Analysis of the financial crisis after the era of Chinese-style shadow banking and regulatory proposals

In 2007, the U.S. subprime crisis -induced global financial crisis swept across the world rapidly, triggering a reflection of Governments on financial regulatory philosophy and systems, it also brought the shadow banking finance in front of the majority of people, it has become the focus of attention. Various management measures have been taken around the shadow banking, and it has brought great volatility to currency and financial markets, and it also highlights the plight of Chinese shadow banking supervision. Therefore, this article briefly analyzes the mechanism of the Financial Times in the Chinese style shadow banking, and makes several regulatory proposals, avoiding low risk of shadow banking at the greatest degree.

Innovative Strategies for Financial Investment Management Strategies of Enterprises in the New Era

With the in-depth development of economic globalization and the continuous emergence of new technologies,the importance of enterprise financial investment management strategy is becoming more and more prominent.The traditional financial investment management strategy can no longer meet the needs of enterprises in the new era and needs to be innovated with the times.For enterprises,the effectiveness and scientificity of financial investment management strategy will directly affect the competitiveness and long-term development of enterprises.Therefore,this study chooses the innovation based on the financial investment management strategy of enterprises in the new era as the research theme,aiming at exploring the innovative strategy to adapt to the needs of enterprises in the new era.

A Comparison of Spillover Effects before, during and after the 2008 Financial Crisis

This paper applies graphical modelling to the S & P 500, Nikkei 225 and FTSE 100 stock market indices to trace the spillover of returns and volatility between these three major world stock market indices before, during and after the 2008 financial crisis. We find that the depth of market integration changed significantly between the pre-crisis period and the crisis and post-crisis period. Graphical models of both return and volatility spillovers are presented for each period. We conclude that graphical models are a useful tool in the analysis of multivariate time series where tracing the flow of causality is important.

Changes and Trends in the Independence of the US Federal Reserve Following the Financial Crisis

In 2018, US President Donald Trump repeatedly and publicly criticized the US Federal Reserve for raising interest rates too quickly, breaking the long-established precedent for presidents to refrain from intervening in monetary policy and putting the independence of the Federal Reserve into question. However, this is only the latest development of a longer process: since the financial crisis, the Federal Reserve has been gradually losing its independence, in a quiet and perhaps permanent way. There are several reasons for this trend: the Federal Reserve’s performance during the financial crisis undermined its credibility, the consolidation of political factors arranged against its independence, and the consequences of the financial crisis weakened the economic foundation for its independence. Trump’s rise to power has only strengthened these factors, bringing an additional loss of independence, which will have a profound impact on the economy, society, and politics.

Forecast of steel cord demand after the financial crisis

To analyze the production and marketing of China automobile in Year 2009,and also the development of China automobile and steel cord in those 11 years.The single-element regression mathematics model was set up to analyze the steel cord demand and automobile production.It predicted that automobile production would up to 15 170 000,16 690 000 and 18 360 000 respectively from 2010 to 2012,with the confidence as of 95%,the steel cord consumption in those three years will be 1 180 000 - 1 370 000 t, 1 320 000 - 1 520 000 t and 1 470 000 - 1 680 000 t.As to the policy of China stimulation,The role of Chinese tire has converted from the export-oriented to domestic consumer smoothly,so the effect of US special protectionist tariffs is limited in China.

Hungarian Economic Policy Measures After the 2008 Financial Crisis

The 1923 Global Economic Crisis （also called ＂The Great Depression＂） that had hit the whole world, caused the economists and politicians to see more clearly. As it has become obvious several times after World War II., deep changes were needed to be done concerning economic processes. In those times, many smaller crises had risen in different countries, affecting their micro-economic structures, however neither of them had such widespread effects as the Global Financial Crisis in 2008, that has struck several economic sectors, most of all, the finance industry. Numerous studies had been carried out, examining the causes and consequences of the 2008 Crisis. In this study the authors will give an organized overview on the circumstances that characterized the outbreak of the crisis, and focus on the impacts of the events, in particular, its effects on Hungary. To manage the crisis, each country used different economic approaches, took different measures, but the main concept, that economic processes needed strict regulations, was globally accepted, or at least, identified. Regulation of the financial sector, more specifically, of accounting standards was and is of paramount importance. At the outbreak of the crisis, Hungarian economy had been in a unique situation, and directly after 2008, Hungarian economic indicators showed a more favorable economic state compared to Western European countries. This has occurred because of the government＇s stabilization fiscal and economic policies in the years preceding the depression, when they had been trying to compensate the financial and economic decisions made during the previous years. But these indicators soon have changed and began to demonstrate a more realistic picture and showed the true economic state of the country. Besides the financial area, the Crisis had affected-on account of foreign currency lending--a wide range of the Hungarian society as well.

