Kernel independent component analysis(KICA) is a newly emerging nonlinear process monitoring method,which can extract mutually independent latent variables called independent components(ICs) from process variables. Ho...Kernel independent component analysis(KICA) is a newly emerging nonlinear process monitoring method,which can extract mutually independent latent variables called independent components(ICs) from process variables. However, when more than one IC have Gaussian distribution, it cannot extract the IC feature effectively and thus its monitoring performance will be degraded drastically. To solve such a problem, a kernel time structure independent component analysis(KTSICA) method is proposed for monitoring nonlinear process in this paper. The original process data are mapped into a feature space nonlinearly and then the whitened data are calculated in the feature space by the kernel trick. Subsequently, a time structure independent component analysis algorithm, which has no requirement for the distribution of ICs, is proposed to extract the IC feature.Finally, two monitoring statistics are built to detect process faults. When some fault is detected, a nonlinear fault identification method is developed to identify fault variables based on sensitivity analysis. The proposed monitoring method is applied in the Tennessee Eastman benchmark process. Applications demonstrate the superiority of KTSICA over KICA.展开更多
The wavenumber spectral components WN4 at the mesosphere and low thermosphere(MLT)altitudes(70–10 km)and in the latitude range between±45°are obtained from temperature data(T)observed by the Sounding of the...The wavenumber spectral components WN4 at the mesosphere and low thermosphere(MLT)altitudes(70–10 km)and in the latitude range between±45°are obtained from temperature data(T)observed by the Sounding of the Atmosphere using Broadband Emission Radiometry(SABER)instruments on board the National Aeronautics and Space Administration(NASA)’s Thermosphere–Ionosphere–Mesosphere Energetics and Dynamics(TIMED)spacecraft during the 11-year solar period from 2002 to 2012.We analyze in detail these spectral components WNk and obtain the main properties of their vertical profiles and global structures.We report that all of the wavenumber spectral components WNk occur mainly around 100 km altitude,and that the most prominent component is the wavenumber spectral component WN4 structure.Comparing these long duration temperature data with results of previous investigations,we have found that the yearly variation of spectral component WN4 is similar to that of the eastward propagating non-migrating diurnal tide with zonal wavenumber 3(DE3)at the low latitudes,and to that of the semi-diurnal tide with zonal wavenumber 2(SE2)at the mid-latitudes:the amplitudes of the A4 are larger during boreal summer and autumn at the low-latitudes;at the mid-latitudes the amplitudes have a weak peak in March.In addition,the amplitudes of component WN4 undergo a remarkable short period variation:significant day-to-day variation of the spectral amplitudes A4 occurs primarily in July and September at the low-latitudes.In summary,we conclude that the non-migrating tides DE3 and SE2 are likely to be the origins,at the low-latitudes and the mid-latitudes in the MLT region,respectively,of the observed wavenumber spectral component WN4.展开更多
Shifting the feeding time for fish from daytime to nighttime could alter their digestive behavior, disturb their metabolism, and may af fect immune-related genes. This study aimed to clone complement component C7 and ...Shifting the feeding time for fish from daytime to nighttime could alter their digestive behavior, disturb their metabolism, and may af fect immune-related genes. This study aimed to clone complement component C7 and analyze the different expression of C7 mRNA in fish fed during either the day or at night and then challenged with Aeromonas hydrophila infection. The P v-C7 cDNA of Pelteobagrus vachellii contained 2 647 bp with an open reading frame encoding a protein of 818 amino acids. Multiple sequences analysis indicated that P v-C7 included eight domains, which was similar to results for other species. Quantitative PCR analysis showed that P v-C7 was mainly expressed in the liver, spleen, intestine and head kidney tissues of healthy P. vachellii. Quantitative PCR analysis showed that C7 mRNA transcript in the liver, spleen and head kidney also increased significantly when the fish were fed at nighttime(20:00). In addition, the expression of Pv-C7 mRNA significantly increased with A. hydrophila challenge in the liver(48–96 h), spleen and head kidney(12–96 h) tissues of P. vachellii. Pv-C7 mRNA expression of the fish fed at nighttime showed significant higher than that in the fish fed at day time at 12–48 h in head kidney and 12–24 h in spleen. This study indicates that altering the feeding time from daytime to nighttime could increase P v-C7 mRNA expression, and feeding time may af fect the immune response involving C7.展开更多
