Economic development, energy demand, and carbon emission prospects ofChina's provinces during the 14th Five-Year Plan period: Application ofCMRCGE model

This study focuses on a national regional coordinated development strategy and adopts China Multi-Regional Computable General Equilibrium model to analyze the economic and social development, energy demand, and carbon emissions of the provinces during the 14th Five-Year Plan (FYP, 2021 2025) period based on the economic development and energy demand since the New Normal. The main conclusions are the following: 1) Under the guidance of the regional coordinated development strategy, 13 provinces/municipalities are expected to have a per capita gross domestic product (GDP) of more than US$15,000, and 16 provinces/municipalities will have a per capita GDP of US$10,000 15,000. All provincial economies are expected to achieve steady and rapid development by the end of the 14th FYP. 2) The total energy consumption of the provinces is expected to reach 5.45 Gtce (excluding Tibet) in 2025, and the average annual growth rate is approximately 1.5%. The growth of energy demand will remain in low speed. The key point of energy demand will gradually shift from the eastern to the middle area, while the proportion of energy use in the western provinces will remain stable, which is consistent with the economic development stage and regional coordinated development strategy. 3) The annual average carbon intensity (mainly considering carbon emissions from energy use) of the provinces will approximately with most provinces dropping by over 4.0%. The trend of a considerable decline in carbon intensity, as observed in recent years, is expected to continue.

Economists’Judgement on China’s Socio-Economic Development in the 14th Five-Year Plan Period

2020 is the final year of China’s 13th Five-Year Plan period and an intersection between the“two centennial goals.”It is also a vital year for drafting the 14th Five-year Plan and embarking on a new journey of socialist modernization.What socio-economic progress has China achieved during the 13th Five-Year Plan period and what are the opportunities,challenges and countermeasures for the 14th Five-Year Plan period?In May 2020,the China Economist conducted a questionnaire survey among economists.Results suggest that during the 13th Five-Year Plan period,China has achieved remarkable progress in the following areas:significant socio-economic development,deepening industry-ICT integration,and rapid growth of new economy;mass entrepreneurship and mass innovation,and enhanced R&D capabilities for cutting-edge technologies;green production and the abatement of air and water pollution;and poverty reduction.In the 14th Five-Year Plan period,opportunities co-exist with challenges for China’s socio-economic development,which brims with resiliency.Surveyed economists felt sanguine about China’s development outlook.Based on the results,surveyed economists believed that the Chinese government should focus on the following priorities during the 14th Five-Year Plan period:expediting industrial transition,strengthening the real economy,and exploring domestic consumption potentials;ramping up research in fundamental science,and accelerating the research of critical technologies;increasing equal access to basic public services;and promoting green development in all respects,including green consumption,production,distribution,innovation,and finance.

Development Trend of Energy and Key Points of Ecological Environment Protection in China's "14^(th) Five-Year Plan" Period

From the changes of total primary energy consumption and primary energy consumption structure,installed capacity and power generation of secondary energy(electricity),etc.,the development characteristics of China's energy structure in the"13^(th) Five-Year Plan"period was comprehensively studied.Combined with the complexity of the international situation,the diversification of the domestic energy system,the intelligence of the energy industry,etc.,the situation and challenges faced by China's energy development were deeply discussed in the four aspects of energy security,energy low-carbon transformation,energy system efficiency,and energy technology level.From the angle of ecological environment protection,the development of energy in the"14^(th) Five-Year Plan"period in China was analyzed,and some policies and measures were put forward.

China’s Rural Development in the 14^(th) Five-Year Plan Period

The 14^(th) Five-Year Plan period(2021-2025)is a critical transition for China’s social and economic development.After achieving moderate prosperity and eradicating absolute poverty in 2020,China will embark upon a new journey towards an affluent society with rural revitalization replacing poverty eradication as a new priority of government agenda on agriculture and rural affairs.In the 14^(th) FYP period,China should increase rural prosperity in all respects,modernize agriculture and the countryside,address food security challenges,raise farmers’incomes,and roll out rural reforms.