The Public Savings’ Relation With Borrowing Requirement and Financial Balances After Global Crisis in Turkey

In this study, we aim to determine public savings’ structural location in the analysis of effect levels that are related to public borrowing requirement to cope with the deviation of financial balances, especially after 2009 global crisis in Turkey. Public savings as a financial option take up an important place in the scope of expressed government budget balances related to public borrowing requirements which are increasingly located together with budget deficits. This fact especially is pertaining to investments and capital’s transfers that are subject to the public decision making process towards economic growth in the future in developing countries like Turkey. Therefore, increasing public savings’ limits appear on these countries as an inevitable financial phenomenon concerning the desired investments. Turkey, as a developing country, has faced two financial phenomenons that increase borrowing requirement terms that lead to intend financial balances that have generally deviated after 2009 financial crisis. Firstly, it’s increasing foreign debt burden and the public savings’ levels that have not been enough to cover all the proportion of foreign debt payments since 2009. Secondly, the effect level of global crisis on the exchange rates directly causes the deviation of national currency values as a meaningful important negative impact on budget balances that are aimed at together with the macroeconomic financial balances.

Global Financial Crisis and Accounting Rules： The Implications of the New Exposure Draft （ED） Financial Instruments： Expected Credit Losses on the Evaluation of Banking Company Loans

During the financial crisis, the delayed recognition of credit losses on loans and other financial instruments was identified as a weakness in existing incurred loss model of impairment stated by International Accounting Standards （IAS） 39, because it is believed that this delay might generate pro-cyclical effects. In response to the recommendations of G20, Financial Crisis Advisory Group （FCAG）, and other international bodies, the International Accounting Standards Board （IASB） has undertaken, since 2009, as a part of the project to replace IAS 39, a project （partially shared with Financial Accounting Standards Board （FASB）） aimed at introducing an expected loss model of impairment. Within the scope of this subset project, the IASB has previously issued two exposure documents proposing models to account for expected credit losses： an exposure draft （ED） Financial Instrument： Amortized Cost and Impairment, published in November 2009, and a supplementary document （SD） Financial Instrument： Impairment, published jointly with the FASB in January 2011. However, neither of the two proposals received strong support from interested parties. Recently, the IASB, after the FASB＇s decision to withdraw from the joint project and to develop a separate expected credit loss model based on a single measurement approach consisting in the sole recognition of lifetime expected credit losses, published a third proposal--Ahe so-called expected credit losses model （ED/2013/3 Financial Instruments： Expected Credit Losses）.

Predicting Financial Contagion and Crisis by Using Jones, Alexander Polynomial and Knot Theory

Topological methods are rapidly developing and are becoming more used in physics, biology and chemistry. One area of topology has showed its immense potential in explaining potential financial contagion and financial crisis in financial markets. The aforementioned method is knot theory. The movement of stock price has been marked and braids and knots have been noted. By analysing the knots and braids using Jones polynomial, it is tried to find if there exists an untrivial knot equal to unknot? After thorough analysis, possible financial contagion and financial crisis prediction are analysed by using instruments of knot theory pertaining in that sense to Jones, Laurent and Alexander polynomial. It is proved that it is possible to predict financial disruptions by observing possible knots in the graphs and finding appropriate polynomials. In order to analyse knot formation, the following approach is used: “Knot formation in three-dimensional space is considered and the equations about knot forming and its disentangling are considered”. After having defined the equations in three-dimensional space, the definition of Brownian bridge concerning formation of knots in three-dimensional space is defined. Using analogy method, the notion of Brownian bridge is translated into 2-dimensional space and the foundations for the application of knot theory in 2-dimensional space have been set up. At the same time, the aforementioned approach is innovative and it could be used in accordance with stochastic analysis and quantum finance.

A comment on government bailout measures in the global financial crisis

The subprime mortgage crunch that had simmered throughout 2007 erupted into a global financial crisis in mid-September 2008. To deal with the globally raging crisis, governments worldwide unveiled massive bailout plans. Up till now governments have been ratcheting up the size of bailouts and the extent of direct intervention as the financial crisis is spreading and the economic recession is deepening. Meanwhile, governments worldwide are also making tough policy choices among bailout and economic stimulus options. Government decisions made in this unprecedented global financial crisis are, in our opinion, replete with contradictions and mistakes. It is fully understandable that a government may make imperfect decisions when it takes on an unprecedented challenge without adequate preparation. Severely underestimating the nature and magnitude of the crisis and lacking a global macro-perspective and an overall framework and guideline when designing bailout packages, have, however, affected the impact of bailouts and created pitfalls that may come back to haunt the economies in the future.

Reflection and Enlightenment on the 10th Anniversary of the International Financial Crisis

In 2008, the US subprime mortgage crisis ignited the international financial crisis which caused a big shock, leading to the great recession and triggering a series of economic, social, and political crises that had a profound impact on the world economy and international politics. Under the pressure of the big crisis, the countries concerned have strengthened financial supervision, and the international community is committed to global governance. However, the corresponding measures are just stirring the hot soup to stop it from boiling. As the main culprit of the financial monopoly is capital, its strength and power have been strengthened instead of being weakened. Greed and speculation have been continuously strengthened instead of being contained. In this way, it is very likely that the measures to solve the old crisis will be the very cause of a new crisis.

