The cone is widely used in mechanical design for rotation, centering and fixing. Whether the conicity error can be measured and evaluated accurately will directly influence its assembly accuracy and working performanc...The cone is widely used in mechanical design for rotation, centering and fixing. Whether the conicity error can be measured and evaluated accurately will directly influence its assembly accuracy and working performance. According to the new generation geometrical product specification(GPS), the error and its measurement uncertainty should be evaluated together. The mathematical model of the minimum zone conicity error is established and an improved immune evolutionary algorithm(IlEA) is proposed to search for the conicity error. In the IIEA, initial antibodies are firstly generated by using quasi-random sequences and two kinds of affinities are calculated. Then, each antibody clone is generated and they are self-adaptively mutated so as to maintain diversity. Similar antibody is suppressed and new random antibody is generated. Because the mathematical model of conicity error is strongly nonlinear and the input quantities are not independent, it is difficult to use Guide to the expression of uncertainty in the measurement(GUM) method to evaluate measurement uncertainty. Adaptive Monte Carlo method(AMCM) is proposed to estimate measurement uncertainty in which the number of Monte Carlo trials is selected adaptively and the quality of the numerical results is directly controlled. The cone parts was machined on lathe CK6140 and measured on Miracle NC 454 Coordinate Measuring Machine(CMM). The experiment results confirm that the proposed method not only can search for the approximate solution of the minimum zone conicity error(MZCE) rapidly and precisely, but also can evaluate measurement uncertainty and give control variables with an expected numerical tolerance. The conicity errors computed by the proposed method are 20%-40% less than those computed by NC454 CMM software and the evaluation accuracy improves significantly.展开更多
The paper, after the introduction, briefly outlines the principles of both absolute and relative GPS positioning. It deals with factors and error resources affecting the accuracy of these surveying procedures. It revi...The paper, after the introduction, briefly outlines the principles of both absolute and relative GPS positioning. It deals with factors and error resources affecting the accuracy of these surveying procedures. It reviews the geodetic determination of a reference point and a base line used for the test measurements. The study describes the completed test measurements, and on the basis of results, it draws the conclusions for the accuracy of the investigated surveying methods. Finally, considering these accuracy measures, their possible application in mine surveying is also mentioned very shortly.展开更多
Glaciers from the West side of the Royal Andes are an important source of fresh water for some of the most important Bolivian cities like El Alto. Temperature is an important datum for hydrological modelling and for g...Glaciers from the West side of the Royal Andes are an important source of fresh water for some of the most important Bolivian cities like El Alto. Temperature is an important datum for hydrological modelling and for glacier melt estimation. All temperature measurement devices have some degree of uncertainty due to systematic errors;thus, any temperature measurement has some errors. It is important to estimate the influence of such errors on the results from hydrological models and the estimation of melt water. The present study estimates the melt water contribution from the glaciers Tuni and Huayna West as a source of water supply for human consumption of El Alto considering the errors from temperature measurements. The hydrologic response of the basins was simulated with a hydrologic model. The glacier melt contribution was estimated as the difference between the discharge from the current scenario (with glaciers) and the discharge from a scenario without glaciers. Several volumes of melt water were estimated considering the temperature measurement and its possible errors. The uncertainty of such melt water volume was addressed by performing a Monte Carlo analysis of the possible melt water. The melt water contribution from glacier Tuni and Huayna West during the hydrologic year 2011-2012 was between 1.37 × 106 m3 and 1.72 × 106 m3. Such water volume is enough to meet the yearly water demand of between 6.81% and 8.55% of El Alto.展开更多
