Forest losses or gains have long been recognized as critical processes modulating the carbon flux between the biosphere and the atmosphere. Timely, accurate and spatially explicit information on forest disturbance and...Forest losses or gains have long been recognized as critical processes modulating the carbon flux between the biosphere and the atmosphere. Timely, accurate and spatially explicit information on forest disturbance and recovery history is required for assessing the effectiveness of existing forest management. The major objectives of our research focused on testing the mapping efficacy of the vegetation change tracker （VCT） model over a forested area in China. We used a new version of VCT algorithm built upon the Landsat time series stacks （LTSS）. The LTSS consisted of yearly image acquisitions to map forest disturbance history from 1987 to 2011 over the Ning-Zhen Mountains, Jiangsu Province of east China. The LTSS consisted of TM and ETM＋ scenes with different projec- tions due to distinct data sources （Beijing remote sensing ground station and the USGS EROS Center）. The valida- tion results of the disturbance year maps showed that most spatial agreement measures ranged from 70 to 86 %, comparable with the VCT accuracies reported for many places in USA. Very low accuracies were identified in 1995 （38.3 %） and 1992 （56.2 %） in the current analysis. These resulted from the insensitivity of the VCT algorithm to detect low intensity disturbances and also from the mis- registration errors of the image pairs. Major forest distur- bance types existing in our study area were identified as agricultural expansion （39.8 %）, urbanization （24.9 %）, forest management practice （19.3 %）, and mining （12.8 %）. In general, there was a gradual decreasing trend in forest cover throughout this region, caused principally by China＇s economic, demographic, environmental and political policies and decisions, as well as some weather events. While VCT has largely been used to assess long term changes and trends in the USA, it has great potential for assessing landscape level change elsewhere throughout the world.展开更多
Background:With the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic,all existing health protocols were tested under the worst health crisis humanity has experienced since the Black Death in the 14th century.Countries in Latin Amer...Background:With the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic,all existing health protocols were tested under the worst health crisis humanity has experienced since the Black Death in the 14th century.Countries in Latin America have been the epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic,with more than 1.5 million people killed.Worldwide health measures have included quarantines,border closures,social distancing,and mask use,among others.In particular,Chile implemented total or partial quarantine measures depending on the number of infections in each region of the country.Therefore,it is necessary to study the effectiveness of these quarantines in relation to the public health measures implemented by government entities at the national level.Objective:The main objective of this study is to analyze the effectiveness of national-and region-level quarantines in Chile during the pandemic based on information published by the Chilean Ministry of Health,and answers to the following question are sought:Were quarantine measures in Chile effective during the COVID-19 pandemic?Methods:The causal effect between the rates of COVID-19 infections and the population rates in Phase 1 and Phase 2 quarantines in the period from March 2020 to March 2021 in different regions of Chile were evaluated using intervention analyses obtained through Bayesian structural time series models.In addition,the Kendall correlation coefficient obtained through the copula approach was used to evaluate the comovement between these rates.Results:In 75%of the Chilean regions under study(12 regions out of a total of 16),an effective Phase 1 quarantine,which was implemented to control and reduce the number of cases of COVID-19 infection,was observed.The main regions that experienced a decrease in cases were those located in the north and center of Chile.Regarding Phase 2,the COVID-19 pandemic was effectively managed in 31%(5 out of 16)of the regions.In the southcentral and extreme southern regions of Chile,the effectiveness of these phases was null.Conclusion:The findings indicate that in the northern and central regions of Chile,the Phase 1 quarantine application period was an effective strategy to prevent an increase in COVID-19 infections.The same observation was made with respect to Phase 2,which was effective in five regions of northern Chile;in the rest of the regions,the effectiveness of these phases was weak or null.展开更多
尽管Johnson提出的PCNN模型具有强大的图像处理功能,以时间序列进行特征提取时具有旋转、尺度、平移、扭曲不变性,可实践中发现依然存在着不足,特别对图像亮度、对比度比较敏感。添加了误差反向传播(Error Back Propagation,EBP)学习准...尽管Johnson提出的PCNN模型具有强大的图像处理功能,以时间序列进行特征提取时具有旋转、尺度、平移、扭曲不变性,可实践中发现依然存在着不足,特别对图像亮度、对比度比较敏感。添加了误差反向传播(Error Back Propagation,EBP)学习准则的自适应脉冲耦合神经网络模型能自适应设定模型参数,是脉冲耦合神经网络模型研究的主要内容。特别地,应用这种自适应模型进行特征提取时,能弥补原来PCNN模型对亮度、对比度敏感的缺陷,而且具有一定的泛化能力,有效克服了亮度、对比度对图像识别精度的影响。展开更多
