The evaluation problem with three-parameter interval grey number (T-PIGN) widely exists in real world. To select effective evaluation indicators of the problem, this paper puts forward evaluation index system selectio...The evaluation problem with three-parameter interval grey number (T-PIGN) widely exists in real world. To select effective evaluation indicators of the problem, this paper puts forward evaluation index system selection principle of T-PIGN based on distance entropy model, and gives out evaluation index system selection judgment criterion of T-PIGN. Furthermore, for the redundancy of evaluation index system with T-PIGN, a selection method of evaluation index system with T-PIGN is proposed. Finally, the applicability of the proposed method is verified by concrete examples.展开更多
Aiming at the dynamic multi-attribute decision making problem where the weight of each decision stage and attribute weight are completely unknown and the attribute value is unknown distributed three-parameter interval...Aiming at the dynamic multi-attribute decision making problem where the weight of each decision stage and attribute weight are completely unknown and the attribute value is unknown distributed three-parameter interval grey number,a threeparameter interval grey number dynamic multiattribute grey target decision making method with attribute value following quasi-normal distribution is proposed.Firstly,the position relationship between the“center of gravity”point and the kernel of the threeparameter interval grey number is discussed.According to the characteristicthat the attribute value obeys the quasi-normal distribution,anew weight isgiventothe“centerof gravity”point,and a new distance measure formula of the three-parameter interval grey number is defined.Secondly,according to the principle of maximum entropy,the objective programming model is constructed to determine the stage weight and attributeweight.Then,the schemes aresorted according to thesize of the comprehensive bull's-eye distance Finally an example is given to illustrate the effectiveness of the decision model.展开更多
Interval model updating(IMU)methods have been widely used in uncertain model updating due to their low requirements for sample data.However,the surrogate model in IMU methods mostly adopts the one-time construction me...Interval model updating(IMU)methods have been widely used in uncertain model updating due to their low requirements for sample data.However,the surrogate model in IMU methods mostly adopts the one-time construction method.This makes the accuracy of the surrogate model highly dependent on the experience of users and affects the accuracy of IMU methods.Therefore,an improved IMU method via the adaptive Kriging models is proposed.This method transforms the objective function of the IMU problem into two deterministic global optimization problems about the upper bound and the interval diameter through universal grey numbers.These optimization problems are addressed through the adaptive Kriging models and the particle swarm optimization(PSO)method to quantify the uncertain parameters,and the IMU is accomplished.During the construction of these adaptive Kriging models,the sample space is gridded according to sensitivity information.Local sampling is then performed in key subspaces based on the maximum mean square error(MMSE)criterion.The interval division coefficient and random sampling coefficient are adaptively adjusted without human interference until the model meets accuracy requirements.The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated by a numerical example of a three-degree-of-freedom mass-spring system and an experimental example of a butted cylindrical shell.The results show that the updated results of the interval model are in good agreement with the experimental results.展开更多
This paper aims to study a new grey prediction approach and its solution for forecasting the main system variable whose accurate value could not be collected while the potential value set could be defined. Based on th...This paper aims to study a new grey prediction approach and its solution for forecasting the main system variable whose accurate value could not be collected while the potential value set could be defined. Based on the traditional nonhomogenous discrete grey forecasting model(NDGM), the interval grey number and its algebra operations are redefined and combined with the NDGM model to construct a new interval grey number sequence prediction approach. The solving principle of the model is analyzed, the new accuracy evaluation indices, i.e. mean absolute percentage error of mean value sequence(MAPEM) and mean percent of interval sequence simulating value set covered(MPSVSC), are defined and, the procedure of the interval grey number sequence based the NDGM(IG-NDGM) is given out. Finally, a numerical case is used to test the modelling accuracy of the proposed model. Results show that the proposed approach could solve the interval grey number sequence prediction problem and it is much better than the traditional DGM(1,1) model and GM(1,1) model.展开更多
