Geological conditions and key rock mechanics issues in the Western Route of South-to-North Water Transfer Project

In terms of special geological conditions of the Western Route of South-to-North Water Transfer Project, the classification method for surrounding rocks is discussed by combining with the construction method of tunnel boring machine （TBM）. The classification standard of surrounding rocks is put forward on the basis of physical simulations and engineering practices. Damage, deformation and evolution of surrounding rocks induced by TBM excavation are discussed. Meanwhile, the long-term deformation mechanisms and stability of surrounding rocks are also studied. On this basis, a three-dimensional constitutive model for interbedded sandstone slate and a fiat shell-joint element-foundation system for calculating internal forces of segment lining are established. The deformation features of surrounding rocks of deep and steep interbedded sandstone slate and their influences on internal forces of segment lining are presented. Finally, the design methods of segment lining constructed in deep and steep flysch are proposed.

Estimating minimum ecological water required of the western route first stage project of China＇s south-to-north water transfer scheme for water exporting rivers

It is well known that there is abundant water resources in basin of the Yangtze River, the first largest river in China, which is mainly located in Southern China. However, water resources is very scarce in the basin of the Yellow River, which is mainly located in Northern China. So the western route project of south-north water transfer scheme （WRP-SNWTS） aims to transfer water from the Yangtze River to the Yellow River. The area of WRP-SNWT, located in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River and the main areas of Sichuan and the marginal areas of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, has sufficient water resources but fragile ecology and environment. Therefore, it is necessary for WRP-SNWT to analyze the ecology water required. Based on the planning principles of from low elevation to high elevation, from small to large, from short to long and from easy to difficulty, the WRP-SNWT will be constructed through three stage projects. The western route first stage project of the south-north water transfer scheme （WRFST-SNWTS） is planned to transfer 4×10^9m^3/a from six tributaries of the Yalong river and from Dadu river to Jiaqu of Yellow River.. Daqu river and Niqu river are the branches of Xianshui river. Sequ river, Duke river, Make river and Ake river are the branches of Dadu river, which account for 65-70% of the total river run-off. It need more research and the rest run-off can satisfy channel ecology water required. According to analysis ecological water required which mainly satisfy for aquicolous biology in water-exporting region, such as low air temperature. Fish and aquicolous biology main living from May to August, and rivers are iced up from December to March of next year, ecology water required mainly for fish and aquicolous biology. The flow criterion of Tennant method is modified. The ecology water required of WRFSP-SNWTS is estimated by the flow data of Zhuwo gauging station, Zhuba gauging station, Chuosijia gauging station and Zumuzu gauging station. The result show that the ecology water required calculated by modified Tennant less 1 l percent than that of Tennant. This estimating result can supply more water resources for transferring to Yellow River. Meanwhile, this can supply gist for research transferring water of WRFSP-SNWTS.

Eco-environmental benefit assessment of China's South-North Water Transfer Scheme——the middle route project

This paper assess the eco-environmental benefits that may come from the middle route project of China's South-North Water Transfer Scheme(SNWT) with principles and methods of eco-economics and planning reports of SNWT's middle route project. Some benefits were calculated in monetary units. To make sure that the results can be comparable with normal monetary indices, concrete assessment objects and the parameters are prudently selected according to the major characteristics of the project and its water import region. Primary assessment revealed that in different project construction stages, the benefit could be more than 13 07 billion RMB Yuan in 2010 and 19 79 billion RMB Yuan in 2030, respectively. The monetary value tends to increase with social-economic development. To realize these potential benefits, however, calls for more endeavors.

LONG AND DEEP DIVERSION TUNNELS OF 1^(ST) STAGE PROJECT IN WEST ROUTE OF SOUTH-NORTH WATER TRANSFER PROJECT

West Route of South-North Water Transfer Project,situated in southeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau,is a giant project,which will deliver 17 billion m3 of water from the main stream and tributaries upstream of the Yangtze River to the upper reaches of the Yellow River. It is to be constructed in 3 stages, of which the 1st stage project includes delivering 4 billion m3 of water by gravity from two tributaries of Yalong River and three tributaries of Dadu River. The project consists of 5 dams,7 tunnels and a channel in series,with the dam height of 63～123 m and water transfer length of 260.3 km,of which the tunnels measure 244.1 km. The special climatic,environmental and geologic conditions make the project much more complicated in construction,especially 3 tunnels with the length longer than 50 km each create challenges to the technical requirements of engineering survey,design and construction.

