The time-of-use(TOU)strategy can effectively improve the energy consumption mode of customers,reduce the peak-valley difference of load curve,and optimize the allocation of energy resources.This study presents an Opti...The time-of-use(TOU)strategy can effectively improve the energy consumption mode of customers,reduce the peak-valley difference of load curve,and optimize the allocation of energy resources.This study presents an Optimal guidance mechanism of the flexible load based on strategies of direct load control and time-of-use.First,this study proposes a period partitioning model,which is based on a moving boundary technique with constraint factors,and the Dunn Validity Index(DVI)is used as the objective to solve the period partitioning.Second,a control strategy for the curtailable flexible load is investigated,and a TOU strategy is utilized for further modifying load curve.Third,a price demand response strategy for adjusting transferable load is proposed in this paper.Finally,through the case study analysis of typical daily flexible load curve,the efficiency and correctness of the proposed method and model are validated and proved.展开更多
This paper investigates the dividend problem with non-exponential discounting in a dual model.We assume that the dividends can only be paid at a bounded rate and that the surplus process is killed by an exponential ra...This paper investigates the dividend problem with non-exponential discounting in a dual model.We assume that the dividends can only be paid at a bounded rate and that the surplus process is killed by an exponential random variable.Since the non-exponential discount function leads to a time inconsistent control problem,we study the equilibrium HJB-equation and give the associated verification theorem.For the case of a mixture of exponential discount functions and exponential gains,we obtain the explicit equilibrium dividend strategy and the corresponding equilibrium value function.Besides,numerical examples are shown to illustrate our results.展开更多
Background:Improving financial time series forecasting is one of the most challenging and vital issues facing numerous financial analysts and decision makers.Given its direct impact on related decisions,various attemp...Background:Improving financial time series forecasting is one of the most challenging and vital issues facing numerous financial analysts and decision makers.Given its direct impact on related decisions,various attempts have been made to achieve more accurate and reliable forecasting results,of which the combining of individual models remains a widely applied approach.In general,individual models are combined under two main strategies:series and parallel.While it has been proven that these strategies can improve overall forecasting accuracy,the literature on time series forecasting remains vague on the choice of an appropriate strategy to generate a more accurate hybrid model.Methods:Therefore,this study’s key aim is to evaluate the performance of series and parallel strategies to determine a more accurate one.Results:Accordingly,the predictive capabilities of five hybrid models are constructed on the basis of series and parallel strategies compared with each other and with their base models to forecast stock price.To do so,autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA)and multilayer perceptrons(MLPs)are used to construct two series hybrid models,ARIMA-MLP and MLP-ARIMA,and three parallel hybrid models,simple average,linear regression,and genetic algorithm models.Conclusion:The empirical forecasting results for two benchmark datasets,that is,the closing of the Shenzhen Integrated Index(SZII)and that of Standard and Poor’s 500(S&P 500),indicate that although all hybrid models perform better than at least one of their individual components,the series combination strategy produces more accurate hybrid models for financial time series forecasting.展开更多
Based on the detailed analysis of the third coke oven in BaoSteel, a feedbackcontrol strategy of longitudinal temperature and finished carbonization time of coke ovens wasproposed and it was applied to the third coke ...Based on the detailed analysis of the third coke oven in BaoSteel, a feedbackcontrol strategy of longitudinal temperature and finished carbonization time of coke ovens wasproposed and it was applied to the third coke oven in BaoSteel. As a result, the ratio of theinstance that the absolute deviation of the longitudinal temperature is within +- 7 deg C and thefinished carbonization time within +- 10 min is more than 80 percent, having acquired the patentsaving effect of an energy consumption lowered by 2.92 percent. At the same time, it can provide anexample for the same coke ovens inside and outside the nation.展开更多
An extended car-following model with multiple delays is constructed to describe driver's driving behavior.Through stability analysis,the stability condition of this uncontrolled model is given.To dampen the negati...An extended car-following model with multiple delays is constructed to describe driver's driving behavior.Through stability analysis,the stability condition of this uncontrolled model is given.To dampen the negative impact of the driver's multiple delays(i.e.,stability condition is not satisfied),a novel control strategy is proposed to assist the driver in adjusting vehicle operation.The control strategy consists of two parts:the design of control term as well as the design of the parameters in the term.Bifurcation analysis is performed to illustrate the necessity of the design of parameters in control terms.In the course of the design of parameters in the control term,we improve the definite integral stability method to reduce the iterations by incorporating the characteristics of bifurcation,which can determine the appropriate parameters in the control terms more quickly.Finally,in the case study,we validate the control strategy by utilizing measured data and configuring scenario,which is closer to the actual traffic.The results of validation show that the control strategy can effectively stabilize the unstable traffic flow caused by driver's delays.展开更多