A method for identification of pulsations in time series of magnetic field data which are simultaneously present in multiple channels of data at one or more sensor locations is described. Candidate pulsations of inter...A method for identification of pulsations in time series of magnetic field data which are simultaneously present in multiple channels of data at one or more sensor locations is described. Candidate pulsations of interest are first identified in geomagnetic time series by inspection. Time series of these "training events" are represented in matrix form and transpose-multiplied to generate time- domain covariance matrices. The ranked eigenvectors of this matrix are stored as a feature of the pulsation. In the second stage of the algorithm, a sliding window (approxi- mately the width of the training event) is moved across the vector-valued time-series comprising the channels on which the training event was observed. At each window position, the data covariance matrix and associated eigen- vectors are calculated. We compare the orientation of the dominant eigenvectors of the training data to those from the windowed data and flag windows where the dominant eigenvectors directions are similar. This was successful in automatically identifying pulses which share polarization and appear to be from the same source process. We apply the method to a case study of continuously sampled (50 Hz) data from six observatories, each equipped with three- component induction coil magnetometers. We examine a 90-day interval of data associated with a cluster of four observatories located within 50 km of Napa, California, together with two remote reference stations-one 100 km to the north of the cluster and the other 350 km south. When the training data contains signals present in the remote reference observatories, we are reliably able to identify and extract global geomagnetic signals such as solar-generated noise. When training data contains pulsations only observed in the cluster of local observatories, we identify several types of non-plane wave signals having similar polarization.展开更多
Reflective real-time component model is a special component model, which can identify timing constraint characteristics of component and support dynamic design-time amendment of real-time component according to users...Reflective real-time component model is a special component model, which can identify timing constraint characteristics of component and support dynamic design-time amendment of real-time component according to users' requirements. The reflective real-time component runtime environment is a bearing space and reflective infrastructure for this special component model. It consists of three parts and manages the lifecycle and various relevant services of reflective real-time component. In this paper its mechanism and relevant key techniques in design and realization are formally specified with the communicating sequential processing (CSP) and the extended timed communicating sequential processing (TCSP). Finally a prototype is established. Experimental study shows that this runtime environment can introduce a relevant reflective infrastructure guaranteeing dynamic and real-time features of software component.展开更多
Financial time series forecasting could be beneficial for individual as well as institutional investors. But, the high noise and complexity residing in the financial data make this job extremely challenging. Over the ...Financial time series forecasting could be beneficial for individual as well as institutional investors. But, the high noise and complexity residing in the financial data make this job extremely challenging. Over the years, many researchers have used support vector regression (SVR) quite successfully to conquer this challenge. In this paper, an SVR based forecasting model is proposed which first uses the principal component analysis (PCA) to extract the low-dimensional and efficient feature information, and then uses the independent component analysis (ICA) to preprocess the extracted features to nullify the influence of noise in the features. Experiments were carried out based on 16 years’ historical data of three prominent stocks from three different sectors listed in Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE), Bangladesh. The predictions were made for 1 to 4 days in advance targeting the short term prediction. For comparison, the integration of PCA with SVR (PCA-SVR), ICA with SVR (ICA-SVR) and single SVR approaches were applied to evaluate the prediction accuracy of the proposed approach. Experimental results show that the proposed model (PCA-ICA-SVR) outperforms the PCA-SVR, ICA-SVR and single SVR methods.展开更多
Certain locally optimal tests for deterministic components in vector time series have associated sampling distributions determined by a linear combination of Beta variates. Such distributions are nonstandard and must ...Certain locally optimal tests for deterministic components in vector time series have associated sampling distributions determined by a linear combination of Beta variates. Such distributions are nonstandard and must be tabulated by Monte Carlo simulation. In this paper, we provide closed form expressions for the mean and variance of several multivariate test statistics, moments that can be used to approximate unknown distributions. In particular, we find that the two-moment Inverse Gaussian approximation provides a simple and fast method to compute accurate quantiles and p-values in small and asymptotic samples. To illustrate the scope of this approximation we review some standard tests for deterministic trends and/or seasonal patterns in VARIMA and structural time series models.展开更多