In grey system theory,the studies in the field of grey prediction model are focused on real number sequences,rather than grey number ones.Hereby,a prediction model based on interval grey number sequences is proposed.B...In grey system theory,the studies in the field of grey prediction model are focused on real number sequences,rather than grey number ones.Hereby,a prediction model based on interval grey number sequences is proposed.By mining the geometric features of interval grey number sequences on a two-dimensional surface,all the interval grey numbers are converted into real numbers by means of certain algorithm,and then the prediction model is established based on those real number sequences.The entire process avoids the algebraic operations of grey number,and the prediction problem of interval grey number is usefully solved.Ultimately,through an example's program simulation,the validity and practicability of this novel model are verified.展开更多
The kernel of interval grey number is most likely the real number,which can be used to represent whitenization value of interval grey number.A novel method for calculating kernel of interval grey number is constructed...The kernel of interval grey number is most likely the real number,which can be used to represent whitenization value of interval grey number.A novel method for calculating kernel of interval grey number is constructed based on the geometric barycenter of whitenization weight function in the two-dimensional coordinate plane,and the calculation of kernel is converted to the calculation of barycenter in geometric figures.The method fully considers the effect of all information contained in whitenization weight function on the calculation result of kernel,and is the extension and perfection of the existing methods in the scope of application.展开更多
To study the fuzzy and grey information in the problems of multi-attribute group decision making, the basic concepts of both fuzzy grey numbers and grey interval numbers are given firstly, then a new model of fuzzy gr...To study the fuzzy and grey information in the problems of multi-attribute group decision making, the basic concepts of both fuzzy grey numbers and grey interval numbers are given firstly, then a new model of fuzzy grey multi-attribute group decision making based on the theories of fuzzy mathematics and grey system is presented. Furthermore, the grey interval relative degree and deviation degree is defined, and both the optimistic algorithm of the grey interval relational degree and the algorithm of deviation degree minimization for solving this new model are also given. Finally, a decision making example to demonstrate the feasibility and rationality of this new method is given, and the results by using these two algorithms are uniform.展开更多
Based on the distance of interval numbers and the two-stage decision methods, this paper expands the decision model of grey target into some situation under which the decision information and target weights are the in...Based on the distance of interval numbers and the two-stage decision methods, this paper expands the decision model of grey target into some situation under which the decision information and target weights are the interval numbers at the same time. It also gives the optimization method of weights in the grey target. We get the optimum coordinated vector utilizing the combination assigning method, based on the local optimization of various schemes. So it can shift the weights of interval number into real number form and sequence it according to the weighted off-target distance. Finally the effectiveness and practicality of the model is proved by a real project.展开更多
Purpose–The purpose of this paper is to propose a grey clustering evaluation model based on analytic hierarchy process(AHP)and interval grey number(IGN)to solve the clustering evaluation problem with IGNs.Design/meth...Purpose–The purpose of this paper is to propose a grey clustering evaluation model based on analytic hierarchy process(AHP)and interval grey number(IGN)to solve the clustering evaluation problem with IGNs.Design/methodology/approach–First,the centre-point triangular whitenisation weight function with real numbers is built,and then by using interval mean function,the whitenisation weight function is extended to IGNs.The weights of evaluation indexes are determined by AHP.Finally,this model is used to evaluate the flight safety of a Chinese airline.The results indicate that the model is effective and reasonable.Findings–When IGN meets certain conditions,the centre-point triangular whitenisation weight function based on IGN is not multiple-cross and it is normative.It provides a certain standard and basis for obtaining the effective evaluation indexes and determining the scientific evaluation of the grey class.Originality/value–The traditional grey clustering model is extended to the field of IGN.It can make full use of all the information of the IGN,so the result of the evaluation is more objective and reasonable,which provides supports for solving practical problems.展开更多
Applying the modeling method of Grey system and accumulated generating operation of reciprocal number for the problem of lower precision as well as lower adaptability in non-equidistant GM (1, 1) model, the calculatio...Applying the modeling method of Grey system and accumulated generating operation of reciprocal number for the problem of lower precision as well as lower adaptability in non-equidistant GM (1, 1) model, the calculation formulas were deduced and a non-equidistant GRM (1, 1) model generated by accumulated generating operation of reciprocal number was put forward .The grey GRM (1, 1) model can be used in non-equal interval & equal interval time series and has the characteristic of high precision as well as high adaptability. Example validates the practicability and reliability of the proposed model.展开更多
