Risk assessment of high-speed railway CTC system based on improved game theory and cloud model

Purpose-In order to solve the problem of inaccurate calculation of index weights,subjectivity and uncertainty of index assessment in the risk assessment process,this study aims to propose a scientific and reasonable centralized traffic control(CTC)system risk assessment method.Design/methodologylapproach-First,system-theoretic process analysis(STPA)is used to conduct risk analysis on the CTC system and constructs risk assessment indexes based on this analysis.Then,to enhance the accuracy of weight calculation,the fuzzy analytical hierarchy process(FAHP),fuzzy decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory(FDEMATEL)and entropy weight method are employed to calculate the subjective weight,relative weight and objective weight of each index.These three types of weights are combined using game theory to obtain the combined weight for each index.To reduce subjectivity and uncertainty in the assessment process,the backward cloud generator method is utilized to obtain the numerical character(NC)of the cloud model for each index.The NCs of the indexes are then weighted to derive the comprehensive cloud for risk assessment of the CTC system.This cloud model is used to obtain the CTC system's comprehensive risk assessment.The model's similarity measurement method gauges the likeness between the comprehensive risk assessment cloud and the risk standard cloud.Finally,this process yields the risk assessment results for the CTC system.Findings-The cloud model can handle the subjectivity and fuzziness in the risk assessment process well.The cloud model-based risk assessment method was applied to the CTC system risk assessment of a railway group and achieved good results.Originality/value-This study provides a cloud model-based method for risk assessment of CTC systems,which accurately calculates the weight of risk indexes and uses cloud models to reduce uncertainty and subjectivity in the assessment,achieving effective risk assessment of CTC systems.It can provide a reference and theoretical basis for risk management of the CTC system.

An Improved Three-Dimensional Model for Emotion Based on Fuzzy Theory

Emotion Model is the basis of facial expression recognition system. The constructed emotional model should not only match facial expressions with emotions, but also reflect the location relationship between different emotions. In this way, it is easy to understand the current emotion of an individual through the analysis of the acquired facial expression information. This paper constructs an improved three-dimensional model for emotion based on fuzzy theory, which corresponds to the facial features to emotions based on the basic emotions proposed by Ekman. What’s more, the three-dimensional model for motion is able to divide every emotion into three different groups which can show the positional relationship visually and quantitatively and at the same time determine the degree of emotion based on fuzzy theory.

Three-Dimensional Nonlinear Dynamic Model and Macro Control of Real Estate

In this paper, according to economics of real estate and macro-control theory, combine with the characteristics of the real estate market, macro-control of the real estate market is studied. After giving the dynamic model of three-dimensional nonlinear differential equations based on the total number of houses on the real estate business, the government’s averages housing investment funds and the standard price, systematically established the stability conditions of equilibrium point for this model. What’s more, through the use of extreme value analysis model, government funds have been invested in real estate business building devotion principles and the construction base of the real estate businessmen has also been estimated successfully. This provides the corresponding theoretical basis for government macro control policy-making.

Structural Model Updating of Jacket Platform by Control Theory Using Vibration Measurement Approach

The identification of variations in the dynamic behavior of structures is an important subject in structural integrity assessment.Improvement and servicing of offshore platforms in the marine environment with constant changing,requires understanding the real behavior of these structures to prevent possible failure.In this work,empirical and numerical models of jacket structure are investigated.A test on experimental modal analysis is accomplished to acquire the response of structure and a mathematical model of the jacket structure is also performed.Then,based on the control theory using developed reduction system,the matrices of the platform model is calibrated and updated.The current methodology can be applied to prepare the finite element model to be more adaptable to the empirical model.Calibrated results with the proposed approach in this paper are very close to those of the actual model and also this technique leads to a reduction in the amount of calculations and expenses.The research clearly confirms that the dynamic behavior of fixed marine structures should be designed and assessed considering the calibrated analytical models for the safety of these structures.

