Aim To present a simple and effective method for the design of nonlinear and time varying control system. Methods A new concept of dynamic equilibrium of a system and its stability were presented first. It was poin...Aim To present a simple and effective method for the design of nonlinear and time varying control system. Methods A new concept of dynamic equilibrium of a system and its stability were presented first. It was pointed out that what is controlled directly by the input of a control system is the system's dynamic equilibrium rather than the states. Based on it, a new feedback linearization method for nonlinear system based on the Lyapunov direct method was given. Simulation studies were also carried out. Results The example and simulation show that by use of the method, the controller design becomes very simple and the control effect is quite satisfying. Conclusion The new method unifies the stabilizing problem(regulating problem) with the tracking problem. It is a very simple and effective method for the design of nonlinear and time varying control system.展开更多
This paper considers the problem of time varying congestion pricing to determine optimal time-varying tolls at peak periods for a queuing network with the interactions between buses and private cars.Through the combin...This paper considers the problem of time varying congestion pricing to determine optimal time-varying tolls at peak periods for a queuing network with the interactions between buses and private cars.Through the combined applications of the space-time expanded network(STEN) and the conventional network equilibrium modeling techniques,a multi-class,multi-mode and multi-criteria traffic network equilibrium model is developed.Travelers of different classes have distinctive value of times(VOTs),and travelers from the same class perceive their travel disutility or generalized costs on a route according to different weights of travel time and travel costs.Moreover,the symmetric cost function model is extended to deal with the interactions between buses and private cars.It is found that there exists a uniform(anonymous) link toll pattern which can drive a multi-class,multi-mode and multi-criteria user equilibrium flow pattern to a system optimum when the system's objective function is measured in terms of money.It is also found that the marginal cost pricing models with a symmetric travel cost function do not reflect the interactions between traffic flows of different road sections,and the obtained congestion pricing toll is smaller than the real value.展开更多
A new method for identifying nonlinear time varying systems with unknown structure is presented. The method extends the application area of basis sequence identification. The essential idea is to utilize the learning ...A new method for identifying nonlinear time varying systems with unknown structure is presented. The method extends the application area of basis sequence identification. The essential idea is to utilize the learning and nonlinear approximating ability of neural networks to model the non linearity of the system, characterize time varying dynamics of the system by the time varying parametric vector of the network, then the parametric vector of the network is approximated by a weighted sum of known basis sequences. Because of black box modeling ability of neural networks, the presented method can identify nonlinear time varying systems with unknown structure. In order to improve the real time capability of the algorithm, the neural network is trained by a simple fast learning algorithm based on local least squares presented by the authors. The effectiveness and the performance of the method are demonstrated by some simulation results.展开更多
As it is well known,it is difficult to identify a nonlinear time varying system using traditional identification approaches,especially under unknown nonlinear function.Neural networks have recently emerged as a succes...As it is well known,it is difficult to identify a nonlinear time varying system using traditional identification approaches,especially under unknown nonlinear function.Neural networks have recently emerged as a successful tool in the area of identification and control of time invariant nonlinear systems.However,it is still difficult to apply them to complicated time varying system identification.In this paper we present a learning algorithm for identification of the nonlinear time varying system using feedforward neural networks.The main idea of this approach is that we regard the weights of the network as a state of a time varying system,then use a Kalman filter to estimate the state.Thus the network implements nonlinear and time varying mapping.We derived both the global and local learning algorithms.Simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach.展开更多
