坚持"以人民为中心"的发展思想,以保障公民基本体育权利、满足群众多元化、多层次全民健身需求为出发点和落脚点,形成党委领导、政府主导、社会协同、公众参与、法治保障的全民健身发展新格局作为未来的奋斗目标。

“十四五”时期发展新趋势与国土空间规划应对

“十四五”时期,我国将进入经济转型和制度革新的新时代.国土空间规划作为国家的重要政策调控工具,将有力地支撑国家的转型发展.本文认为,新时期社会经济发展的趋势有经济发展进入新常态、城镇化发展进入新阶段和生态文明建设进入新时代.在此背景下,高质量发展成为各项工作的出发点,国土空间规划应在优化配置供给侧要素、服务新旧动能转换和实现全要素管理自然资源等三个方面落实高质量发展的目标.新时期国土空间规划关注的重点应包括城乡空间发展、城市品质提升和生态文明建设等.

中国社会救助高质量发展研究

“十四五”时期,社会救助发展将处在历史发展的新起点上,进入高质量发展新阶段。要实现“十四五”时期中国社会救助高质量发展,需要对社会救助高质量发展目标进行研判,提出社会救助高质量发展的体制机制路径:按照补短板思路,从五个方面促进体系和制度优化,即健全社会救助体系、完备社会救助法制、建立救助服务制度、提高救助经办能力、建立救助信息管理平台;按照保障和服务升级的思路,从三个方面实现救助管理优化,即建立救助主动发现和预警机制、建立跨部门救助经办整合机制、建立“党建+救助”和社会参与机制。

中国医疗保障制度的参量改革

我国的医疗保障制度改革存在制度改革、管理改革和参量改革三种基本路径;我国的医疗保障进入以病有良医为目标的高质量发展阶段后,参量改革将成为改革的主要路径。要论证以上观点,需要系统分析我国医疗保障制度的参量体系及其目前改革的基本状况,并从扩大筹资规模、控制待遇过快增长、优化支付结构和提升管理效率等四个方面分析“十四五”期间医保参量改革的主要任务与内容,最后提出医保参量改革的基本原则和关键对策。

展望“十四五”:趋势、战略与抉择

“十四五”时期经济形势预测:世界经济短期有望反弹,长期复苏前景不甚乐观;我国经济发展长期向好,将对世界经济格局产生重要影响。2021年3月发布的《国民经济和社会发展第十四个五年规划和2035年远景目标纲要》明确指出:“‘十四五’时期推动高质量发展,必须立足新发展阶段、贯彻新发展理念、构建新发展格局。”进入新发展阶段明确了我国发展的历史方位,贯彻新发展理念明确了我国现代化建设的指导原则,构建新发展格局明确了我国经济现代化的路径选择,高质量发展是对经济社会发展的总要求。全面理解其丰富内涵,对企业把握政策走向、谋划长远发展意义重大。企业可借助改革东风,拥抱科技进步,善用金融资源,融入城市发展,回归社会价值,在国家、区域和行业发展命脉中找准坐标,把握机遇,作出正确的选择。