Western China Development During 13th Five-Year Plan Period:Poverty Alleviation and Green Development

The 12th Annual Conference of the Consortium for Western China Development Studies July,2017Gui-An New District,CHINABackground Since its establishment in 2004,the Consortium for Western China Development Studies(CWCDS)has organized nine conferences on vari-

Study on Objectives and Strategies for Energy Conservation and Emission Reduction in Transportation Industry during the 13th Five-Year Plan Period in Beijing

Facing increasing passenger and cargo transport demand and limited re-source in the 13th Five-Year period, how to make a breakthrough and substantial progress has become a key issue on planning and the Top-level Design. In this paper we judged and analyzed the current development and potential demand of the energy saving and emission reduction in Beijing traffic industry. Through application of energy and emission prediction model which based on the vehicle activity data, the development goals of “one drop, double control, and triple upgrade” have been put forward. In order to achieve the goal, “5 + 1” development strategies should be implemented, and we also proposed the thinking and recommendations on sustainable development of transportation.

China’s 13th and 14th Five-Year Plans:Review and Advice

The 13th Five-year Plan period ushered in a new era of socialism with Chinese characteristics.During this period,China’s economy transitioned from rapid to high-quality growth and weathered the storms of the trade war with the United States and the COVID-19 outbreak.Chinese policymakers embraced new development concepts,and fought to cut overcapacity and excess inventory,deleverage,lower costs,and bolster weak areas under the theme of supply-side structural reforms.In fighting the three tough battles of major risk prevention,targeted poverty reduction and pollution abatement,China has largely resolved myriad structural contradictions and maintained rapid domestic economic growth and stability.Most targets for the 13th Five-year Plan period have been achieved ahead of time or are near completion on time.Institutional sophistication has bolstered high-quality development.

An Analysis of China's Overall Price Trend During the 12th Five-year Plan Period and Suggestions

In this paper,the author first summarizes China’s price operation situation and characteristics since the 1990s,and thenanalyzes inflation shaping factors and types.Based on that,the author raises six inflation early-warning indexes andfully dissects influencing factors of the overall price trend and inflation risks during the 12th Five-year Plan period.Afterthat,the author explains some aspects of price fluctuation that warrants attention during the 12th Five-year Plan period.Finally,the author puts forward policies and suggestions for stabilizing the overall price during the transformation of theeconomic development mode based on our actual situation.

Towards carbon neutrality and China's 14th Five-Year Plan: Clean energy transition, sustainable urban development, and investment priorities

China's 14th Five-Year Plan,for the period 2021e25,presents a real opportunity for China to link its longterm climate goals with its short-to medium-term social and economic development plans.China's recent commitment to achieving carbon neutrality by 2060 has set a clear direction for its economy,but requires ratcheting up ambition on its near-term climate policy.Against this background,this paper discusses major action areas for China's 14th Five-Year Plan after COVID-19,especially focusing on three aspects:the energy transition,a new type of sustainable urban development,and investment priorities.China's role in the world is now of a magnitude that makes its actions in the immediate future critical to how the world goes forward.This decade,2021e2030,is of fundamental importance to human history.If society locks in dirty and high-carbon capital,it raises profound risks of irreversible damage to the world's climate.It is crucial for China to peak its emissions in the 14th Five-Year Plan(by 2025),making the transition earlier and cheaper,enhancing its international competitiveness in growing new markets and setting a strong example for the world.The benefits for China and the world as a whole could be immense.

Jinduicheng Molybdenum Group Releases the 13th Five-Year Development Plan

Recently,Jinduicheng Molybdenum Group(JMG)issued the 13th Five-Year Development Plan(hereinafter referred to as the'Development Plan')The Development Plan proposes that the company generate an operating income of RMB 30 billion by the end of 2020 and build itself into a comprehensive mining group with international competitiveness.

Jinduicheng Molybdenum Group Releases the 13th Five-Year Development Plan

Recently,Jinduicheng Molybdenum Group(JMG)issued the 13th Five-Year Development Plan(hereinafter referred to as the'Development Plan')The Development Plan proposes that the company generate an operating income of RMB 30 billion by the end of 2020 and build itself into a comprehensive mining group with international competitiveness.

