Land Use Dynamics and Ecosystem Service Value Changes in the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration Under Different Scenarios

Urban agglomerations,serving as pivotal centers of human activity,undergo swift alterations in ecosystem services prompted by shifts in land utilization.Strengthening the monitoring of ecosystem services in present and future urban agglomerations contributes to the rational planning of these areas and enhances the well-being of their inhabitants.Here,we analyzed land use conversion in the Yangtze River Delta(YRD)urban agglomeration during 1990-2020 and discussed the spatiotemporal response and main drivers of changes in ecosystem service value(ESV).By considering the different development strategic directions described in land use planning policies,we predicted land use conversion and its impact on ESV using the Future Land Use Simulation(FLUS)model in three scenari-os in 2025 and 2030.Results show that:1)from 1990 to 2020,land use change is mainly manifested as the continuous expansion of con-struction land to cultivated land.Among the reduced cultivated land,82.2%were occupied by construction land.2)The land use types conversion caused a loss of 21.85 billion yuan(RMB)in ESV during 1990-2020.Moreover,the large reduction of cultivated land area led to the continuous decline of food production value,accounting for 13%of the total ESV loss.3)From 2020 to 2030,land use change will mainly focus on Yangzhou and Zhenjiang in central Jiangsu Province and Taizhou in southern Zhejiang Province.Under the BAU(natural development)and ED(cultivated land protection)scenarios,construction land expansion remains dominant.In contrast,under the EP(ecological protection)scenario,the areas of water bodies and forest land increase significantly.Among the different scenarios,ESV is highest in the EP scenario,making it the optimal solution for sustainable land use.It can be seen that the space use conflict among urban,agriculture and ecology is a key factor leading to ESV change in the urban agglomeration of Yangtze River Delta.There-fore,it is crucial to maintain spatial land use coordination.Our findings provide suggestions for scientific and rational land use planning for the urban agglomeration.

Urban Densification Strategy and Land Value in Tijuana,Baja California-The Opinion of Specialists

Specialists can provide opinions regarding the city and land value based on their specialized field.Professionals in these fields are identified as urban planners and valuators,who play a crucial role in the current dynamics of cities.They have a qualified opinion on city issues based on their professional practice in various areas of expertise.This opinion was obtained through the formulation and application of a questionnaire to specialists.Subsequently,the results were analyzed and graphically represented.In the discussion,several findings were found related to the relationship between land value and the urban densification policy established in the urban planning that governs the city of Tijuana,Baja California.The study investigated the behavior of the real estate market in the region and the establishment of a solid strategy toward densification.

Ecological suitability evaluation for urban growth boundary in red soil hilly areas based on fuzzy theory

The fuzziness exists in spatial distribution of geographic data of land suitability evaluation processes,which makes it difficult to quantify land boundaries by using traditional binary logic-based overlay model.Aiming at this limitation,an ecological suitability evaluation analysis model was presented based on fuzzy theory and a research on urban growth boundary(UGB) of the Great-Hexi Leading District(GHLD) of Changsha was conducted.With the support of GIS,RS and MATLAB,slope,elevation,vegetation,soil productivity,soil permeability,water body and land use are selected as the input of model according to the characteristic properties of soil and terrain in red soil hilly areas.The running result of this model indicates that the ratios of highly suitable land,suitable land,moderately suitable land and unsuitable land in GHLD are 18.75%,10.31%,64.16%,6.78%,respectively.This result accords with spatial structure worked out by Space Development Strategy Planning of GHLD,Based on this result,several suggestions are made to guide UGB developments in future.

On the Distributive Justice of Land Added Value in the Process of Urban Expansion

It is an unarguable fact that the urban-rural dual structure led to two different results. On the one hand,it had been playing a great role in the city development and prosperity,and on the other hand,it had led the slow development of rural economy and the income gap between rural and urban areas. The government makes efforts to promote the process of urbanization to maintain the sustained development of China's economy and economic transformation which are the two needs of the Chinese reality. But in the top-level design of the policy,the government did not give a fair profits distribution to all social groups. On the contrary,the result of urban development is based on the expense of a part of the people's interests in exchange for the interests of another parts of the people,and especially on the government expropriation in the process of urban expansion. Under Land Administration Law of the People's Republic of China,the government monopolized the expropriation right of the rural land,and the rural collectives and farmers as the land owner and constructors respectively have no rights to decide the land use purposes. In fact,they are forced to accept the land compensation,and because of the little bargaining rights,they gain little from the land value increment. Comparatively,the governments became the biggest beneficiary who made use of the land as a source and capital to earn the achievement in their official career and more money required by the urban development. The paper mainly analyzes the current situation of the distribution of the land added value,elaborates the reasons why the government strives for the land interests,and discusses what farmers lose in the government expropriation. Last but not lest,the author reflects on the land reform and gives a proposal on distribution of land added value.