This paper presents the stability analysis for a class of neural networks with time varying delays that are represented by the Takagi^ugeno IT-S) model. The main results given here focus on the stability criteria usi...This paper presents the stability analysis for a class of neural networks with time varying delays that are represented by the Takagi^ugeno IT-S) model. The main results given here focus on the stability criteria using a new Lyapunov functional. New relaxed conditions and new linear matrix inequality-based designs are proposed that outperform the previous results found in the literature. Numerical examples are provided to show that the achieved conditions are less conservative than the existing ones in the literature.展开更多
This paper aims to present some delay-dependent global asymptotic stability criteria for recurrent neural networks with time varying delays. The obtained results have no restriction on the magnitude of derivative of t...This paper aims to present some delay-dependent global asymptotic stability criteria for recurrent neural networks with time varying delays. The obtained results have no restriction on the magnitude of derivative of time varying delay, and can be easily checked due to the form of linear matrix inequality. By comparison with some previous results, the obtained results are less conservative. A numerical example is utilized to demonstrate the effectiveness of the obtained results.展开更多
The problem of linear time-varying(LTV) system modal analysis is considered based on time-dependent state space representations, as classical modal analysis of linear time-invariant systems and current LTV system mo...The problem of linear time-varying(LTV) system modal analysis is considered based on time-dependent state space representations, as classical modal analysis of linear time-invariant systems and current LTV system modal analysis under the "frozen-time" assumption are not able to determine the dynamic stability of LTV systems. Time-dependent state space representations of LTV systems are first introduced, and the corresponding modal analysis theories are subsequently presented via a stabilitypreserving state transformation. The time-varying modes of LTV systems are extended in terms of uniqueness, and are further interpreted to determine the system's stability. An extended modal identification is proposed to estimate the time-varying modes, consisting of the estimation of the state transition matrix via a subspace-based method and the extraction of the time-varying modes by the QR decomposition. The proposed approach is numerically validated by three numerical cases, and is experimentally validated by a coupled moving-mass simply supported beam exper- imental case. The proposed approach is capable of accurately estimating the time-varying modes, and provides anew way to determine the dynamic stability of LTV systems by using the estimated time-varying modes.展开更多
Financial Time Series Forecasting is an important tool to support both individual and organizational decisions. Periodic phenomena are very popular in econometrics. Many models have been built aiding capture of these ...Financial Time Series Forecasting is an important tool to support both individual and organizational decisions. Periodic phenomena are very popular in econometrics. Many models have been built aiding capture of these periodic trends as a way of enhancing forecasting of future events as well as guiding business and social activities. The nature of real-world systems </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">is</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> characterized by many uncertain fluctuations which makes prediction difficult. In situations when randomness is mixed with periodicity, prediction is even much harder. We therefore constructed an ANN Time Varying Garch model with both linear and non-linear attributes and specific for processes with fixed and random periodicity. To eliminate the need for time series linear component filtering</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">,</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> we incorporated the use of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and constructed Time Varying GARCH model on its disturbances. We developed the estimation procedure of the ANN time varying GARCH model parameters using non parametric techniques.展开更多
An LMS-like algorithm is applied for estimating the time-varying parameter theta-n in the linear model y(n) = phi-n-tau-theta-n + upsilon-n, which is general in the sense that none of the probabilistic properties such...An LMS-like algorithm is applied for estimating the time-varying parameter theta-n in the linear model y(n) = phi-n-tau-theta-n + upsilon-n, which is general in the sense that none of the probabilistic properties such as stationarity, Markov property, independence and ergodicity is imposed on any of the processes {y(n)}, {phi-n}, {theta-n} and {upsilon-n}. It is shown that the alpha-th moment of the estimation error is of order of the alpha-th moment of the observation noise and the parameter variation w(n) change in equivalence theta-n - theta-n-1.展开更多