Alzheimer's disease (AD) is the most frequent cause of dementia in the western world. In clinical terms, AD is characterized by progres- sive cognitive decline that usually begins with memory impairment. As the dis...Alzheimer's disease (AD) is the most frequent cause of dementia in the western world. In clinical terms, AD is characterized by progres- sive cognitive decline that usually begins with memory impairment. As the disease progresses, AD inevitably affects all intellectual functions including executive functions, leading to complete dependence for basic activities of daily life and premature death.展开更多
Intrinsic attenuation of the earth causes energy loss and phase distortion in seismic wave propagation.To obtain high-resolution imaging results,these negative effects must be considered during reverse time migration(...Intrinsic attenuation of the earth causes energy loss and phase distortion in seismic wave propagation.To obtain high-resolution imaging results,these negative effects must be considered during reverse time migration(RTM).We can easily implement attenuation-compensated RTM using the constant Q viscoacoustic wave equation with decoupled amplitude attenuation and phase dispersion terms.However,the nonphysical amplitude-compensation process will inevitably amplify the high-frequency noise in the wavefield in an exponential form,causing the numerical simulation to become unstable.This is due to the fact that the amplitude of the compensation grows exponentially with frequency.In order to achieve stable attenuation-compensated RTM,we modify the analytic expression of the attenuation compensation extrapolation operator and make it only compensate for amplitude loss within the effective frequency band.Based on this modified analytic formula,we then derive an explicit time-space domain attenuation compensation extrapolation operator.Finally,the implementation procedure of stable attenuation-compensated RTM is presented.In addition to being simple to implement,the newly proposed attenuation-compensated extrapolation operator is superior to the conventional low-pass filter in suppressing random noise,which will further improve the imaging resolution.We use two synthetic and one land seismic datasets to verify the stability and effectiveness of the proposed attenuationcompensated RTM in improving imaging resolution in viscous media.展开更多
This thesis is trying to analyze the pre-writing strategies used by Chinese college students in a timed examination.The purposes of this study is to identify the possible strategies the Chinese college students claime...This thesis is trying to analyze the pre-writing strategies used by Chinese college students in a timed examination.The purposes of this study is to identify the possible strategies the Chinese college students claimed they used in the pre-writing stage of the timed examination,find if differences exist between the pre-writing strategies employed by skilled writers and unskilled writers,and find which strategy best facilitate writing in a timed condition.展开更多
基金supported by open fund of state key laboratory of operation and control of renewable energy&storage systems(China electric power research institute)(No.NYB51202201709).
文摘The time-of-use(TOU)strategy can effectively improve the energy consumption mode of customers,reduce the peak-valley difference of load curve,and optimize the allocation of energy resources.This study presents an Optimal guidance mechanism of the flexible load based on strategies of direct load control and time-of-use.First,this study proposes a period partitioning model,which is based on a moving boundary technique with constraint factors,and the Dunn Validity Index(DVI)is used as the objective to solve the period partitioning.Second,a control strategy for the curtailable flexible load is investigated,and a TOU strategy is utilized for further modifying load curve.Third,a price demand response strategy for adjusting transferable load is proposed in this paper.Finally,through the case study analysis of typical daily flexible load curve,the efficiency and correctness of the proposed method and model are validated and proved.
基金Supported by the Shandong Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China(ZR2020MA035 and ZR2023MA093)。
文摘This paper investigates the dividend problem with non-exponential discounting in a dual model.We assume that the dividends can only be paid at a bounded rate and that the surplus process is killed by an exponential random variable.Since the non-exponential discount function leads to a time inconsistent control problem,we study the equilibrium HJB-equation and give the associated verification theorem.For the case of a mixture of exponential discount functions and exponential gains,we obtain the explicit equilibrium dividend strategy and the corresponding equilibrium value function.Besides,numerical examples are shown to illustrate our results.
