Research on the Impact of Market Concern for Real Estate Policy on Housing Prices: Evidence from Internet Search and Hedonic Price Theory

To avoid the effects of systemic financial risks caused by extreme fluctuations in housing price,the Chinese government has been exploring the most effective policies for regulating the housing market.Measuring the effect of real estate regulation policies has been a challenge for present studies.This study innovatively employs big data technology to obtain Internet search data(ISD)and construct market concern index(MCI)of policy,and hedonic price theory to construct hedonic price index(HPI)based on building area,age,ring number,and other hedonic variables.Then,the impact of market concerns for restrictive policy,monetary policy,fiscal policy,security policy,and administrative supervision policy on housing prices is evaluated.Moreover,compared with the common housing price index,the hedonic price index considers the heterogeneity of houses and could better reflect the changes in housing prices caused by market supply and demand.The results indicate that(1)a long-term interaction relationship exists between housing prices and market concerns for policy(MCP);(2)market concerns for restrictive policy and administrative supervision policy effectively restrain rising housing prices while those for monetary and fiscal policy have the opposite effect.The results could serve as a useful reference for governments aiming to stabilize their real estate markets.

Study on the roles and acting mechanism of the real estate brokerage in China second-hand housing market

As China housing reform deepens, the second-hand housing transactions become more and more popular and real estate brokerages, as an intermediary of the transactions, become an undeniable important part of this market. This article mainly explores the roles and the acting mechanism of real estate brokerages in the second-hand housing market. The results show that the participation of real estate brokers in the second-hand housing market may have positive and negative influences. On one side, brokers ease the housing transaction process and benefits buyers and sellers by shortening the sale time on the market. On the other side, if brokers are the only participants in the housing transaction, acting as buyer and seller like some firms do, housing prices will increase and this negative effect will become even stronger as the participation of many more brokers increases. Therefore, the regulation and management of the industry is vital for the long and healthy development of the housing market in China.

Dynamic Game Research on Multiple Subjects in the Real Estate Market of China

In order to analyze the deep-routed reason for the failure of the real estate market regulation policy, this paper established an incomplete information tri-game model in which central government, local government and the real estate developer were chosen as three main research objects. Based on the analysis of their interest appeals under the assumption of rational economic man, we found that it was the difference of interest appeals of central and local governments as well as the real estate developers that caused the game among the three participants. This, however, led to the failure of the macro-control at last. Strengthening the supervision of central government and reducing its cost at the same time, what’s more, improving the efficiency of the supervision and increasing the punishment of the rent-seeking behavior between local government and the real estate developers will contribute to improve the implementation status of the regulation and control policy. We suggest the authorities improve the government political achievement appraisal system and reform the current system of benefits distribution;moreover, reform the existing regulatory system and strength the regulatory role of media and the third-party so as to promote the healthy development of the real estate market.

Research on the Low Carbon Development Strategy of the Real Estate Enterprise Based on the Whole Life Cycle of the Project

This paper analyzes the present development situations of the real estate industry, puts forwards the low carbon development strategies based on the project life cycle for the real estate enterprises, and points out the corresponding assistant suggestions according to the predicament in the implementation of low carbon strategy. The purpose is to provide a theoretical reference for low carbon development of the real estate enterprises and the healthy and sustainable development of the real estate industry.

Evaluation on the Process and Effects of Monetary Policies to Chinese Real Estate Market

The process of China＇s monetary policy regulation on the real estate market can be roughly divided into four stages since 1998. The first and the third stages are to raise housing price, while the second and the fourth stages are to curb housing price. There are both successful experiences and failure lessons in these stages of regulation. The present monetary policy instruments should be based on quantitative instruments, while the price instruments shall serve only as a supplement. We should use comprehensive polices including land policies, fiscal policies, legal and political means to develop a variety of specific and flexible policies to prevent financial risks, so that to fully play the important role of real estate market.

The Relationship between Corporate Real Estate and Economic Cycle

Studies on the relationship between corporate real estate(CRE)and economic cycles are very thin,especially from developing countries,such as South Africa.More,in practice,most firms hardly dedicate enough resources to CRE divisions.This leads to that management not fully maximises the wealth of shareholders.This study uses multi-linear regression to test how GDP,interest rate,and total corporate costs react to changes in CRE.The sample is made up of blue chip firms listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange(JSE).The results reveal mixed bag solutions-for certain firms;GDP,interest rate,and corporate costs are statistically significant and vice versa.More,this analysis can be replicated to other similar industries and indices around the world.

The Applicability of the Maximum Global Utility Method in the Activity of the Real Estate Consulting Service

The real estate sector is vital for ensuring human needs for living and activity. This fact conditioned the formation of a legal, normative and methodological framework specific to real estate, but also the investment attractiveness of the field. Thus, the real estate consultant often solves technical, economic, legal, organizational problems, but the biggest responsibility rests with investment consulting. The applied methodologies, focused on evaluating the efficiency of investments, are not sufficient to propose to the investor a reasoned conclusion regarding the investment priority. In this article, the authors propose a useful tool for real estate consultants in order to reason the decision regarding the investment of funds in commercial real estate for the purpose of renting it out—the Maximum Global Utility (MGU) method. It is proposed to include in the analysis and the way of calculating the indicator “importance level of the real estate” which reflects the criterion of the best use. This indicator ensures the flexibility of the decision depending on the quality characteristics of the real estate.

