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Characteristics of high-sulfate wastewater treatment by two-phase anaerobic digestion process with Jet-loop anaerobic fluidized bed 被引量:24
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作者 WEI Chao-hai, WANG Wen-xiang, DENG Zhi-yi, WU Chao-fei School of Environmental Science and Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510640, China. 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2007年第3期264-270,共7页
A new anaerobic reactor, Jet-loop anaerobic fluidized bed (JLAFB), was designed for treating high-sulfate wastewater. The treatment characteristics, including the effect of influent COD/SO42 ratio and alkalinity and... A new anaerobic reactor, Jet-loop anaerobic fluidized bed (JLAFB), was designed for treating high-sulfate wastewater. The treatment characteristics, including the effect of influent COD/SO42 ratio and alkalinity and sulfide inhibition in reactors, were discussed for a JLAFB and a general anaerobic fiuidized bed (AFB) reactor used as sulfate-reducing phase and methane-producing phase, respectively, in two-phase anaerobic digestion process. The formation of granules in the two reactors was also examined. The results indicated that COD and sulfate removal had different demand of influent COD/SO4^2- ratios. When total COD removal was up to 85%, the ratio was only required up to 1.2, whereas, total sulfate removal up to 95% required it exceeding 3.0. The alkalinity in the two reactors increased linearly with the growth of influent alkalinity. Moreover, the change of influent alkalinity had no significant effect on pH and volatile fatty acids (VFA) in the two reactors. Influent alkalinity kept at 400-500 mg/L could meet the requirement of the treating process. The JLAFB reactor had great advantage in avoiding sulfide and free-H2S accumulation and toxicity inhibition on microorganisms. When sulfate loading rate was up to 8. 1 kg/(m^3.d), the sulfide and free-H2S concentrations in JLAFB reactor were 58.6 and 49.7 mg/L, respectively. Furthermore, the granules, with offwhite color, ellipse shape and diameters of 1.0-3.0 mm, could be developed in JLAFB reactor. In granules, different groups of bacteria were distributed in different layers, and some inorganic metal compounds such as Fe, Ca, Mg etc. were found. 展开更多
关键词 Jet-loop anaerobic fluidized bed reactor sulfate wastewater two-phase anaerobic digestion process granule sludge
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基于Wiener退化过程的动车组部件状态-机会维修模型分析与研究
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作者 皇甫兰兰 苏宏升 林俊亭 《铁道学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期36-44,共9页