文摘Background:Improving financial time series forecasting is one of the most challenging and vital issues facing numerous financial analysts and decision makers.Given its direct impact on related decisions,various attempts have been made to achieve more accurate and reliable forecasting results,of which the combining of individual models remains a widely applied approach.In general,individual models are combined under two main strategies:series and parallel.While it has been proven that these strategies can improve overall forecasting accuracy,the literature on time series forecasting remains vague on the choice of an appropriate strategy to generate a more accurate hybrid model.Methods:Therefore,this study’s key aim is to evaluate the performance of series and parallel strategies to determine a more accurate one.Results:Accordingly,the predictive capabilities of five hybrid models are constructed on the basis of series and parallel strategies compared with each other and with their base models to forecast stock price.To do so,autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA)and multilayer perceptrons(MLPs)are used to construct two series hybrid models,ARIMA-MLP and MLP-ARIMA,and three parallel hybrid models,simple average,linear regression,and genetic algorithm models.Conclusion:The empirical forecasting results for two benchmark datasets,that is,the closing of the Shenzhen Integrated Index(SZII)and that of Standard and Poor’s 500(S&P 500),indicate that although all hybrid models perform better than at least one of their individual components,the series combination strategy produces more accurate hybrid models for financial time series forecasting.
文摘Based on the detailed analysis of the third coke oven in BaoSteel, a feedbackcontrol strategy of longitudinal temperature and finished carbonization time of coke ovens wasproposed and it was applied to the third coke oven in BaoSteel. As a result, the ratio of theinstance that the absolute deviation of the longitudinal temperature is within +- 7 deg C and thefinished carbonization time within +- 10 min is more than 80 percent, having acquired the patentsaving effect of an energy consumption lowered by 2.92 percent. At the same time, it can provide anexample for the same coke ovens inside and outside the nation.
基金Project supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province,China(Grant No.LY20G010004)the Program of Humanities and Social Science of Education Ministry of China(Grant No.20YJA630008)+1 种基金the National Key Research and Development Program of China–Traffic Modeling,Surveillance and Control with Connected&Automated Vehicles(Grant No.2017YFE9134700)the K.C.Wong Magna Fund in Ningbo University,China。
文摘An extended car-following model with multiple delays is constructed to describe driver's driving behavior.Through stability analysis,the stability condition of this uncontrolled model is given.To dampen the negative impact of the driver's multiple delays(i.e.,stability condition is not satisfied),a novel control strategy is proposed to assist the driver in adjusting vehicle operation.The control strategy consists of two parts:the design of control term as well as the design of the parameters in the term.Bifurcation analysis is performed to illustrate the necessity of the design of parameters in control terms.In the course of the design of parameters in the control term,we improve the definite integral stability method to reduce the iterations by incorporating the characteristics of bifurcation,which can determine the appropriate parameters in the control terms more quickly.Finally,in the case study,we validate the control strategy by utilizing measured data and configuring scenario,which is closer to the actual traffic.The results of validation show that the control strategy can effectively stabilize the unstable traffic flow caused by driver's delays.
文摘Alzheimer's disease (AD) is the most frequent cause of dementia in the western world. In clinical terms, AD is characterized by progres- sive cognitive decline that usually begins with memory impairment. As the disease progresses, AD inevitably affects all intellectual functions including executive functions, leading to complete dependence for basic activities of daily life and premature death.
基金supported by the Marine S&T Fund of Shandong Province for Pilot National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology(Qingdao)(No.2021QNLM020001)the Major Scientific and Technological Projects of Shandong Energy Group(No.SNKJ2022A06-R23)the Major Scientific and Technological Projects of CNPC(No.ZD2019-183-003).
文摘Intrinsic attenuation of the earth causes energy loss and phase distortion in seismic wave propagation.To obtain high-resolution imaging results,these negative effects must be considered during reverse time migration(RTM).We can easily implement attenuation-compensated RTM using the constant Q viscoacoustic wave equation with decoupled amplitude attenuation and phase dispersion terms.However,the nonphysical amplitude-compensation process will inevitably amplify the high-frequency noise in the wavefield in an exponential form,causing the numerical simulation to become unstable.This is due to the fact that the amplitude of the compensation grows exponentially with frequency.In order to achieve stable attenuation-compensated RTM,we modify the analytic expression of the attenuation compensation extrapolation operator and make it only compensate for amplitude loss within the effective frequency band.Based on this modified analytic formula,we then derive an explicit time-space domain attenuation compensation extrapolation operator.Finally,the implementation procedure of stable attenuation-compensated RTM is presented.In addition to being simple to implement,the newly proposed attenuation-compensated extrapolation operator is superior to the conventional low-pass filter in suppressing random noise,which will further improve the imaging resolution.We use two synthetic and one land seismic datasets to verify the stability and effectiveness of the proposed attenuationcompensated RTM in improving imaging resolution in viscous media.
文摘This thesis is trying to analyze the pre-writing strategies used by Chinese college students in a timed examination.The purposes of this study is to identify the possible strategies the Chinese college students claimed they used in the pre-writing stage of the timed examination,find if differences exist between the pre-writing strategies employed by skilled writers and unskilled writers,and find which strategy best facilitate writing in a timed condition.