Greater participation in global value chains(GVCs)has highlighted the impact of exchange rate shocks on international trade.This paper examines how such participation influences firms'responses to exchange rate mo...Greater participation in global value chains(GVCs)has highlighted the impact of exchange rate shocks on international trade.This paper examines how such participation influences firms'responses to exchange rate movements,focusing on the relationship between firms'pricing and value-added in exports.This study,using detailed Chinese firm-level data,demonstrates that firms with a high degree of GVC participation reacted to currency appreciation by lowering their export prices more substantially and reducing their export volumes less.This is mainly attributable to the"cost-hedging effect"within the marginal cost channel and the"pricing inhibition effect"within the markup channel.By categorizing export firms by trade models and product types,this study further demonstrates that processing trade firms at the low end of the value chain and those with low product differentiation were more inclined to absorb exchange rate shocks.This study adds to the existing theoretical framework and provides strong evidence for China in deepening GVC integration and supporting the development of high-quality export firms.展开更多
Economic globalization in the 21st century has been characterized by the rise and spread of global value chains(GVCs).It faces significant challenges due to increasing domestic and international policy uncertainty in ...Economic globalization in the 21st century has been characterized by the rise and spread of global value chains(GVCs).It faces significant challenges due to increasing domestic and international policy uncertainty in the context of emerging mega risks like geopolitical tensions and climate change.This paper begins by constructing a theoretical model for an open economy to study how risk-averse firms make decisions regarding the sourcing of intermediate inputs in an uncertain environment.Our model solution proposes that firms will source fewer intermediate inputs from countries with more economic uncertainty.An increase in domestic and foreign uncertainty will have opposite impacts on a country's position in GVCs.In this sense,we argue that a country tends to move downstream along GVCs if its own economic policies become more uncertain,and it tends to move upstream with an increase in the uncertainty of its trading partner countries.Our regression analyses,based on data including the World Input-Output Database,World Development Indicators,the UN Comtrade database,and the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index,provide empirical support for this model-based conclusion.Our findings highlight that a nation must consider foreign economic policy uncertainty and maintain domestic policy stability to participate in GVCs.展开更多
大规模需求市场是构建“双循环”新发展格局的核心优势之一,也是重塑全球价值链的重要力量。拓展Antràs and Gortari的全球价值链地理模型,理论分析大规模需求市场对全球价值链生产空间分布的影响,并借助WIOD数据,构建大规模需求...大规模需求市场是构建“双循环”新发展格局的核心优势之一,也是重塑全球价值链的重要力量。拓展Antràs and Gortari的全球价值链地理模型,理论分析大规模需求市场对全球价值链生产空间分布的影响,并借助WIOD数据,构建大规模需求市场临近距离指标进行实证检验。研究发现,大规模需求市场诱致全球价值链生产空间集聚,具体表现在:第一,越临近大规模需求市场,地区的全球价值链生产位置越呈现下游化,且下游生产环节间空间临近性越强;第二,越临近大规模需求市场,参与全球价值链的后向地理优势越强,后向参与度越高;第三,越临近大规模需求市场,价值链长度越向外延伸,区域内部生产联系越强。并且,以上生产空间集聚存在行业差异,主要表现在规模经济较强及运输成本较高的行业。研究结论为全球价值链区域化发展与价值链区域化存在的风险提供理论证据,为“双循环”新发展格局下协调扩大内需战略与主导区域价值链建设之间关系的政策设计提供参考。展开更多
基金support from the National Social Science Fund of China(No.15ZDC020).
文摘Greater participation in global value chains(GVCs)has highlighted the impact of exchange rate shocks on international trade.This paper examines how such participation influences firms'responses to exchange rate movements,focusing on the relationship between firms'pricing and value-added in exports.This study,using detailed Chinese firm-level data,demonstrates that firms with a high degree of GVC participation reacted to currency appreciation by lowering their export prices more substantially and reducing their export volumes less.This is mainly attributable to the"cost-hedging effect"within the marginal cost channel and the"pricing inhibition effect"within the markup channel.By categorizing export firms by trade models and product types,this study further demonstrates that processing trade firms at the low end of the value chain and those with low product differentiation were more inclined to absorb exchange rate shocks.This study adds to the existing theoretical framework and provides strong evidence for China in deepening GVC integration and supporting the development of high-quality export firms.
基金support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.72273125)the Zhejiang Provincial Philosophy and Social Sciences Planning Project(Nos.22NDQN203YB,22ZJQN13YB)the JapaneseKAKENproject(No.24K04853).
文摘Economic globalization in the 21st century has been characterized by the rise and spread of global value chains(GVCs).It faces significant challenges due to increasing domestic and international policy uncertainty in the context of emerging mega risks like geopolitical tensions and climate change.This paper begins by constructing a theoretical model for an open economy to study how risk-averse firms make decisions regarding the sourcing of intermediate inputs in an uncertain environment.Our model solution proposes that firms will source fewer intermediate inputs from countries with more economic uncertainty.An increase in domestic and foreign uncertainty will have opposite impacts on a country's position in GVCs.In this sense,we argue that a country tends to move downstream along GVCs if its own economic policies become more uncertain,and it tends to move upstream with an increase in the uncertainty of its trading partner countries.Our regression analyses,based on data including the World Input-Output Database,World Development Indicators,the UN Comtrade database,and the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index,provide empirical support for this model-based conclusion.Our findings highlight that a nation must consider foreign economic policy uncertainty and maintain domestic policy stability to participate in GVCs.
文摘大规模需求市场是构建“双循环”新发展格局的核心优势之一,也是重塑全球价值链的重要力量。拓展Antràs and Gortari的全球价值链地理模型,理论分析大规模需求市场对全球价值链生产空间分布的影响,并借助WIOD数据,构建大规模需求市场临近距离指标进行实证检验。研究发现,大规模需求市场诱致全球价值链生产空间集聚,具体表现在:第一,越临近大规模需求市场,地区的全球价值链生产位置越呈现下游化,且下游生产环节间空间临近性越强;第二,越临近大规模需求市场,参与全球价值链的后向地理优势越强,后向参与度越高;第三,越临近大规模需求市场,价值链长度越向外延伸,区域内部生产联系越强。并且,以上生产空间集聚存在行业差异,主要表现在规模经济较强及运输成本较高的行业。研究结论为全球价值链区域化发展与价值链区域化存在的风险提供理论证据,为“双循环”新发展格局下协调扩大内需战略与主导区域价值链建设之间关系的政策设计提供参考。