The Relationship Between the Real Estate Market and the Stock Market and Its Impact on the Strategic Planning Process in the Jordanian Organizations

This study aims at the relationship between the real estate market and Amman Stock Exchange, through the impact of three macroeconomic factors （GDP, inflation rate, and the population growth rate） and another three factors from the microeconomic indicators （interest rate, remittances of Jordanian expatriates, and the loans provided by the Jordanian banks）. The results show that the stock market is more sensitive to the microeconomic indicators than the real estate market, and responds more rapidly than the real estate market for the changes in the microeconomic indicators. The study presents some recommendations for the Jordanian companies who own or manage any investment portfolio to be aware for the existing relationship between the two markets, and to reflect this awareness in their strategic Plans, Particularly in the regression atmosphere that causes by global crisis.

Study on the Theory and Method of Real Estate Property Right Appraisal

This paper first introduces the overview of real estate appraisal theory,the basic situation of real estate appraisal,the basic principles and characteristics of real estate appraisal,and three main appraisal methods.On this basis,the specific use scope of each method,the meaning of each parameter,and the influencing factors are analyzed.Then,based on the in-depth study of various existing appraisal theories and methods,a new appraisal method is proposed:the appraisal analysis method based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process.

Cyclical fluctuations of real estate investment across regions in urban China

Taking the concrete conditions of each region into full consideration, the Chinese real estate market is divided into an eastern market, a central market and a western market. For each market, the autoregressive integrated moving average （ARMA） model is established and spectral analysis is carded out to better understand the changes in the real estate markets in each region. The results show the investment levels and several kinds of cycles within each market. The level of real estate investment （LREI）in the eastern region is the higiaest, and the short cycle of investment is about 4 to 5 years; the LREI in the central region is in the middle, and the short cycle of investment is about 2 to 3 years; the LREI in the western region has been rapidly increasing in recent years, and the short cycle of investment is about 4 to 5 years. Real estate investment in each area has reached a peak and completed a middle-cycle movement after a period of sustained recession and an upsurge process, which has taken about 9 to 10 years.

Study on the House Market and Pricing——A Case Study of Nanjing's Building Groups

In this paper,some methods of economics and management were used.Based on analysis of the house market structure,the factors influencing the house price,the house pricing methods and strategies were proposed.Then a case in Nanjing was studied,and the results show:firstly,the house market is a monopolistic competitive market,and in some places it is even an oligopoly market;secondly,the cost-plus pricing method is reasonable and scientific,and the specificity is the base of pricing;thirdly,the average price of a building groups in Nanjing should be 8 906$/sq.m.Finally,aiming at the house pricing,some countermeasures and suggestions are put forward in this paper.

Real estate market efficiency: Evidence from Chinese cities

The price in an efficient market can adjust to new information instantaneously to eliminate any arbitrage opportunities. Such a phenomenon is not always observed in the real estate market because of its unique characteristics, which include fixed location, heterogeneity and low transaction frequency. Using housing and office market data of some major cities in China, this paper examines the return and risk characteristics in these markets and assesses market efficiency. It finds that a number of instruments, including lagged quarterly and annual excess returns and, to some extent, the measure of the deviation of price from the intrinsic value, predict future returns. Therefore, weak form and semi-strong form efficiency can both be rejected in these real estate markets. These empirical findings suggest that there is slow price adjustment in real estate markets in China, which may be attributed to inefficient information transmission systems and long searching time in the markets.

Existing European Buildings and Cities： Economic Improvement and Evaluation of the Cost-Benefit Related to Lifecycle and Performance

In this study, the interdependency is presented between the characteristics of the buildings and the relative economic value, in order to plan economic policies and preconditions for improving the quality of the European buildings heritage through access, by an holistic approach, to the necessary f＇mancial resources. The economic value of a real estate asset is closely connected to the construction features and their performance over time （lifecycle）. Safer, more comfortable and productive buildings for inhabitants are at the same time more operationally efficient and economically convenient for the owners. Solidity characteristics and static resistance to earthquakes, eco-efficiency and other constructive qualities of the building will provide benefits in the long term, and they are directly related the LCC （life cycle cost） including specific construction and/or maintenance costs. Moreover, these characteristics have an impact on the ＂market value＂ and on the ＂mortgage lending value＂ of properties, as well as on the possibility of financing the purchase through access to more affordable mortgages, and to make really feasible conversions even in the absence of public financial resources. This study introduces a new approach for conversions involving whole buildings or city areas. This research identifies the economic sustainability of a project by combining principles and suitable methodologies, together with performance and other characteristics. These aspects constitute the essential prerequisite for obtaining mortgages from banks and/or financial resources from international investors.