Study on the Spatial Distribution of Resource-based Urban Land Based on Suitability Evaluation——A Case Study of Datong City in Shanxi Province

[ Objective] The study aimed at analyzing the spatial distribution of urban land based on the suitability evaluation of construction land in a resource-based city. [Methed] Firstly, the suitability of construction land in the center of Datong City was assessed; afterwards, according to the urban scale and spatial expansion mode in target years in the General Land Use Planning for Datong City （2006 -2020）, the spatial layout of new- ly-increased urban land and flexible construction land was carried out to determine the development boundary of Datong City in 2020. [ Result] In the evaluation area of Datong City, the most suitable construction land had an area of only 66.18 hm2, accounting for 10.40% of total area of evalu- ation region; the area of more suitable construction land was 117.51 hm2 and make up 18.47% of total area; moderately suitable land covered an area of 149.49 hm2, which took up 23.49% of total area; the area of unsuitable construction land （89.31 hm2 ） only made up 14.04% of total area. In the newly-increased urban construction land, the area of the most suitable and more suitable land accounted for 73.58%, while there was no un- suitable land. Meanwhile, in flexible construction land, the area of the most suitable and more suitable land made up 66.85%. In a word, the spa- tial layout of urban land was reasonable in Datong City. [Conclusion] The research could provide theoretical references for the spatial expansion and layout of urban land.

Urban Construction Land Suitability Evaluation Based on Improved Multi-criteria Evaluation Based on GIS(MCE-GIS): Case of New Hefei City,China

Urban construction land suitability evaluation （UCLSE） is a complex system engineering and the basis for rational use of the limited urban land resources in China. It has an important practical value on urban construction land use planning and management from the angle of methodology. As a widely used technique, traditional multi-criteria evaluation based on GIS （MCE-GIS）, is not suitable for UCLSE. This study develops an improved MCE-GIS method which could be more suitable for UCLSE based on urban complex ecological system theory and the summary of the shortcomings of traditional MCE-GIS. The improvements include three aspects： a composite evaluation index system rather than natural indexes alone, an index weight calculated by using fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process （AHP） method rather than the common AHP method, and the integrated overlay rule, which includes selecting the minimum value, weighted linear combination （WLC） and simple summation. The main advantage of this improved technique is that it can make UCLSE more comprehensive, more operational and more reasonable. It can provide a scientific basis for decision making in the planning and management of urban construction land use. The improved MCE-GIS system has been adopted in the New Hefei City, Anhui Province, China. Based on the results of UCLSE in New Hefei, three functional areas including construction-appropriate areas, construction-restricted areas and construction-forbidden areas could be worked out, in which 36.90% of the total study area could be developed as urban construction land and the remaining 63.10% should be protected as reserves land or as ecological land. Furthermore, the results can orovide scientific decision suooort for spatial planning and eco-environment nrotection in New Hefei.

Assessment of ecosystem services value in response to prevailing and future land use/cover changes in Lahore,Pakistan

Land use/cover changes(LUCCs)significantly affect ecosystem services(ESs)and their corresponding monetary value.ESs can be evaluated to analyze the ecological and environmental changes caused by LUCCs.This research aims to estimate variations in the ecosystem services value(ESV)due to LUCCs in Lahore of Pakistan,and to offer information and recommendations to policy-makers concerned with the economic improvement of metropolis areas.We first investigated the historical LUCCs from 1990 to 2019,and then simulated the future land use/cover in 2030 and 2050 based on the CA-Markov model under three scenarios,including business-as-usual(BAU),rapid economic growth(REG),and coordinated environmental sustainability(CES).Subsequently,we evaluated the ESV from 1990 to 2050 and evaluated the historical and potential future ESV changes induced by LUCCs during 1990–2019 and 2019–2050,respectively.The results showed that,land use/cover exhibited an increase in built-up land and decreases in vegetation,water body,and unused land both in the past and future.The net ESV decreased from 58.26 million USD in 1990 to 50.31 million USD in 2019.In 2050,the decrease in ESV is most rapid under the REG scenario(decrease ESV of 7.13 million USD and decrease percentage of 14.18%),followed by the BAU(decrease ESV of 5.61 million USD and decrease percentage of 11.15%)and CES(decrease ESV of 5.18 million USD and decrease percentage of 10.30%)scenarios.For each ecosystem service type,the ESV of waste treatment decreased by 18.37%from 1990 to 2019,followed by soil formation and conservation(17.52%),biodiversity and maintenance(13.23%),climate regulation(11.80%),food production(11.69%),hydrological regulation(11.11%),and aesthetic value(3.07%).These outcomes indicate that continuous land use/cover planning should focus on regenerating aquatic areas and vegetation restoration.