Based on a new linear, continuous and bounded operator (PGOPO), a more effective approach and optimal control algorithm than by the block-pulse functions and Walsh functions to design the linear servomechanism of time...Based on a new linear, continuous and bounded operator (PGOPO), a more effective approach and optimal control algorithm than by the block-pulse functions and Walsh functions to design the linear servomechanism of time-varying systems with time-delay is proposed in the paper. By means of the operator, the differential equation is transferred to a more explicit algebraic form which is much easier than the numerical integration of nonlinear TPBVP derived from Pantryagin's maximum principle method. Furthermore, the method is established strictly based on the theory of convergence in the mean square and it is convenient and simple in computation. So the method can be applied to industry control and aeronautics and astronautics field which is frequently mixed with time varying and time delay. Some illustrative numerical examples are interpreted to support the technique.展开更多
In the conventional chaos synchronization methods, the time at which two chaotic systems are synchronized, is usually unknown and depends on initial conditions. In this work based on Lyapunov stability theory a slidin...In the conventional chaos synchronization methods, the time at which two chaotic systems are synchronized, is usually unknown and depends on initial conditions. In this work based on Lyapunov stability theory a sliding mode controller with time-varying switching surfaces is proposed to achieve chaos synchronization at a pre-specified time for the first time. The proposed controller is able to synchronize chaotic systems precisely at any time when we want. Moreover, by choosing the time-varying switching surfaces in a way that the reaching phase is eliminated, the synchronization becomes robust to uncertainties and exogenous disturbances. Simulation results are presented to show the effectiveness of the proposed method of stabilizing and synchronizing chaotic systems with complete robustness to uncertainty and disturbances exactly at a pre-specified time.展开更多
This paper mainly investigates the exponential synchronization of an inner time-varying complex network with coupling delay. Firstly, the synchronization of complex networks is decoupled into the stability of the corr...This paper mainly investigates the exponential synchronization of an inner time-varying complex network with coupling delay. Firstly, the synchronization of complex networks is decoupled into the stability of the corresponding dynamical systems. Based on the Lyapunov function theory, some sufficient conditions to guarantee its stability with any given convergence rate are derived, thus the synchronization of the networks is achieved. Finally, the results are illustrated by a simple time-varying network model with a coupling delay. All involved numerical simulations verify the correctness of the theoretical analysis.展开更多
To deal with stabilizing of nonlinear affine fractional order systems subject to time varying delays,two methods for finding an appropriate pseudo state feedback controller are discussed.In the first method,using the ...To deal with stabilizing of nonlinear affine fractional order systems subject to time varying delays,two methods for finding an appropriate pseudo state feedback controller are discussed.In the first method,using the Mittag-Lefler function,Laplace transform and Gronwall inequality,a linear stabilizing controller is derived,which uses the fractional order of the delayed system and the upper bound of system nonlinear functions.In the second method,at first a sufficient stability condition for the delayed system is given in the form of a simple linear matrix inequality(LMI)which can easily be solved.Then,on the basis of this result,a stabilizing pseudo-state feedback controller is designed in which the controller gain matrix is easily computed by solving an LMI in terms of delay bounds.Simulation results show the effectiveness of the proposed methods.展开更多
Designing a robust controller for a system with timevarying delays poses a major challenge. In this paper, we propose a method based on mixed sensitivity H∞ for the control of linear time invariant(LTI) systems wit...Designing a robust controller for a system with timevarying delays poses a major challenge. In this paper, we propose a method based on mixed sensitivity H∞ for the control of linear time invariant(LTI) systems with varying time delays. The time delay is assumed bounded and the upper bound is known. In the technique we propose, the delay affecting the plant to be controlled is treated as an unmodeled uncertainty(in form of multiplicative uncertainty). That uncertainty is approximated and then an H∞based controller, for the plant represented by the multiplicative uncertainty and the nominal model, is calculated. The obtained H∞controller is used to control the LTI systems with varying time delays. Simulation examples are given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.展开更多