A new method was developed for batch process monitoring in this paper. In the devdopad method, just-in-time learning ( JITL ) and independent component analysis (ICA) were integrated to build JITL-ICA monitoring s...A new method was developed for batch process monitoring in this paper. In the devdopad method, just-in-time learning ( JITL ) and independent component analysis (ICA) were integrated to build JITL-ICA monitoring scheme. JITL was employed to tackle with the characteristics of batch process such as inherent time- varying dynamics, multiple operating phases, and especially the case of uneven length stage. According to new coming test data, the most correlated segmentation was obtained from batch-wise unfolded training data by JITL. Then, ICA served as the principal components extraction approach. Therefore, the non.Gaussian distributed data can also be addressed under this modeling framework. The effectiveness and superiority of JITL-ICA based monitoring method was demonstrated by fed-batch penicillin fermentation.展开更多
[Objectives]To explore the effects of different sterilization conditions on nutrition and flavor of apple vinegar.[Methods]Five kinds of high temperature short time(HTST)sterilization conditions were selected to treat...[Objectives]To explore the effects of different sterilization conditions on nutrition and flavor of apple vinegar.[Methods]Five kinds of high temperature short time(HTST)sterilization conditions were selected to treat apple vinegar,and the volatile aroma components and the content of active components in apple vinegar before and after sterilization were analyzed.[Results]Compared with the control,the contents of total acid and malic acid in the samples after sterilization changed little,but the contents of citric acid increased significantly(P<0.01),and the contents of total phenols,ascorbic acid and total flavonoids decreased.Ethyl acetate,isopentyl acetate,ethyl caprylate,phenethyl acetate,1-pentanol,phenylethyl alcohol,acetic acid,and sec-butyl ether were the characteristic aroma components which contributed to the flavor of apple vinegar.As sterilization temperature increased,the content of esters decreased,while the content of acids,alcohols and aldehydes increased.The contents of nutrition,active components and volatile aroma components in apple vinegar under 100℃and 30 s sterilization conditions had little change compared with other sterilization conditions,so 100℃and 30 s were the optimal sterilization conditions.[Conclusions]Under different sterilization conditions,the content of flavor components in apple vinegar will change greatly,which will affect the quality of apple vinegar.展开更多
The mechanical relaxation time of a two-component epoxy network-LiClO_4 system as a polymer electrolyte was investigated. The network is composed of diglycidyl ether of polyethylene glycol (DGEPEG) and triglycidyl eth...The mechanical relaxation time of a two-component epoxy network-LiClO_4 system as a polymer electrolyte was investigated. The network is composed of diglycidyl ether of polyethylene glycol (DGEPEG) and triglycidyl ether of glycerol (TGEG), wherein LiCIO_4 was incorporated and acts as both the ionic carrier and the curing catalyst. As the relaxation time is informative to the segmental mobility, which is known to be essential for ionic conductivity, the average relaxation times of the specimens were determined through master curve construction. Experimental results showed that the salt concentration, molecular weight of PEG in DGEPEG and DGEPEG/TGEG ratio have profound effect on the relaxation time of the specimen. Among these factors , the former reinforces the network chains, leading to lengthen the relaxation time, whereas the latter two are in favour of the chain flexibility and show an opposite effect. The findings was rationalized in terms of the free volume concept.展开更多
在茶园水资源管理中,蒸散量(Evapotranspiration,ET)是评估作物水分需求的关键指标,由于茶园蒸散量预测具有时序性、不稳定性以及非线性耦合等特点,目前的茶园蒸散量预测模型存在预测精度较低的问题,针对此问题本文提出了一种新型的茶...在茶园水资源管理中,蒸散量(Evapotranspiration,ET)是评估作物水分需求的关键指标,由于茶园蒸散量预测具有时序性、不稳定性以及非线性耦合等特点,目前的茶园蒸散量预测模型存在预测精度较低的问题,针对此问题本文提出了一种新型的茶园蒸散量预测模型。首先使用互信息算法(Mutual information,MI)与主成分分析算法(Principal component analysis,PCA)相融合的数据处理算法(MIPCA),筛选强相关的特征并提取主成分;其次将时域卷积网络(Temporal convolutional network,TCN)与Transformer融合,利用灰狼算法(Grey wolf optimization,GWO)优化超参数,捕捉茶园数据的全局依赖关系;最后整合2个网络构建了MIPCA-TCN-GWO-Transformer模型,通过消融试验和对比试验验证了模型性能,并对模型在不同时间步长下的性能进行测试。结果表明,该模型平均绝对百分比误差(Mean absolute percentage error,MAPE)、均方根误差(Root mean square error,RMSE)和决定系数(Coefficient of determination,R^(2))3个评价指标分别为0.015 mm/d、0.312 mm/d和0.962,优于长短期记忆模型(Long short term memory,LSTM)等传统预测模型。在小时尺度、日尺度和月尺度下的R^(2)分别为0.986、0.978和0.946,在不同时间步长下展现了良好的适应性和准确性。本文构建的MIPCA-TCN-GWO-Transformer模型具有较高的预测精度和稳定性,可为茶园水资源优化管理和灌溉制度制定提供科学参考。展开更多