Urban Residential Land Value Analysis： Case Danyang, China

The research attempts to find out how the location of the CBD(central business district), the dis- tance to the main roads, the distribution of the public facilities, and the urban land-use pattern influence the urban residential land value variations. The study begins by identifying the influences into two categories: general circumstance and micro/neighboring circumstances. Benchmark price and market land value are tested to be the results influenced by general circumstance and both the influential range and the influential force of individual land-use are investigated and compared. At last explicit case comparisons are also taken for testing the result. The finding of the research is not only useful for understanding the spatial patterns of land values, but also beneficial for the policy-makers concerning land administration and urban planning.

Existing European Buildings and Cities： Economic Improvement and Evaluation of the Cost-Benefit Related to Lifecycle and Performance

In this study, the interdependency is presented between the characteristics of the buildings and the relative economic value, in order to plan economic policies and preconditions for improving the quality of the European buildings heritage through access, by an holistic approach, to the necessary f＇mancial resources. The economic value of a real estate asset is closely connected to the construction features and their performance over time （lifecycle）. Safer, more comfortable and productive buildings for inhabitants are at the same time more operationally efficient and economically convenient for the owners. Solidity characteristics and static resistance to earthquakes, eco-efficiency and other constructive qualities of the building will provide benefits in the long term, and they are directly related the LCC （life cycle cost） including specific construction and/or maintenance costs. Moreover, these characteristics have an impact on the ＂market value＂ and on the ＂mortgage lending value＂ of properties, as well as on the possibility of financing the purchase through access to more affordable mortgages, and to make really feasible conversions even in the absence of public financial resources. This study introduces a new approach for conversions involving whole buildings or city areas. This research identifies the economic sustainability of a project by combining principles and suitable methodologies, together with performance and other characteristics. These aspects constitute the essential prerequisite for obtaining mortgages from banks and/or financial resources from international investors.

Urban Development Boundary Simulation Based on“Double Evaluation”and FLUS Model

The delimitation of urban development boundaries plays an important role in optimizing the nation land space.“Double evaluation”is one of the important means to study and predict the scale of new construction land in the future and to determine the spatial distribution of urban construction land.This study combines the“double evaluation”with the FLUS(Future Land-Use Simulation)model to study the delimitation of the urban development boundary of Yichang.The results show that:(1)the“double evaluation”method comprehensively considers the carrying capacity of the resource environmental bear and the suitability of urban development;(2)the FLUS model can better couple the“double evaluation”method for Land Use/Land Cover(LULC)suitability evaluation,Land Use/land Cover Change(LUCC)simulation and urban development boundary delineation,and the overall accuracy of the simulation reaches 96%;(3)according to the requirements of relevant national policies,this study divides the urban development boundary of the study area into concentrated construction areas,elastic development areas and special purpose areas.This function-based division can meet the requirements of urban flexible development,ecological protection and urban safety.This research combines the FLUS model,which is widely used in the simulation of LUCC,with the double evaluation method used in China’s new round of land and space planning to obtain the result of the urban development boundary.This result is consistent with the existing plan of the study area.