In economics and finance, minimising errors while building an abstract representation of financial assets plays a critical role due to its application in areas such as risk management, decision making and option prici...In economics and finance, minimising errors while building an abstract representation of financial assets plays a critical role due to its application in areas such as risk management, decision making and option pricing. Despite the many methods developed to handle this problem, modelling processes with fixed and random periodicity still remains a major challenge. Such methods include Artificial Neural networks (ANN), Fuzzy Inference system (FIS), GARCH models and their hybrids. This study seeks to extend literature of hybrid ANN-Time Varying GARCH model through simulations and application in modelling weather derivatives. The study models daily temperature of Kenya using ANN-Time Varying GARCH (1, 1), Time Lagged Feedforward neural network (TLNN) and periodic GARCH family models. Mean square error (MSE) and coefficient of determination R<sup>2</sup> were used to determine performance of the models under study. Results obtained show that the ANN-Time Varying GARCH model gives the best results.展开更多
Following Jaynes-Cummings model,the evolution of the field entropy in the system of a two-level atom interacting with the single mode coherent field is investigated under rotating-wave approximation.The typical case &...Following Jaynes-Cummings model,the evolution of the field entropy in the system of a two-level atom interacting with the single mode coherent field is investigated under rotating-wave approximation.The typical case "the field frequency variance with time in the form of sine ω=ω0+usin(wt) has been considered.The influences of the amplitude and angle frequency of the field frequency variance on entropy evolution of the field are discussed by numerical calculations.Calculation results indicate that the field frequency variance influences violently the behavior of field entropy evolution;the larger the amplitude of the field frequency variance is,the stronger the influence of the field frequency variance on the time evolution of field entropy is.展开更多
This note concerns the problem of the robust stability of uncertain neutral systems with time-varying delay and saturating actuators. The system considered is continuous in time with norm bounded parametric uncertaint...This note concerns the problem of the robust stability of uncertain neutral systems with time-varying delay and saturating actuators. The system considered is continuous in time with norm bounded parametric uncertainties. By incorporating the free weighing matrix approach developed recently, some new delay-dependent stability conditions in terms of linear matrix inequalities (LMIs) with some tuning parameters are obtained. An estimate of the domain of attraction of the closed-loop system under a priori designed controller is proposed. The approach is based on a polytopic description of the actuator saturation nonlinearities and the Lyapunov- Krasovskii method. Numerical examples are used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed design method.展开更多
An initially periodic motion is gradually raised out of the potential well by the effect of negative damping. The elapsed time when the motion ceases to be periodic is obtained by multiple variable expansions. An exam...An initially periodic motion is gradually raised out of the potential well by the effect of negative damping. The elapsed time when the motion ceases to be periodic is obtained by multiple variable expansions. An example of a strictly nonlinear system shows the result has a good approximation and is easy to calculate.展开更多
This paper focuses on the H∞ controller design for linear systems with time-varying delays and norm-bounded parameter perturbations in the system state and control/disturbance. On the existence of delayed/undelayed f...This paper focuses on the H∞ controller design for linear systems with time-varying delays and norm-bounded parameter perturbations in the system state and control/disturbance. On the existence of delayed/undelayed full state feedback controllers, we present a sufficient condition and give a design method in the form of Riccati equation. The controller can not only stabilize the time-delay system, but also make the H∞ norm of the closed-loop system be less than a given bound. This result practically generalizes the related results in current literature.展开更多
文摘Aim To present a simple and effective method for the design of nonlinear and time varying control system. Methods A new concept of dynamic equilibrium of a system and its stability were presented first. It was pointed out that what is controlled directly by the input of a control system is the system's dynamic equilibrium rather than the states. Based on it, a new feedback linearization method for nonlinear system based on the Lyapunov direct method was given. Simulation studies were also carried out. Results The example and simulation show that by use of the method, the controller design becomes very simple and the control effect is quite satisfying. Conclusion The new method unifies the stabilizing problem(regulating problem) with the tracking problem. It is a very simple and effective method for the design of nonlinear and time varying control system.