Associating environmental stresses (ESs) with built-in test (BIT) output is an important means to help diagnose intermittent faults (IFs). Aiming at low efficiency in association of traditional time stress measu...Associating environmental stresses (ESs) with built-in test (BIT) output is an important means to help diagnose intermittent faults (IFs). Aiming at low efficiency in association of traditional time stress measurement device (TSMD), an association model is built. Thereafter, a novel approach is given to evaluate the integrated environmental stress (IES) level. Firstly, the selection principle and approach of main environmental stresses (MESs) and key characteristic parameters (KCPs) are presented based on fault mode, mechanism, and ESs analysis (FMMEA). Secondly, reference stress events (RSEs) are constructed by dividing IES into three stress levels according to its impact on faults; and then the association model between integrated environmental stress event (IESE) and BIT output is built. Thirdly, an interval grey association approach to evaluate IES level is proposed due to the interval number of IES value. Consequently, the association output can be obtained as well. Finally, a case study is presented to demonstrate the proposed approach. Results show the proposed model and approach are effective and feasible. This approach can be used to guide ESs measure, record, and association. It is well suited for on-line assistant diagnosis of faults, especially IFs.展开更多
In the DGM(1, 1) model modeling process, the influencing factors are uncertain. But the solution of DGM(1, 1) model with uncertain information is unique, which conflicts with the nonuniqueness principle of solution in...In the DGM(1, 1) model modeling process, the influencing factors are uncertain. But the solution of DGM(1, 1) model with uncertain information is unique, which conflicts with the nonuniqueness principle of solution in grey theory. In view of this situation, this paper makes an in-depth analysis of the meaning of grey action quantity β_(2) in DGM(1, 1) model and regards β_(2) as an interval grey number. The maximum possibility whitenization value is given to estimate the kernel of grey number,and the typical possibility function is constructed to describe the possibility of grey number taking different values. A new DGM(1, 1) model with a grey parameter is then proposed, whose simulation results are interval grey numbers. The proposed model is compatible with the DGM(1, 1) model in model structure and simulation results. Finally, the practical example results show the applicability and effectiveness of the proposed model.展开更多
文摘The evaluation problem with three-parameter interval grey number (T-PIGN) widely exists in real world. To select effective evaluation indicators of the problem, this paper puts forward evaluation index system selection principle of T-PIGN based on distance entropy model, and gives out evaluation index system selection judgment criterion of T-PIGN. Furthermore, for the redundancy of evaluation index system with T-PIGN, a selection method of evaluation index system with T-PIGN is proposed. Finally, the applicability of the proposed method is verified by concrete examples.
基金Supported by Humanities and Social Science Project of Henan Colleges and Universities(2022-ZZJH-067)。
文摘Aiming at the dynamic multi-attribute decision making problem where the weight of each decision stage and attribute weight are completely unknown and the attribute value is unknown distributed three-parameter interval grey number,a threeparameter interval grey number dynamic multiattribute grey target decision making method with attribute value following quasi-normal distribution is proposed.Firstly,the position relationship between the“center of gravity”point and the kernel of the threeparameter interval grey number is discussed.According to the characteristicthat the attribute value obeys the quasi-normal distribution,anew weight isgiventothe“centerof gravity”point,and a new distance measure formula of the three-parameter interval grey number is defined.Secondly,according to the principle of maximum entropy,the objective programming model is constructed to determine the stage weight and attributeweight.Then,the schemes aresorted according to thesize of the comprehensive bull's-eye distance Finally an example is given to illustrate the effectiveness of the decision model.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.12272211,12072181,12121002)。
