Time‐varying matrix inversion is an important field of matrix research,and lots of research achievements have been obtained.In the process of solving time‐varying matrix inversion,disturbances inevitably exist,thus,...Time‐varying matrix inversion is an important field of matrix research,and lots of research achievements have been obtained.In the process of solving time‐varying matrix inversion,disturbances inevitably exist,thus,a model that can suppress disturbance while solving the problem is required.In this paper,an advanced continuous‐time recurrent neural network(RNN)model based on a double integral RNN design formula is pro-posed for solving continuous time‐varying matrix inversion,which has incomparable disturbance‐suppression property.For digital hardware applications,the corresponding advanced discrete‐time RNN model is proposed based on the discretisation formulas.As a result of theoretical analysis,it is demonstrated that the advanced continuous‐time RNN model and the corresponding advanced discrete‐time RNN model have global and exponential convergence performance,and they are excellent for suppressing different disturbances.Finally,inspiring experiments,including two numerical experiments and a practical experiment,are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness and superiority of the advanced discrete‐time RNN model for solving discrete time‐varying matrix inversion with disturbance‐suppression.展开更多
This paper investigates the prescribed-time control(PTC) problem for a class of strict-feedback systems subject to non-vanishing uncertainties. The coexistence of mismatched uncertainties and non-vanishing disturbance...This paper investigates the prescribed-time control(PTC) problem for a class of strict-feedback systems subject to non-vanishing uncertainties. The coexistence of mismatched uncertainties and non-vanishing disturbances makes PTC synthesis nontrivial. In this work, a control method that does not involve infinite time-varying gain is proposed, leading to a practical and global prescribed time tracking control solution for the strict-feedback systems, in spite of both the mismatched and nonvanishing uncertainties. Different from methods based on control switching to avoid the issue of infinite control gain that involves control discontinuity at the switching point, in our method a softening unit is exclusively included to ensure the continuity of the control action. Furthermore, in contrast to most existing prescribed-time control works where the control scheme is only valid on a finite time interval, in this work, the proposed control scheme is valid on the entire time interval. In addition, the prior information on the upper or lower bound of gi is not in need,enlarging the applicability of the proposed method. Both the theoretical analysis and numerical simulation confirm the effectiveness of the proposed control algorithm.展开更多
The main purpose of this paper is to generalize the effect of two-phased demand and variable deterioration within the EOQ (Economic Order Quantity) framework. The rate of deterioration is a linear function of time. Th...The main purpose of this paper is to generalize the effect of two-phased demand and variable deterioration within the EOQ (Economic Order Quantity) framework. The rate of deterioration is a linear function of time. The two-phased demand function states the constant function for a certain period and the quadratic function of time for the rest part of the cycle time. No shortages as well as partial backlogging are allowed to occur. The mathematical expressions are derived for determining the optimal cycle time, order quantity and total cost function. An easy-to-use working procedure is provided to calculate the above quantities. A couple of numerical examples are cited to explain the theoretical results and sensitivity analysis of some selected examples is carried out.展开更多
Maize (Zea mays L.) is one of the three major food crops and an important source of carbohydrates for maintaining food security around the world.Plant height (H),stem diameter (SD),leaf area index (LAI) and dry matter...Maize (Zea mays L.) is one of the three major food crops and an important source of carbohydrates for maintaining food security around the world.Plant height (H),stem diameter (SD),leaf area index (LAI) and dry matter (DM) are important growth parameters that influence maize production.However,the combined effect of temperature and light on maize growth is rarely considered in crop growth models.Ten maize growth models based on the modified logistic growth equation (Mlog) and the Mitscherlich growth equation (Mit) were proposed to simulate the H,SD,LAI and DM of maize under different mulching practices based on experimental data from 2015–2018.Either the accumulative growing degree-days (AGDD),helio thermal units (HTU),photothermal units (PTU) or photoperiod thermal units (PPTU,first proposed here) was used as a single driving factor in the models;or AGDD was combined with either accumulative actual solar hours (ASS),accumulative photoperiod response (APR,first proposed here) or accumulative maximum possible sunshine hours (ADL) as the dual driving factors in the models.The model performances were evaluated using seven statistical indicators and a global performance index.The results showed that the three mulching practices significantly increased the maize growth rates and the maximum values of the growth curves compared with non-mulching.Among the four single factor-driven models,the overall performance of the Mlog_(PTU)Model was the best,followed by the Mlog_(AGDD)Model.The Mlog_(PPTU)Model was better than the Mlog_(AGDD)Model in simulating SD and LAI.Among the 10 models,the overall performance of the Mlog_(AGDD–APR)Model was the best,followed by the Mlog_(AGDD–ASS)Model.Specifically,the Mlog_(AGDD–APR)Model performed the best in simulating H and LAI,while the Mlog_(AGDD–ADL)and Mlog_(AGDD–ASS)models performed the best in simulating SD and DM,respectively.In conclusion,the modified logistic growth equations with AGDD and either APR,ASS or ADL as the dual driving factors outperformed the commonly used modified logistic growth model with AGDD as a single driving factor in simulating maize growth.展开更多