针对动车组多部件存在运行维修成本高、欠维修或过维修的现象以及故障影响范围大等问题,提出一种基于Wiener退化过程的部件状态-机会维修优化模型。该模型利用Wiener过程描述部件在运行过程中的劣化程度,通过基于指数分布的随机几何过... 针对动车组多部件存在运行维修成本高、欠维修或过维修的现象以及故障影响范围大等问题,提出一种基于Wiener退化过程的部件状态-机会维修优化模型。该模型利用Wiener过程描述部件在运行过程中的劣化程度,通过基于指数分布的随机几何过程反映不完全维修后部件的劣化损伤,同时利用定期检测获取部件的实际劣化值。从随机过程和拓扑的角度,分析不同类型维修策略之间的区别与联系。结合单部件状态维修优化策略,求得各部件的最优状态阈值和维修检测周期。引入机会阈值与状态阈值的比值,结合部件退化过程与状态阈值、机会阈值之间的关系,推导部件状态、机会维修次数期望值的数学表达式,建立状态-机会维修策略模型,采用蒙特卡洛算法进行模拟,确定各部件的最佳机会阈值,达到优化维修费用率的目标。以某型号动车组牵引供电系统为例,通过仿真验证,表明采取状态-机会维修模型,可以有效减少停机次数,降低维修费用率。 展开更多
关键词 动车组 机会阈值 状态-机会维修 wiener退化过程 随机几何过程 蒙特卡洛算法
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基于Wiener过程的多阶段非线性复杂退化产品可靠性分析模型
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作者 周子韩 唐家银 《湖北大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2024年第3期433-444,共12页
为提高非线性退化轨迹拟合的精度,针对多阶段退化中的非线性规律建立Wiener过程模型,考虑变点的连续性与部件个体的差异性,给出基于非线性复杂退化的可靠性评估方法。结合幂律函数推导出非线性多阶段Wiener过程模型,得到模型参数的极大... 为提高非线性退化轨迹拟合的精度,针对多阶段退化中的非线性规律建立Wiener过程模型,考虑变点的连续性与部件个体的差异性,给出基于非线性复杂退化的可靠性评估方法。结合幂律函数推导出非线性多阶段Wiener过程模型,得到模型参数的极大似然估计量;通过最小均方误差原则给出变点以及幂参数的初值确定方法;根据SIC(schwarz information criterion)方法得到模型变点的精确值,并检验其准确性;结合不同部件之间的差异性,得到变点的连续分布;推导出非线性Wiener过程连续时段内的可靠度函数估计;利用本模型对高压脉冲电容器电容相对变化量的退化数据建模,与线性建模结果对比,验证多阶段Wiener过程模型在可靠性评估方面的有效性与可行性,估计结果更接近真实值。 展开更多
关键词 多阶段退化 wiener过程 变点识别 非线性退化 可靠性
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Digital image processing of saturation for two-phase flow in planar porous media model
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作者 Zhi DOU Zhi-fang ZHOU +1 位作者 Si WANG Yong HUANG 《Water Science and Engineering》 EI CAS 2012年第2期202-209,共8页
关键词 digital image processing saturation two-phase flow planar porous media model
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基于Wiener随机过程模型的橡胶老化性能预测及剩余寿命分析
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作者 张金奎 王学孔 王小四 《环境技术》 2024年第5期67-72,共6页
橡胶老化性能预测及寿命分析是橡胶工程应用中关键技术。开展了硅橡胶95℃、105℃、115℃、125℃不同温度加速老化试验,根据硅橡胶性能特点及其应用过程需要,选择硅橡胶永久压缩变形作为老化性能表征量。结合橡胶老化机理,分析了橡胶老... 橡胶老化性能预测及寿命分析是橡胶工程应用中关键技术。开展了硅橡胶95℃、105℃、115℃、125℃不同温度加速老化试验,根据硅橡胶性能特点及其应用过程需要,选择硅橡胶永久压缩变形作为老化性能表征量。结合橡胶老化机理,分析了橡胶老化性能随机特性,提出利用Wiener随机过程构建橡胶老化模型,进行了硅橡胶老化性能预测,给出了各试验点预测性能概率密度,分析结果表明预测误差最大10.15%。结合Wiener随机过程理论,开展了硅橡胶剩余寿命分析,对寿命分析方法进行了精度分析,计算分析结果表明寿命分析最大误差为11.76%,寿命分析方法可信,计算结果可靠。利用Arrhenius加速模型,给出了不同加速温度下硅橡胶寿命,计算得到常温25℃温度下,硅橡胶平均寿命为76年。 展开更多
关键词 wiener过程 橡胶老化性能 试验 寿命分析 温度
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基于Wiener过程的密封圈可靠性研究
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作者 杜冰 孙丽鹏 +4 位作者 张彭 崔海龙 刘凤华 董明鑫 赵长财 《塑性工程学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2023年第4期223-232,共10页
针对传统寿命试验方法评估液压缸可靠性出现的耗时长、费用高且无法满足实际需求等问题,基于性能退化的可靠性评估方法,通过性能退化随时间的变化规律对液压缸进行了寿命预测与可靠性评估。采用数值模拟手段判定了各个密封圈的安全性与... 针对传统寿命试验方法评估液压缸可靠性出现的耗时长、费用高且无法满足实际需求等问题,基于性能退化的可靠性评估方法,通过性能退化随时间的变化规律对液压缸进行了寿命预测与可靠性评估。采用数值模拟手段判定了各个密封圈的安全性与稳定性,利用Archard磨损模型得到了密封圈的磨损体积曲线。基于考虑随机效应的Wiener过程建立的密封圈可靠性模型,得到了首达时间失效定义下的寿命分布,确立了退化模型参数与可靠度之间的关系,并建立了液压缸密封圈的可靠度数学表达式。搭建了往复式试验平台,试验结果表明,基于Wiener过程的性能退化模型能够更好地描述密封圈的性能退化过程,与传统寿命试验方法相比,对密封圈性能退化的预测更为准确和有效。 展开更多