Error sources which decrease the accuracy of GPS in absolute velocity determination have been changed since SA was turned off. Firstly, quantities of all kinds of error sources that influence velocity deter-mination a...Error sources which decrease the accuracy of GPS in absolute velocity determination have been changed since SA was turned off. Firstly, quantities of all kinds of error sources that influence velocity deter-mination are analyzed. The potential accuracy of GPS absolute velocity determination is derived from both theory and field GPS data simulation. After that, two tests were carried out to evaluate the performance of GPS absolute velocity determination in the case of a static and an airborne GPS receiver and INS (Inertial Navigation System) instrument in kinematic mode. In static mode, the receiver velocity has been estimated to be several mm/s with the carrier-phase derived Doppler measurements, and several cm/s with the receiver generated Doppler measurements. In kinematic mode, GPS absolute velocity estimates are compared with the synchronized measurements from the high accuracy INS. The root mean square statistics of the velocity discrepancies between GPS and INS come up to dm/s. Moreover, it has a strong correlation with the accel-eration or jerk of the aircraft.展开更多
Accurate and reliable information about the temperature of the synchronous generators excitation winding hot spot is necessary to determine the dynamic limit caused by excitation winding overheating in the PQ diagram....Accurate and reliable information about the temperature of the synchronous generators excitation winding hot spot is necessary to determine the dynamic limit caused by excitation winding overheating in the PQ diagram. For good estimation of a position and the hot spot temperature it is decided to mount 19 temperature probes on one pole of the 6-pole, 400 kVA. 50 llz synchronous generator. Due to a large number of the probes and because the probes should be glued with the metal epoxy it was assumed that mounting of the probes will disrupt the temperature field of the excitation winding. To get the answer to this question the excitation winding resistance was measured betbre and after mounting the probes, in a hot and a cold state. Temperature rise can be estimated if the resistance ratio in the hot and the cold state is known. The paper also addresses the analysis of the measurement accuracy. The result shows that, there is no significant influence on the temperature when mounting the 19 temperature probes which covered 10% of the pole excitation winding surface.展开更多
A mirror milling system(MMS)comprises two face-to-face five-axis machine tools,one for the cutting spindle and the other for the support tool.Since it is essential to maintain the cutter and support coaxial during the...A mirror milling system(MMS)comprises two face-to-face five-axis machine tools,one for the cutting spindle and the other for the support tool.Since it is essential to maintain the cutter and support coaxial during the cutting process,synchronous motion accuracy is the key index of the MMS.This paper proposed a novel method for measuring and estimating the synchronous motion accuracy of the dual five-axis machine tools.The method simultaneously detects errors in the tool center point(TCP)and tool axis direction(TAD)during synchronous motion.To implement the suggested method,a measurement device,with five high-precision displacement sensors was developed.A kinematic model was then developed to estimate the synchronous motion accuracy from the displacement sensor output.The screw theory was used to obtain the analytical expression of the inverse kinematic model,and the synchronous motion error was compensated and adjusted based on the inverse kinematic model of the dual five-axis machine tools.TCP and TAD quasi-static errors,such as geometric and backlash errors,were first compensated.By adjusting the servo parameters,the dynamic TCP and TAD errors,such as gain mismatch and reversal spike,were also reduced.The proposed method and device were tested in a large MMS,and the measured quasi-static and dynamic errors were all reduced when the compensation and adjustment method was used.Monte Carlo simulations were also used to estimate the uncertainty of the proposed scheme.展开更多
Aims Accurate forecast of ecosystem states is critical for improving natural resourcemanagement and climate change mitigation.Assimilating observed data into models is an effective way to reduce uncertainties in ecolo...Aims Accurate forecast of ecosystem states is critical for improving natural resourcemanagement and climate change mitigation.Assimilating observed data into models is an effective way to reduce uncertainties in ecological forecasting.However,influences ofmeasurement errors on parameter estimation and forecasted state changes have not been carefully examined.This study analyzed the parameter identifiability of a process-based ecosystem carbon cycle model,the sensitivity of parameter estimates and model forecasts to the magnitudes of measurement errors and the information contributions of the assimilated data to model forecasts with a data assimilation approach.Methods We applied a Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to assimilate