Using Grey System Theory for Earthquake Forecast

By combining conventional grey correlation analysis, grey clustering method and grey forecasting methods with our multi-goal forecast thoughts and the techniques of grey time series processing, we develop six different grey earthquake forecast models in this paper. Using the record of major earthquakes in Japan from 1872 to 1995, we forecast future earthquakes in Japan. We develop an earthquake forecast model. By using the major earthquakes in Japan from 1872 to 1984, we forecast earthquakes from 1985 to 1995 and check the precision of the grey earthquake models. We find that the grey system theory can be applied to earthquake forecast. We introduce the above analysis methods and give a real example to evaluate and forecast. We also further discuss the problems of how to improve the precision of earthquake forecast and how to strengthen the forecast models in future research.

Present Situation and Thinking of the Evaluation and Management of Biomedical Projects in Shenzhen Industrial Park of Shenzhen-Hong Kong Cooperation Zone

Objective To put forward some suggestions for the improvement of the evaluation system of Shenzhen Industrial Park of Shenzhen-Hong Kong Innovation Cooperation Zone by studying the scientific research project evaluation and management system of Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development(AMED).Methods Through literature review,lessons were drawn from the review and management policies and methods of biomedical projects implemented by Japan AMED.Then some reference was provided to the review and management of the projects in Shenzhen Industrial Park.Results and Conclusion A basic review framework has been set up in Shenzhen Industrial Park,which consists of scientific research management institution of Shenzhen Industrial Park,Third-Party Review Institution and Science Committee.However,there are three problems in this system:unclear selection criteria of review experts,insufficient supervision and lack of project evaluation standards.These problems can be solved by establishing an expert think tank,setting up graded project supervisors to have the dynamic monitoring,and developing a general evaluation scale for evaluating scientific research projects in Shenzhen Industrial Park.

诉源治理语境下对规范性文件的检察监督——以生效行政裁判为中心

《中华人民共和国行政诉讼法》第53条规定原告一并请求审查规范性文件的立法目的,在于从源头和行政行为依据上避免违法行为、解决行政争议。规范性文件检察监督既是检察机关参与社会治理的重要举措,也是检察机关作为“保障国家法律统一正确实施的司法机关”的职责所在。规范性文件检察监督,既可以依当事人申请启动,也可以依职权发现启动。人民法院合法性认定错误是否属于检察机关行政诉讼监督范围,需要结合案件实际情况判定:对于规范性文件合法性认定错误,导致“原判决、裁定适用法律、法规确有错误的”,按照监督规则应当提请抗诉,也可考虑以再审检察建议的方式进行监督;在适用《人民检察院行政诉讼监督规则》第97条时,则需要从立法体制和备案审查制度发展的角度全面检视、理解、把握。

日本大学治理研究三十年的视域审视与发展趋向

大学治理改革是日本应对社会结构性变革的重要举措。以1992—2022年为研究期限,从治理结构、权力配置、治理制度、治理效果等维度对日本国立信息学研究所综合学术信息数据库的相关文献进行了系统性分析。研究发现,日本大学治理特征表现为:国立大学趋向于教研与管理权限清晰的融合型治理结构,私立大学体现为宽松、多元、灵活的多形态治理结构;权力配置持续强化外部治理主体的职能和校长权责,着力厘清多元主体间的权责;硬法的法律制度和软法的大学治理准则同构了日本大学治理制度。但是,关于日本大学治理的有效性与合法性仍存在争议,未来可增加实证研究与行动研究。

晋冀鲁豫边区刑事司法审查制度的理性与经验

晋冀鲁豫边区是我党按照“三三制原则”建立的第一个边区政府,在刑事司法方面进行了积极探索,这不仅是中国式司法现代化的开端,也为我国刑事司法的发展积累了丰富的经验。通过梳理晋冀鲁豫边区刑事诉讼中的司法审查的制度规范并分析个案,发现该制度蕴含着保障当事人权利、实现公权力制约的价值追求。在当前中国式司法现代化背景下,晋冀鲁豫边区司法审查制度对于明确强制侦查行为的司法权归属、优化检察机关职权配置、完善司法审查的本土化机制构建具有重要的借鉴价值。