Regression and autoregressive mixed models are classical models used to analyze the relationship between time series response variable and other covariates. The coefficients in traditional regression and autoregressiv...Regression and autoregressive mixed models are classical models used to analyze the relationship between time series response variable and other covariates. The coefficients in traditional regression and autoregressive mixed models are constants. However, for complicated data, the coefficients of covariates may change with time. In this article, we propose a kind of partial time-varying coefficient regression and autoregressive mixed model and obtain the local weighted least-square estimators of coefficient functions by the local polynomial technique. The asymptotic normality properties of estimators are derived under regularity conditions, and simulation studies are conducted to empirically examine the finite-sample performances of the proposed estimators. Finally, we use real data about Lake Shasta inflow to illustrate the application of the proposed model.展开更多
Regression and autoregressive mixed models are classical models used to analyze the relationship between time series response variable and other covariates. The coefficients in traditional regression and autoregressiv...Regression and autoregressive mixed models are classical models used to analyze the relationship between time series response variable and other covariates. The coefficients in traditional regression and autoregressive mixed models are constants. However, for complicated data, the coefficients of covariates may change with time. In this article, we propose a kind of partial time-varying coefficient regression and autoregressive mixed model and obtain the local weighted least-square estimators of coefficient functions by the local polynomial technique. The asymptotic normality properties of estimators are derived under regularity conditions, and simulation studies are conducted to empirically examine the finite-sample performances of the proposed estimators. Finally, we use real data about Lake Shasta inflow to illustrate the application of the proposed model.展开更多
Background:Prolonged sitting and reduced physical activity lead to low energy expenditures.However,little is known about the joint impact of daily sitting time and physical activity on body fat distribution.We investi...Background:Prolonged sitting and reduced physical activity lead to low energy expenditures.However,little is known about the joint impact of daily sitting time and physical activity on body fat distribution.We investigated the independent and joint associations of daily sitting time and physical activity with body fat among adults.Methods:This was a cross-sectional analysis of U.S.nationally representative data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey2011-2018 among adults aged 20 years or older.Daily sitting time and leisure-time physical activity(LTPA)were self-reported using the Global Physical Activity Questionnaire.Body fat(total and trunk fat percentage)was determined via dual X-ray absorptiometry.Results:Among 10,808 adults,about 54.6%spent 6 h/day or more sitting;more than one-half reported no LTPA(inactive)or less than 150 min/week LTPA(insufficiently active)with only 43.3%reported 150 min/week or more LTPA(active)in the past week.After fully adjusting for sociodemographic data,lifestyle behaviors,and chronic conditions,prolonged sitting time and low levels of LTPA were associated with higher total and trunk fat percentages in both sexes.When stratifying by LTPA,the association between daily sitting time and body fat appeared to be stronger in those who were inactive/insuufficiently active.In the joint analyses,inactive/insuufficiently active adults who reported sitting more than 8 h/day had the highest total(female:3.99%(95%confidence interval(95%CI):3.09%-4.88%);male:3.79%(95%CI:2.75%-4.82%))and trunk body fat percentages(female:4.21%(95%CI:3.09%-5.32%);male:4.07%(95%CI:2.95%-5.19%))when compared with those who were active and sitting less than 4 h/day.Conclusion:Prolonged daily sitting time was associated with increased body fat among U.S.adults.The higher body fat associated with 6 h/day sitting may not be offset by achieving recommended levels of physical activity.展开更多
This paper presents a copula technique to develop time-variant seismic fragility curves for corroded bridges at the system level and considers the realistic time-varying dependence among component seismic demands. Bas...This paper presents a copula technique to develop time-variant seismic fragility curves for corroded bridges at the system level and considers the realistic time-varying dependence among component seismic demands. Based on material deterioration mechanisms and incremental dynamic analysis, the time-evolving seismic demands of components were obtained in the form of marginal probability distributions. The time-varying dependences among bridge components were then captured with the best fitting copula function, which was selected from the commonly used copula classes by the empirical distribution based analysis method. The system time-variant fragility curves at different damage states were developed and the effects of time-varying dependences among components on the bridge system fragility were investigated. The results indicate the time-varying dependence among components significantly affects the time-variant fragility of the bridge system. The copula technique captures the nonlinear dependence among component seismic demands accurately and easily by separating the marginal distributions and the dependence among them.展开更多
This study proposes a wavelets approach to estimating time–frequency-varying betas in the capital asset pricing model(CAPM)framework.The dynamic of systematic risk across time and frequency is analyzed to investigate...This study proposes a wavelets approach to estimating time–frequency-varying betas in the capital asset pricing model(CAPM)framework.The dynamic of systematic risk across time and frequency is analyzed to investigate stock risk-profile robustness.Furthermore,we emphasize the effect of an investor’s investment horizon on the robustness of portfolio characteristics.We use a daily panel of French stocks from 2012 to 2022.Results show that varying systematic risk varies in time and frequency,and that its short and long-run evolutions differ.We observe differences in short and long dynamics,indicating that a stock’s betas differently fluctuate to early announcements or signs of events.However,short-run and long-run betas exhibit similar dynamics during persistent shocks.Betas are more volatile during times of crisis,resulting in greater or lesser robustness of risk profiles.Significant differences exist in short-run and longrun risk profiles,implying a different asset allocation.We conclude that the standard CAPM assumes short-run investment.Then,investors should consider time–frequency CAPM to perform systematic risk analysis and portfolio allocation.展开更多