Integration system research and development for three-dimensional laser scanning information visualization in goaf

An integration processing system of three-dimensional laser scanning information visualization in goaf was developed. It is provided with multiple functions, such as laser scanning information management for goaf, cloud data de-noising optimization, construction, display and operation of three-dimensional model, model editing, profile generation, calculation of goaf volume and roof area, Boolean calculation among models and interaction with the third party soft ware. Concerning this system with a concise interface, plentiful data input/output interfaces, it is featured with high integration, simple and convenient operations of applications. According to practice, in addition to being well-adapted, this system is favorably reliable and stable.

Head Pursuit Variable Structure Guidance Law for Three-dimensional Space Interception

This article aims to develop a head pursuit （HP） guidance law for three-dimensional hypervelocity interception, so that the effect of the perturbation induced by seeker detection can be reduced. On the basis of a novel HP three-dimensional guidance model, a nonlinear variable structure guidance law is presented by using Lyapunov stability theory. The guidance law positions the interceptor ahead of the target on its tlight trajectory, and the speed of the interceptor is required to be lower than that of the target, A numerical example of maneuvering ballistic target interception verifies the rightness of the guidance model and the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Game theory approach to optimal capital cost allocation in pollution control

This paper tries to integrate game theory, a very useful tool to resolve conflict phenomena, with optimal capital cost allocation issue in total emission control. First the necessity of allocating optimal capital costs fairly and reasonably among polluters in total emission control was analyzed. Then the possibility of applying game theory to the issue of the optimal capital cost allocation was expounded. Next the cooperative N person game model of the optimal capital cost allocation and its solution ways including method based on Shapley value, least core method, weak least core methods, proportional least core method, CGA method, MCRS method and so on were delineated. Finally through application of these methods it was concluded that to apply game theory in the optimal capital cost allocation issue is helpful to implement the total emission control planning schemes successfully, to control pollution effectively, and to ensure sustainable development.

Three-dimensional finite element analysis on effects of tunnel construction on nearby pile foundation

A three-dimensional finite element simulation was carried out to investigate the effects of tunnel construction on nearby pile foundation.The displacement controlled model (DCM) was used to simulate the tunneling-induced volume loss effects.The numerical model was verified based on the results of a centrifuge test and a set of parametric studies was implemented based on this model.There is good agreement between the trend of the results of the centrifuge test and the present model.The results of parametric studies show that the tunnelling-induced pile internal force and deformation depend mainly on the pile?tunnel distance,the pile length to tunnel depth ratio and the volume loss.Two different zones are separated by a 45° line projected from the tunnel springline.Within the zone of influence,the pile is subjected to tensile force and large settlement;whereas outside the zone of influence,dragload and small settlement are induced.It is also established that the impact of tunnelling on a pile group is substantially smaller as compared with a single pile in the same location with the rear pile in a group,demonstrating a positive pile group effect.

A population-feedback control based algorithm for well trajectory optimization using proxy model

Wellbore instability is one of the concerns in the field of drilling engineering.This phenomenon is affected by several factors such as azimuth,inclination angle,in-situ stress,mud weight,and rock strength parameters.Among these factors,azimuth,inclination angle,and mud weight are controllable.The objective of this paper is to introduce a new procedure based on elastoplastic theory in wellbore stability solution to determine the optimum well trajectory and global minimum mud pressure required(GMMPR).Genetic algorithm(GA) was applied as a main optimization engine that employs proportional feedback controller to obtain the minimum mud pressure required(MMPR).The feedback function repeatedly calculated and updated the error between the simulated and set point of normalized yielded zone area(NYZA).To reduce computation expenses,an artificial neural network(ANN) was used as a proxy(surrogate model) to approximate the behavior of the actual wellbore model.The methodology was applied to a directional well in southwestern Iranian oilfield.The results demonstrated that the error between the predicted GMMPR and practical safe mud pressure was 4%for elastoplastic method,and 22%for conventional elastic solution.