Vehicle emissions of primary air pollutants from 2009 to 2019 and projection for the 14th Five-Year Plan period in Beijing, China

Over the past decade,the emission standards and fuel standards in Beijing have been upgraded twice,and the vehicle structure has been improved by accelerating the elimination of 2.95 million old vehicles.Through the formulation and implementation of these policies,the emissions of carbon monoxide(CO),volatile organic compounds(VOCs),nitrogen oxides(NO_(x)),and fine particulate matter(PM_(2.5))in 2019 were 147.9,25.3,43.4,and 0.91 kton in Beijing,respectively.The emission factor method was adopted to better understand the emissions characteristics of primary air pollutants from combustion engine vehicles and to improve pollution control.In combination with the air quality improvement goals and the status of social and economic development during the 14th Five-Year Plan period in Beijing,different vehicle pollution control scenarios were established,and emissions reductions were projected.The results show that the emissions of four air pollutants(CO,VOCs,NO_(x),and PM_(2.5))fromvehicles in Beijing decreased by an average of 68% in 2019,compared to their levels in 2009.The contribution of NOx emissions from diesel vehicles increased from 35% in 2009 to 56% in 2019,which indicated that clean and energy-saving diesel vehicle fleets should be further improved.Electric vehicle adoption could be an important measure to reduce pollutant emissions.With the further upgrading of vehicle structure and the adoption of electric vehicles,it is expected that the total emissions of the four vehicle pollutants can be reduced by 20%-41% by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan period.

基于有限理性决策理论的“十四五”时期我国中医药发展注意力配置研究

目的分析“十四五”时期我国中医药发展的注意力配置情况,提出促进中医药高质量发展的建议。方法通过检索卫生行政部门相关网站,搜集31个省、自治区、直辖市的“十四五”中医药发展规划文本。基于有限理性决策理论,运用NVivo 14软件进行文本量化分析,基于关键词词频比较各地、不同经济区域/行政区域中医药发展的注意力配置情况;运用NVivo 14软件的编码功能挖掘关键词对应的关联词,分析不同经济区域/行政区域中医药发展的政策工具选择和资源布局重点。结果最终确定与中医药发展规划吻合的10个关键词,即中医、发展、服务、健康、文化、人才、创新、中药、特色、传承。词频分析结果显示,北京市、浙江省、四川省、江苏省、吉林省和河北省的关键词总词频相对较高,均超过800次;东部地区、直辖市的关键词平均总词频相对较高,分别为823.60次、813.00次。关联词分析结果显示,在中医药发展政策工具选择和资源布局重点上,四大经济区域均注重中医医院(医疗机构)建设、中医药的文化传播和传承创新,三类行政区域均注重中医医院(医疗机构)建设、高质量发展、特色优势、中医药的文化传播和传承创新;在其他关键词相同的情况下,各经济区域/行政区域仍有个性化的政策工具选择和资源布局重点。结论各地、不同经济区域或行政区域对中医药发展的注意力配置情况差异较大,中医药优质资源的区域间分布不均衡问题突出。建议持续优化中医药发展注意力配置策略,打破区域内、区域间中医药发展壁垒,充分利用好中医药发展政策工具箱,推动实现更高水平的中医药传承创新发展。

China’s Economic Development in the New Era: Challenges and Paths

China’s economy has seen rapid development ever since its reform and opening-up strategy was launched in 1978.Strong economic expansion over the past four decades has taken China from low-income to upper-middle-income status.Looking back at the transformation that China has made,however,we must recognise that the old growth story is coming to an end.The phase of development driven by investment in physical capital will be increasingly supplanted by investment in assets such as knowledge and social capital as well as investment in preservation of natural capital.Recognising the challenges that China is facing,with this paper we aim to offer an approach to growth and development that could spell out a new development strategy for the country as the 21st century progresses.China will focus on the technologies with high-quality growth prospects:modern service sectors,including health,education,transport,communications and IT,artificial intelligence,finance,logistics,sustainable urban infrastructure and new food and land-use systems.With today’s technologies,China can help the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI)countries embark on a much more sustainable,more efficient and greener form of development,avoiding historical problems of pollution and congestion,with China itself moving up the value chain at the same time.

