Multi-attribute group decision making method under 2-dimension uncertain linguistic variables

A method is proposed to deal with the uncertain multiple attribute group decision making problems,where 2-dimension uncertain linguistic variables(2DULVs)are used as the reliable way for the experts to express their fuzzy subjective evaluation information.Firstly,in order to measure the 2DULVs more accurately,a new method is proposed to compare two 2DULVs,called a score function,while a new function is defined to measure the distance between two 2DULVs.Secondly,two optimization models are established to determine the weight of experts and attributes based on the new distance formula and a weighted average operator is used to determine the comprehensive evaluation value of each alternative.Then,a score function is used to determine the ranking of the alternatives.Finally,the effectiveness of the proposed method is proved by an illustrated example.

Semi entropy of uncertain random variables and its application to portfolio selection

Semi entropy is a measure to characterize the indeterminacy of the uncertain random variable considering the values of the uncertain random variable which are lower than the mean.As important roles of semi entropy in finance,this paper presents the concept of semi entropy for uncertain random variables.In order to compute semi entropy for uncertain random variables,Monte-Carlo approach is provided.As an application of semi entropy,portfolio selection problems are optimized based on mean-semi entropy mode.

Multi-attribute decision-making approach dealing with uncertain linguistic assessment information

An approach is presented to deal with a multi-attribute decision-making problem in which the attribute weights are unknown and the attribute values take the form of uncertain linguistic variables. First, a linguistic assessment standard is set up to deal with the uncertain linguistic attributes, and the operation laws of uncertain linguistic variables and the uncertain linguistic weighting average(ULWA)operator are introduced. Then a ranking formula of uncertain linguistic variables based on expectation-variance is proposed. As for the case without weight information, a goal program based on a warp function is constructed to determine the attribute weights, and the ULWA operator is utilized to aggregate the assessment information of uncertain linguistic variables, and the corresponding alternatives are ranked by a formula based on expectation-variance. Finally, a numerical example is given, and the results demonstrate that it is much easier and faster for the ranking method based on expectation-variance when compared to the existing methods.

Convergence in Distribution for Uncertain Random Sequences with Dependent Random Variables

Random variables and uncertain variables are respectively used to model randomness and uncertainty. While randomness and uncertainty always coexist in a same complex system. As an evolution of random variables and uncertain variables, uncertain random variable is introduced as a tool to deal with complex phenomena including randomness and uncertainty simultaneously. For uncertain random variables, a basic and important topic is to discuss the convergence of its sequence.Specifically, this paper focuses on studying the convergence in distribution for a sequence of uncertain random sequences with different chance distributions where random variables are not independent.And the result of this paper is a generalization of the existing literature. Relations among convergence theorems are studied. Furthermore, the theorems are explained by several examples.

A new structural reliability index based on uncertainty theory

The classical probabilistic reliability theory and fuzzy reliability theory cannot directly measure the uncertainty of structural reliability with uncertain variables, i.e., subjective random and fuzzy variables. In order to simultaneously satisfy the duality of randomness and subadditivity of fuzziness in the reliability problem, a new quantification method for the reliability of structures is presented based on uncertainty theory, and an uncertainty-theory-based perspective of classical Cornell reliability index is explored. In this paper, by introducing the uncertainty theory, we adopt the uncertain measure to quantify the reliability of structures for the subjective probability or fuzzy variables, instead of probabilistic and possibilistic measures. We utilize uncertain variables to uniformly represent the subjective random and fuzzy parameters, based on which we derive solutions to analyze the uncertainty reliability of structures with uncertainty distributions. Moreover, we propose the Cornell uncertainty reliability index based on the uncertain expected value and variance.Experimental results on three numerical applications demonstrate the validity of the proposed method.

A Novel Dependent Aggregation Approach for Intuitionistic Uncertain Linguistic Multiple Attribute Group Decision Making

The multiple attribute group decision making problem in which the input arguments take the form of intuitionistic uncertain linguistic information is studied in the paper.Based on the operational principles of intuitionistic uncertain linguistic variables and the concept of the expected value and accuracy function,some new dependent aggregation operators with intuitionistic uncertain linguistic information including the dependent intuitionistic uncertain linguistic ordered weighted average(DIULOWA)operator,the dependent intuitionistic uncertain linguistic ordered weighted geometric(DIULOWG)operator,the generalized dependent intuitionistic uncertain linguistic ordered weighted aggregation(GDIULOWA)operator and so on are developed,in which the associated weights only depend on the aggregated arguments.Also,we study some desirable properties of the aggregation operators.Moreover,the approach of multiple attribute group decision making with intuitionistic uncertain linguistic information based on the developed operators is proposed.Finally,an illustrative numerical example is given to show the practicality and effectiveness of the proposed approaches.