A variable coefficient viscoelastic equation with a time-varying delay in the boundary feedback and acoustic boundary conditions and nonlinear source term is considered.Under suitable assumptions, general decay result...A variable coefficient viscoelastic equation with a time-varying delay in the boundary feedback and acoustic boundary conditions and nonlinear source term is considered.Under suitable assumptions, general decay results of the energy are established via suitable Lyapunov functionals and some properties of the convex functions. Our result is obtained without imposing any restrictive growth assumption on the damping term and the elements of the matrix A and the kernel function g.展开更多
The Time Fractional Burger equation was solved in this study using the Mabel software and the Variational Iteration approach. where a number of instances of the Time Fractional Burger Equation were handled using this ...The Time Fractional Burger equation was solved in this study using the Mabel software and the Variational Iteration approach. where a number of instances of the Time Fractional Burger Equation were handled using this technique. Tables and images were used to present the collected numerical results. The difference between the exact and numerical solutions demonstrates the effectiveness of the Mabel program’s solution, as well as the accuracy and closeness of the results this method produced. It also demonstrates the Mabel program’s ability to quickly and effectively produce the numerical solution.展开更多
Platooning represents one of the key features that connected automated vehicles may possess as it allows multiple automated vehicles to be maneuvered cooperatively with small headways on roads. However, a critical cha...Platooning represents one of the key features that connected automated vehicles may possess as it allows multiple automated vehicles to be maneuvered cooperatively with small headways on roads. However, a critical challenge in accomplishing automated vehicle platoons is to deal with the effects of intermittent and sporadic vehicle-to-vehicle data transmissions caused by limited wireless communication resources. This paper addresses the co-design problem of dynamic event-triggered communication scheduling and cooperative adaptive cruise control for a convoy of automated vehicles with diverse spacing policies. The central aim is to achieve automated vehicle platooning under various gap references with desired platoon stability and spacing performance requirements, while simultaneously improving communication efficiency. Toward this aim, a dynamic event-triggered scheduling mechanism is developed such that the intervehicle data transmissions are scheduled dynamically and efficiently over time. Then, a tractable co-design criterion on the existence of both the admissible event-driven cooperative adaptive cruise control law and the desired scheduling mechanism is derived. Finally, comparative simulation results are presented to substantiate the effectiveness and merits of the obtained results.展开更多
In this paper, adaptive variable structure neural control is presented for a class of uncertain multi-input multi-output (MIMO) nonlinear systems with state time-varying delays and unknown nonlinear dead-zones. The ...In this paper, adaptive variable structure neural control is presented for a class of uncertain multi-input multi-output (MIMO) nonlinear systems with state time-varying delays and unknown nonlinear dead-zones. The unknown time-varying delay uncer- tainties are compensated for using appropriate Lyapunov-Krasovskii functionals in the design. The approach removes the assumption of linear function outside the deadband without necessarily constructing a dead-zone inverse as an added contribution. By utilizing the integral-type Lyapunov function and introducing an adaptive compensation term for the upper bound of the residual and optimal approximation error as well as the dead-zone disturbance, the closed-loop control system is proved to be semi-globally uniformly ultimately bounded. In addition, a modified adaptive control algorithm is given in order to avoid the high-frequency chattering phenomenon. Simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of the approach.展开更多
Some reconstruction-based anomaly detection models in multivariate time series have brought impressive performance advancements but suffer from weak generalization ability and a lack of anomaly identification.These li...Some reconstruction-based anomaly detection models in multivariate time series have brought impressive performance advancements but suffer from weak generalization ability and a lack of anomaly identification.These limitations can result in the misjudgment of models,leading to a degradation in overall detection performance.This paper proposes a novel transformer-like anomaly detection model adopting a contrastive learning module and a memory block(CLME)to overcome the above limitations.The contrastive learning module tailored for time series data can learn the contextual relationships to generate temporal fine-grained representations.The memory block can record normal patterns of these representations through the utilization of attention-based addressing and reintegration mechanisms.These two modules together effectively alleviate the problem of generalization.Furthermore,this paper introduces a fusion anomaly detection strategy that comprehensively takes into account the residual and feature spaces.Such a strategy can enlarge the discrepancies between normal and abnormal data,which is more conducive to anomaly identification.The proposed CLME model not only efficiently enhances the generalization performance but also improves the ability of anomaly detection.To validate the efficacy of the proposed approach,extensive experiments are conducted on well-established benchmark datasets,including SWaT,PSM,WADI,and MSL.The results demonstrate outstanding performance,with F1 scores of 90.58%,94.83%,91.58%,and 91.75%,respectively.These findings affirm the superiority of the CLME model over existing stateof-the-art anomaly detection methodologies in terms of its ability to detect anomalies within complex datasets accurately.展开更多