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61273160)the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province of China(ZR2011FM014)+1 种基金the Doctoral Fund of Shandong Province(BS2012ZZ011)the Postgraduate Innovation Funds of China University of Petroleum(CX2013060)
文摘Kernel independent component analysis(KICA) is a newly emerging nonlinear process monitoring method,which can extract mutually independent latent variables called independent components(ICs) from process variables. However, when more than one IC have Gaussian distribution, it cannot extract the IC feature effectively and thus its monitoring performance will be degraded drastically. To solve such a problem, a kernel time structure independent component analysis(KTSICA) method is proposed for monitoring nonlinear process in this paper. The original process data are mapped into a feature space nonlinearly and then the whitened data are calculated in the feature space by the kernel trick. Subsequently, a time structure independent component analysis algorithm, which has no requirement for the distribution of ICs, is proposed to extract the IC feature.Finally, two monitoring statistics are built to detect process faults. When some fault is detected, a nonlinear fault identification method is developed to identify fault variables based on sensitivity analysis. The proposed monitoring method is applied in the Tennessee Eastman benchmark process. Applications demonstrate the superiority of KTSICA over KICA.
基金The present work is supported by National Science Foundation of China(41604138,41427901,41621063,41474133,41674158,41874179,41322030).
文摘The wavenumber spectral components WN4 at the mesosphere and low thermosphere(MLT)altitudes(70–10 km)and in the latitude range between±45°are obtained from temperature data(T)observed by the Sounding of the Atmosphere using Broadband Emission Radiometry(SABER)instruments on board the National Aeronautics and Space Administration(NASA)’s Thermosphere–Ionosphere–Mesosphere Energetics and Dynamics(TIMED)spacecraft during the 11-year solar period from 2002 to 2012.We analyze in detail these spectral components WNk and obtain the main properties of their vertical profiles and global structures.We report that all of the wavenumber spectral components WNk occur mainly around 100 km altitude,and that the most prominent component is the wavenumber spectral component WN4 structure.Comparing these long duration temperature data with results of previous investigations,we have found that the yearly variation of spectral component WN4 is similar to that of the eastward propagating non-migrating diurnal tide with zonal wavenumber 3(DE3)at the low latitudes,and to that of the semi-diurnal tide with zonal wavenumber 2(SE2)at the mid-latitudes:the amplitudes of the A4 are larger during boreal summer and autumn at the low-latitudes;at the mid-latitudes the amplitudes have a weak peak in March.In addition,the amplitudes of component WN4 undergo a remarkable short period variation:significant day-to-day variation of the spectral amplitudes A4 occurs primarily in July and September at the low-latitudes.In summary,we conclude that the non-migrating tides DE3 and SE2 are likely to be the origins,at the low-latitudes and the mid-latitudes in the MLT region,respectively,of the observed wavenumber spectral component WN4.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.31402305)the Natural Science Foundation of Sichuan Province(No.2017JY0161)the Educational Commission of Sichuan Province of China(No.14ZA0249)
文摘Shifting the feeding time for fish from daytime to nighttime could alter their digestive behavior, disturb their metabolism, and may af fect immune-related genes. This study aimed to clone complement component C7 and analyze the different expression of C7 mRNA in fish fed during either the day or at night and then challenged with Aeromonas hydrophila infection. The P v-C7 cDNA of Pelteobagrus vachellii contained 2 647 bp with an open reading frame encoding a protein of 818 amino acids. Multiple sequences analysis indicated that P v-C7 included eight domains, which was similar to results for other species. Quantitative PCR analysis showed that P v-C7 was mainly expressed in the liver, spleen, intestine and head kidney tissues of healthy P. vachellii. Quantitative PCR analysis showed that C7 mRNA transcript in the liver, spleen and head kidney also increased significantly when the fish were fed at nighttime(20:00). In addition, the expression of Pv-C7 mRNA significantly increased with A. hydrophila challenge in the liver(48–96 h), spleen and head kidney(12–96 h) tissues of P. vachellii. Pv-C7 mRNA expression of the fish fed at nighttime showed significant higher than that in the fish fed at day time at 12–48 h in head kidney and 12–24 h in spleen. This study indicates that altering the feeding time from daytime to nighttime could increase P v-C7 mRNA expression, and feeding time may af fect the immune response involving C7.