Support Vector Machine-Based Nonlinear System Modeling and Control

This paper provides an introduction to a support vector machine, a new kernel-based technique introduced in statistical learning theory and structural risk minimization, then presents a modeling-control framework based on SVM. At last a numerical experiment is taken to demonstrate the proposed approach's correctness and effectiveness.

Three-dimensional nonlinear analysis of creep in concrete filled steel tube columns

This paper proposes a based on 3D-VLE （three-dimensional nonlinear viscoelastic theory） three-parameters viscoelastic model for studying the time-dependent behaviour of concrete filled steel tube （CFT） columns. The method of 3D-VLE was developed to analyze the effects of concrete creep behavior on CFT structures. After the evaluation of the parameters in the proposed creep model, experimental measurements of two prestressed reinforced concrete beams were used to investigate the creep phenomenon of three CFT columns under long-term axial and eccentric load was investigated. The experimentally obtained time-dependent creep behaviour accorded well with the cu~＇es obtained from the proposed method. Many factors （such as ratio of long-term load to strength, slenderness ratio, steel ratio, and eccentricity ratio） were considered to obtain the regularity of influence of concrete creep on CFT structures. The analytical results can be consulted in the engineering practice and design.

Nonlinear model predictive control based on hyper chaotic diagonal recurrent neural network

Nonlinear model predictive controllers(NMPC)can predict the future behavior of the under-controlled system using a nonlinear predictive model.Here,an array of hyper chaotic diagonal recurrent neural network(HCDRNN)was proposed for modeling and predicting the behavior of the under-controller nonlinear system in a moving forward window.In order to improve the convergence of the parameters of the HCDRNN to improve system’s modeling,the extent of chaos is adjusted using a logistic map in the hidden layer.A novel NMPC based on the HCDRNN array(HCDRNN-NMPC)was proposed that the control signal with the help of an improved gradient descent method was obtained.The controller was used to control a continuous stirred tank reactor(CSTR)with hard-nonlinearities and input constraints,in the presence of uncertainties including external disturbance.The results of the simulations show the superior performance of the proposed method in trajectory tracking and disturbance rejection.Parameter convergence and neglectable prediction error of the neural network(NN),guaranteed stability and high tracking performance are the most significant advantages of the proposed scheme.

Optimal Control Strategy for a Fully Determined HIV Model

This paper shows how mathematical methods can be implemented to formulate guidelines for clinical testing and monitoring of HIV/AIDS disease. First, a mathematical model for HIV infection is presented which the measurement of the CD4+T cells and the viral load counts are needed to estimate all its parameters. Next, through an analysis of model properties, the minimal number of measurement samples is obtained. In the sequel, the effect of Reverse Transcriptase enzyme Inhibitor (RTI) on HIV progression is demonstrated by using a control function. Also the total cost of treatment by this kind of drugs has been minimized. The numerical results are obtained by a numerical method in discretization issue, called AVK.

Research on Regulating and Controlling Homogenization of Entertainment Programs--Based on Game Theory

With the prevailing and popular entertainment programs, it brought huge benefits to TV stations, but at the same time caused a variety problems of homogenization. The paper analyzes the causes of the entertainment programs, the root of homogenization, building game theory models between TV stations, TV station and audience to regulate and control the issue of homogeneity about entertainment programs.

Pressure control method and device innovative design for deep oil in-situ exploration and coring