Rising sea level is of great significance to coastal societies;predicting sea level extent in coastal regions is critical.When carrying out predictions,the subsequences obtained using decomposition methods may exhibit...Rising sea level is of great significance to coastal societies;predicting sea level extent in coastal regions is critical.When carrying out predictions,the subsequences obtained using decomposition methods may exhibit a certain regularity and therefore can provide multidimensional information that can be used to improve prediction models.Traditional decomposition methods such as seasonal and trend decomposition using Loess(STL)focus mostly on the fluctuating trend of time series and ignore its impact on prediction.Methods in the signal decomposition domain,such as variational mode decomposition(VMD),have no physical significance.In response to the above problems,a new decomposition method for sea level anomaly time series prediction(DMSLAP)is proposed.With this method,the trend term in a time series can be isolated and the effects of abnormal sea level change behaviors can be attenuated.We decompose multiperiod characteristics using this method while maintaining the smoothness of the analyzed series.Satellite altimetry data from 1993 to 2020 are used in experiments conducted in the study area.The results are then compared with predictions obtained using existing decomposition methods such as the STL and VMD methods and time varying filtering based on empirical mode decomposition(TVF-EMD).The performance of DMSLAP combined with a prediction method resulted in optimal sea level anomaly(SLA)predictions,with a minimum root mean square error(RMSE)of 1.40 cm and a maximum determination coefficient(R^(2))of 0.93 during 2020.The DMSLAP method was more accurate when predicting 1-year data and 3-year data.The TVF-EMD and DMSLAP methods had comparable accuracies,and the periodic term decomposed by the DMSLAP method was more in line with the actual law than that derived using the TVF-EMD method.Thus,DMSLAP can decompose SLA time series better than existing methods and is an effective tool for obtaining short-term SLA prediction.展开更多
Sensors produce a large amount of multivariate time series data to record the states of Internet of Things(IoT)systems.Multivariate time series timestamp anomaly detection(TSAD)can identify timestamps of attacks and m...Sensors produce a large amount of multivariate time series data to record the states of Internet of Things(IoT)systems.Multivariate time series timestamp anomaly detection(TSAD)can identify timestamps of attacks and malfunctions.However,it is necessary to determine which sensor or indicator is abnormal to facilitate a more detailed diagnosis,a process referred to as fine-grained anomaly detection(FGAD).Although further FGAD can be extended based on TSAD methods,existing works do not provide a quantitative evaluation,and the performance is unknown.Therefore,to tackle the FGAD problem,this paper first verifies that the TSAD methods achieve low performance when applied to the FGAD task directly because of the excessive fusion of features and the ignoring of the relationship’s dynamic changes between indicators.Accordingly,this paper proposes a mul-tivariate time series fine-grained anomaly detection(MFGAD)framework.To avoid excessive fusion of features,MFGAD constructs two sub-models to independently identify the abnormal timestamp and abnormal indicator instead of a single model and then combines the two kinds of abnormal results to detect the fine-grained anomaly.Based on this framework,an algorithm based on Graph Attention Neural Network(GAT)and Attention Convolutional Long-Short Term Memory(A-ConvLSTM)is proposed,in which GAT learns temporal features of multiple indicators to detect abnormal timestamps and A-ConvLSTM captures the dynamic relationship between indicators to identify abnormal indicators.Extensive simulations on a real-world dataset demonstrate that the proposed algorithm can achieve a higher F1 score and hit rate than the extension of existing TSAD methods with the benefit of two independent sub-models for timestamp and indicator detection.展开更多
In forecasting real time environmental factors,large data is needed to analyse the pattern behind the data values.Air pollution is a major threat towards developing countries and it is proliferating every year.Many me...In forecasting real time environmental factors,large data is needed to analyse the pattern behind the data values.Air pollution is a major threat towards developing countries and it is proliferating every year.Many methods in time ser-ies prediction and deep learning models to estimate the severity of air pollution.Each independent variable contributing towards pollution is necessary to analyse the trend behind the air pollution in that particular locality.This approach selects multivariate time series and coalesce a real time updatable autoregressive model to forecast Particulate matter(PM)PM2.5.To perform experimental analysis the data from the Central Pollution Control Board(CPCB)is used.Prediction is car-ried out for Chennai with seven locations and estimated PM’s using the weighted ensemble method.Proposed method for air pollution prediction unveiled effective and moored performance in long term prediction.Dynamic budge with high weighted k-models are used simultaneously and devising an ensemble helps to achieve stable forecasting.Computational time of ensemble decreases with paral-lel processing in each sub model.Weighted ensemble model shows high perfor-mance in long term prediction when compared to the traditional time series models like Vector Auto-Regression(VAR),Autoregressive Integrated with Mov-ing Average(ARIMA),Autoregressive Moving Average with Extended terms(ARMEX).Evaluation metrics like Root Mean Square Error(RMSE),Mean Absolute Error(MAE)and the time to achieve the time series are compared.展开更多
Due to the appearance and the study of the ornithopter and flexible-wing micro air vehicles, etc., the time-varying systems become more and more important and ubiquitous in the study of the mechanics. In this letter, ...Due to the appearance and the study of the ornithopter and flexible-wing micro air vehicles, etc., the time-varying systems become more and more important and ubiquitous in the study of the mechanics. In this letter, the sufficient conditions of the uniform asymptotic stability are first presented for the delayed time-varying linear differential equations with any time delay by employing the Dini derivative, Lozinskii measure and the generalized scalar Halanay delayed differential inequality. They are especially based on the estimation of the arbitrary solutions but not the fundamental solution matrix since their solutions' space is infinite-dimensional. Then some sufficient conditions of the stability, asymptotic stability and uniform asymptotic stability of the delayed time-varying linear system with a sufficiently small time delay are reported by employing Taylor expansion and Dini derivative. It implies that these stabilities can be guaranteed by the Lozinskii measure of the matrix composing of the time delay and the coefficient matrices of the system.展开更多