基金The National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (863 Program) (No. 2007AA11Z202)the National Key Technology R & D Program of China during the 11th Five-Year Plan Period(No. 2006BAJ18B03)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (No. DUT10RC(3) 112)
文摘This paper considers the problem of time varying congestion pricing to determine optimal time-varying tolls at peak periods for a queuing network with the interactions between buses and private cars.Through the combined applications of the space-time expanded network(STEN) and the conventional network equilibrium modeling techniques,a multi-class,multi-mode and multi-criteria traffic network equilibrium model is developed.Travelers of different classes have distinctive value of times(VOTs),and travelers from the same class perceive their travel disutility or generalized costs on a route according to different weights of travel time and travel costs.Moreover,the symmetric cost function model is extended to deal with the interactions between buses and private cars.It is found that there exists a uniform(anonymous) link toll pattern which can drive a multi-class,multi-mode and multi-criteria user equilibrium flow pattern to a system optimum when the system's objective function is measured in terms of money.It is also found that the marginal cost pricing models with a symmetric travel cost function do not reflect the interactions between traffic flows of different road sections,and the obtained congestion pricing toll is smaller than the real value.
文摘A new method for identifying nonlinear time varying systems with unknown structure is presented. The method extends the application area of basis sequence identification. The essential idea is to utilize the learning and nonlinear approximating ability of neural networks to model the non linearity of the system, characterize time varying dynamics of the system by the time varying parametric vector of the network, then the parametric vector of the network is approximated by a weighted sum of known basis sequences. Because of black box modeling ability of neural networks, the presented method can identify nonlinear time varying systems with unknown structure. In order to improve the real time capability of the algorithm, the neural network is trained by a simple fast learning algorithm based on local least squares presented by the authors. The effectiveness and the performance of the method are demonstrated by some simulation results.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China!(No.6 97740 33)
文摘As it is well known,it is difficult to identify a nonlinear time varying system using traditional identification approaches,especially under unknown nonlinear function.Neural networks have recently emerged as a successful tool in the area of identification and control of time invariant nonlinear systems.However,it is still difficult to apply them to complicated time varying system identification.In this paper we present a learning algorithm for identification of the nonlinear time varying system using feedforward neural networks.The main idea of this approach is that we regard the weights of the network as a state of a time varying system,then use a Kalman filter to estimate the state.Thus the network implements nonlinear and time varying mapping.We derived both the global and local learning algorithms.Simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach.
文摘This paper presents the stability analysis for a class of neural networks with time varying delays that are represented by the Takagi^ugeno IT-S) model. The main results given here focus on the stability criteria using a new Lyapunov functional. New relaxed conditions and new linear matrix inequality-based designs are proposed that outperform the previous results found in the literature. Numerical examples are provided to show that the achieved conditions are less conservative than the existing ones in the literature.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.60534010,60572070,60728307,60774048,60774093)the Program for Cheung Kong Scholars and Innovative Research Groups of China (No.60521003)+3 种基金the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (No.2006AA04Z183)the Postdoctor Foundation of Northeastern University (No.20080314)the Natural Science Foundation of Liaoning Province (No.20072025)China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (20080431150)
文摘This paper aims to present some delay-dependent global asymptotic stability criteria for recurrent neural networks with time varying delays. The obtained results have no restriction on the magnitude of derivative of time varying delay, and can be easily checked due to the form of linear matrix inequality. By comparison with some previous results, the obtained results are less conservative. A numerical example is utilized to demonstrate the effectiveness of the obtained results.
基金Supported by the China Scholarship Council,National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.11402022)the Interuniversity Attraction Poles Programme of the Belgian Science Policy Office(DYSCO)+1 种基金the Fund for Scientific Research–Flanders(FWO)the Research Fund KU Leuven
文摘The problem of linear time-varying(LTV) system modal analysis is considered based on time-dependent state space representations, as classical modal analysis of linear time-invariant systems and current LTV system modal analysis under the "frozen-time" assumption are not able to determine the dynamic stability of LTV systems. Time-dependent state space representations of LTV systems are first introduced, and the corresponding modal analysis theories are subsequently presented via a stabilitypreserving state transformation. The time-varying modes of LTV systems are extended in terms of uniqueness, and are further interpreted to determine the system's stability. An extended modal identification is proposed to estimate the time-varying modes, consisting of the estimation of the state transition matrix via a subspace-based method and the extraction of the time-varying modes by the QR decomposition. The proposed approach is numerically validated by three numerical cases, and is experimentally validated by a coupled moving-mass simply supported beam exper- imental case. The proposed approach is capable of accurately estimating the time-varying modes, and provides anew way to determine the dynamic stability of LTV systems by using the estimated time-varying modes.
