Love Is Intensified by Absence- Book Review on "The Time Traveler's Wife"

In this paper,a review was finished according to a novel-"The Time Traveler's Wife".It use time travel to explore miscommunication and distance in relationships.A lot of knowledge could be obtained from the passage.

The Global Circular Diaspora With Time as the Center in Modiano’s In the Caféof Lost Youth

The 2014 Nobel Prize winner in literature,Patrick Modiano,in his masterpiece,In the Caféof Lost Youth,describes the story of Louki,a young mysterious lady who has been making time-travelling diaspora in all her life.This thesis makes deep analysis by making use of temporal relationship—the fragmentation of the past,the hopeless pursuit from the present to the future,and the confusion of time,revealing that the essence of life is the intertwining of reality and illusion,the confusion of pain and happiness,the ambiguity of survival and death.Furthermore,it also argues that,the story of the heroine Louki,who,like most other human beings,is living like“drifting duckweed and floating clouds”within the global circular diaspora with time as the center.

The Art of War by Sun Zi:A Book for All Times

OVER the past 2,500years, the principles setout by Sun Zi in The Artof War have been appliedin innumerable wars, and hisstrategies have also been utilizedwithin a broad scope of competi-tion. The book is consequentlyindispensable to military strate-

Clinical efficacy and safety of kyphoplasty for the treatment of osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures at different surgical timings based on the theory of“dynamic-static integration”

Objective:To investigate the clinical efficacy and safety of percutaneous kyphoplasty at different surgical timings in the treatment of osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture(OVCF)based on the theory of“dynamic-static integration”.Methods:Patients with OVCF who underwent percutaneous kyphoplasty in our hospital were selected and divided into Groups A,B,and C for those undergoing surgery within 7,7—21,and>21 days of fracture occurrence.The variations in the amount of bone cement injected,pre-and post-operative pain levels,functional activity,deformity correction of the injured vertebrae,bone cement leakage,and vertebral body height loss were compared among the three groups.Results:Regarding pain relief and functional activity,the postoperative Visual Analog Scale and Oswestry Disability Index scores of the three groups significantly improved.Furthermore,the deformities of the injured vertebrae in the three groups were significantly corrected,with Groups A and B exhibiting superior correction compared to Group C.Moreover,the bone cement leakage rates in groups A and C were higher than that in Group B.At the 3-month follow-up,the loss of vertebral height in Group C was significantly higher than those in groups A and B.Conclusion:Kyphoplasty is effective for OVCF treatment.Early surgery can effectively restore the vertebral height of the injured vertebra,reduce kyphosis,and reduce height loss of the injured vertebra after surgery;nevertheless,treatment within 1—3 weeks of the fracture can reduce the occurrence of bone cement leakage,making the surgery safer.Therefore,surgical treatment within 1—3 weeks of fracture is safer and can achieve satisfactory therapeutic effects.From the perspective of traditional Chinese medicine,PKP surgery can transform the fracture end from a micromotion state to a fixed state,which fully embodies the theory of“dynamic-static integration”.

Effect of pattern coating thickness on characteristics of lost foam Al-Si-Cu alloy casting

An experimental study on lost foam casting of an Al-Si-Cu alloy was conducted. The main objective was to study the effect of pattern coating thickness on casting imperfection and porosity percentage as well as eutectic silicon spacing of the alloy. The results showed that increasing slurry viscosity and flask dipping time influenced the casting integrity and microstructural characteristics. It was found that thinner pattern coating produced improved mould filling, refined microstructure and higher quality castings containing less porosity.

Time Series Facebook Prophet Model and Python for COVID-19 Outbreak Prediction

COVID-19 comes from a large family of viruses identied in 1965;to date,seven groups have been recorded which have been found to affect humans.In the healthcare industry,there is much evidence that Al or machine learning algorithms can provide effective models that solve problems in order to predict conrmed cases,recovered cases,and deaths.Many researchers and scientists in the eld of machine learning are also involved in solving this dilemma,seeking to understand the patterns and characteristics of virus attacks,so scientists may make the right decisions and take specic actions.Furthermore,many models have been considered to predict the Coronavirus outbreak,such as the retro prediction model,pandemic Kaplan’s model,and the neural forecasting model.Other research has used the time series-dependent face book prophet model for COVID-19 prediction in India’s various countries.Thus,we proposed a prediction and analysis model to predict COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia.The time series dependent face book prophet model is used to t the data and provide future predictions.This study aimed to determine the pandemic prediction of COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia,using the Time Series Analysis to observe and predict the coronavirus pandemic’s spread daily or weekly.We found that the proposed model has a low ability to forecast the recovered cases of the COVID-19 dataset.In contrast,the proposed model of death cases has a high ability to forecast the COVID-19 dataset.Finally,obtaining more data could empower the model for further validation.

Making Up For Lost Time

DURING Hillary Clinton＇s recent seven- nation visit to Africa, the fiery U.S. Secretary of State did not fail to delight Western media by throwing an expected barb in Chinas direction.