Electronic processes within atoms and molecules reside on the timescale of attoseconds. Recent advances in the laserbased pump-probe interrogation techniques have made possible the temporal resolution of ultrafast ele...Electronic processes within atoms and molecules reside on the timescale of attoseconds. Recent advances in the laserbased pump-probe interrogation techniques have made possible the temporal resolution of ultrafast electronic processes on the attosecond timescale, including photoionization and tunneling ionization. These interrogation techniques include the attosecond streak camera, the reconstruction of attosecond beating by interference of two-photon transitions, and the attoclock. While the former two are usually employed to study photoionization processes, the latter is typically used to investigate tunneling ionization. In this review, we briefly overview these timing techniques towards an attosecond temporal resolution of ionization processes in atoms and molecules under intense laser fields. In particular, we review the backpropagation method, which is a novel hybrid quantum-classical approach towards the full characterization of tunneling ionization dynamics. Continued advances in the interrogation techniques promise to pave the pathway towards the exploration of ever faster dynamical processes on an ever shorter timescale.展开更多
文摘Time‐varying matrix inversion is an important field of matrix research,and lots of research achievements have been obtained.In the process of solving time‐varying matrix inversion,disturbances inevitably exist,thus,a model that can suppress disturbance while solving the problem is required.In this paper,an advanced continuous‐time recurrent neural network(RNN)model based on a double integral RNN design formula is pro-posed for solving continuous time‐varying matrix inversion,which has incomparable disturbance‐suppression property.For digital hardware applications,the corresponding advanced discrete‐time RNN model is proposed based on the discretisation formulas.As a result of theoretical analysis,it is demonstrated that the advanced continuous‐time RNN model and the corresponding advanced discrete‐time RNN model have global and exponential convergence performance,and they are excellent for suppressing different disturbances.Finally,inspiring experiments,including two numerical experiments and a practical experiment,are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness and superiority of the advanced discrete‐time RNN model for solving discrete time‐varying matrix inversion with disturbance‐suppression.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (61991400, 61991403, 62273064, 62250710167,61860206008, 61933012, 62203078)in part by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (2022YFB4701400/4701401)+1 种基金the Innovation Support Program for International Students Returning to China(cx2022016)the CAAI-Huawei MindSpore Open Fund。
文摘This paper investigates the prescribed-time control(PTC) problem for a class of strict-feedback systems subject to non-vanishing uncertainties. The coexistence of mismatched uncertainties and non-vanishing disturbances makes PTC synthesis nontrivial. In this work, a control method that does not involve infinite time-varying gain is proposed, leading to a practical and global prescribed time tracking control solution for the strict-feedback systems, in spite of both the mismatched and nonvanishing uncertainties. Different from methods based on control switching to avoid the issue of infinite control gain that involves control discontinuity at the switching point, in our method a softening unit is exclusively included to ensure the continuity of the control action. Furthermore, in contrast to most existing prescribed-time control works where the control scheme is only valid on a finite time interval, in this work, the proposed control scheme is valid on the entire time interval. In addition, the prior information on the upper or lower bound of gi is not in need,enlarging the applicability of the proposed method. Both the theoretical analysis and numerical simulation confirm the effectiveness of the proposed control algorithm.
文摘The main purpose of this paper is to generalize the effect of two-phased demand and variable deterioration within the EOQ (Economic Order Quantity) framework. The rate of deterioration is a linear function of time. The two-phased demand function states the constant function for a certain period and the quadratic function of time for the rest part of the cycle time. No shortages as well as partial backlogging are allowed to occur. The mathematical expressions are derived for determining the optimal cycle time, order quantity and total cost function. An easy-to-use working procedure is provided to calculate the above quantities. A couple of numerical examples are cited to explain the theoretical results and sensitivity analysis of some selected examples is carried out.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (51879226)the Chinese Universities Scientific Fund (2452020018)。
文摘Maize (Zea mays L.) is one of the three major food crops and an important source of carbohydrates for maintaining food security around the world.Plant height (H),stem diameter (SD),leaf area index (LAI) and dry matter (DM) are important growth parameters that influence maize production.However,the combined effect of temperature and light on maize growth is rarely considered in crop growth models.Ten maize growth models based on the modified logistic growth equation (Mlog) and the Mitscherlich growth equation (Mit) were proposed to simulate the H,SD,LAI and DM of maize under different mulching practices based on experimental data from 2015–2018.Either the accumulative growing degree-days (AGDD),helio thermal units (HTU),photothermal units (PTU) or photoperiod thermal units (PPTU,first proposed here) was used as a single driving factor in the models;or AGDD was combined with either accumulative actual solar hours (ASS),accumulative photoperiod response (APR,first proposed here) or accumulative maximum possible sunshine hours (ADL) as the dual driving factors in the models.The model performances were evaluated using seven statistical indicators and a global performance index.The results showed that the three mulching practices significantly increased the maize growth rates and the maximum values of the growth curves compared with non-mulching.Among the four single factor-driven models,the overall performance of the Mlog_(PTU)Model was the best,followed by the Mlog_(AGDD)Model.The Mlog_(PPTU)Model was better than the Mlog_(AGDD)Model in simulating SD and LAI.Among the 10 models,the overall performance of the Mlog_(AGDD–APR)Model was the best,followed by the Mlog_(AGDD–ASS)Model.Specifically,the Mlog_(AGDD–APR)Model performed the best in simulating H and LAI,while the Mlog_(AGDD–ADL)and Mlog_(AGDD–ASS)models performed the best in simulating SD and DM,respectively.In conclusion,the modified logistic growth equations with AGDD and either APR,ASS or ADL as the dual driving factors outperformed the commonly used modified logistic growth model with AGDD as a single driving factor in simulating maize growth.