Price Analysis of Water Supply for South-to-North Water Transfer Project

The factors influencing the water supply price of a hydraulic project include natural conditions and economic policies. This paper thoroughly demonstrates the water price of South-to-North Water Transfer Project from the viewpoint of economic policies. It is considered that if the project is assigned as a profitable one and built depending on commercial loan from bank completely or mostly, the water price will be too high to be undertaken by users,and if the project places the public good at first while considering the economic benefit, its investment mainly relies on the state (national or local governments) appropriation and self-raised funds and a little from the bank loan on favorable terms, the price determined according to the principle of satisfying the cost and reasonable profit will be relatively lower and can be undertaken by the users in the North China where water shortage is serious. The problem of higher water price of agricultural irrigation to the north of the Yellow River can be tackled by taking measures such as "compensating agriculture by industry" according to foreign practical experiences and relevant suggestions.

Coupling interaction between biodiversity and aquatic habitat area in Western Route Project vicinity

The Western Route of the South-to-North Water Transfer Project will divert water from the upper Yangtze River and its tributaries, the Dadu River and Yalong River, to the upper Yellow River. The project may ease the water shortage in the Yellow River Basin. However, it may also have some effects on the ecosystem in the upper Yangtze River Basin. Benthic invertebrates play an important role in the river ecosystem, particularly in the circulation of materials and nutrition. Benthic invertebrates are widely used to quickly assess river ecosystems because of their rapid response to changes in the water environment. The diversity of benthic invertebrates is closely associated with the aquatic habitat area. This study examined this interaction by sampling the benthic invertebrates in an expanding area. The conclusions are that the diversity of benthic invertebrates begins to decrease when the aquatic habitat area is reduced to 45% of the original area, and decreases dramatically when the aquatic habitat area is reduced to 10% of the original area. The aquatic habitat area should be kept at more than 45% of the original area in order to maintain the significant diversity of benthic invertebrates.

南水北调西线工程水源区可调水量“十问”

南水北调西线工程是我国“四横三纵”国家水网主骨架尚待建设的最后一环,而水源区可调水量是西线工程规划论证面临的焦点和难点问题。本文从水资源本底条件与演变趋势,生态环境与经济社会发展需水,调蓄水库与输水工程规模,调水对水源区及其下游水资源开发利用、水生态环境、水力发电、航运等方面影响的角度,提出了与水源区可调水量相关的10个问题;以长江上游分布式水文模型为基础,建立了南水北调西线工程水源区可调水量模拟分析模型,力图系统、定量地回答所提问题。本文的主要研究结论有:在仅考虑满足水源区河道内外生态环境和经济社会需水的前提下,“上线+下线”组合方案多年平均可调水量为1.59×10^(10)m^(3),“完全下线”方案在建设岗托水库进行联调时,多年平均可调水量将达到1.74×10^(10)m^(3);在综合考虑调水对水源区水平衡、水力发电和航运影响及其可接受程度后,南水北调西线水源区可调水量为1.22×10^(10)~1.26×10^(10)m^(3)。长远来看,应谋划西南片区水网与国家水网主骨架、“大动脉”的连接与融合,在减小南水北调西线工程调水影响的同时,提高南水北调西线工程的整体供水能力以及对气候变化等外部条件的适应性。

南水北调东线一期工程受水区生态环境效益演变

研究南水北调东线一期工程通水以来受水区生态环境效益的演变态势,对南水北调后续工程高质量建设、加快构建国家水网以及促进工程综合效益发挥有决策参考作用。以定性定量相结合的方式分析东线一期工程在优化水资源配置、保障饮水安全、复苏河湖生态环境和畅通南北经济循环等方面的作用,进而结合层次分析法,从直接效益和间接效益2个方面,筛选构建东线一期工程受水区生态环境效益评价指标体系,主要包括工程年供水量、水质改善度、生态补水量、地下水压采量、地下水水位、水域面积、绿地面积和涵养水源等,并采用VlseKriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje(VIKOR)多准则妥协解排序方法对南水北调东线一期工程通水以来即2013-2022年受水区生态环境效益演变态势进行分析。结果表明:南水北调东线一期工程通水的10年以来,受水区的生态环境整体复苏效果明显,近3年排序值保持在0.8以上;受降水偏枯进而影响地下水开采量和地下水水位等因素影响,2019年间接生态环境效益下降29.2%,之后迅速恢复并保持稳定。在分析直接效益和间接效益演变的基础上,从工程提质增效、提高工程水质状况以及完善体制机制建设等方面提出东线一期工程进一步促进受水区生态环境持续改善的策略和建议,以期为东线工程及受水区生态环境保护及高质量发展相关研究、决策制定等提供参考。

