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The NE Directed Seismicity Belt in Tibet after the M_S8.1 Nepal Earthquake and Its Predictive Significance
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作者 Wang Shuangxu Zhu Liangyu +2 位作者 Xu Jing Ji Lingyun Jiang Fengyun 《Earthquake Research in China》 CSCD 2018年第1期119-129,共11页
After the 2015 M_S8. 1 Nepal earthquake,a strong and moderate seismicity belt has formed in Tibet gradually spreading along the northeast direction. In this paper,we attempt to summarize the features and investigate t... After the 2015 M_S8. 1 Nepal earthquake,a strong and moderate seismicity belt has formed in Tibet gradually spreading along the northeast direction. In this paper,we attempt to summarize the features and investigate the primary mechanism of this behavior of seismic activity,using a 2-D finite element numerical model with tectonic dynamic settings and GPS horizontal displacements as the constraints. In addition,compared with the NEtrending seismicity belt triggered by the 1996 Xiatongmoin earthquake,we discuss the future earthquake hazard in and around Tibet. Our results show that: the NE-directed seismicity belt is the response of enhanced loading on the anisotropic Qinghai-Tibetan plateau from the Indian plate and earthquake thrusting. Also,this possibly implies that a forthcoming strong earthquake may fill in the gaps in the NE-directed seismicity belt or enhance the seismic hazard in the eastern( the north-south seismic zone) and western( Tianshan tectonic region) parts near the NE-directed belt. 展开更多
关键词 the 2015 M S8.1 nepal earthquake Qinghai-Tibetan plateau NE-directed SEISMICITY BELT PREDICTIVE SIGNIFICANCE
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尼泊尔8.1级大震与中国大陆西部8级大震预测研究 被引量:4
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作者 门可佩 《南京信息工程大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2015年第3期281-288,共8页
自1300年以来的715 a间,中国大陆及其邻区共发生M≥8大震25次,呈现出显著的自组织有序性.特别是从1902年到2001年的100 a间,中国大陆西部地区发生3对前后间隔4 a的8级大震有序对.基于信息预测理论,在对中国大陆8级大震有序网络构建及其... 自1300年以来的715 a间,中国大陆及其邻区共发生M≥8大震25次,呈现出显著的自组织有序性.特别是从1902年到2001年的100 a间,中国大陆西部地区发生3对前后间隔4 a的8级大震有序对.基于信息预测理论,在对中国大陆8级大震有序网络构建及其总结研究的基础上,补充尼泊尔3次8级大震新信息:2015年8.1级、1934年8.1级和1833年8级大震,进一步优化完善并构建8级大震二维与三维有序网络结构,并由此对未来8级大震进行预测.研究结果表明:2015年尼泊尔8.1级大震的发生,标志着新一轮8级大震活动的开始,未来数十年内大震强震将在青藏高原地区由南向北迁移发生,2022与2026年前后中国大陆西部将发生新的8级大震有序对,2029、2045年前后仍有可能发生8级大震. 展开更多
关键词 2015年尼泊尔8.1级大震 中国大 陆西部 信息有序网络结构 8级大震有 序对 M≥8大震预测
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