文摘Regression and autoregressive mixed models are classical models used to analyze the relationship between time series response variable and other covariates. The coefficients in traditional regression and autoregressive mixed models are constants. However, for complicated data, the coefficients of covariates may change with time. In this article, we propose a kind of partial time-varying coefficient regression and autoregressive mixed model and obtain the local weighted least-square estimators of coefficient functions by the local polynomial technique. The asymptotic normality properties of estimators are derived under regularity conditions, and simulation studies are conducted to empirically examine the finite-sample performances of the proposed estimators. Finally, we use real data about Lake Shasta inflow to illustrate the application of the proposed model.
文摘Regression and autoregressive mixed models are classical models used to analyze the relationship between time series response variable and other covariates. The coefficients in traditional regression and autoregressive mixed models are constants. However, for complicated data, the coefficients of covariates may change with time. In this article, we propose a kind of partial time-varying coefficient regression and autoregressive mixed model and obtain the local weighted least-square estimators of coefficient functions by the local polynomial technique. The asymptotic normality properties of estimators are derived under regularity conditions, and simulation studies are conducted to empirically examine the finite-sample performances of the proposed estimators. Finally, we use real data about Lake Shasta inflow to illustrate the application of the proposed model.
文摘Background:Prolonged sitting and reduced physical activity lead to low energy expenditures.However,little is known about the joint impact of daily sitting time and physical activity on body fat distribution.We investigated the independent and joint associations of daily sitting time and physical activity with body fat among adults.Methods:This was a cross-sectional analysis of U.S.nationally representative data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey2011-2018 among adults aged 20 years or older.Daily sitting time and leisure-time physical activity(LTPA)were self-reported using the Global Physical Activity Questionnaire.Body fat(total and trunk fat percentage)was determined via dual X-ray absorptiometry.Results:Among 10,808 adults,about 54.6%spent 6 h/day or more sitting;more than one-half reported no LTPA(inactive)or less than 150 min/week LTPA(insufficiently active)with only 43.3%reported 150 min/week or more LTPA(active)in the past week.After fully adjusting for sociodemographic data,lifestyle behaviors,and chronic conditions,prolonged sitting time and low levels of LTPA were associated with higher total and trunk fat percentages in both sexes.When stratifying by LTPA,the association between daily sitting time and body fat appeared to be stronger in those who were inactive/insuufficiently active.In the joint analyses,inactive/insuufficiently active adults who reported sitting more than 8 h/day had the highest total(female:3.99%(95%confidence interval(95%CI):3.09%-4.88%);male:3.79%(95%CI:2.75%-4.82%))and trunk body fat percentages(female:4.21%(95%CI:3.09%-5.32%);male:4.07%(95%CI:2.95%-5.19%))when compared with those who were active and sitting less than 4 h/day.Conclusion:Prolonged daily sitting time was associated with increased body fat among U.S.adults.The higher body fat associated with 6 h/day sitting may not be offset by achieving recommended levels of physical activity.
基金Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.51808376
文摘This paper presents a copula technique to develop time-variant seismic fragility curves for corroded bridges at the system level and considers the realistic time-varying dependence among component seismic demands. Based on material deterioration mechanisms and incremental dynamic analysis, the time-evolving seismic demands of components were obtained in the form of marginal probability distributions. The time-varying dependences among bridge components were then captured with the best fitting copula function, which was selected from the commonly used copula classes by the empirical distribution based analysis method. The system time-variant fragility curves at different damage states were developed and the effects of time-varying dependences among components on the bridge system fragility were investigated. The results indicate the time-varying dependence among components significantly affects the time-variant fragility of the bridge system. The copula technique captures the nonlinear dependence among component seismic demands accurately and easily by separating the marginal distributions and the dependence among them.
文摘This study proposes a wavelets approach to estimating time–frequency-varying betas in the capital asset pricing model(CAPM)framework.The dynamic of systematic risk across time and frequency is analyzed to investigate stock risk-profile robustness.Furthermore,we emphasize the effect of an investor’s investment horizon on the robustness of portfolio characteristics.We use a daily panel of French stocks from 2012 to 2022.Results show that varying systematic risk varies in time and frequency,and that its short and long-run evolutions differ.We observe differences in short and long dynamics,indicating that a stock’s betas differently fluctuate to early announcements or signs of events.However,short-run and long-run betas exhibit similar dynamics during persistent shocks.Betas are more volatile during times of crisis,resulting in greater or lesser robustness of risk profiles.Significant differences exist in short-run and longrun risk profiles,implying a different asset allocation.We conclude that the standard CAPM assumes short-run investment.Then,investors should consider time–frequency CAPM to perform systematic risk analysis and portfolio allocation.
文摘A variable coefficient viscoelastic equation with a time-varying delay in the boundary feedback and acoustic boundary conditions and nonlinear source term is considered.Under suitable assumptions, general decay results of the energy are established via suitable Lyapunov functionals and some properties of the convex functions. Our result is obtained without imposing any restrictive growth assumption on the damping term and the elements of the matrix A and the kernel function g.