基金funded by the following grants:the Forestry Public Welfare Project(201304208)the‘‘948’’Project sponsored by the State Forestry Administration(SFA)of China(2014-4-25)+4 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(31270587,31100414)the PAPD(Priority Academic Program Development)of Jiangsu provincial universitiesperformed while the lead author held a scholarship sponsored the CSC(China Scholarship Council)(201208320553)at the department of Geographical Sciences,University of Marylandawardee of the 2012 Youth Backbone Teachers Support Plan of Jiangsu Provincethe 2012 Youth Talents Support Plan of Nanjing Forestry University
文摘Forest losses or gains have long been recognized as critical processes modulating the carbon flux between the biosphere and the atmosphere. Timely, accurate and spatially explicit information on forest disturbance and recovery history is required for assessing the effectiveness of existing forest management. The major objectives of our research focused on testing the mapping efficacy of the vegetation change tracker （VCT） model over a forested area in China. We used a new version of VCT algorithm built upon the Landsat time series stacks （LTSS）. The LTSS consisted of yearly image acquisitions to map forest disturbance history from 1987 to 2011 over the Ning-Zhen Mountains, Jiangsu Province of east China. The LTSS consisted of TM and ETM＋ scenes with different projec- tions due to distinct data sources （Beijing remote sensing ground station and the USGS EROS Center）. The valida- tion results of the disturbance year maps showed that most spatial agreement measures ranged from 70 to 86 %, comparable with the VCT accuracies reported for many places in USA. Very low accuracies were identified in 1995 （38.3 %） and 1992 （56.2 %） in the current analysis. These resulted from the insensitivity of the VCT algorithm to detect low intensity disturbances and also from the mis- registration errors of the image pairs. Major forest distur- bance types existing in our study area were identified as agricultural expansion （39.8 %）, urbanization （24.9 %）, forest management practice （19.3 %）, and mining （12.8 %）. In general, there was a gradual decreasing trend in forest cover throughout this region, caused principally by China＇s economic, demographic, environmental and political policies and decisions, as well as some weather events. While VCT has largely been used to assess long term changes and trends in the USA, it has great potential for assessing landscape level change elsewhere throughout the world.
文摘Background:With the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic,all existing health protocols were tested under the worst health crisis humanity has experienced since the Black Death in the 14th century.Countries in Latin America have been the epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic,with more than 1.5 million people killed.Worldwide health measures have included quarantines,border closures,social distancing,and mask use,among others.In particular,Chile implemented total or partial quarantine measures depending on the number of infections in each region of the country.Therefore,it is necessary to study the effectiveness of these quarantines in relation to the public health measures implemented by government entities at the national level.Objective:The main objective of this study is to analyze the effectiveness of national-and region-level quarantines in Chile during the pandemic based on information published by the Chilean Ministry of Health,and answers to the following question are sought:Were quarantine measures in Chile effective during the COVID-19 pandemic?Methods:The causal effect between the rates of COVID-19 infections and the population rates in Phase 1 and Phase 2 quarantines in the period from March 2020 to March 2021 in different regions of Chile were evaluated using intervention analyses obtained through Bayesian structural time series models.In addition,the Kendall correlation coefficient obtained through the copula approach was used to evaluate the comovement between these rates.Results:In 75%of the Chilean regions under study(12 regions out of a total of 16),an effective Phase 1 quarantine,which was implemented to control and reduce the number of cases of COVID-19 infection,was observed.The main regions that experienced a decrease in cases were those located in the north and center of Chile.Regarding Phase 2,the COVID-19 pandemic was effectively managed in 31%(5 out of 16)of the regions.In the southcentral and extreme southern regions of Chile,the effectiveness of these phases was null.Conclusion:The findings indicate that in the northern and central regions of Chile,the Phase 1 quarantine application period was an effective strategy to prevent an increase in COVID-19 infections.The same observation was made with respect to Phase 2,which was effective in five regions of northern Chile;in the rest of the regions,the effectiveness of these phases was weak or null.
文摘尽管Johnson提出的PCNN模型具有强大的图像处理功能,以时间序列进行特征提取时具有旋转、尺度、平移、扭曲不变性,可实践中发现依然存在着不足,特别对图像亮度、对比度比较敏感。添加了误差反向传播(Error Back Propagation,EBP)学习准则的自适应脉冲耦合神经网络模型能自适应设定模型参数,是脉冲耦合神经网络模型研究的主要内容。特别地,应用这种自适应模型进行特征提取时,能弥补原来PCNN模型对亮度、对比度敏感的缺陷,而且具有一定的泛化能力,有效克服了亮度、对比度对图像识别精度的影响。