eight biometric data sets into the Terrestrial ECOsystemmodel.The data were the observations of foliage biomass,wood biomass,fine root biomass,microbial biomass,litter fall,litter,soil carbon and soil respiration,collected at the Duke Forest free-air CO_(2)enrichment facilities from 1996 to 2005.Three levels ofmeasurement errorswere assigned to these data sets by halving and doubling their original standard deviations.Important Findings Results showed that only less than half of the 30 parameters could be constrained,though the observations were extensive and themodelwas relatively simple.Highermeasurement errors led to higher uncertainties in parameters estimates and forecasted carbon(C)pool sizes.The longterm predictions of the slow turnover pools were affected less by the measurement errors than those of fast turnover pools.Assimilated data contributed less information for the pools with long residence times in long-term forecasts.These results indicate the residence times of C pools played a key role in regulating propagation of errors from measurements to model forecasts in a data assimilation system.Improving the estimation of parameters of slowturnover C pools is the key to better forecast long-term ecosystem C dynamics.展开更多
An aided Inertial Navigation System(INS)is increasingly exploited in precise engineering surveying,such as railway track irregularity measurement,where a high relative measurement accuracy rather than absolute accurac...An aided Inertial Navigation System(INS)is increasingly exploited in precise engineering surveying,such as railway track irregularity measurement,where a high relative measurement accuracy rather than absolute accuracy is emphasized.However,how to evaluate the relative measurement accuracy of the aided INS has rarely been studied.We address this problem with a semi-analytical method to analyze the relative measurement error propagation of the Global Navigation Satellite System(GNSS)and INS integrated system,specifically for the railway track irregularity measurement application.The GNSS/INS integration in this application is simplified as a linear time-invariant stochastic system driven only by white Gaussian noise,and an analytical solution for the navigation errors in the Laplace domain is obtained by analyzing the resulting steady-state Kalman filter.Then,a time series of the error is obtained through a subsequent Monte Carlo simulation based on the derived error propagation model.The proposed analysis method is then validated through data simulation and field tests.The results indicate that a 1 mm accuracy in measuring the track irregularity is achievable for the GNSS/INS integrated system.Meanwhile,the influences of the dominant inertial sensor errors on the final measurement accuracy are analyzed quantitatively and discussed comprehensively.展开更多
In order to solve the lack of relevant evaluation research on the accuracy of HMP155A humidity sensor calibration results in the past, this paper designs the corresponding experimental scheme, and obtains the correspo...In order to solve the lack of relevant evaluation research on the accuracy of HMP155A humidity sensor calibration results in the past, this paper designs the corresponding experimental scheme, and obtains the corresponding calibration results according to the experimental scheme;Then the measurement uncertainty of the indication error in the calibration results is evaluated by GUM, and the corresponding extended uncertainty </span><i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">U</span></i><sub><span style="font-family:Verdana;">95</span></sub><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> is obtained. Finally, according to the requirements of JJF1094-2016 characteristic evaluation of measuring instruments, combined with the calibration results and the actual situation of </span><i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">U</span></i><sub><span style="font-family:Verdana;">95</span></sub><span style="font-family:Verdana;">, the conformity of the indication error of calibration is determined. The result is that each calibration point of the sensor meets the requirements of conformity determination and is within the qualified range. This research effectively makes up for the blank of the previous research on the conformity determination of the indication error of the calibration results and has strong theoretical and practical significance.展开更多