Research on conversion time between lost circulation and overflow for the fractured stratum

A new model was established based on the flow model of the drilling fluid in one-dimensional radial fracture to research the influencing factors on conversion time between lost circulation and overflow for multi-pressure system in fractured reservoirs.And the equation of the conversion time between lost circulation and overflow is obtained by solving the mathematical model.The model were validated by reproducing the field data from Sichuan oil field and the simulation results of references.The influences of consistency index,liquidity index,dynamic shear force,drilling fluid density,drilling fluid intrusion depth,pressure of lost circulation layer,crack width,decreased height of annular liquid level,pressure of high-pressure layer were analyzed.Results indicate that conversion time between lost circulation and overflow increases with the increasing consistency index,liquidity index,dynamic shear force,drilling fluid density,drilling fluid intrusion depth,pressure of lost circulation layer.Conversion time between lost circulation and overflow decreases with the increasing crack width,decreased height of annular liquid level,pressure of high-pressure layer.The time interval of“Hang's Muddingoff”operating should be appropriately less than the conversion time between lost circulation and overflow.Under the premise of ensuring wellbore safety,appropriately increasing the consistency index,liquidity index and dynamic shear force of the drilling fluid can effectively increase the conversion time between lost circulation and overflow in large fractured stratum.

Analysis of key parameters sensitivity and calibration accuracy of signal timing algorithm

A theoretical sensitivity analysis of total lost timeand saturated flow rate is conducted based on the methodproposed in the Highway Capacity Manual （HCM）. Inaddition, the accuracy of the timing calculation algorithmsuggested in the HCM is verified using field data from threeintersections. It is demonstrated that there is a positivecorrelation between the estimation error rates of the signalcycle length and the phase lost time. Also, the estimated valueof saturated flow rate must meet the specific requirementsunder different saturated conditions to guarantee the accuracyof the signal cycle length. However, through analysis of fielddata collected on the discharge headway in three intersections,it is also found that, if the 4th vehicle is set as the initial spotfor the stable discharge headway, as is recommended in theHCM, the error of the phase lost time will be over 40% whenthe line length is over 10 vehicles. Moreover, the calculationerror for signal cycle length is not guaranteed to fall within the15% range when the length of line is over 15 vehicles. It issuggested that, to improve the applicability of the HCMmethod, a more accurate description of the distributedregularity of the discharge headway is necessary whencalibrating key parameters.

基于门控循环单元网络的钻井井漏智能监测方法

井漏是钻井过程中常见的钻井风险,若对该风险发现、处理不及时,极易导致井塌事故,轻则延长施工周期,重则危害现场人员人身安全。为了提高油气井钻井过程中井漏风险识别的准确性,降低风险识别对人为经验的依赖,结合钻井参数的非线性以及长时依赖特征,提出了一种基于门控循环单元(Gated Recurrent Unit,GRU)网络的井漏风险智能识别方法。该模型以池体积、出口流量和立管压力作为监测参数构建GRU网络,能够提取监测参数的时间序列特征,以实现对井漏风险的准确识别。利用现场实测钻井数据对模型进行了实验测试,结果表明,该方法对井漏风险的识别准确率达到了90.1%,优于长短期记忆网络的识别结果。

高速铁路旅客购票时间选择行为研究

研究高速铁路旅客的购票行为对铁路企业预测需求、优化票价、分配票额等具有重要意义。考虑旅客个体和群体层面的异质性,分别构建混合和潜在类别Logit模型,研究出行时段、票种和供需关系等因素对旅客购票时间选择的影响。利用售票数据估计模型参数,得到高速铁路旅客购票时间选择的规律:一天中下午和晚上出行的旅客在出行当日或前一天购票的可能性更高;购买全价票、儿童票、半价票的旅客偏向于在距离出发日9~30 d内购票,免票旅客往往选择随到随走;供需关系会显著影响旅客的购票时间选择而且越临近出发日影响越显著。进一步结合预售期购票量预测值和旅客购票选择概率,计算各预售阶段的购票量,可为铁路企业制定票额预分和浮动票价等策略提供决策依据。

基于随机Petri网的图书相似重复属性记录存证系统

针对图书数量和种类较多,存在大量相似重复属性,设计了基于随机Petri网的图书相似重复属性记录存证系统。使用基于RFID读取器的数据输入装置,读取RFID标签上的信息。通过基于分布式文件系统的存证广场管理,查找所需要文件或证据,防止数据泄露。在用户接口装置中,利用随机Petri网来建模用户界面,方便用户存证。采用记录级别的相似度重复检测算法来衡量属性之间的相似度,根据相似度分值计算结果,标记时间戳,分析库所变迁的数据状态和变化,完成基于随机Petri网的记录存证方案设计。依据变迁行为规则,实现图书相似重复属性记录存证。由实验结果可知,该系统查准率、查全率的平衡点更接近1,存证时间在10 ms以内,可以有效完成图书相似重复属性记录存证。

