Spatial Pattern and Time Series Dynamics of Spondylis buprestoides Adults

Spondylis buprestoides adults in Pians masoniana forests in Xianju Dabei Dixi Forestry Center were continuously investigated during 2006 and 2011. According to the survey data, multiple spatial pattern indicators of adult population were calculated, and the relationship between various indicators and density was analyzed. The K values of negative binomial distribution less affected by density were selected to describe the spatial pattern and time series dynamics of S. buprestoides adults. The results indicated that S. buprestoides adults showed aggregated distribution in the forest, but the aggregation degree varied with the season. There were 2 obvious diffusion peaks during May and June as well as September and October each year. The aggregation trend within a generation was aggregation-diffusion-aggregation.

Time series prediction of mining subsidence based on a SVM

In order to study dynamic laws of surface movements over coal mines due to mining activities,a dynamic prediction model of surface movements was established,based on the theory of support vector machines(SVM) and times-series analysis.An engineering application was used to verify the correctness of the model.Measurements from observation stations were analyzed and processed to obtain equal-time interval surface movement data and subjected to tests of stationary,zero means and normality.Then the data were used to train the SVM model.A time series model was established to predict mining subsidence by rational choices of embedding dimensions and SVM parameters.MAPE and WIA were used as indicators to evaluate the accuracy of the model and for generalization performance.In the end,the model was used to predict future surface movements.Data from observation stations in Huaibei coal mining area were used as an example.The results show that the maximum absolute error of subsidence is 9 mm,the maximum relative error 1.5%,the maximum absolute error of displacement 7 mm and the maximum relative error 1.8%.The accuracy and reliability of the model meet the requirements of on-site engineering.The results of the study provide a new approach to investigate the dynamics of surface movements.

Multi-scale interactions in interpersonal coordination

Background:Interpersonal coordination is an essential aspect of daily life,and crucial to performance in cooperative and competitive team sports.While empirical research has investigated interpersonal coordination using a wide variety of analytical tools and frameworks,to date very few studies have employed multifractal techniques to study the nature of interpersonal coordination across multiple spatiotemporal scales.In the present study we address this gap.Methods:We investigated the dynamics of a simple dyadic interpersonal coordination task where each participant manually controlled a virtual object in relation to that of his or her partner.We tested whether the resulting hand-movement time series exhibits multi-scale properties and whether those properties are associated with successful performance.Results:Using the formalism of multifractals,we show that the performance on the coordination task is strongly multi-scale,and that the multi-scale properties appear to arise from interaction-dominant dynamics.Further,we find that the measure of across-scale interactions,multifractal spectrum width,predicts successful performance at the level of the dyad.Conclusion:The results are discussed with respect to the implications of multifractals and interaction-dominance for understanding control in an interpersonal context.