This paper addresses the problem of accuracy characterization and measurement point planning for 3-D workpiece localization in the presence of part surface errors and measurement errors. Two frame-invariant functions ...This paper addresses the problem of accuracy characterization and measurement point planning for 3-D workpiece localization in the presence of part surface errors and measurement errors. Two frame-invariant functions of the infinitesimal rigid body displacement are defined to quantify the localization accuracy required by manufacturing processes. Then, two kinds of frame-invariant indices are derived to characterize the sensitivities of the accuracy measures to the sampling errors at the measurement points. With a dense set of discrete points on the workpiece datum surfaces pre-defined as candidates for measurement, planning of probing points for accurate recovery of part location is modeled as a combinatorial problem focusing on minimizing the accuracy sensitivity index. Based on an interchange rule, a greedy algorithm is developed to efficiently find a near-optimal solution. It is also shown that if the number of the measurement points is sufficiently large, there is no need to optimize their positions. Example confirms the validity of the presented indices and algorithm. Keywords localization - fixture - accuracy - uncertainty assessment - measurement planning - optimal design - heuristic algorithm展开更多
The deviation control of directional drilling is essentially the controlling of two angles of the wellbore actually drilled, namely, the inclination and azimuth. In directional drilling the bit trajectory never coinci...The deviation control of directional drilling is essentially the controlling of two angles of the wellbore actually drilled, namely, the inclination and azimuth. In directional drilling the bit trajectory never coincides exactly with the planned path, which is usually a plane curve with straight, building, holding, and dropping sections in succession. The drilling direction is of course dependant on the direction of the resultant forces acting on the bit and it is quite a tough job to hit the optimum target at the hole bottom as required. The traditional passive methods for correcting the drilling path have not met the demand to improve the techniques of deviation control. A method for combining wellbore surveys to obtain a composite, more accurate well position relies on accepting the position of the well from the most accurate survey instrument used in a given section of the wellbore. The error in each position measurement is the sum of many independent root sources of error effects. The relationship between surveys and other influential factors is considered, along with an analysis of different points of view. The collaborative work describes, establishes a common starting point of wellbore position uncertainty model, definition of what constitutes an error model, mathematics of position uncertainty calculation and an error model for basic directional service.展开更多
Accurate position measurements are extremely valuable in the shipping industry for various reasons such as safety(collision avoidance),security(situational awareness),fuel-saving(weather identification),punctuality(ro...Accurate position measurements are extremely valuable in the shipping industry for various reasons such as safety(collision avoidance),security(situational awareness),fuel-saving(weather identification),punctuality(route prediction),etc.Although GNSS(Global Navigation Satellite System)receivers installed on-board the ships are proven to be highly accurate,the data logging process may occasionally be problematic,mainly due to the complexity of the measurements and the decimal precision that is required.Data were collected from 3 years of operations of 228 Maersk Line container vessels and an analysis reveals that there is a substantial amount (≈20%) of historical position measurements sent to shore that does not reflect reality.In the study,the sources of the faulty logged position measurements are categorized and an interpolation methodology is proposed to validate and correct them by using AIS(Automatic Identification System)data.展开更多
To investigate the influence of real leading-edge manufacturing error on aerodynamic performance of high subsonic compressor blades,a family of leading-edge manufacturing error data were obtained from measured compres...To investigate the influence of real leading-edge manufacturing error on aerodynamic performance of high subsonic compressor blades,a family of leading-edge manufacturing error data were obtained from measured compressor cascades.Considering the limited samples,the leadingedge angle and leading-edge radius distribution forms were evaluated by Shapiro-Wilk test and quantile–quantile plot.Their statistical characteristics provided can be introduced to later related researches.The parameterization design method B-spline and Bezier are adopted to create geometry models with manufacturing error based on leading-edge angle and leading-edge radius.The influence of real manufacturing error is quantified and analyzed by self-developed non-intrusive polynomial chaos and Sobol’indices.The mechanism of leading-edge manufacturing error on aerodynamic performance is discussed.The results show that the total pressure loss coefficient is sensitive to the leading-edge manufacturing error compared with the static pressure ratio,especially at high incidence.Specifically,manufacturing error of the leading edge will influence the local flow acceleration and subsequently cause fluctuation of the downstream flow.The aerodynamic performance is sensitive to the manufacturing error of leading-edge radius at the design and negative incidences,while it is sensitive to the manufacturing error of leading-edge angle under the operation conditions with high incidences.展开更多