The Effect of the 2007/2008 Financial Crisis on Enterprise Risk Management Disclosure of Top US Banks

We document the effect of the 2007/2008 financial crisis on the volume and the quality of enterprise risk management （ERM） disclosure in the annual reports of the largest US banks, and analyze its determinants. Using a content analysis approach of the annual reports form 10-K for the years 2006, 2007, 2008, and 2009, we find that the ERM disclosure is significantly and positively associated with the crisis, bank size, board independence, duality and significantly and negatively associated with profitability, leverage, and board size. This paper seeks to fill a gap in the literature by investigating the effect of the crisis on ERM disclosure in the US banking sector context, and gives an insight into the factors affecting risk disclosure practices during the financial crisis.

Predicting Corporate Failure and Global Financial Crisis： Theory and Implications

The purpose of this paper is to discuss corporate failure issues in the context of the global financial crisis. After considering some key issues, the paper shows how relevant these issues are relevant in the present financial fiasco. It is clear that corporate failure brings untold hardships to all stakeholders. Again the problem of predicting corporate failure in the midst of the financial contagion could be overcome with sound risk management structure in place. The discussion mainly focuses on corporate failure within the context of the global financial distress. To the best of our knowledge this study is the first of its kind, which provides conceptual insights on predicting corporate failure and the global financial distress.

Reflection on the Key Features and Causes of the Current "Global Financial Crisis"

The current financial crisis is an inevitable result of the financial system accommodating a new banking business model, which endeavors to benefit, with increased innovation in financial products, from the incentives and distortions created by the global macro liquidity policies. The failure of regulatory and supervising institutions to keep up with those innovations has undoubtedly compounded the magnitude of the debt and credit crisis.

Analysis of the Impact of Asian Financial Crisis on Shanghai's Utilization of Foregin Direct Investment

The Asian financial crisis has increasingly shown its in-fluence on the utilization of foreign direct investment inShanghai. To further explain this, the main factors thatplay important roles in the decision of foreign direct in-vestment in Shanghai are analyzed. The extent of influ-ence is measured according to the changes of those decis-ive factors. A simple linear regression model is intro-duced to help the analysis.

The global financial crisis and China's economic security

As financial derivatives have exploded like bombs,one ofter another,capital injections by the U.S.and European governments are becoming gradually ineffective.These rescue measures will fail to revese the banding crisis,and even worse,may plunge the global economy from deflation into a cycle of inflation during recession.Ultimately,economic collapse and hyperinflation may occur simultaneously.In response to this grave possibility,China should unite first stakeholders in demanding the U.S.government strictly distinguish two kinds of debts in its rescue package:The first are bonds such as U.S.pension funds,3A grade bonds issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mae,and U.S.government bonds held by other countries,These are creditor’s rights,which should be guaranteed with top priority.The second kind are debts deriving from the speculation at financial institutions such as highly leveraged derivatives,which have reached astronomical figures.Attempts to rescue such bad debts will only lead to hyperinflation.

Global imbalances,the financial crisis and China's economic recovery

This paper examines the inherent relationship between the global imbalance and the financial crisis from historical review and a survey of the literature.This paper sets up a two-country model featured by monetary hegemony showing that the financial crisis of 2008 is interrelated with the United States’ expansionary monetary policy and the hegemony of the U.S.dollar.This paper then analyses the impact of the crisis and the policy responses,focusing on the preconditions for China’s economic recovery.Through an international comparison,we argue that one of the Great Depression’s lessons is that the exorbitant government intervention in some areas was harmful and that the necessary condition for China’s recovery is economic flexibility,namely,resilient market mechanisms.

The aggregate and sectoral time‑varying market efficiency during crisis periods in Turkey:a comparative analysis with COVID‑19 outbreak and the global financial crisis

This study aims to examine the time-varying efficiency of the Turkish stock market’s major stock index and eight sectoral indices,including the industrial,financial,service,information technology,basic metals,tourism,real estate investment,and chemical petrol plastic,during the COVID-19 outbreak and the global financial crisis(GFC)within the framework of the adaptive market hypothesis.This study employs multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis to illustrate these sectors’multifractality and short-and long-term dependence.The results show that all sectoral returns have greater persis-tence during the COVID-19 outbreak than during the GFC.Second,the real estate and information technology industries had the lowest levels of efficiency during the GFC and the COVID-19 outbreak.Lastly,the fat-tailed distribution has a greater effect on multifractality in these industries.Our results validate the conclusions of the adaptive market hypothesis,according to which arbitrage opportunities vary over time,and contribute to policy formulation for future outbreak-induced economic crises.

On the Mechanism of CDOs behind the Current Financial Crisis and Mathematical Modeling with Levy Distributions

This paper aims to reveal the mechanism of Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) and how CDOs extend the current global financial crisis. We first introduce the concept of CDOs and give a brief account of the de-velopment of CDOs. We then explicate the mechanism of CDOs within a concrete example with mortgage deals and we outline the evolution of the current financial crisis. Based on our overview of pricing CDOs in various existing random models, we propose an idea of modeling the random phenomenon with the feature of heavy tail dependence for possible implements towards a new random modeling for CDOs.