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Relative Performance Evaluation of Competing Crude Oil Prices’ Volatility Forecasting Models: A Slacks-Based Super-Efficiency DEA Model
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作者 Jamal Ouenniche Bing Xu Kaoru Tone 《American Journal of Operations Research》 2014年第4期235-245,共11页
With the increasing number of quantitative models available to forecast the volatility of crude oil prices, the assessment of the relative performance of competing models becomes a critical task. Our survey of the lit... With the increasing number of quantitative models available to forecast the volatility of crude oil prices, the assessment of the relative performance of competing models becomes a critical task. Our survey of the literature revealed that most studies tend to use several performance criteria to evaluate the performance of competing forecasting models;however, models are compared to each other using a single criterion at a time, which often leads to different rankings for different criteria—A situation where one cannot make an informed decision as to which model performs best when taking all criteria into account. In order to overcome this methodological problem, Xu and Ouenniche [1] proposed a multidimensional framework based on an input-oriented radial super-efficiency Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model to rank order competing forecasting models of crude oil prices’ volatility. However, their approach suffers from a number of issues. In this paper, we overcome such issues by proposing an alternative framework. 展开更多
关键词 Forecasting Crude Oil Prices’ VOLATILITY Performance Evaluation slacks-based measure (sbm) Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) COMMODITY and Energy Markets
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Spatiotemporal characteristics of cultivated land use eco-efficiency and its influencing factors in China from 2000 to 2020
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作者 LI Shaoting MU Na +1 位作者 REN Yanjun Thomas GLAUBEN 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第3期396-414,共19页
Improving cultivated land use eco-efficiency(CLUE)can effectively promote agricultural sustainability,particularly in developing countries where CLUE is generally low.This study used provincial-level data from China t... Improving cultivated land use eco-efficiency(CLUE)can effectively promote agricultural sustainability,particularly in developing countries where CLUE is generally low.This study used provincial-level data from China to evaluate the spatiotemporal evolution of CLUE from 2000 to 2020 and identified the influencing factors of CLUE by using a panel Tobit model.In addition,given the undesirable outputs of agricultural production,we incorporated carbon emissions and nonpoint source pollution into the global benchmark-undesirable output-super efficiency-slacks-based measure(GB-US-SBM)model,which combines global benchmark technology,undesirable output,super efficiency,and slacks-based measure.The results indicated that there was an upward trend in CLUE in China from 2000 to 2020,with an increase rate of 2.62%.The temporal evolution of CLUE in China could be classified into three distinct stages:a period of fluctuating decrease(2000-2007),a phase of gradual increase(2008-2014),and a period of rapid growth(2015-2020).The major grain-producing areas(MPAs)had a lower CLUE than their counterparts,namely,non-major grain-production areas(non-MPAs).The spatial agglomeration effect followed a northeast-southwest strip distribution;and the movement path of barycentre revealed a"P"shape,with Luoyang City,Henan Province,as the centre.In terms of influencing factors of CLUE,investment in science and technology played the most vital role in improving CLUE,while irrigation index had the most negative effect.It should be noted that these two influencing factors had different impacts on MPAs and non-MPAs.Therefore,relevant departments should formulate policies to enhance the level of science and technology,improve irrigation condition,and promote sustainable utilization of cultivated land. 展开更多
关键词 cultivated land use eco-efficiency(CLUE) slacks-based measure(sbm)model barycentre model standard deviation ellipse(SDE) panel Tobit model carbon emissions nonpoint source pollution
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2030年中国主要省域间碳排放配额测算
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作者 王莉 刘莹莹 姜惠源 《水土保持通报》 CSCD 北大核心 2023年第5期279-287,296,共10页
[目的]在控制碳排放总量条件下,对省域间碳排放配额进行公平科学地分配是实现“双碳”目标的关键途径,也是碳排放交易机制体系的重要基石。分析不同情景下碳排放配额测算结果的碳减排边际成本,以期以最小成本确定最优的碳排放定额分配方... [目的]在控制碳排放总量条件下,对省域间碳排放配额进行公平科学地分配是实现“双碳”目标的关键途径,也是碳排放交易机制体系的重要基石。分析不同情景下碳排放配额测算结果的碳减排边际成本,以期以最小成本确定最优的碳排放定额分配方案,为区域后期开展分配工作提供理论基础,为地区碳减排方案制定提供工作参考。[方法]在前人建立的碳配额测算指标基础上引入生态性指标,并设置公平、效率、生态、兼顾公平—生态—效率4种情景,利用SBM(slacks-based measure)对偶模型测算不同情景下区域碳边际减排成本,并以此为依据确定最优分配方案。[结果]在公平、效率、生态、兼顾情景下平均碳边际减排成本分别为2 950,3 120,2 910,3 090元/t,引入生态性指标的方案减排成本明显更低,可推断出是碳汇抵消掉部分减排难度较大,成本较高的碳排放所致;兼顾情景下减排成本明显高于公平、生态情景,表明碳排放效率的提升同时会导致碳边际减排成本增加。[结论]生态情景下的碳排放配额是以最低碳边际减排成本实现“双碳”目标的最优方案,在地区碳排放方案及碳交易机制制定时应予以重视。 展开更多
关键词 碳排放配额 生态情景 sbm(slacks-based measure)对偶模型 碳边际减排成本
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A New Approach for Ranking Efficient Units in Data Envelopment Analysis and Application to a Sample of Vietnamese Agricultural Bank Branches 被引量:1
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作者 Nguyen Khac Minh Pham Van Khanh Pham Anh Tuan 《American Journal of Operations Research》 2012年第1期126-136,共11页
This paper proposes a new approach for ranking efficiency units in data envelopment analysis as a modification of the super-efficiency models developed by Tone [1]. The new approach based on slacks-based measure of ef... This paper proposes a new approach for ranking efficiency units in data envelopment analysis as a modification of the super-efficiency models developed by Tone [1]. The new approach based on slacks-based measure of efficiency (SBM) for dealing with objective function used to classify all of the decision-making units allows the ranking of all inefficient DMUs and overcomes the disadvantages of infeasibility. This method also is applied to rank super-efficient scores for the sample of 145 agricultural bank branches in Viet Nam during 2007-2010. We then compare the estimated results from the new SCI model and the exsisting SBM model by using some statistical tests. 展开更多
关键词 Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) slacks-based measure of Efficiency (sbm) SCI Super-Efficient
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