Nomogram for predicting pathological complete response and tumor downstaging in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer on the basis of a randomized clinical trial

Background:Preoperative fluoropyrimidine with radiotherapy was regarded as the standard of care for locally advanced rectal cancer(LARC).The model for predicting pCR in LARC patients was based on standard treatment only.This study aimed to establish a nomogramwith pretherapeutic parameters and different neoadjuvant regimens for predicting pathologic complete response(pCR)and tumor downstaging or good response(ypT0-2N0M0)after receiving neoadjuvant treatment in patients with LARC based on a randomized clinical trial.Methods:Between January 2011 and February 2015,309 patients with rectal cancer were enrolled from a prospective randomized study(NCT01211210).All pretreatment clinical parameters were collected to build a nomogram for predicting pCR and tumor downstaging.The model was subjected to bootstrap internal validation.The predictive performance of the model was assessed with concordance index(C-index)and calibration plots.Results:Of the 309 patients,53(17.2%)achieved pCR and 132(42.7%)patients were classified as tumor downstaging with ypT0-2N0M0.Based on the logistic-regression analysis and clinical consideration,tumor length(P=0.005),tumor circumferential extent(P=0.036),distance from the anal verge(P=0.019),and neoadjuvant treatment regimen(P<0.001)showed independent association with pCR following neoadjuvant treatment.The tumor length(P=0.015),tumor circumferential extent(P=0.001),distance from the anal verge(P=0.032),clinical T category(P=0.012),and neoadjuvant treatment regimen(P=0.001)were significantly associated with good tumor downstaging(ypT0-2N0M0).Nomograms were developed to predict the probability of pCR and tumor downstaging with a C-index of 0.802(95%confidential interval[CI],0.736-0.867)and 0.730(95%CI,0.672-0.784).Internal validation revealed good performance of the calibration plots.Conclusions:The nomogramprovided individual prediction responses to different preoperative treatment for patients with rectal cancer.This model might help physicians in selecting an optimized treatment,but warrants further external validation.

Retrospective research of neoadjuvant therapy on tumordownstaging,post-operative complications,and prognosis in locally advanced rectal cancer

BACKGROUND Neoadjuvant therapy(NAT)is becoming increasingly important in locally advanced rectal cancer.Hence,such research has become a problem.AIM To evaluate the downstaging effect of NAT,its impact on postoperative complications and its prognosis with different medical regimens.METHODS Seventy-seven cases from Shanghai Ruijin Hospital affiliated with Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine were retrospectively collected and divided into the neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy(NRCT)group and the neoadjuvant chemotherapy(NCT)group.The differences between the two groups in tumor regression,postoperative complications,rectal function,disease-free survival,and overall survival were compared using theχ2 test and Kaplan-Meier analysis.RESULTS Baseline data showed no statistical differences between the two groups,whereas the NRCT group had a higher rate of T4(30/55 vs 5/22,P<0.05)than the NCT groups.Twelve cases were evaluated as complete responders,and 15 cases were evaluated as tumor regression grade 0.Except for the reduction rate of T stage(NRCT 37/55 vs NCT 9/22,P<0.05),there was no difference in effectiveness between the two groups.Preoperative radiation was not a risk factor for poor reaction or anastomotic leakage.No significant difference in postoperative complications and disease-free survival between the two groups was observed,although the NRCT group might have better long-term overall survival.CONCLUSION NAT can cause tumor downstaging preoperatively or even complete remission of the primary tumor.Radiochemotherapy could lead to better T downstaging and promising overall survival without more complications.

Neoadjuvant Therapy for Advanced Rectal Carcinoma in China:Whether Radiochemotherapy Is Superior to Radiotherapy?

Objective： To verify whether the 30 Gy preoperative radiotherapy regimen is effective to advanced rectal cancer, and whether the preoperative chemoradiation offers an advantage in sphincter preservation and tumor control compared with irradiation alone. Methods： A total of 141 patients administered neoadjuvant treatment with resectable lower rectal carcinoma from 2002 to 2006 were collected retrospectively. The patients were divided into two groups： preoperative radiotherapy alone （30Gy by 10 fractions） （PRT group） and preoperative chemoradiotherapy （PCRT group）. All patients underwent radical surgery after neoadjuvant treatment. Results： The overall sphincter-preservation rate was 68.8% （97/141）, with no significant difference between the two groups. The overall downstaging rate was 48.2% （68/141）, including 4 patients completely response （2.8%）. The T and N downstaging rate were 30.5% （43/141） and 53.8% （57/106） respectively, showing no statistically difference between the two groups. The 2-year overall survival rate was 93.6%; no survival benefit were observed in PCRT group. The 2-year cumulative local recurrence rates were similar as well （4.2% vs 6.7%, P=0.63）. Two patients with severe marrow suppression higher than grade 3 and 1 patient with severe perineum ulcer was observed in PCRT group, which did not occur in PRT group. Conclusion： The preoperative adjuvant treatment of 30Gy radiotherapy alone may be an optional treatment for Chinese lower rectal carcinoma. Preoperative chemoradiotherapy does not show actual superiority compared with radiotherapy alone.

Effect of resection following downstaging of unresectable hepatocelluar carcinoma by transcatheter arterial chemoembolization

Background This retrospective study was undertaken to analyze the outcome of hepatic resection in fifty-two patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma （HCC） between January 2004 and December 2008.Methods Among these fifty-two patients,the mean diameter of the tumor was 7.9 cm （4.4-15.5 cm,median 8.5 cm） prior to the first transcatheter arterial chemoembolization （TACE）.After 1-6 times of TACE （median 2）,the median tumor diameter was reduced to 4.2 cm （0-8.4 cm） prior to resection.The duration between the last TACE treatment and sequential resection varied from one to six months （median 2.7 months）.Serum α-fetoprotein （AFP） levels were abnormal in thirty-eight out of the fifty-two patients.In AFP producing HCCs,AFP levels returned to normal （≤400 μg/L） in twenty-five out of thirty-eight patients.Hepatic segmentectomy,multiple hepatic segmentectomy or partial hepatic resection were performed in forty-five patients,two underwent extended left hemihepatectomy,and one underwent right posterior branch portal vein thrombectomy.One patient received a right hemihepatectomy and three had left hemihepatectomies.Results Complete tumor radiological response （CR） occurred in five patients （9.6%）.There were three cases of perioperative mortality in the fifty-two patients （5.8%）.One patient underwent salvaged orthotopic liver transplantation,and twenty-one patients observed tumor recurrence within two years.The 1-,3- and 5-year survival rates of the fifty-two patients were 77.0% （n=40）,55.0% （n=29）,and 52.0% （n=28）,respectively.The median survival time after surgery was 49 months （95% confidence interval 7.5-52.7 months）.Conclusions TACE treatment provides a better chance for HCC resection in patients initially diagnosed with unresectable HCC.Furthermore,liver resection should be performed once the tumor is downstaged to be compatible for successful resection