不同调水方式对巢湖水质影响模拟

引调水工程是目前用来改善湖泊水质的重要手段,然而引调水的调水路线、来水水量以及来水水质对湖泊水质改善效果都至关重要。本文以“引江济巢”工程为例,针对巢湖的浅水湖泊特征,考虑引调水入湖后不仅对水量和水质有直接改善作用,还可能因为湖区水动力条件改变及内源释放影响水质,通过构建二维水动力水质模型,模拟不同调水路线、水量下湖区水动力条件,进一步考虑不同来水水质和底泥释放对水质改善的影响。结果显示,调水对流场的扰动在丰水年较弱、枯水年较强,流量对湖区水质影响随流量增大而增强,来水水质的优劣是决定湖区水体水质是否改善的关键。整体而言,西湖区受调水影响较小,东湖区能够对全湖水质变化起到指示作用。调水方案应基于湖泊实际水量与水质状态综合考虑调水流量与水质制定。

气候变化对南水北调西线工程的影响及建议

南水北调工程是国家水网的重要组成部分,其西线工程建设是缓解我国西北、华北地区水资源短缺的重要举措。气候变化下西线工程引水区和受水区水资源情势直接关系到工程的规划建设与运行方式。基于历史实测资料和气候模式情景,采用数理统计与水文模拟相结合的途径分析了气候变化对南水北调西线工程引水区和受水区水资源的影响。结果表明:1)1961—2020年西线调水区和受水区气候变化以暖湿化为主要特征,调水区年径流量整体稳定略增,受水区年径流量显著性减少。2)未来中期(2035年)和远期(2050年),调水区和受水区气温继续显著升高,降水多呈非显著增加;未来中期、远期调水区年径流量较基准期(1961—2000年)分别增加1.42%和2.08%,受水区年径流量分别减少1.02%和0.28%。3)未来气候变化下,调水区年径流量相对稳定,能够满足调水需求,受水区年径流量略减,对跨流域调水需求有所增加。为确保南水北调西线工程的长期稳定运行,建议加强气候变化及其影响的不确定性研究,制定科学合理的应对措施,以应对未来可能的水资源短缺的挑战。

南水北调中线总干渠冰盖糙率观测分析

冰盖糙率是确定渠道冰期输水水位和流量关系的基础参数,一直是明渠冰工程研究的重点之一。鉴于当前大型混凝土渠道冰盖糙率研究成果相当匮乏,以南水北调中线总干渠石家庄以北唯一无输水建筑物的唐河节制闸—放水河节制闸渠段为研究区域,依据全线通水以来唯一生成全渠段封冻冰盖的2016年1—2月逐日水位和流量实测数据,采用伯努利能量方程和谢才-曼宁公式推求渠道糙率,定性定量分析封冻前后渠道糙率变化特征。结果表明:①研究渠段畅流期渠道糙率n b为0.0167,封冻期冰盖综合糙率n c为0.0146,冰盖下表面糙率n i为0.0118。②由于水力磨蚀作用,封冻期冰盖糙率随时间呈波动减小的趋势。③渠道一旦生成封冻冰盖,输水能力大幅降低,仅占渠道设计流量的66.7%。该研究给出了大型混凝土渠道封冻冰盖糙率和输水能力降低的确切数值,以期为冰期输水调度和类似工程设计提供科学依据。

Simulation of Transport Channel in China's Middle Route South-to-North Water Transfer Project

The unsteady flow in the Middle Route South-to-North Water Transfer Channel was simulated numerically using an implicit solution procedure for the Saint Venant equations. An equivalent roughness was used to simulate the effect of many transfer structures on the water levels in the main channel. Various gate operating and control methods were analyzed to study the response to disturbances produced by varying the flow rates through the Tianjin outlet. The results show that when the inflow at the head changes in the same way as the sum of the flow rates through all the outlets, the transition time and the fluctuation of the water levels using the timed gate operation method are less than when using the simultaneous gate operation method, but the variations of the gate openings and flow rates through each control gate are much larger. The flow disturbances produced by the Tianjin outlet can be rectified within several channel sections and the transition time can be greatly shortened by allowing the water levels immediately upstream of the control gates to vary within proscribed ranges, rather than being held constant.