文摘Interval model updating(IMU)methods have been widely used in uncertain model updating due to their low requirements for sample data.However,the surrogate model in IMU methods mostly adopts the one-time construction method.This makes the accuracy of the surrogate model highly dependent on the experience of users and affects the accuracy of IMU methods.Therefore,an improved IMU method via the adaptive Kriging models is proposed.This method transforms the objective function of the IMU problem into two deterministic global optimization problems about the upper bound and the interval diameter through universal grey numbers.These optimization problems are addressed through the adaptive Kriging models and the particle swarm optimization(PSO)method to quantify the uncertain parameters,and the IMU is accomplished.During the construction of these adaptive Kriging models,the sample space is gridded according to sensitivity information.Local sampling is then performed in key subspaces based on the maximum mean square error(MMSE)criterion.The interval division coefficient and random sampling coefficient are adaptively adjusted without human interference until the model meets accuracy requirements.The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated by a numerical example of a three-degree-of-freedom mass-spring system and an experimental example of a butted cylindrical shell.The results show that the updated results of the interval model are in good agreement with the experimental results.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(7090104171171113)the Aeronautical Science Foundation of China(2014ZG52077)
文摘This paper aims to study a new grey prediction approach and its solution for forecasting the main system variable whose accurate value could not be collected while the potential value set could be defined. Based on the traditional nonhomogenous discrete grey forecasting model(NDGM), the interval grey number and its algebra operations are redefined and combined with the NDGM model to construct a new interval grey number sequence prediction approach. The solving principle of the model is analyzed, the new accuracy evaluation indices, i.e. mean absolute percentage error of mean value sequence(MAPEM) and mean percent of interval sequence simulating value set covered(MPSVSC), are defined and, the procedure of the interval grey number sequence based the NDGM(IG-NDGM) is given out. Finally, a numerical case is used to test the modelling accuracy of the proposed model. Results show that the proposed approach could solve the interval grey number sequence prediction problem and it is much better than the traditional DGM(1,1) model and GM(1,1) model.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(7084001290924022)the Ph.D.Thesis Innovation and Excellent Foundation of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics(2010)
文摘In grey system theory,the studies in the field of grey prediction model are focused on real number sequences,rather than grey number ones.Hereby,a prediction model based on interval grey number sequences is proposed.By mining the geometric features of interval grey number sequences on a two-dimensional surface,all the interval grey numbers are converted into real numbers by means of certain algorithm,and then the prediction model is established based on those real number sequences.The entire process avoids the algebraic operations of grey number,and the prediction problem of interval grey number is usefully solved.Ultimately,through an example's program simulation,the validity and practicability of this novel model are verified.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(71271226,70971064,71101159)the Humanities and Social Science Foundation of Ministry of Education(11YJC630273,12YJC630140)+4 种基金the Program for Chongqing Innovation Team in University(KJTD201313)the Science and Technology Research Projects of Chongqing Education Commission(KJ120706)the Open Foundation of Chongqing Key Laboratory of Electronic Commerce and Supply Chain System(2012ECSC0101)the Special Fund of Chongqing Key Laboratory of Electronic Commerce and Supply Chain System(2012ECSC0217)the Chongqing City Board of Education Science and Technology Research Projects(1202010)
文摘The kernel of interval grey number is most likely the real number,which can be used to represent whitenization value of interval grey number.A novel method for calculating kernel of interval grey number is constructed based on the geometric barycenter of whitenization weight function in the two-dimensional coordinate plane,and the calculation of kernel is converted to the calculation of barycenter in geometric figures.The method fully considers the effect of all information contained in whitenization weight function on the calculation result of kernel,and is the extension and perfection of the existing methods in the scope of application.
基金This project was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (70671050 70471019)the Key Project of Hubei Provincial Department of Education (D200627005).
文摘To study the fuzzy and grey information in the problems of multi-attribute group decision making, the basic concepts of both fuzzy grey numbers and grey interval numbers are given firstly, then a new model of fuzzy grey multi-attribute group decision making based on the theories of fuzzy mathematics and grey system is presented. Furthermore, the grey interval relative degree and deviation degree is defined, and both the optimistic algorithm of the grey interval relational degree and the algorithm of deviation degree minimization for solving this new model are also given. Finally, a decision making example to demonstrate the feasibility and rationality of this new method is given, and the results by using these two algorithms are uniform.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation for Young Scholar of China(70901040)the Doctoral Fund of Ministry of Education of China(200802870020)the Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics Innovation Foundation(Y0811-091).
