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Structural Characteristics and Risks of China's Economic Transformation and Paths to Efficiency Improvement
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作者 中国经济增长前沿课题组 Yuan Fuhua +1 位作者 Zhang Ping Liu Xiahui 《China Economist》 2014年第3期38-53,共16页
Based on the expanded growth accounting framework,this paper discussed the structural characteristics of China's economic transformation and its related issues and came up with the following conclusions:(1) China&... Based on the expanded growth accounting framework,this paper discussed the structural characteristics of China's economic transformation and its related issues and came up with the following conclusions:(1) China's economic growth has six structural characteristics-- demographic transition,industrial productivity redistribution,income distribution adjustments,increasing urbanization,decreasing capital efficiency and little room for total factor productivity improvement.These factors together may cause a slowdown in economic growth.(2) The risk of economic slowdown in China's economic transformation may be due to the readjustment of income distribution,excessive ineffective investment,increasing economic leverage ratio and fast growing service sector of industrial structure.(3) In response to the potential risks of China's economic slowdown,improving capital efficiency should be the focus of our policy.To establish an inefficient-enterpriseclearing mechanism as well as deepening the reform of corresponding system is the only way to a steady economic growth in the future. 展开更多
关键词 structural characteristics risks of the transition uniformity in convergence capital efficiency
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Climate Transition Risk and Development Finance: A Carbon Risk Assessment of China's Overseas Energy Portfolios 被引量:5
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作者 Irene Monasterolo Jiani I. Zheng Stefano Battiston 《China & World Economy》 SCIE 2018年第6期116-142,共27页
The role of development finance institutions in low-income and emerging countries is fundamental to provide long-term capital for investments in climate mitigation and adaptation. Nevertheless, development finance ins... The role of development finance institutions in low-income and emerging countries is fundamental to provide long-term capital for investments in climate mitigation and adaptation. Nevertheless, development finance institutions still lack sound and transparent metrics to assess their projects' exposure to climate risks and their impact on global climate action. To attempt to fill this gap, we develop a novel climate stress-test methodology for portfolios of loans to energy infrastructure projects. We apply the methodology to the portfolios of overseas energy projects of two main Chinese policy banks. We estimate their exposure to economic and financial shocks that would result in government inability to introduce timely 2~C-aligned climate policies and from investors" inability to adapt their business to the changing climate and policy environment. We find that the negative shocks are mostly concentrated on coal and oil projects and vary across regions from 4.2 to 22 percent of the total loan value. Given the current leverage of Chinese policy banks, these losses could induce severe financial distress, with implications on 展开更多
关键词 climate-finance climate policy scenarios climate stress-test climate transition risk climate VaR energy infrastructure loans.
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Risk Analysis of Information System Security Based on Distance of Information-State Transition 被引量:2
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作者 ZHOU Chao PAN Ping +1 位作者 MAO Xinyue HUANG Liang 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 CAS CSCD 2018年第3期210-218,共9页
The configuration of information system security policy is directly related to the information asset risk, and the configuration required by the classified security protection is able to ensure the optimal and minimum... The configuration of information system security policy is directly related to the information asset risk, and the configuration required by the classified security protection is able to ensure the optimal and minimum policy in the corresponding security level. Through the random survey on the information assets of multiple departments, this paper proposes the relative deviation distance of security policy configuration as risk measure parameter based on the distance of information-state transition(DIT) theory. By quantitatively analyzing the information asset weight, deviation degree and DIT, we establish the evaluation model for information system. With example analysis, the results prove that this method conducts effective risk evaluation on the information system intuitively and reliably, avoids the threat caused by subjective measurement, and shows performance benefits compared with existing solutions. It is not only theoretically but also practically feasible to realize the scientific analysis of security risk for the information system. 展开更多
关键词 distance of information-state transition(DIT) deviation distance information asset risk analysis
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