文摘Financial Time Series Forecasting is an important tool to support both individual and organizational decisions. Periodic phenomena are very popular in econometrics. Many models have been built aiding capture of these periodic trends as a way of enhancing forecasting of future events as well as guiding business and social activities. The nature of real-world systems </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">is</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> characterized by many uncertain fluctuations which makes prediction difficult. In situations when randomness is mixed with periodicity, prediction is even much harder. We therefore constructed an ANN Time Varying Garch model with both linear and non-linear attributes and specific for processes with fixed and random periodicity. To eliminate the need for time series linear component filtering</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">,</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> we incorporated the use of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and constructed Time Varying GARCH model on its disturbances. We developed the estimation procedure of the ANN time varying GARCH model parameters using non parametric techniques.
文摘An LMS-like algorithm is applied for estimating the time-varying parameter theta-n in the linear model y(n) = phi-n-tau-theta-n + upsilon-n, which is general in the sense that none of the probabilistic properties such as stationarity, Markov property, independence and ergodicity is imposed on any of the processes {y(n)}, {phi-n}, {theta-n} and {upsilon-n}. It is shown that the alpha-th moment of the estimation error is of order of the alpha-th moment of the observation noise and the parameter variation w(n) change in equivalence theta-n - theta-n-1.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(69934010)
文摘Based on a new linear, continuous and bounded operator (PGOPO), a more effective approach and optimal control algorithm than by the block-pulse functions and Walsh functions to design the linear servomechanism of time-varying systems with time-delay is proposed in the paper. By means of the operator, the differential equation is transferred to a more explicit algebraic form which is much easier than the numerical integration of nonlinear TPBVP derived from Pantryagin's maximum principle method. Furthermore, the method is established strictly based on the theory of convergence in the mean square and it is convenient and simple in computation. So the method can be applied to industry control and aeronautics and astronautics field which is frequently mixed with time varying and time delay. Some illustrative numerical examples are interpreted to support the technique.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61370136)the Hainan Province Science and Technology Cooperation Fund Project(KJHZ2015-36)the Hainan Province Introduced and Integrated Demonstration Projects(YJJC20130009)
文摘In the conventional chaos synchronization methods, the time at which two chaotic systems are synchronized, is usually unknown and depends on initial conditions. In this work based on Lyapunov stability theory a sliding mode controller with time-varying switching surfaces is proposed to achieve chaos synchronization at a pre-specified time for the first time. The proposed controller is able to synchronize chaotic systems precisely at any time when we want. Moreover, by choosing the time-varying switching surfaces in a way that the reaching phase is eliminated, the synchronization becomes robust to uncertainties and exogenous disturbances. Simulation results are presented to show the effectiveness of the proposed method of stabilizing and synchronizing chaotic systems with complete robustness to uncertainty and disturbances exactly at a pre-specified time.
基金supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 11047114)the Key Project of the Chinese Ministry of Education (Grant No. 210141)the Youth Foundation of the Educational Committee of Hubei Province of China (Grant Nos. Q20111607 and Q20111611)
文摘This paper mainly investigates the exponential synchronization of an inner time-varying complex network with coupling delay. Firstly, the synchronization of complex networks is decoupled into the stability of the corresponding dynamical systems. Based on the Lyapunov function theory, some sufficient conditions to guarantee its stability with any given convergence rate are derived, thus the synchronization of the networks is achieved. Finally, the results are illustrated by a simple time-varying network model with a coupling delay. All involved numerical simulations verify the correctness of the theoretical analysis.