关键词 密封圈 性能退化 可靠性评估 wiener过程
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盐雾干湿循环作用下基于Wiener过程的钢筋混凝土劣化行为研究
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作者 冯琼 韩文文 +3 位作者 乔宏霞 田浩正 念腾飞 谢晓扬 《铁道科学与工程学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2023年第7期2616-2628,共13页
针对西部盐渍土地区钢筋混凝土结构病害严重问题,通过盐雾与烘干相结合的方法模拟该地区大气环境,对钢筋混凝土进行室内加速腐蚀劣化试验。设置未掺矿物掺合料(P组)、单掺30%粉煤灰(PF组)、单掺30%矿粉(PS组)及15%粉煤灰与15%矿粉复掺(... 针对西部盐渍土地区钢筋混凝土结构病害严重问题,通过盐雾与烘干相结合的方法模拟该地区大气环境,对钢筋混凝土进行室内加速腐蚀劣化试验。设置未掺矿物掺合料(P组)、单掺30%粉煤灰(PF组)、单掺30%矿粉(PS组)及15%粉煤灰与15%矿粉复掺(PFS组)4个配合比,采用混凝土相对动弹性模量(Er)和钢筋腐蚀电流密度(icorr)作为性能劣化指标,分别表征钢筋混凝土保护层及内部钢筋在盐雾干湿循环环境下的劣化规律及矿物掺合料掺量、种类对其劣化行为的影响作用。基于钢筋混凝土性能劣化规律研究结果,结合Wiener随机过程对其性能劣化全过程进行描述,并进行可靠性分析。研究结果表明:在盐雾干湿循环作用下,钢筋混凝土内部钢筋及外部混凝土保护层的耐腐蚀性呈现出先强化后劣化的变化趋势,活性矿物掺合料的掺入可以有效抑制其腐蚀劣化速度,其大小关系为:PS>PFS>PF>P;icorr增量与Er增量随时间的变化规律均服从正态分布,即Wiener随机过程可有效描述盐雾干湿循环作用下钢筋混凝土性能劣化全过程;P组可靠度在200 d左右接近于0,而PS组可靠度在400 d左右接近于0,与试验测试结果相吻合。研究结果可为西部盐渍土地区钢筋混凝土结构耐久性设计及低碳长效运维提供理论支撑。 展开更多
关键词 盐雾干湿循环 钢筋混凝土 性能劣化 wiener过程
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Functional sample path properties of subsequence's C-R increments for a Wiener process in Hlder norm 被引量:2
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作者 WEI Qi-cai 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2015年第2期217-226,共10页
In this paper, with the aid of large deviation formulas established in strong topology of functional space generated by HSlder norm, we discuss the functional sample path properties of subsequence's C-R increments fo... In this paper, with the aid of large deviation formulas established in strong topology of functional space generated by HSlder norm, we discuss the functional sample path properties of subsequence's C-R increments for a Wiener process in HSlder norm. The obtained results, generalize the corresponding results of Chen and the classic Strassen's law of iterated logarithm for a Wiener process. 展开更多
关键词 wiener process subsequence's C-R increments HSlder norm.
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A GENERAL FORM OF THE INCREMENTS OF A TWO-PARAMETER WIENER PROCESS 被引量:2
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作者 林正炎 陆传荣 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 1993年第1期54-63,共10页
In this paper, we consider a general form of the increments for a two-parameter Wiener process. Both the Csorgo-Revesz's increments and a class of the lag increments are the special cases of this general form of i... In this paper, we consider a general form of the increments for a two-parameter Wiener process. Both the Csorgo-Revesz's increments and a class of the lag increments are the special cases of this general form of increments. Our results imply the theorem that have been given by Csorgo and Revesz (1978), and some of their conditions are removed. 展开更多
关键词 Two-parameter wiener process Increments.