Traditional methods for selecting models in experimental data analysis are susceptible to researcher bias, hindering exploration of alternative explanations and potentially leading to overfitting. The Finite Informati...Traditional methods for selecting models in experimental data analysis are susceptible to researcher bias, hindering exploration of alternative explanations and potentially leading to overfitting. The Finite Information Quantity (FIQ) approach offers a novel solution by acknowledging the inherent limitations in information processing capacity of physical systems. This framework facilitates the development of objective criteria for model selection (comparative uncertainty) and paves the way for a more comprehensive understanding of phenomena through exploring diverse explanations. This work presents a detailed comparison of the FIQ approach with ten established model selection methods, highlighting the advantages and limitations of each. We demonstrate the potential of FIQ to enhance the objectivity and robustness of scientific inquiry through three practical examples: selecting appropriate models for measuring fundamental constants, sound velocity, and underwater electrical discharges. Further research is warranted to explore the full applicability of FIQ across various scientific disciplines.展开更多
基于提升低温共烧陶瓷(low temperature co-fired ceramic,LTCC)厚度的检测精度、测量效率和可溯源性的需求,设计一套LTCC激光测厚系统。针对测量精度难以满足需求的问题,对存在误差进行分析,采用厚度测量用调整夹具消除同轴度误差和线...基于提升低温共烧陶瓷(low temperature co-fired ceramic,LTCC)厚度的检测精度、测量效率和可溯源性的需求,设计一套LTCC激光测厚系统。针对测量精度难以满足需求的问题,对存在误差进行分析,采用厚度测量用调整夹具消除同轴度误差和线性度误差,优化设计结构降低倾角误差,循环传感器标定消除重复度误差,通过数据优化和滤波处理降低机械振动误差,提高了系统测量精度。与实际产品厚度数据对比,最终精度误差≤5μm,符合产品的应用要求,具有广阔的应用市场。展开更多
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.51075198)Jiangsu Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.BK2010479)+1 种基金Jiangsu Provincial Project of Six Talented Peaks of ChinaJiangsu Provincial Project of 333 Talents Engineering of China(Grant No.3-45)
文摘The cone is widely used in mechanical design for rotation, centering and fixing. Whether the conicity error can be measured and evaluated accurately will directly influence its assembly accuracy and working performance. According to the new generation geometrical product specification(GPS), the error and its measurement uncertainty should be evaluated together. The mathematical model of the minimum zone conicity error is established and an improved immune evolutionary algorithm(IlEA) is proposed to search for the conicity error. In the IIEA, initial antibodies are firstly generated by using quasi-random sequences and two kinds of affinities are calculated. Then, each antibody clone is generated and they are self-adaptively mutated so as to maintain diversity. Similar antibody is suppressed and new random antibody is generated. Because the mathematical model of conicity error is strongly nonlinear and the input quantities are not independent, it is difficult to use Guide to the expression of uncertainty in the measurement(GUM) method to evaluate measurement uncertainty. Adaptive Monte Carlo method(AMCM) is proposed to estimate measurement uncertainty in which the number of Monte Carlo trials is selected adaptively and the quality of the numerical results is directly controlled. The cone parts was machined on lathe CK6140 and measured on Miracle NC 454 Coordinate Measuring Machine(CMM). The experiment results confirm that the proposed method not only can search for the approximate solution of the minimum zone conicity error(MZCE) rapidly and precisely, but also can evaluate measurement uncertainty and give control variables with an expected numerical tolerance. The conicity errors computed by the proposed method are 20%-40% less than those computed by NC454 CMM software and the evaluation accuracy improves significantly.
文摘The paper, after the introduction, briefly outlines the principles of both absolute and relative GPS positioning. It deals with factors and error resources affecting the accuracy of these surveying procedures. It reviews the geodetic determination of a reference point and a base line used for the test measurements. The study describes the completed test measurements, and on the basis of results, it draws the conclusions for the accuracy of the investigated surveying methods. Finally, considering these accuracy measures, their possible application in mine surveying is also mentioned very shortly.