文摘The Time Fractional Burger equation was solved in this study using the Mabel software and the Variational Iteration approach. where a number of instances of the Time Fractional Burger Equation were handled using this technique. Tables and images were used to present the collected numerical results. The difference between the exact and numerical solutions demonstrates the effectiveness of the Mabel program’s solution, as well as the accuracy and closeness of the results this method produced. It also demonstrates the Mabel program’s ability to quickly and effectively produce the numerical solution.
基金supported in part by the Australian Research Council Discovery Early Career Researcher Award(DE200101128)。
文摘Platooning represents one of the key features that connected automated vehicles may possess as it allows multiple automated vehicles to be maneuvered cooperatively with small headways on roads. However, a critical challenge in accomplishing automated vehicle platoons is to deal with the effects of intermittent and sporadic vehicle-to-vehicle data transmissions caused by limited wireless communication resources. This paper addresses the co-design problem of dynamic event-triggered communication scheduling and cooperative adaptive cruise control for a convoy of automated vehicles with diverse spacing policies. The central aim is to achieve automated vehicle platooning under various gap references with desired platoon stability and spacing performance requirements, while simultaneously improving communication efficiency. Toward this aim, a dynamic event-triggered scheduling mechanism is developed such that the intervehicle data transmissions are scheduled dynamically and efficiently over time. Then, a tractable co-design criterion on the existence of both the admissible event-driven cooperative adaptive cruise control law and the desired scheduling mechanism is derived. Finally, comparative simulation results are presented to substantiate the effectiveness and merits of the obtained results.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundationof China (No. 60774017 and No. 60874045)
文摘In this paper, adaptive variable structure neural control is presented for a class of uncertain multi-input multi-output (MIMO) nonlinear systems with state time-varying delays and unknown nonlinear dead-zones. The unknown time-varying delay uncer- tainties are compensated for using appropriate Lyapunov-Krasovskii functionals in the design. The approach removes the assumption of linear function outside the deadband without necessarily constructing a dead-zone inverse as an added contribution. By utilizing the integral-type Lyapunov function and introducing an adaptive compensation term for the upper bound of the residual and optimal approximation error as well as the dead-zone disturbance, the closed-loop control system is proved to be semi-globally uniformly ultimately bounded. In addition, a modified adaptive control algorithm is given in order to avoid the high-frequency chattering phenomenon. Simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of the approach.
基金support from the Major National Science and Technology Special Projects(2016ZX02301003-004-007)the Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province(F2020202067)。
文摘Some reconstruction-based anomaly detection models in multivariate time series have brought impressive performance advancements but suffer from weak generalization ability and a lack of anomaly identification.These limitations can result in the misjudgment of models,leading to a degradation in overall detection performance.This paper proposes a novel transformer-like anomaly detection model adopting a contrastive learning module and a memory block(CLME)to overcome the above limitations.The contrastive learning module tailored for time series data can learn the contextual relationships to generate temporal fine-grained representations.The memory block can record normal patterns of these representations through the utilization of attention-based addressing and reintegration mechanisms.These two modules together effectively alleviate the problem of generalization.Furthermore,this paper introduces a fusion anomaly detection strategy that comprehensively takes into account the residual and feature spaces.Such a strategy can enlarge the discrepancies between normal and abnormal data,which is more conducive to anomaly identification.The proposed CLME model not only efficiently enhances the generalization performance but also improves the ability of anomaly detection.To validate the efficacy of the proposed approach,extensive experiments are conducted on well-established benchmark datasets,including SWaT,PSM,WADI,and MSL.The results demonstrate outstanding performance,with F1 scores of 90.58%,94.83%,91.58%,and 91.75%,respectively.These findings affirm the superiority of the CLME model over existing stateof-the-art anomaly detection methodologies in terms of its ability to detect anomalies within complex datasets accurately.
基金Supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (No.17CX02071)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.61571009)the Key R&D Program of Shandong Province (No.2018GHY115046)。
文摘Rising sea level is of great significance to coastal societies;predicting sea level extent in coastal regions is critical.When carrying out predictions,the subsequences obtained using decomposition methods may exhibit a certain regularity and therefore can provide multidimensional information that can be used to improve prediction models.Traditional decomposition methods such as seasonal and trend decomposition using Loess(STL)focus mostly on the fluctuating trend of time series and ignore its impact on prediction.Methods in the signal decomposition domain,such as variational mode decomposition(VMD),have no physical significance.In response to the above problems,a new decomposition method for sea level anomaly time series prediction(DMSLAP)is proposed.With this method,the trend term in a time series can be isolated and the effects of abnormal sea level change behaviors can be attenuated.We decompose multiperiod characteristics using this method while maintaining the smoothness of the analyzed series.Satellite altimetry data from 1993 to 2020 are used in experiments conducted in the study area.The results are then compared with predictions obtained using existing decomposition methods such as the STL and VMD methods and time varying filtering based on empirical mode decomposition(TVF-EMD).The performance of DMSLAP combined with a prediction method resulted in optimal sea level anomaly(SLA)predictions,with a minimum root mean square error(RMSE)of 1.40 cm and a maximum determination coefficient(R^(2))of 0.93 during 2020.The DMSLAP method was more accurate when predicting 1-year data and 3-year data.The TVF-EMD and DMSLAP methods had comparable accuracies,and the periodic term decomposed by the DMSLAP method was more in line with the actual law than that derived using the TVF-EMD method.Thus,DMSLAP can decompose SLA time series better than existing methods and is an effective tool for obtaining short-term SLA prediction.