Stock Market Turnover and China’s Real Estate Market Price: An Empirical Study Based on VAR

Our analysis used the monthly data of the average sales price of commodity houses and stock turnover in the Shenzhen Stock Exchange from January 2016 to December 2020. We selected this data to establish a Vector Autoregression(VAR) model using the Granger causality test to investigate the correlation between the stock market and the real estate market. We found that there is a significant positive correlation between the stock market and the real estate market. We also found that the real estate market price is the one-way Granger cause for the stock market turnover, and that changes in the real estate market price have a significant role in forecasting changes in stock market turnover. Therefore, the linkage between the two markets should be considered in macro regulations, and the impact on one of the markets should be considered when regulating the other.

Who In flue nces the Asian-Pacific Real Estate Markets:The US,Japan or China?

As rapid economic growth in China has led to significant appreciation of urban real estate market values,this study examines China s influence on Asian-Pacific real estate markets by focusing on their respective market integration with the US,Japan and China during the period January 2005 to December 2017.Market integration is examined by unconditional and time-varying conditional correlations,nonlinear Granger causality and dynamic connectedness effects.Overall,although the US and Japanese real estate markets have significantly influenced return and volatility in the regional markets,China has emerged as another major regional real estate volatility leader with rising influence over volatility integration,especially during the 2007-2011 crisis period.Financial crises have strengthened China s volatility connectedness effects and market integration with other Asian-Pacific real estate markets.Our results imply that the benefits of regional portfolio diversification may be declining as volatility integration across the Chinese and Asian-Pacific real estate markets becomes stronger.Therefore,diversified global investors should pay greater attention to these real estate markets.

Problems and Solutions of China’s Real Estate Market Based on International Comparison

On the basis of determining the international comparison method and framework of the real estate market, this paper makes a comparative analysis on the development of China’s real estate market and those of some comparable countries (or regions). The prominent problem of the real estate market in our country is the rapid rise of urban house price and the high ratio of house price to income. The direct reason is that the social funds, especially the excessive credit funds flow into the real estate market. The indirect reason is that the land supply mode makes the land price increase too fast and account for high proportion in house price, which leads to the result that the development of real estate industry is beyond the stage of economic development. These problems are not isolated, but related to each other. The rapid rise of house prices in most of the cities, especially in the first-tier cities, is the comprehensive reflection of a large amount of credit funds promoting and the drawbacks of the land supply system in essence. The main ideas to solve the problem are correctly understanding the status, role and influence of the real estate market, stabilizing and improving the short-term control policy of the real estate market, and accelerating the establishment of a long-term mechanism for the healthy development of the real estate market.

Taming the Real Estate Market

Curbing housing prices will rely on the effectiveness of the latest government measures sales offices for housing projects are no longer enjoying the overcrowded showrooms of prospective buyers. Agents of second-hand houses have resorted to canvassing clients by making repeated phone calls,

The National Real Estate Market In the Past Three Quarters

In the past three quarters,investment in real estate development totaled 3351.1 billion yuan($504.2 billion),up by 36.4 percent year on year,of which,investment in residential buildings reached 2.35 trillion yuan($353.7 billion),representing a 33.8-percent increase year on year and accounting for 70.2 percent of the investment in real estate development.

房地产行业冲击下的系统性风险

房地产是当前中国最大的“灰犀牛”之一.本文首次就房地产行业冲击对我国所有行业可能造成的系统性风险影响进行了压力测试.为克服以往二维压力测试无法刻画所有行业之间联动的问题,本文提出了一种新的动态高维Copula(DHDC)宏观压力测试方法.还提出了一种新的系统性风险度量—条件市值损失(CoMVL),它结合了已有风险度量CoES和MES的优点,又融入了市值信息,从而更好地测量负向冲击的影响.利用中国18个行业的指数回报数据,基于DHDC压力测试的实证分析表明:房地产行业冲击对其他各个行业产生了广泛的不利影响,如果未来一个月内房地产行业累积收益率下跌20%,将会导致制造业、金融业、信息技术业和采矿业的市值分别下跌10.14万亿元、0.81万亿元、0.65万亿元和0.42万亿元,收益率分别下跌29.10%、7.81%、15.27%和10.92%;房地产行业冲击对一个行业造成的市值损失75%以上归结于间接影响,即房地产行业通过影响其它行业而其它行业又对目标行业造成的影响.风险溢出网络分析表明,房地产行业冲击主要通过信息技术业、采矿业、批发零售业、交运仓储业、水电煤气业和建筑业六个行业对制造业和金融业产生了不利影响.拓展分析还表明,房地产行业冲击时间越长,对其他行业产生的不利影响也就越大;而且房地产行业负向冲击产生的影响要大于同等幅度下正向冲击产生的影响,即当前稳定房地产下跌预期对防范系统性风险相对更加重要.一系列稳健性检验都证实了本文结果的可靠性.本研究对于全面理解和防范房地产行业冲击对其它各行业可能带来的系统性风险具有重要的政策指引意义.