The change in Egypt is a result of three factors:the autocratic rule of the Mubarak regime being challenged by globalization;the imbalance between economic growth and social development which created severe unemployme...The change in Egypt is a result of three factors:the autocratic rule of the Mubarak regime being challenged by globalization;the imbalance between economic growth and social development which created severe unemployment and poverty problems,worsened by imported inflation resulting from the global financial crisis;and,the pro-US and pro-Israel foreign policy pursued by the Mubarak regime which caused resentment among the Egyptian people and stimulated protests.To realize the socioeconomic development,establish a comprehensive development model,and create a stable and sustainable political structure will be formidable tasks for Egyptians in the post-Mubarak era.Thus,change will be a long-run process.Egypt would implement a more independent and neutral foreign policy,and will form with some other countries like Turkey a third group,i.e.a group in the middle.A new strategic structure in the Middle East would emerge through the change,with pro-US group,anti-US group,and a group in the middle as three main groups,based on competition between the Iranian model and the Turkish model,and US hegemonic power in the region would be weakened correspondingly.展开更多
文摘The change in Egypt is a result of three factors:the autocratic rule of the Mubarak regime being challenged by globalization;the imbalance between economic growth and social development which created severe unemployment and poverty problems,worsened by imported inflation resulting from the global financial crisis;and,the pro-US and pro-Israel foreign policy pursued by the Mubarak regime which caused resentment among the Egyptian people and stimulated protests.To realize the socioeconomic development,establish a comprehensive development model,and create a stable and sustainable political structure will be formidable tasks for Egyptians in the post-Mubarak era.Thus,change will be a long-run process.Egypt would implement a more independent and neutral foreign policy,and will form with some other countries like Turkey a third group,i.e.a group in the middle.A new strategic structure in the Middle East would emerge through the change,with pro-US group,anti-US group,and a group in the middle as three main groups,based on competition between the Iranian model and the Turkish model,and US hegemonic power in the region would be weakened correspondingly.