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Extended Wiener Process in Nonstandard Analysis 被引量:2
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作者 Shuya Kanagawa Kiyoyuki Tchizawa 《Applied Mathematics》 2020年第3期247-254,共8页
Standing on a different view point from Anderson, we prove that the extended Wiener process defined by Anderson satisfies the definition of the Wiener process in standard analysis, for example the Wiener process at ti... Standing on a different view point from Anderson, we prove that the extended Wiener process defined by Anderson satisfies the definition of the Wiener process in standard analysis, for example the Wiener process at time t obeys the normal distribution N(0,t) by showing the central limit theorem. The essential theory used in the proof is the extended convolution property in nonstandard analysis which is shown by Kanagawa, Nishiyama and Tchizawa (2018). When processing the extension by non-standardization, we have already pointed out that it is needed to proceed the second extension for the convolution, not only to do the first extension for the delta function. In Section 2, we shall introduce again the extended convolution as preliminaries described in our previous paper. In Section 3, we shall provide the extended stochastic process using a hyper number N, and it satisfies the conditions being Wiener process. In Section 4, we shall give a new proof for the non-differentiability in the Wiener process. 展开更多
关键词 wiener process Ito’s process Stochastic DIFFERENTIAL EQUATION S-Continuity NONSTANDARD Analysis
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基于Wiener过程的电机主绝缘材料寿命预测方法 被引量:1
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作者 李贵衡 张健 +3 位作者 黄少坡 项石虎 牛峰 方攸同 《电机与控制学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2023年第11期40-47,57,共9页
主绝缘性能是电机可靠性评估的重要指标之一,对电机主绝缘材料进行寿命预测具有重要意义。本文对高性能电机主绝缘材料6050聚酰亚胺薄膜进行恒定温度应力加速退化试验,得到不同温度应力下电机主绝缘材料的三种指标参数。选取线性的最大... 主绝缘性能是电机可靠性评估的重要指标之一,对电机主绝缘材料进行寿命预测具有重要意义。本文对高性能电机主绝缘材料6050聚酰亚胺薄膜进行恒定温度应力加速退化试验,得到不同温度应力下电机主绝缘材料的三种指标参数。选取线性的最大局部放电量为退化特征量,并建立基于Wiener过程的电机主绝缘材料退化模型。利用极大似然估计法对Wiener过程中的未知参数进行估计,得到不同温度应力下电机主绝缘材料寿命的概率密度曲线与可靠度曲线。利用加速应力下的Wiener过程参数和加速退化试验数据建立阿伦尼斯模型,进而外推出正常温度应力下电机主绝缘材料的伪失效寿命。本文为不同温度下电机主绝缘材料的寿命预测和高效运维提供了理论指导,为电机系统的可靠性提升提供支撑。 展开更多
关键词 电机绝缘 寿命预测 加速退化 wiener过程 Arrhenius模型
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A GENERAL FORM OF THE INCREMENTS OF TWO-PARAMETER FRACTIONAL WIENER PROCESS 被引量:1
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作者 Lu Chuanrong 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2005年第3期331-337,共7页
A general form of the increments of two-parameter fractional Wiener process is given. The results of Csoergo-Révész increments are a special case,and it also implies the results of the increments of the two-... A general form of the increments of two-parameter fractional Wiener process is given. The results of Csoergo-Révész increments are a special case,and it also implies the results of the increments of the two-parameter Wiener process. 展开更多
关键词 fractional wiener process general form of increment.
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Residual life estimation based on bivariate Wiener degradation process with measurement errors 被引量:12
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作者 王小林 郭波 +1 位作者 程志君 蒋平 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第7期1844-1851,共8页
An adaptive method of residual life estimation for deteriorated products with two performance characteristics (PCs) was proposed, which was sharply different from existing work that only utilized one-dimensional degra... An adaptive method of residual life estimation for deteriorated products with two performance characteristics (PCs) was proposed, which was sharply different from existing work that only utilized one-dimensional degradation data. Once new degradation information was available, the residual life of the product being monitored could be estimated in an adaptive manner. Here, it was assumed that the degradation of each PC over time was governed by a Wiener degradation process and the dependency between them was characterized by the Frank copula function. A bivariate Wiener process model with measurement errors was used to model the degradation measurements. A two-stage method and the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method were combined to estimate the unknown parameters in sequence. Results from a numerical example about fatigue cracks show that the proposed method is valid as the relative error is small. 展开更多