文摘A method for identification of pulsations in time series of magnetic field data which are simultaneously present in multiple channels of data at one or more sensor locations is described. Candidate pulsations of interest are first identified in geomagnetic time series by inspection. Time series of these "training events" are represented in matrix form and transpose-multiplied to generate time- domain covariance matrices. The ranked eigenvectors of this matrix are stored as a feature of the pulsation. In the second stage of the algorithm, a sliding window (approxi- mately the width of the training event) is moved across the vector-valued time-series comprising the channels on which the training event was observed. At each window position, the data covariance matrix and associated eigen- vectors are calculated. We compare the orientation of the dominant eigenvectors of the training data to those from the windowed data and flag windows where the dominant eigenvectors directions are similar. This was successful in automatically identifying pulses which share polarization and appear to be from the same source process. We apply the method to a case study of continuously sampled (50 Hz) data from six observatories, each equipped with three- component induction coil magnetometers. We examine a 90-day interval of data associated with a cluster of four observatories located within 50 km of Napa, California, together with two remote reference stations-one 100 km to the north of the cluster and the other 350 km south. When the training data contains signals present in the remote reference observatories, we are reliably able to identify and extract global geomagnetic signals such as solar-generated noise. When training data contains pulsations only observed in the cluster of local observatories, we identify several types of non-plane wave signals having similar polarization.
基金the National Defence Foundation of China(Grant No.10104010201)
文摘Reflective real-time component model is a special component model, which can identify timing constraint characteristics of component and support dynamic design-time amendment of real-time component according to users' requirements. The reflective real-time component runtime environment is a bearing space and reflective infrastructure for this special component model. It consists of three parts and manages the lifecycle and various relevant services of reflective real-time component. In this paper its mechanism and relevant key techniques in design and realization are formally specified with the communicating sequential processing (CSP) and the extended timed communicating sequential processing (TCSP). Finally a prototype is established. Experimental study shows that this runtime environment can introduce a relevant reflective infrastructure guaranteeing dynamic and real-time features of software component.
文摘Financial time series forecasting could be beneficial for individual as well as institutional investors. But, the high noise and complexity residing in the financial data make this job extremely challenging. Over the years, many researchers have used support vector regression (SVR) quite successfully to conquer this challenge. In this paper, an SVR based forecasting model is proposed which first uses the principal component analysis (PCA) to extract the low-dimensional and efficient feature information, and then uses the independent component analysis (ICA) to preprocess the extracted features to nullify the influence of noise in the features. Experiments were carried out based on 16 years’ historical data of three prominent stocks from three different sectors listed in Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE), Bangladesh. The predictions were made for 1 to 4 days in advance targeting the short term prediction. For comparison, the integration of PCA with SVR (PCA-SVR), ICA with SVR (ICA-SVR) and single SVR approaches were applied to evaluate the prediction accuracy of the proposed approach. Experimental results show that the proposed model (PCA-ICA-SVR) outperforms the PCA-SVR, ICA-SVR and single SVR methods.
文摘Certain locally optimal tests for deterministic components in vector time series have associated sampling distributions determined by a linear combination of Beta variates. Such distributions are nonstandard and must be tabulated by Monte Carlo simulation. In this paper, we provide closed form expressions for the mean and variance of several multivariate test statistics, moments that can be used to approximate unknown distributions. In particular, we find that the two-moment Inverse Gaussian approximation provides a simple and fast method to compute accurate quantiles and p-values in small and asymptotic samples. To illustrate the scope of this approximation we review some standard tests for deterministic trends and/or seasonal patterns in VARIMA and structural time series models.