南水北调西线工程上线水源区大型底栖动物群落结构及环境驱动因子

为评估南水北调西线工程上线水源区大型底栖动物群落结构及环境驱动因子,于2022年7月(汛期)和11月(非汛期)开展监测采样工作。采用生物多样性指数和丰度-生物量比较曲线(ABC曲线)作为大型底栖动物群落特征参数,分析大型底栖动物群落在水源区的结构,并对其进行多元排序和Pearson相关性分析。结果表明:共采集45种大型底栖动物,隶属于4门5纲10目32科44属,其中优势种8种,所有优势物种出现频率均大于50%,水源区大型底栖动物群落结构一致性较高;水源区Margalef丰富度指数、Shannon-Wiener多样性指数和Pielou均匀度指数均值分别为4.01、1.68、0.61;多数采样区域大型底栖动物的ABC曲线呈纠缠态势,其丰度和生物量累积百分比的差值面积在0附近波动,群落以小个头物种为主;优势种以耐污值低的敏感种类为主,说明河流几乎不受污染,水体清洁;pH值是影响水源区大型底栖动物群落结构的主要环境驱动因子。

基于多方法综合比较的南水北调西线工程水源区生态需水研究

针对南水北调西线工程调水需求,以方法比选、目标修正、可行性验证为主线,提出了一套多方法综合确定水源区生态需水过程的思路,并制定了10个坝址断面枯水期和非枯水期的生态基流、敏感生态需水及年生态水量目标。结果表明:水源区坝址断面枯水期生态基流在多年平均流量中的占比约为20%,非枯水期占比约为40%;3—6月为鱼类集中产卵敏感期,需要每月发生一次脉冲流量过程,每次至少持续10 d,脉冲流量在多年平均流量中的占比为48%~73%;各坝址断面年均生态水量在多年平均径流量中的占比约为70%,其中丰水年、一般偏枯年、枯水年生态水量占比分别为68%~78%、66%~75%和61%~70%;研究结果符合长江流域现有管控要求,具备较好的现实可达性。

基于标准化温度指数的南水北调中线工程沿线地区冷暖冬评估

选择南水北调中线工程沿线邯郸、正定、涿州为代表地区,利用1979-2021年冬季逐日气温数据,分析各代表区气温序列统计频率分布与理论概率分布的拟合情况,提出标准化温度指数(standardized temperature index,STI),并据此建立新的冬季冷暖量化评估模型。结果表明:STI方法与国标法的冬季冷暖评估结果基本一致,但在各代表区强冷冬和强暖冬划定上,STI评估得出的年份数量均少于国标法;各代表区以1月份气温计算得出的冷暖等级阈值对应的气温值均明显低于按整个冬季3个月计算结果。工程所在纬度越高,冬季冷暖等级阈值对应的气温值越低;根据STI评估结果,邯郸、正定、涿州发生强冷冬概率分别为7.14%、9.52%和4.76%,发生弱冷冬及以上的概率分别为38.09%、40.48%和38.09%,发生平冬的概率分别为21.43%、28.57%和21.43%,发生弱暖冬及以上的概率分别为40.48%、30.95%和40.48%,发生强暖冬的概率分别为4.76%、7.14%和2.38%。研究成果与基于正态分布的国标法相比,考虑了气温序列的偏态性概率分布特征,对相对冷暖的判别更科学,有推广应用价值。

南水北调中线京石段闸门间歇关闭水力响应特性

为减小闸门关闭引发的水位壅高,以南水北调中线工程京石段磁河闸至沙河北闸之间的渠池为研究对象,构建一维明渠非恒定渐变流仿真模型,比较分次间歇关闸与一次连续关闸,以及不同闸门间歇方案对闸前壅水峰值、水力振荡稳定时间的影响。研究表明:分次间歇关闸可带来更低的闸前壅水水位和更短的水力振荡稳定时间;设置1次间歇相较于多次间歇可减小闸前壅水峰值,将间歇开始时刻设置在上游降水波即将传播至闸前的时刻、设置间歇时长略小于关闸总时间的1/2均可有效降低闸前壅水峰值,缩短稳定时间。闸门分次间歇关闭水力响应特性与水波运动规律紧密关联,合理设置间歇有助于在应急调控阶段减少事故造成的影响。