关键词 剩余寿命估算 降解过程 测量误差 维纳 二元 寿命估算方法 马尔可夫链 性能特点
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Remaining useful life estimation based on Wiener degradation processes with random failure threshold 被引量:15
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作者 唐圣金 于传强 +3 位作者 冯永保 谢建 高钦和 司小胜 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第9期2230-2241,共12页
Remaining useful life(RUL) estimation based on condition monitoring data is central to condition based maintenance(CBM). In the current methods about the Wiener process based RUL estimation, the randomness of the fail... Remaining useful life(RUL) estimation based on condition monitoring data is central to condition based maintenance(CBM). In the current methods about the Wiener process based RUL estimation, the randomness of the failure threshold has not been studied thoroughly. In this work, by using the truncated normal distribution to model random failure threshold(RFT), an analytical and closed-form RUL distribution based on the current observed data was derived considering the posterior distribution of the drift parameter. Then, the Bayesian method was used to update the prior estimation of failure threshold. To solve the uncertainty of the censored in situ data of failure threshold, the expectation maximization(EM) algorithm is used to calculate the posteriori estimation of failure threshold. Numerical examples show that considering the randomness of the failure threshold and updating the prior information of RFT could improve the accuracy of real time RUL estimation. 展开更多
关键词 剩余使用寿命 失效阈值 寿命估计 随机性 退化过程 wiener过程 维纳 状态监测
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Real time remaining useful life prediction based on nonlinear Wiener based degradation processes with measurement errors 被引量:22
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作者 唐圣金 郭晓松 +3 位作者 于传强 周志杰 周召发 张邦成 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第12期4509-4517,共9页
Real time remaining useful life(RUL) prediction based on condition monitoring is an essential part in condition based maintenance(CBM). In the current methods about the real time RUL prediction of the nonlinear degrad... Real time remaining useful life(RUL) prediction based on condition monitoring is an essential part in condition based maintenance(CBM). In the current methods about the real time RUL prediction of the nonlinear degradation process, the measurement error is not considered and forecasting uncertainty is large. Therefore, an approximate analytical RUL distribution in a closed-form of a nonlinear Wiener based degradation process with measurement errors was proposed. The maximum likelihood estimation approach was used to estimate the unknown fixed parameters in the proposed model. When the newly observed data are available, the random parameter is updated by the Bayesian method to make the estimation adapt to the item's individual characteristic and reduce the uncertainty of the estimation. The simulation results show that considering measurement errors in the degradation process can significantly improve the accuracy of real time RUL prediction. 展开更多
关键词 使用寿命预测 剩余使用寿命 降解过程 测量误差 非线性 实时 维纳 估计方法
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基于Wiener过程的城市轨道交通车辆轮对可靠性评估 被引量:1
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作者 刘晓宇 齐金平 +1 位作者 薛康 刘一鸣 《铁路计算机应用》 2023年第4期1-6,共6页
为探究城市轨道交通(简称:城轨)车辆轮对的轮径值退化规律,有效评估轮对可靠性,提出基于Wiener过程的城轨车辆轮对可靠性评估方法。选取轮径值作为性能退化指标,建立基于Wiener过程的城轨车辆轮对退化模型。通过计算轮对剩余寿命,选择... 为探究城市轨道交通(简称:城轨)车辆轮对的轮径值退化规律,有效评估轮对可靠性,提出基于Wiener过程的城轨车辆轮对可靠性评估方法。选取轮径值作为性能退化指标,建立基于Wiener过程的城轨车辆轮对退化模型。通过计算轮对剩余寿命,选择精度最高的退化模型进行可靠性评估。针对退化模型参数后验分布计算公式较为复杂的问题,采用马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛(MCMC,Markov Chain Monte Carlo)方法进行求解。基于广州地铁8号线列车轮对实测数据进行实例验证,结果表明,城轨车辆应保证轮对可靠度不低于0.9,且在镟修后运行至27.51万km时,应检查轮对退化情况,以保障车辆的运行安全。 展开更多
关键词 城市轨道交通 wiener过程 退化模型 可靠性评估 马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛(MCMC)方法
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Rolling Bearing Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on Wiener Process 被引量:1
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作者 Wentao Zhao Chao Zhang +2 位作者 Shuai Wang Da Lv Oscar García Peyrano 《Journal of Dynamics, Monitoring and Diagnostics》 2022年第4期229-236,共8页