虚假调解的审查判断与检察监督

虚假调解会歪曲人民法院调解制度的价值取向,使当事人依据调解自愿原则,借用合法的民事调解程序骗取法院作出生效的调解书,继而达到逃避应当承担的法律责任、获取不正当利益的目的,严重扰乱司法秩序,损害司法权威和司法公信力,具体表现为当事人意思自治和公权力监督边界不清、检察监督缺位、调查取证难、监督方式刚性不足等,已成为当前困扰民事诉讼的突出问题。检察机关作为国家法律监督机关,通过充分发挥民事检察职能,完善和加强案件线索发现机制,强化调查核实权,对促进全社会诚信体系建设具有重要意义。

职务犯罪监检移送审查衔接机制研究——以《中华人民共和国监察法》第四十七条第三款为切入点

移送审查制度是职务犯罪从调查程序转向司法程序的关键节点,监检在移送审查程序中的衔接顺畅才能保证处理整个职务犯罪的顺利进行。《监察法》第四十七条第三款规定了检察机关退回补充调查和自行补充侦查制度,但规定不够明确,对于什么情况下检察机关可以退回补充调查,自行补充侦查何为必要以及具体如何运作都不甚具体。因此,在制度构建中应以人权保障作为基本理念,明确退回补充调查和自行补充侦查的适用条件,在标准问题上应以《刑事诉讼法》为准据,充分利用退回补充调查和自行补充侦查权来制约监察机关的职务犯罪调查活动。

A Prediction Study on the Localization Policy of Improving the Satisfaction of Chinese Visitors to Japan by Using Matrix Factorization Techniques

Against the background of the rapid growth of Chinese tourists to Japan,by observing the changes in the patterns of Chinese visitors to Japan and probing into the insufficiency of researches in the past studies,it is believed that online travel reviews can be used to present the current situation of tourism industry and be of value to provide the basic data for long-term sustainable research after analysis,including how to increase Chinese tourists’satisfaction continuously and how to promote the service level of related industries.In this study,the unknown information caused by the cultural and regional differences in the reviews of Chinese visitors’to Japan is taken as the prediction object and the local tourists’travel comments as a reference group.Then,the factor decomposition technology and text mining technology are applied to predict the standards of services and projects that can meet the characteristics and demands of Chinese tourists.The comments of Chinese and Japanese tourists who stayed at hotels in the Hakone scenic area from May 2018 to April 2019(time span:one year)are taken as the samples in this study.Thus,the disparity in the purpose of travel between Chinese tourists and Japanese local tourists in this scenic spot can be effectively displayed.Besides,it also clearly points out that due to a lack of understanding of Japanese food culture,Chinese visitors were in urgent need of relevant services and assistance.Therefore,this method will provide guidance for the growth of the local tourism industry and also demonstrate the feasibility of research methods.In the end,a complete analysis and calculation method for online comment text mining is established,which also provides guidance on improving the satisfaction of Chinese visitors to Japan.Besides,this method can also be considered to apply in more tourists with the same cultural background.

Beijing Review Observer:Japan’s Incredible Calmness and Strength OVERCOMING A CATACLYSM The Japanese begin to put their shattered economy back on track

Earthquake,tsunami,nuclear plantb reakdown.Each is a major catast rophe.But Japan has been hit by all of them.Homelessness,economic losses,release of radiation.Each is a huge challenge.Now Japan must face all three.How will Japan respond to the domino-like disaster

A Modern Concerto of National Parks and Urban Parks:Book Review of Parkscapes:Green Spaces in Modern Japan

Parkscapes:Green Spaces in Modern Japan Author:Thomas R.H.Havens Year:2011Publisher:University of Hawai’i Press ISBN:9780824834777(288 pages,in English)Japanese classical gardens,which can be seen in the courtyards of temples,courtyards of ancient feudal landlords(emperor,general,and daimyo),and some private mansions of modern statesmen and industrialists,have a long history and are well known around the world.Even though there are many monographs