Deep oil exploration coring technology cannot accurately maintain the in-situ pressure and temperature of samples, which leads to a distortion of deep oil and gas resource reserve evaluations based on conventional cores and cannot guide the development of deep oil and gas resources on Earth. The fundamental reason is the lack of temperature and pressure control in in-situ coring environments. In this paper, a pressure control method of a coring device is studied. The theory and method of deep intelligent temperature-pressure coupling control are innovatively proposed, and a multifield coupling dynamic sealing model is established. The optimal cardinality three term PID (Proportional-Integral-Differential) intelligent control algorithm of pressure system is developed. The temperature-pressure characteristic of the gas-liquid two-phase cavity is analyzed, and the pressure intelligent control is carried out based on three term PID control algorithms. An in-situ condition-preserved coring (ICP-Coring) device is developed, and an intelligent control system for the temperature and pressure of the coring device is designed and verified by experiments. The results show that the temperature-pressure coupling control system can effectively realize stable sealing under temperature-pressure fields of 140 MPa and 150 °C. The temperature-pressure coupling control method can accurately realize a constant pressure inside the coring device. The maximum working pressure is 140 MPa, and the effective pressure compensation range is 20 MPa. The numerical simulation experiment of pressure system control algorithm is carried out, and the optimal cardinality and three term coefficients are obtained. The pressure steady-state error is less than 0.01%. The method of temperature-pressure coupling control has guiding significance for coring device research, and is also the basis for temperature-pressure decoupling control in ICP-Coring.

基于改进等效电路模型的直流微电网大信号稳定性分析

对高阶非线性直流微电网进行简化建模是大信号稳定性分析的有效方法。传统简化模型主要关注LC滤波器和线路阻抗等参数,难以分析换流器控制参数的影响,所建立的判据存在难以准确反映直流微电网稳定域的问题。因此,该文提出直流电压下垂控制换流器的具备完整状态变量集的改进等效电路模型,相比于传统简化模型,能更准确地刻画系统低频响应特性。基于混合势理论推导了直流微电网大信号稳定判据及其稳定域,并结合LaSalle不变集定理得到能量指标,以反映系统稳定性变化趋势。建立的稳定判据可指导控制参数优化,且能拓展到多端直流微电网的大信号稳定性分析。在多场景下仿真验证了所提改进等效电路模型和大信号稳定判据的有效性。

多源数据融合的深埋隧道岩爆预测方法

为提高隧道设计阶段未开挖区域的岩爆预测准确性,提出了一种多源数据融合的隧道岩爆预测方法.综合隧道勘察和施工阶段的不同地质信息,采用基于证据关联系数的加权融合技术,构建了隧道精细化三维动态地质模型.建立了基于强度理论的岩爆可能性判定方法和基于能量理论的岩爆烈度预测方法,通过Hoek-Brown强度准则判断围岩是否发生岩爆,利用储能极限阈值和能量释放指数划分岩爆烈度,并将其应用于四川某隧道工程中.结果表明,所提方法可以实现隧道掌子面前方30 m范围内的岩爆精准预测,预测结果与隧道开挖实际岩爆的吻合率为95.8%.因此,该预测方法能够在隧道施工前预判岩爆烈度,为隧道岩爆防治提供指导.

对分课堂教学模式在自动控制原理教学中的实践

分析了自动化控制科学与工程专业的传统教学模式中存在的若干问题。由于对分课堂具备了讲授式课堂和讨论式课堂的优点,把对分课堂教学模式应用于自动控制原理教学中,并从教学准备和教学过程2个方面刻画对分课堂教学模式在自动控制原理教学中的具体实施情况。教学实践表明,对分课堂教学模式在自动控制原理课程中的应用确实能够激发和提高学生自主学习的兴趣和能力,培养学生发现问题并解决问题的能力,建立团队协作意识,增强沟通表达能力,提升学生终身学习的能力。对分课堂教学模式在自动控制原理教学中效果良好,为本科院校和本校其他课程教学模式改革提供了新思路。

基于疫苗接种的SEIHRVI传染病模型分析与最优控制

为研究疫苗接种对控制传染病的影响,建立了具有标准发生率的传染病模型。通过推导得出模型的基本再生数,给出地方病平衡点的存在条件。借助构造Lyapunov函数证明了平衡点的全局稳定性。应用Pontryagin最大值原理分析了最优控制问题,得出最优控制策略。结果表明:提高疫苗接种率和效力能有效控制疾病传播;注意自我保护,及时接种以及重视治疗一定程度上可减小疾病爆发的规模。