文摘To deal with stabilizing of nonlinear affine fractional order systems subject to time varying delays,two methods for finding an appropriate pseudo state feedback controller are discussed.In the first method,using the Mittag-Lefler function,Laplace transform and Gronwall inequality,a linear stabilizing controller is derived,which uses the fractional order of the delayed system and the upper bound of system nonlinear functions.In the second method,at first a sufficient stability condition for the delayed system is given in the form of a simple linear matrix inequality(LMI)which can easily be solved.Then,on the basis of this result,a stabilizing pseudo-state feedback controller is designed in which the controller gain matrix is easily computed by solving an LMI in terms of delay bounds.Simulation results show the effectiveness of the proposed methods.
文摘Designing a robust controller for a system with timevarying delays poses a major challenge. In this paper, we propose a method based on mixed sensitivity H∞ for the control of linear time invariant(LTI) systems with varying time delays. The time delay is assumed bounded and the upper bound is known. In the technique we propose, the delay affecting the plant to be controlled is treated as an unmodeled uncertainty(in form of multiplicative uncertainty). That uncertainty is approximated and then an H∞based controller, for the plant represented by the multiplicative uncertainty and the nominal model, is calculated. The obtained H∞controller is used to control the LTI systems with varying time delays. Simulation examples are given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.
文摘In economics and finance, minimising errors while building an abstract representation of financial assets plays a critical role due to its application in areas such as risk management, decision making and option pricing. Despite the many methods developed to handle this problem, modelling processes with fixed and random periodicity still remains a major challenge. Such methods include Artificial Neural networks (ANN), Fuzzy Inference system (FIS), GARCH models and their hybrids. This study seeks to extend literature of hybrid ANN-Time Varying GARCH model through simulations and application in modelling weather derivatives. The study models daily temperature of Kenya using ANN-Time Varying GARCH (1, 1), Time Lagged Feedforward neural network (TLNN) and periodic GARCH family models. Mean square error (MSE) and coefficient of determination R<sup>2</sup> were used to determine performance of the models under study. Results obtained show that the ANN-Time Varying GARCH model gives the best results.
基金Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Province under Grant(No.2008J0217)
文摘Following Jaynes-Cummings model,the evolution of the field entropy in the system of a two-level atom interacting with the single mode coherent field is investigated under rotating-wave approximation.The typical case "the field frequency variance with time in the form of sine ω=ω0+usin(wt) has been considered.The influences of the amplitude and angle frequency of the field frequency variance on entropy evolution of the field are discussed by numerical calculations.Calculation results indicate that the field frequency variance influences violently the behavior of field entropy evolution;the larger the amplitude of the field frequency variance is,the stronger the influence of the field frequency variance on the time evolution of field entropy is.
文摘This note concerns the problem of the robust stability of uncertain neutral systems with time-varying delay and saturating actuators. The system considered is continuous in time with norm bounded parametric uncertainties. By incorporating the free weighing matrix approach developed recently, some new delay-dependent stability conditions in terms of linear matrix inequalities (LMIs) with some tuning parameters are obtained. An estimate of the domain of attraction of the closed-loop system under a priori designed controller is proposed. The approach is based on a polytopic description of the actuator saturation nonlinearities and the Lyapunov- Krasovskii method. Numerical examples are used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed design method.
文摘An initially periodic motion is gradually raised out of the potential well by the effect of negative damping. The elapsed time when the motion ceases to be periodic is obtained by multiple variable expansions. An example of a strictly nonlinear system shows the result has a good approximation and is easy to calculate.
基金This project was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 69974022).
文摘This paper focuses on the H∞ controller design for linear systems with time-varying delays and norm-bounded parameter perturbations in the system state and control/disturbance. On the existence of delayed/undelayed full state feedback controllers, we present a sufficient condition and give a design method in the form of Riccati equation. The controller can not only stabilize the time-delay system, but also make the H∞ norm of the closed-loop system be less than a given bound. This result practically generalizes the related results in current literature.