基金supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 62272062the Researchers Supporting Project number.(RSP2023R102)King Saud University+5 种基金Riyadh,Saudi Arabia,the Open Research Fund of the Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Network Investigational Technology under Grant 2018WLZC003the National Science Foundation of Hunan Province under Grant 2020JJ2029the Hunan Provincial Key Research and Development Program under Grant 2022GK2019the Science Fund for Creative Research Groups of Hunan Province under Grant 2020JJ1006the Scientific Research Fund of Hunan Provincial Transportation Department under Grant 202143the Open Fund of Key Laboratory of Safety Control of Bridge Engineering,Ministry of Education(Changsha University of Science Technology)under Grant 21KB07.
文摘Sensors produce a large amount of multivariate time series data to record the states of Internet of Things(IoT)systems.Multivariate time series timestamp anomaly detection(TSAD)can identify timestamps of attacks and malfunctions.However,it is necessary to determine which sensor or indicator is abnormal to facilitate a more detailed diagnosis,a process referred to as fine-grained anomaly detection(FGAD).Although further FGAD can be extended based on TSAD methods,existing works do not provide a quantitative evaluation,and the performance is unknown.Therefore,to tackle the FGAD problem,this paper first verifies that the TSAD methods achieve low performance when applied to the FGAD task directly because of the excessive fusion of features and the ignoring of the relationship’s dynamic changes between indicators.Accordingly,this paper proposes a mul-tivariate time series fine-grained anomaly detection(MFGAD)framework.To avoid excessive fusion of features,MFGAD constructs two sub-models to independently identify the abnormal timestamp and abnormal indicator instead of a single model and then combines the two kinds of abnormal results to detect the fine-grained anomaly.Based on this framework,an algorithm based on Graph Attention Neural Network(GAT)and Attention Convolutional Long-Short Term Memory(A-ConvLSTM)is proposed,in which GAT learns temporal features of multiple indicators to detect abnormal timestamps and A-ConvLSTM captures the dynamic relationship between indicators to identify abnormal indicators.Extensive simulations on a real-world dataset demonstrate that the proposed algorithm can achieve a higher F1 score and hit rate than the extension of existing TSAD methods with the benefit of two independent sub-models for timestamp and indicator detection.
文摘In forecasting real time environmental factors,large data is needed to analyse the pattern behind the data values.Air pollution is a major threat towards developing countries and it is proliferating every year.Many methods in time ser-ies prediction and deep learning models to estimate the severity of air pollution.Each independent variable contributing towards pollution is necessary to analyse the trend behind the air pollution in that particular locality.This approach selects multivariate time series and coalesce a real time updatable autoregressive model to forecast Particulate matter(PM)PM2.5.To perform experimental analysis the data from the Central Pollution Control Board(CPCB)is used.Prediction is car-ried out for Chennai with seven locations and estimated PM’s using the weighted ensemble method.Proposed method for air pollution prediction unveiled effective and moored performance in long term prediction.Dynamic budge with high weighted k-models are used simultaneously and devising an ensemble helps to achieve stable forecasting.Computational time of ensemble decreases with paral-lel processing in each sub model.Weighted ensemble model shows high perfor-mance in long term prediction when compared to the traditional time series models like Vector Auto-Regression(VAR),Autoregressive Integrated with Mov-ing Average(ARIMA),Autoregressive Moving Average with Extended terms(ARMEX).Evaluation metrics like Root Mean Square Error(RMSE),Mean Absolute Error(MAE)and the time to achieve the time series are compared.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(10702065 and 11372282)
文摘Due to the appearance and the study of the ornithopter and flexible-wing micro air vehicles, etc., the time-varying systems become more and more important and ubiquitous in the study of the mechanics. In this letter, the sufficient conditions of the uniform asymptotic stability are first presented for the delayed time-varying linear differential equations with any time delay by employing the Dini derivative, Lozinskii measure and the generalized scalar Halanay delayed differential inequality. They are especially based on the estimation of the arbitrary solutions but not the fundamental solution matrix since their solutions' space is infinite-dimensional. Then some sufficient conditions of the stability, asymptotic stability and uniform asymptotic stability of the delayed time-varying linear system with a sufficiently small time delay are reported by employing Taylor expansion and Dini derivative. It implies that these stabilities can be guaranteed by the Lozinskii measure of the matrix composing of the time delay and the coefficient matrices of the system.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.92150105,11834004,12227807,and 12241407)the Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality (Grant No.21ZR1420100)。
文摘Electronic processes within atoms and molecules reside on the timescale of attoseconds. Recent advances in the laserbased pump-probe interrogation techniques have made possible the temporal resolution of ultrafast electronic processes on the attosecond timescale, including photoionization and tunneling ionization. These interrogation techniques include the attosecond streak camera, the reconstruction of attosecond beating by interference of two-photon transitions, and the attoclock. While the former two are usually employed to study photoionization processes, the latter is typically used to investigate tunneling ionization. In this review, we briefly overview these timing techniques towards an attosecond temporal resolution of ionization processes in atoms and molecules under intense laser fields. In particular, we review the backpropagation method, which is a novel hybrid quantum-classical approach towards the full characterization of tunneling ionization dynamics. Continued advances in the interrogation techniques promise to pave the pathway towards the exploration of ever faster dynamical processes on an ever shorter timescale.