Rolling bearing is the key part of mechanical system.Accurate prediction of bearing life can reduce maintenance costs,improve availability,and prevent catastrophic consequences,aiming at solving the problem of the non... Rolling bearing is the key part of mechanical system.Accurate prediction of bearing life can reduce maintenance costs,improve availability,and prevent catastrophic consequences,aiming at solving the problem of the nonlinear,random and small sample problems faced by rolling bearings in actual operating conditions.In this work,the nonlinearWiener process with random effect and unbiased estimation of unknown parameters is used to predict the remaining useful life of rolling bearings.Firstly,random effects and nonlinear parameters are added to the traditional Wiener process,and a parameter unbiased estimation method is used to estimate the positional parameters of the constructed Wiener model.Finally,the model is validated using a common set of bearing datasets.Experimental results show that compared with the traditional maximum likelihood function estimation method,the parameter unbiased estimation method can effectively improve the accuracy and stability of the parameter estimation results.The model has a good fitting effect,which can accurately predict the remaining useful life of rolling bearing. 展开更多
关键词 parameter estimation remaining useful life rolling bearing wiener process
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DIFFERENCE SCHEME FOR TWO-PHASE FLOW
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作者 李强 封建湖 +1 位作者 蔡体敏 胡春波 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 SCIE EI 2004年第5期536-545,共10页
A numerical method for two-phase flow with hydrodynamics behavior was considered. The nonconservative hyperbolic governing equations proposed by Saurel and Gallout were adopted. Dissipative effects were neglected but ... A numerical method for two-phase flow with hydrodynamics behavior was considered. The nonconservative hyperbolic governing equations proposed by Saurel and Gallout were adopted. Dissipative effects were neglected but they could be included in the model without major difficulties. Based on the opinion proposed by Abgrall that “a two phase system, uniform in velocity and pressure at t=0 will be uniform on the same variable during its temporal evolution", a simple accurate and fully Eulerian numerical method was presented for the simulation of multiphase compressible flows in hydrodynamic regime. The numerical method relies on Godunov-type scheme, with HLLC and Lax-Friedrichs type approximate Riemann solvers for the resolution of conservation equations, and nonconservative equation. Speed relaxation and pressure relaxation processes were introduced to account for the interaction between the phases. Test problem was presented in one space dimension which illustrated that our scheme is accurate, stable and oscillation free. 展开更多
关键词 compressible two-phase flow relaxation process approximate Riemann solver
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WEAK STOCHASTIC INTEGRALS WITH RESPECT TO THE WIENER D'-PROCESSES
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作者 吴奖伦 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 1993年第1期89-98,共10页
Assume that D is a nuclear space and D' its strong topological dual space. Let {B_t}t∈(0,∞) be a Wiener D'-process. In this paper, the real-valued and D'-valued weak stochastic integral with respect to {... Assume that D is a nuclear space and D' its strong topological dual space. Let {B_t}t∈(0,∞) be a Wiener D'-process. In this paper, the real-valued and D'-valued weak stochastic integral with respect to {B_t} are established.AMS Subject Classification. 60H05. 展开更多
关键词 processES WEAK STOCHASTIC INTEGRALS WITH RESPECT TO THE wiener D ONB
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基于核函数-Wiener过程的轧辊非线性退化建模与剩余寿命预测
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作者 王汉禹 陈震 +2 位作者 周笛 陈兆祥 潘尔顺 《上海交通大学学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2023年第8期1037-1045,共9页
在轧钢生产过程中,由于磨损等原因,长时间复杂工况运行下的轧辊工作性能会呈现逐步衰退的特征.考虑轧辊工作环境具有工况复杂、随机干扰强等特点,提出基于核函数-Wiener过程(KWP)退化模型,使用Wiener过程刻画轧辊退化趋势的强随机性特征... 在轧钢生产过程中,由于磨损等原因,长时间复杂工况运行下的轧辊工作性能会呈现逐步衰退的特征.考虑轧辊工作环境具有工况复杂、随机干扰强等特点,提出基于核函数-Wiener过程(KWP)退化模型,使用Wiener过程刻画轧辊退化趋势的强随机性特征,引入核函数捕捉轧辊的非线性退化路径,推导贝叶斯框架下参数估计的解析表达式,并构造轧辊可工作转动量的健康指标,进一步预测轧辊剩余寿命(RUL).结合某钢铁公司1580热轧生产线现场数据,所构建模型拟合优度达到0.989,剩余寿命预测误差低于4.7%,相较常见机器学习算法取得了更好效果,有助于提高设备运转效率与安全性并实现视情维护. 展开更多
关键词 轧辊 性能退化 非线性建模 核函数 wiener过程 剩余寿命预测
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