基金National Natural Science Foundations of China(Nos.61403256,61374132)Special Scientific Research of Selection and Cultivation of Excellent Young Teachers in Shanghai Universities,China(No.YYY11076)
文摘A new method was developed for batch process monitoring in this paper. In the devdopad method, just-in-time learning ( JITL ) and independent component analysis (ICA) were integrated to build JITL-ICA monitoring scheme. JITL was employed to tackle with the characteristics of batch process such as inherent time- varying dynamics, multiple operating phases, and especially the case of uneven length stage. According to new coming test data, the most correlated segmentation was obtained from batch-wise unfolded training data by JITL. Then, ICA served as the principal components extraction approach. Therefore, the non.Gaussian distributed data can also be addressed under this modeling framework. The effectiveness and superiority of JITL-ICA based monitoring method was demonstrated by fed-batch penicillin fermentation.
基金Supported by Taishan Industrial Leading Talent Project (Efficient Ecological Agriculture Innovation) (LJNY202001)Science and Technology R&D Project of Longkou City in Shandong Province (2021KJJH028)Science and Technology Small and Medium-sized Enterprises Innovation Capability Improvement Project in Shandong Province (2023 TS GC0906).
文摘[Objectives]To explore the effects of different sterilization conditions on nutrition and flavor of apple vinegar.[Methods]Five kinds of high temperature short time(HTST)sterilization conditions were selected to treat apple vinegar,and the volatile aroma components and the content of active components in apple vinegar before and after sterilization were analyzed.[Results]Compared with the control,the contents of total acid and malic acid in the samples after sterilization changed little,but the contents of citric acid increased significantly(P<0.01),and the contents of total phenols,ascorbic acid and total flavonoids decreased.Ethyl acetate,isopentyl acetate,ethyl caprylate,phenethyl acetate,1-pentanol,phenylethyl alcohol,acetic acid,and sec-butyl ether were the characteristic aroma components which contributed to the flavor of apple vinegar.As sterilization temperature increased,the content of esters decreased,while the content of acids,alcohols and aldehydes increased.The contents of nutrition,active components and volatile aroma components in apple vinegar under 100℃and 30 s sterilization conditions had little change compared with other sterilization conditions,so 100℃and 30 s were the optimal sterilization conditions.[Conclusions]Under different sterilization conditions,the content of flavor components in apple vinegar will change greatly,which will affect the quality of apple vinegar.
基金The project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘The mechanical relaxation time of a two-component epoxy network-LiClO_4 system as a polymer electrolyte was investigated. The network is composed of diglycidyl ether of polyethylene glycol (DGEPEG) and triglycidyl ether of glycerol (TGEG), wherein LiCIO_4 was incorporated and acts as both the ionic carrier and the curing catalyst. As the relaxation time is informative to the segmental mobility, which is known to be essential for ionic conductivity, the average relaxation times of the specimens were determined through master curve construction. Experimental results showed that the salt concentration, molecular weight of PEG in DGEPEG and DGEPEG/TGEG ratio have profound effect on the relaxation time of the specimen. Among these factors , the former reinforces the network chains, leading to lengthen the relaxation time, whereas the latter two are in favour of the chain flexibility and show an opposite effect. The findings was rationalized in terms of the free volume concept.
文摘在茶园水资源管理中,蒸散量(Evapotranspiration,ET)是评估作物水分需求的关键指标,由于茶园蒸散量预测具有时序性、不稳定性以及非线性耦合等特点,目前的茶园蒸散量预测模型存在预测精度较低的问题,针对此问题本文提出了一种新型的茶园蒸散量预测模型。首先使用互信息算法(Mutual information,MI)与主成分分析算法(Principal component analysis,PCA)相融合的数据处理算法(MIPCA),筛选强相关的特征并提取主成分;其次将时域卷积网络(Temporal convolutional network,TCN)与Transformer融合,利用灰狼算法(Grey wolf optimization,GWO)优化超参数,捕捉茶园数据的全局依赖关系;最后整合2个网络构建了MIPCA-TCN-GWO-Transformer模型,通过消融试验和对比试验验证了模型性能,并对模型在不同时间步长下的性能进行测试。结果表明,该模型平均绝对百分比误差(Mean absolute percentage error,MAPE)、均方根误差(Root mean square error,RMSE)和决定系数(Coefficient of determination,R^(2))3个评价指标分别为0.015 mm/d、0.312 mm/d和0.962,优于长短期记忆模型(Long short term memory,LSTM)等传统预测模型。在小时尺度、日尺度和月尺度下的R^(2)分别为0.986、0.978和0.946,在不同时间步长下展现了良好的适应性和准确性。本文构建的MIPCA-TCN-GWO-Transformer模型具有较高的预测精度和稳定性,可为茶园水资源优化管理和灌溉制度制定提供科学参考。