期刊文献+
共找到2篇文章
< 1 >
每页显示 20 50 100
我国地震人员损失评估经验概率模型
1
作者 吴阳 谢贤鑫 +1 位作者 余世舟 张令心 《自然灾害学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2023年第1期29-37,共9页
对地震人员伤亡的准确预测是震后救灾资源调度和救援人员分配的重要依据。基于PAGER系统中的双参数累积对数正态分布模型,分别讨论了3种建立我国地震人员损失预测模型的方法,并通过历史地震的受灾情况对其预测效果进行验证。其中,直接采... 对地震人员伤亡的准确预测是震后救灾资源调度和救援人员分配的重要依据。基于PAGER系统中的双参数累积对数正态分布模型,分别讨论了3种建立我国地震人员损失预测模型的方法,并通过历史地震的受灾情况对其预测效果进行验证。其中,直接采用PAGER系统中提供的我国参数和以极震区烈度为变量建立的预测模型的准确性均不理想。考虑到多数震害调查资料中各烈度区受灾数据的缺失,选取数据较为详实的2008年四川汶川8.0级地震,根据已知受地震影响的25个市县的人员损失总数,综合考虑烈度区面积、人口数和烈度对地震人员损失数的影响,将每个市县的人员损失总数进行分配,最终得到不同烈度区的人员死亡率和受灾人数,回归得到模型参数后,建立我国地震人员损失评估经验概率模型。经验证分析,该模型预测结果与震例结果十分接近,远好于前2种方法得到的预测模型。同时,该模型的残差频率的正态性较好,根据预测结果建议的地震应急响应级别均与震例的实际情况相符。 展开更多
关键词 地震人员损失 预测模型 地震烈度 双参数累积对数正态分布函数 经验回归
下载PDF
Seismic loss assessment of RC high-rise buildings designed according to Eurocode 8
2
作者 Jelena Pejovic Nina Serdar 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 SCIE EI CSCD 2023年第3期807-824,共18页
A probabilistic seismic loss assessment of RC high-rise(RCHR)buildings designed according to Eurocode 8 and located in the Southern Euro-Mediterranean zone is presented herein.The loss assessment methodology is based ... A probabilistic seismic loss assessment of RC high-rise(RCHR)buildings designed according to Eurocode 8 and located in the Southern Euro-Mediterranean zone is presented herein.The loss assessment methodology is based on a comprehensive simulation approach which takes into account ground motion(GM)uncertainty,and the random effects in seismic demand,as well as in predicting the damage states(DSs).The methodology is implemented on three RCHR buildings of 20-story,30-story and 40-story with a core wall structural system.The loss functions described by a cumulative lognormal probability distribution are obtained for two intensity levels for a large set of simulations(NLTHAs)based on 60 GM records with a wide range of magnitude(M),distance to source(R)and different site soil conditions(SS).The losses expressed in percent of building replacement cost for RCHR buildings are obtained.In the estimation of losses,both structural(S)and nonstructural(NS)damage for four DSs are considered.The effect of different GM characteristics(M,R and SS)on the obtained losses are investigated.Finally,the estimated performance of the RCHR buildings are checked to ensure that they fulfill limit state requirements according to Eurocode 8. 展开更多
关键词 RC high-rise buildings seismic loss assessment loss functions nonlinear time-history analysis(NLTHA) cumulative lognormal probability distribution random effects Eurocode 8
下载PDF
上一页 1 下一页 到第
使用帮助 返回顶部