上海图书馆(上海科学技术情报研究所)“十四五”发展规划纲要

本文概述上海图书馆(上海科学技术情报研究所)“十四五”发展规划,解读规划提出的发展主题、发展目标和9项主要任务与重点工作,并从资源、运行、服务、项目、合作等角度展望2035年上海图书馆(上海科学技术情报研究所)的发展。

“十四五”时期发展新趋势与国土空间规划应对

“十四五”时期,我国将进入经济转型和制度革新的新时代.国土空间规划作为国家的重要政策调控工具,将有力地支撑国家的转型发展.本文认为,新时期社会经济发展的趋势有经济发展进入新常态、城镇化发展进入新阶段和生态文明建设进入新时代.在此背景下,高质量发展成为各项工作的出发点,国土空间规划应在优化配置供给侧要素、服务新旧动能转换和实现全要素管理自然资源等三个方面落实高质量发展的目标.新时期国土空间规划关注的重点应包括城乡空间发展、城市品质提升和生态文明建设等.

面向医学科技发展 做好医学图书馆“十四五”规划

“健康中国战略”为我国“十四五”时期医学信息服务和医学科技信息资源建设提供新的发展机遇,同时也提出更高要求。本文在分析中国医学科学院医学信息研究所/图书馆“十四五”期间面临的机遇和挑战的基础上,基于图书馆数字化信息资源建设、多元化信息知识服务方面长期发展积累,提出图书馆“十四五”规划的三大要点:强化多维医学科技信息知识基础设施;构建情报工具平台服务;集成信息技术提升智慧图书馆用户体验。

“十三五”我国蔗糖产业现状及“十四五”发展趋势

蔗糖是我国重要的农产品,是食品行业中不可以替代的重要原料,蔗糖产业的高质量发展关系到我国食糖的供给安全。“十三五”期间,我国通过甘蔗生产基地建设,有力推动了蔗糖生产的良种化、规模化、机械化和水利化发展,蔗糖产业发展成效显著。“十四五”期间,在新的发展阶段,蔗糖产业要紧紧围绕高质量发展的目标,窂固树立创新、绿色、协调、开放、共享的新发展理念,重点推进现代高效甘蔗生产基地建设,加快推广自育甘蔗品种和糖料蔗全程机械化生产,实行绿色高效生产,建设区域布局合理、基础设施完善、生产装备先进、产业优势突出的现代化生产基地,巩固提升甘蔗供给能力,促进农民增收,保障国家食糖供给安全。

中国社会救助高质量发展研究

“十四五”时期,社会救助发展将处在历史发展的新起点上,进入高质量发展新阶段。要实现“十四五”时期中国社会救助高质量发展,需要对社会救助高质量发展目标进行研判,提出社会救助高质量发展的体制机制路径:按照补短板思路,从五个方面促进体系和制度优化,即健全社会救助体系、完备社会救助法制、建立救助服务制度、提高救助经办能力、建立救助信息管理平台;按照保障和服务升级的思路,从三个方面实现救助管理优化,即建立救助主动发现和预警机制、建立跨部门救助经办整合机制、建立“党建+救助”和社会参与机制。

中国医疗保障制度的参量改革

我国的医疗保障制度改革存在制度改革、管理改革和参量改革三种基本路径;我国的医疗保障进入以病有良医为目标的高质量发展阶段后,参量改革将成为改革的主要路径。要论证以上观点,需要系统分析我国医疗保障制度的参量体系及其目前改革的基本状况,并从扩大筹资规模、控制待遇过快增长、优化支付结构和提升管理效率等四个方面分析“十四五”期间医保参量改革的主要任务与内容,最后提出医保参量改革的基本原则和关键对策。