用文献-传播学方法开拓通俗小说研究新局面——《〈水浒传〉成书时间研究:以〈水浒传〉早期传播史料为中心》读后

在《〈水浒传〉成书时间研究:以〈水浒传〉早期传播史料为中心》一书中,作者采用文献-传播学的方法,对李开先《一笑散》、杨慎《词品》、张丑《真迹日录》、钱希言《戏瑕》、陆容《菽园杂记》、潘之恒《叶子谱》、熊过《故相国石斋杨公墓表》等《水浒传》早期传播史料加以考辨。此举兼具文献及其传播的时效性价值与历史性价值,有助于学界转变思路,客观讨论《水浒传》的成书时间。

小样本下竞争风险限制平均损失时间的转换法研究

目的当竞争风险存在时,基于限制平均损失时间(restricted mean time lost,RMTL)的方法具有较少的模型假设条件和更直观的解释性。组间效应量为RMTL差值(RMTL difference,RMTLd),对应假设检验基于大样本下构建,而在小样本假设下的表现效果未知。方法本文探讨RMTLd在小样本下的表现,并发展了几种RMTL的变量转换法以提高此时的统计性能,且通过Monte Carlo模拟评价它们在不同情形下的Ⅰ类错误和检验效能。结果在小样本下,RMTLd检验原方法存在Ⅰ类错误膨胀的现象,而四种转换法之一的逻辑转换法能够保持较好的统计性能。结论在分析小样本竞争风险数据时,推荐使用RMTL的逻辑转换进行统计分析。

从莫友芝寻访四库遗书论曾国藩的善本收藏

攻克江南后,有志于复兴文教的曾国藩委任莫友芝寻访四库遗书。战乱后的文化需要、曾国藩对莫友芝汉学素养的肯定以及莫友芝缓解生计压力的现实需求,是开启这场寻书之旅的主要契机。曾国藩作为访书活动的任命者,其给出的收书标准完全是以个人善本偏好为基础的。正是基于曾国藩对初印本的热衷,寻访初印本成为莫友芝的工作重心。这场寻书之旅,是公事亦是私事。于公而言,莫友芝多次为金陵书局提供校刻善本,对曾国藩的文教事业助益颇多。于私而言,无论是莫友芝还是曾国藩,均因寻访四库遗书而极大地丰富了个人收藏。这场寻书之旅的背后,折射出的正是作为藏书家的曾国藩的个人善本收藏理念。

在遗忘中追寻逝去的时光——帕特里克·莫迪亚诺小说的叙事艺术

法国作家帕特里克·莫迪亚诺的小说多以“追忆”和“寻找”为主题,他的作品既有对人类命运关怀的深刻主题也有精湛的叙事技艺。本文从叙事视角、叙事时间、叙事空间及叙事技巧四个维度来探析莫迪亚诺追寻逝去时光的独特叙事艺术。他独特的叙事艺术主要体现为:小说采用特殊人物的内聚焦视角;叙述者时常在回忆中展开回忆;小说善于构建流动、跳跃的故事空间;小说内部充满各种象征寓意和互文性。莫迪亚诺的作品以简洁轻盈的文字和别具一格的叙事形式承载厚重深刻的主题,符合现代小说的审美倾向,给现代小说的形式创新带来更多的可能性和启示。

“古书”视阈下《神农本草经》成书时间研究路径初析

学界关于“《神农本草经》成书时间”的探讨主要有7种结论,但大多数结论未能基于“古书”视角而论。古书的成书与流传是一个复杂过程,其具有“材料来源多元、作者群体多种、创作思维多样”等文本生成特点与“多线性、嵌合式、长时期”等文本传播特点。因此,《神农本草经》或已收录于《汉书·艺文志》中,其初本亦可能于民间“医技秘传”过程中即已形成,而陶弘景所辑入四卷本是其修缮本。故而,现有结论仍值得商榷,此问亦可继续探研,但关键是要把握《神农本草经》是“古书”这一本质属性,且需辅之以地下出土之材料为证,真相方可水落石出。

周济《晋略》的生成、构造与传播

《晋略》始撰于道光十二年(1832年),历经三度修改,最终刊行于道光十九年(1839年)。该书虽主要取材于房玄龄《晋书》,却又以取代《晋书》为目标,并为达成此一宏愿,一则采用小字夹注与正文分列相配的编纂体例,二则注重宣扬政教义理。但即便如此,《晋略》终究未能成为文省事增的佳构,更不曾威胁《晋书》的“正史”地位。光绪二年(1876年)重刊本的问世,不仅弥补了《晋略》印本无多且原板被毁的缺憾,而且助推了周济此书的广为流传。辛亥革命后中外学者对《晋略》的评述,既有所侧重又各有理据,但仍有部分点评并不理性。

近代中国民营图书流通事业论略——以平教会与华洋义赈会巡回文库为例

近代中国巡回文库多由图书馆、学校教育部门或民教馆等公立事业单位举办,但社会力量与民间组织也参与了巡回文库事业建设。民营巡回文库种类因地而异,作为公共巡回文库,平教会巡回文库始终致力于民众教育与公共服务建设。作为服务于各地合作社员的文库,华洋义赈会合作巡回书库则立意于合作教育与农事知识普及。由于合作社员大多为基层民众且人数甚多,合作巡回书库兼具公共性与专业性双重服务属性。