南水北调西线水源区大型底栖动物的适宜水文条件

为探索南水北调西线工程水源区大型底栖动物群落结构及其适宜的水文条件,于2022年7月(汛期)及11月(非汛期)在南水北调西线工程水源区开展了2次大型底栖动物采样调查,共记录大型底栖动物50个分类单元。结果表明:西线水源区底栖动物群落组成以节肢动物昆虫纲(Insecta)为绝对优势,占总分类单元数的90.20%。其中,汛期以扁蜉(Heptageniidae sp.,优势度Y=19.9%)为第一优势种,非汛期以襀(Perlidae sp.,优势度Y=13.8%)为第一优势种。时间上,汛期生物密度更高,但非汛期生物多样性及物种均匀度更高;空间上,西线工程上线方案调水河段的生物多样性及生物密度明显高于下线方案。在0~1.0 m/s的流速范围内,不同流速区间的物种数及Margalef多样性指数具有显著差异;且无论是汛期还是非汛期,流速在0.5~1.0 m/s的底栖动物物种数及各项生物多样性指数均处于最高水平。在0~0.6 m的水深范围内,不同水深区间的生物量在汛期或非汛期均具有显著差异,且底栖动物密度整体在0~0.2 m区间内的平均值最高。针对水源区8个优势物种,利用栖境使用模拟法,得到西线工程水源区河流大型底栖动物优势物种的适宜水文条件为水深0.2~0.4 m、流速0.3~0.6 m/s。

南水北调中线沉藻池布置方案优化

南水北调中线总干渠联通工程处拟新建沉藻池,实现总干渠藻类等混合物集中沉降和处理。通过现场试验研究总干渠水体藻类等混合物沉降特性,并采用二维水动力数值仿真分析沉藻池在设计工况条件下的水流特性,提出导流墩的优化布置思路。结果表明:在水深基本一致条件下,随着断面平均流速的增加,有效沉降距离增加,有效沉降率有所降低;在沉藻池初始设计方案下,藻类等混合物可在沉藻池内进行沉降,但沉藻池利用效率不足;布置纵向导流墩后,可有效改善沉藻池内水流平顺性和水体交换能力;在设计工况下,沉藻池内回流区水域面积占比从57%降低至7%,池内水流平均流速从约0.10 m/s降低至约0.07 m/s,平均水龄从约18 h降低至约6 h。研究成果可为中线沉藻池工程布置提供基本技术支撑。

南水北调东线江苏段典型泵站运行效率模拟模型

泵站机组运行受多种因素影响,导致泵站运行理论效率与实际效率误差较大。针对泵站机组运行效率精准模拟难题,运用基于高价多项式回归、回归树、多元线性回归、向量机回归、高斯过程回归、神经网络的10个回归算法,建立泵站机组效率模拟模型并开展对比分析,优选出有效的泵站运行效率模拟建模方法。讨论分析采用“上下游水位+流量”代替传统“扬程+流量”开展泵站运行模拟的效果。以南水北调东线邳州站和遂宁二站共8台机组的历史数据开展实例分析,相关实验结果表明:在所有方法中,高斯过程回归(Gaussian process regression,GPR)模型在均方根误差(ERMS)、平均绝对误差(EMA)、均方误差(EMS)、决定系数(R2)和最大个体误差(EMI)指标上综合表现最佳,R2逼近0.95;使用站上、站下水位代替传统的扬程对模型进行训练,所有模型的综合评价指标整体有所改善。综合来看,使用GPR模型并使用上游、下游水位代替扬程进行模拟效率表现最好,以邳州站4号机为例,可将模拟效率的EMA和EMI分别从16.49%和20.40%减少至0.41%和2.30%,研究成果具有一定实际意义,可为我国调水工程泵站经济运行提供有力支撑。

基于耦合协调性的区域洪水资源利用评价

为全面理解和优化区域水资源利用格局、提高区域水资源利用率,以南水北调东线工程江苏段主要涉及的徐州、宿迁、淮安3个城市为研究对象,以2010-2022年数据为基础从基于洪水资源开发利用的水资源利用、经济社会发展、生态环境保护3个维度,采用共23项指标在使用熵权法确定权重的基础上,构建基于洪水资源开发利用的水资源利用-经济社会-生态环境系统容量耦合协调发展模型,并结合匹配度模型进行比较分析,运用障碍度模型分析影响耦合协调发展的因素。结果表明:3个城市的综合系统发展水平均由初级阶段上升到良好阶段。徐州、宿迁和淮安市的耦合协调度变化分别为勉强协调到良好协调、初级协调到良好协调以及初级协调到中级协调,而3个城市耦合协调度在后期均超越匹配度,达到理想协调状态。影响协调度的主要障碍因子为洪水资源利用潜力、森林覆盖率以及洪水资源量,且对于3个系统的障碍度分析,3个城市各自有不同的主导影响因素,徐州市复合系统耦合协调度主要受水资源利用影响较大,宿迁市受经济社会影响较大,而淮安市则受生态环境影响较大,因此,各市应当合理利用水库及蓄滞洪区的削峰、调蓄能力,增加洪水资源可利用量,提高洪水资源利用效率,降低洪灾发生频率,在保证经济和生态用水效率的同时,减少因洪灾带来的经济及生态损失。