文摘Based on the distance of interval numbers and the two-stage decision methods, this paper expands the decision model of grey target into some situation under which the decision information and target weights are the interval numbers at the same time. It also gives the optimization method of weights in the grey target. We get the optimum coordinated vector utilizing the combination assigning method, based on the local optimization of various schemes. So it can shift the weights of interval number into real number form and sequence it according to the weighted off-target distance. Finally the effectiveness and practicality of the model is proved by a real project.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China under the project of 71601050 and Civil Aviation Administration of China Science Planned Projects under the project of MHRD20150211.
文摘Purpose–The purpose of this paper is to propose a grey clustering evaluation model based on analytic hierarchy process(AHP)and interval grey number(IGN)to solve the clustering evaluation problem with IGNs.Design/methodology/approach–First,the centre-point triangular whitenisation weight function with real numbers is built,and then by using interval mean function,the whitenisation weight function is extended to IGNs.The weights of evaluation indexes are determined by AHP.Finally,this model is used to evaluate the flight safety of a Chinese airline.The results indicate that the model is effective and reasonable.Findings–When IGN meets certain conditions,the centre-point triangular whitenisation weight function based on IGN is not multiple-cross and it is normative.It provides a certain standard and basis for obtaining the effective evaluation indexes and determining the scientific evaluation of the grey class.Originality/value–The traditional grey clustering model is extended to the field of IGN.It can make full use of all the information of the IGN,so the result of the evaluation is more objective and reasonable,which provides supports for solving practical problems.
文摘Applying the modeling method of Grey system and accumulated generating operation of reciprocal number for the problem of lower precision as well as lower adaptability in non-equidistant GM (1, 1) model, the calculation formulas were deduced and a non-equidistant GRM (1, 1) model generated by accumulated generating operation of reciprocal number was put forward .The grey GRM (1, 1) model can be used in non-equal interval & equal interval time series and has the characteristic of high precision as well as high adaptability. Example validates the practicability and reliability of the proposed model.
基金co-supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51175502)National Defence Pre-research Foundation (No. 9140A17060411KG01)
文摘Associating environmental stresses (ESs) with built-in test (BIT) output is an important means to help diagnose intermittent faults (IFs). Aiming at low efficiency in association of traditional time stress measurement device (TSMD), an association model is built. Thereafter, a novel approach is given to evaluate the integrated environmental stress (IES) level. Firstly, the selection principle and approach of main environmental stresses (MESs) and key characteristic parameters (KCPs) are presented based on fault mode, mechanism, and ESs analysis (FMMEA). Secondly, reference stress events (RSEs) are constructed by dividing IES into three stress levels according to its impact on faults; and then the association model between integrated environmental stress event (IESE) and BIT output is built. Thirdly, an interval grey association approach to evaluate IES level is proposed due to the interval number of IES value. Consequently, the association output can be obtained as well. Finally, a case study is presented to demonstrate the proposed approach. Results show the proposed model and approach are effective and feasible. This approach can be used to guide ESs measure, record, and association. It is well suited for on-line assistant diagnosis of faults, especially IFs.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11771172)。
文摘In the DGM(1, 1) model modeling process, the influencing factors are uncertain. But the solution of DGM(1, 1) model with uncertain information is unique, which conflicts with the nonuniqueness principle of solution in grey theory. In view of this situation, this paper makes an in-depth analysis of the meaning of grey action quantity β_(2) in DGM(1, 1) model and regards β_(2) as an interval grey number. The maximum possibility whitenization value is given to estimate the kernel of grey number,and the typical possibility function is constructed to describe the possibility of grey number taking different values. A new DGM(1, 1) model with a grey parameter is then proposed, whose simulation results are interval grey numbers. The proposed model is compatible with the DGM(1, 1) model in model structure and simulation results. Finally, the practical example results show the applicability and effectiveness of the proposed model.