A Discussion for the Protection of the Environnement in the Law of Planification in China

This article aims to answer the question that if the law of planification of China,really takes account of the objectives of environmental protection.The answer is based on,first of all,the reform of system of land ownership(direct link of the development of urbanization).This article cracks the problem by two approaches:the state and collective property right.The first part of the analysis is macro-perspective,i.e.,the course of land reform and the land users.In general,the state remains the sole owner of all the land and delegates the local governments to manage the use of land in China.However,the high interest undermines their roles,and degradation of environment in the process of urbanization continues.Based on this observation,we analyzed their administration,i.e.,who are the actors and how the powers are shared.The lack of transparency and independence is in its structure,i.e.,they have ambitions to have a good protection but the conflict appears frequently.In the further part,micro-vision was employed.We focused on the regulations of planification,procedures and formalities that is deeply involved.In fact,we find that the volume of law was expanded and a need of consolidation is urgent for the coherence,accessibility and understanding of law.Then it follows the analysis of two typical procedures:the procedure of environmental assessment as well as participation.These procedures are the practical implementation of the consideration of the environment.The fact is that rapid urbanization resulted in a reconfiguration of the urban space,and the appearance of a variety of interests.The degradation of environment,coupled with the importance of urbanization has become a challenge to governance.People realized more and more issues related to housing,welfare and citizenship.This forces the government to change their policies and acts.From different points of views-historical,political,administrative,legal and social-this research determines how a better environmental protection can play in law of planification.The reforms are envisaged,and there are still problems:the harmonization and consistency of the regulations,the clarity of the law for his efficiency and law security,the improvement of the process.Contrary to what is received,the government has intention to solve this question,as demonstrated by his consistency to innovation and reform in the field.At the present,planification,rather than a method of protection,works for the growth of the economy.Due to the lack of effective regulation,the real consideration of environment is still very limited.

Study on Low Hilly Cities Land Suitability Evaluation Method Based on Ecological Considerations—A Case Study of Longfeng New Town in Sichuan

Attention to the development of low hilly cities increases, in order to guide their development towards efficient and ecological land use. This paper takes eco-safety into consideration in the future layout of land for construction, and incorporates ecological security factors into traditional methods of land suitability evaluation based on topographic conditions. Taking the Longfeng New Town in Suining City as an example, the GIS platform is used to superimpose various evaluation factors. The evaluation index system is determined using the combination of the Delphi Technique and AHP. The result of correcting traditional land suitability evaluation is obtained, which provides decision support for improving the scientificity of land use planning and layout.

Evaluation and Obstacle Diagnosis of Low-carbon Intensive Land Use in Kaifeng City

Low carbon intensive use of urban land is an important trend to achieve regional high quality development.In this study,with Kaifeng municipal district as an example,the catastrophe progression model was used to estimate and analyze the low-carbon intensive use level of urban land in Kaifeng City from 2011 to 2020,and the obstacle factors in the process of low-carbon intensive land use in Kaifeng City were revealed by using the obstacle degree model.The results showed that during the study period,the low-carbon intensive use of land in Kaifeng City showed a slow,fluctuating and declining trend,and the overall situation was in a generally intensive state.The land input level and land output level were on the rise,while the low-carbon level of land and the degree of land use were on the decline.Currently,the main obstacle factors restricting the low-carbon intensive use of land in Kaifeng City were the carbon structure coefficient of land use,energy consumption per square kilometer,carbon emissions per square kilometer,carbon emissions per capita,and non-agricultural land use efficiency.In the future,it is necessary to further improve the land use structure and promote the high-quality development of Kaifeng City.

基于Theil指数和Sharpley值分解的山东省城市土地扩张强度差异及其成因研究

基于山东省17地市2002-2011年数据和Theil指数及其分解方法研究表明,山东省城市土地扩张强度差异存在"先扩大后缩小"的趋势,相似人口规模等级城市内部差距及经济发展水平较高区域城市内部差异显著。政府财政支出、区域产业结构、城市人口密度和区域开放度等均是影响山东省城市土地扩张强度的重要因素。Sharpley值分解结果表明,区域第三产业比重和市辖区人口密度对山东省城市土地扩张强度差异的相对贡献率呈增长趋势,开放度的相对贡献率先增后减,区域第二产业比重成为弥补城市间土地扩张强度差距的因素,政府财政规模对城市土地扩张强度差异变化的影响较小。

数据驱动的武汉市城镇低效居住用地评价模型研究

为聚焦低效用地再开发,促进城市土地集约节约利用,以武汉市为研究对象,研究多源数据下基于数据驱动的城镇低效居住用地评价模型。通过搜集多源公开数据集,挖掘低效居住用地概念内涵,构建低效居住用地识别体系,考虑居住用地特征及其在城市生活中的整体作用,兼顾经济、生活、生态、安全等多元需要,构建了内外部综合评价指标体系。利用数据驱动构建内外部综合评价模型,实现对武汉市低效居住用地的评价。结果表明,该方法能更加充分利用和表达多维度评价指标信息;武汉市低效居住用地分布呈正向自相关性,表现为城区中心的高高聚集和周围的低低聚集;内部性指标评分较低,低效居住用地再开发在提升容积率、居住用地绿化率等方面仍有较大进步空间。