日本近50年来土壤侵蚀及水土保持研究评述

系统地评价了日本土壤侵蚀及水土保持研究工作,介绍了日本土壤侵蚀及水土保持研究的发展历史和现状,以及主要开展这方面研究的大学、研究机构和主要的研究代表者及其成果。

日本的杜仲研究开发评述

本文对日本近几年在杜仲资源培植、成分分析、药理药效研究、产品开发营销等方面的现状作了全面阐述，并对我国杜仲今后的发展提出了作者的几点意见和建议。

日本过冷水动态制冰研究开发现状

综述了在过冷水动态制冰领域处于世界先进水平的日本的有关研究开发现状，包括过冷度影响因素，动态制冰系统的三个组成部分———过冷却器、过冷解除装置、蓄冰槽的设计形式和特点，以及系统的运行控制。

美国、日本和中国钛工业发展评述

简要叙述了美国、日本和中国近年钛工业的状况和展望,从钛矿资源、海绵钛、钛加工材、钛应用开发、钛合金研究开发等方面比较了各自发展的特点。

2015年第十四届日本绿色和可持续发展化学奖获奖项目评述

日本绿色和可持续发展化学奖由绿色与可持续化学网授予,旨在奖励通过化学革新来推动环境和人类健康、安全研究与发展。本文对2015年第十四届日本绿色和可持续发展化学奖4个获奖项目的创新和价值进行了简单介绍和分析。

日本刑事诉讼制度最新改革评析

通过从保障犯罪嫌疑人权利与被害人权利的平衡、加大打击重大犯罪的力度、强化民众参与司法、追求诉讼效率等方面对日本刑事诉讼制度近年来的改革进行研究,可以看出日本刑事诉讼制度改革在一定程度上增强了刑事司法的透明性,有助于提升刑事司法的民主性,有利于平衡各种利益和提高刑事诉讼效率。在立法技术层面上,其改革的内容分步骤实施,也值得称道。但同时,由于法律改革未对侦查程序进行根本性调整,也没有按照国际刑事司法准则的要求来进行,加之日本刑事司法旧有的弊端,使得日本刑事诉讼改革仍面临许多问题。

日本检察审查会制度改革及其启示

日本的检察审查会制度是为防止检察官滥用不起诉权而建立的。检察审查会制度发挥了制约检察官的公诉权行使、救济被害人的作用。进入21世纪以后,日本司法进一步扩大民众参与的范围,检察审查会制度的改革就是其中一环。在检察审查会中设立审查辅助员,赋予检察审查会决议以法律强制力,这使检察审查会制度更趋合理。

日本生物技术产业政策评述及启示

日本的生物技术产业从过去默默无闻到如今居世界前列,产业发展速度令世界震惊。通过描述日本为发展生物技术产业所采取的一系列政策措施和制度改革,探讨日本生物技术产业快速发展的原因,揭示日本生物技术产业现存的问题,从而为我国生物技术产业的发展起到一定的借鉴作用。

中日地理学者的论文写作年龄对比分析

以2000年以来的《地理学报》中英文版论文为例,分析了中国地理学者的论文写作年龄特征,包括平均写作年龄、论文写作主体年龄段、高峰期年龄等等,并以日本《地理学评论》为参照,分析了体制环境因素对地理学者论文写作年龄和周期的影响。结果表明,中国地理学母语论文的写作主体是40岁左右年龄段的学者,而英文论文的写作主体是35岁左右年龄段的学者。中国地理学者的母语平均写作年龄要高于日本,但英文论文作者的平均年龄则低于日本,这种差异反映了中日两国在科研管理制度及理念上的不同。在概括分析了两者差异后提出了对中国地理学的学科发展建议。

死刑复核程序改革与检察机关的介入权

我国死刑复核程序应当进行司法化、诉讼化改革。检察机关作为国家的法律监督机关,在死刑案件的刑事诉讼中,既承担着公诉的职责,也承担着审判监督的职责,应当有权介入作为死刑案件最后一道关口的复核程序。