CMP体系下基于历史文脉传承的淮安城市遗产价值评估

淮安,中国大运河线上最重要的水利枢纽城市之一。自元明清三朝定都北京,大运河重新疏浚、改线、贯通后,北方巨量的物资需求促使漕运兴盛,时值淮安城扼漕运、盐运、河工、榷关、邮驿之机杼,风光一时无两。现下,运河城市遗产的保护传承利用逐渐成为城市发展中的重要部分,淮安城市遗产反映着其城市文化特征,也是城市职能的直接体现。该文利用CMP(保护规划管理)从场所意义出发,对淮安城市遗产进行价值评估,并试图以此构建基于历史文脉保护利用传承导则,助推大运河文化带建设。

国土空间规划的生态服务价值评估和方案优选——基于“土地利用+生态效能”的双维复合视角

生态文明建设是国土空间规划的核心价值观,但当前对于国土空间规划方案的生态效益却缺乏定量评估的相关方法。论文对谢高地等的生态服务价值评估方法做了一定改进,并应用于国土空间规划的多情景评估和优选,定量评估规划干预带来的生态效益。首先,认为生态服务价值受土地利用类型和生态服务效能这两个维度的复合作用,并探索了生态服务效能的修正指标和修正系数。其次,解析了国土空间规划作用于这两个维度的途径,即通过用地布局规划改变土地利用类型、通过生态措施影响生态服务效能,从而提出了国土空间规划多方案的生态服务价值评估方法,以及优选优化思路。最后,结合武汉市法泗街道案例的应用示例,为国土空间规划的编制与决策提供一定参考。

TOD导向下的城市轨道交通站区用地绩效评价——以广州若干地铁站区为例

为推动TOD的本土化实践,聚焦于现有的地铁站区用地成果,应用用地绩效评价分析框架并结合TOD用地原则,构建TOD导向下的站区用地“强度—结构—价值”三维绩效评价体系,同时采用改进的TOPSIS法与障碍度模型对广州若干地铁站区进行实证研究,得出案例站区的TOD用地绩效水平,并从中总结TOD用地实践的积极经验。结果表明,部分案例站区已具有一定的TOD用地特征,尤其在用地结构、价值等维度上表现出良好水平,汲取相关成熟经验对于TOD的本土化实践具有较强的借鉴意义,但也需正视传统用地强度模式与TOD理念间的冲突、用地结构的优化与经济、社会等多元价值的协调等重点问题。

基于时空运行的土地资产综合价值评价探析——以城市更新为研究对象

在阐述土地资产时空特征的基础上,创新性地提出了时空运行下土地资产的综合价值内涵和评价目标。从科学规划价值的引领作用有待加强、综合价值评估体系有待完善、部门联动评估机制有待优化、数字智能基础有待稳定四个方面对影响土地资产综合价值评估的瓶颈问题进行了分析和梳理。以城市更新为研究对象,分析了空间区位、经济发展、生态保护、社会治理等土地资产综合价值的关键评价因素,并以此为基础构建了“区域-经济-生态-社会”土地资产综合价值评估体系,提出了评价指标构建、评价路径设置、价值指标计算等综合价值评估的新思路。围绕有效实施土地资产综合价值评估提出管理策略:①注重成本控制和资金平衡;②加强评估联动和管理协调;③促进科学评估和有效利用。

基于ESG理念的重大工程弃渣造地项目选址价值评价

为了强化弃渣造地项目选址的可持续性,本文引入了ESG理念作为决策依据,构建了集成ESG理念的重大工程弃渣造地项目选址价值工程框架,并提出了适用于评价西部复杂艰险地区重大工程弃渣选址造地的ESG功能评价指标体系。在此基础上,结合AHP方法给出了确定ESG项下各分量指标的权重及价值工程实施的具体操作步骤,并通过一个具体案例进行操作说明。ESG理念的引入及所构建的功能评价指标体系和弃渣选址造地的价值工程分析方法,有助于提升我国重大工程弃渣处置的可持续能力,助推重大工程弃渣选址造地的科学化和重大工程ESG理念的实现。