文摘Glaciers from the West side of the Royal Andes are an important source of fresh water for some of the most important Bolivian cities like El Alto. Temperature is an important datum for hydrological modelling and for glacier melt estimation. All temperature measurement devices have some degree of uncertainty due to systematic errors;thus, any temperature measurement has some errors. It is important to estimate the influence of such errors on the results from hydrological models and the estimation of melt water. The present study estimates the melt water contribution from the glaciers Tuni and Huayna West as a source of water supply for human consumption of El Alto considering the errors from temperature measurements. The hydrologic response of the basins was simulated with a hydrologic model. The glacier melt contribution was estimated as the difference between the discharge from the current scenario (with glaciers) and the discharge from a scenario without glaciers. Several volumes of melt water were estimated considering the temperature measurement and its possible errors. The uncertainty of such melt water volume was addressed by performing a Monte Carlo analysis of the possible melt water. The melt water contribution from glacier Tuni and Huayna West during the hydrologic year 2011-2012 was between 1.37 × 106 m3 and 1.72 × 106 m3. Such water volume is enough to meet the yearly water demand of between 6.81% and 8.55% of El Alto.
基金the National 863 Program of China (No. 2006AA12Z325)
文摘Error sources which decrease the accuracy of GPS in absolute velocity determination have been changed since SA was turned off. Firstly, quantities of all kinds of error sources that influence velocity deter-mination are analyzed. The potential accuracy of GPS absolute velocity determination is derived from both theory and field GPS data simulation. After that, two tests were carried out to evaluate the performance of GPS absolute velocity determination in the case of a static and an airborne GPS receiver and INS (Inertial Navigation System) instrument in kinematic mode. In static mode, the receiver velocity has been estimated to be several mm/s with the carrier-phase derived Doppler measurements, and several cm/s with the receiver generated Doppler measurements. In kinematic mode, GPS absolute velocity estimates are compared with the synchronized measurements from the high accuracy INS. The root mean square statistics of the velocity discrepancies between GPS and INS come up to dm/s. Moreover, it has a strong correlation with the accel-eration or jerk of the aircraft.
文摘Accurate and reliable information about the temperature of the synchronous generators excitation winding hot spot is necessary to determine the dynamic limit caused by excitation winding overheating in the PQ diagram. For good estimation of a position and the hot spot temperature it is decided to mount 19 temperature probes on one pole of the 6-pole, 400 kVA. 50 llz synchronous generator. Due to a large number of the probes and because the probes should be glued with the metal epoxy it was assumed that mounting of the probes will disrupt the temperature field of the excitation winding. To get the answer to this question the excitation winding resistance was measured betbre and after mounting the probes, in a hot and a cold state. Temperature rise can be estimated if the resistance ratio in the hot and the cold state is known. The paper also addresses the analysis of the measurement accuracy. The result shows that, there is no significant influence on the temperature when mounting the 19 temperature probes which covered 10% of the pole excitation winding surface.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.51875357)the State Key Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U21B2081)the National Defense Science and Technology Excellence Youth Foundation(Grant No.2020-JCJQ-ZQ-079)。
文摘A mirror milling system(MMS)comprises two face-to-face five-axis machine tools,one for the cutting spindle and the other for the support tool.Since it is essential to maintain the cutter and support coaxial during the cutting process,synchronous motion accuracy is the key index of the MMS.This paper proposed a novel method for measuring and estimating the synchronous motion accuracy of the dual five-axis machine tools.The method simultaneously detects errors in the tool center point(TCP)and tool axis direction(TAD)during synchronous motion.To implement the suggested method,a measurement device,with five high-precision displacement sensors was developed.A kinematic model was then developed to estimate the synchronous motion accuracy from the displacement sensor output.The screw theory was used to obtain the analytical expression of the inverse kinematic model,and the synchronous motion error was compensated and adjusted based on the inverse kinematic model of the dual five-axis machine tools.TCP and TAD quasi-static errors,such as geometric and backlash errors,were first compensated.By adjusting the servo parameters,the dynamic TCP and TAD errors,such as gain mismatch and reversal spike,were also reduced.The proposed method and device were tested in a large MMS,and the measured quasi-static and dynamic errors were all reduced when the compensation and adjustment method was used.Monte Carlo simulations were also used to estimate the uncertainty of the proposed scheme.
基金This research was financially supported by the Office of Science(BER),Department of Energy(DE-FG02-006ER64319)through the Midwestern Regional Center of the National Institute for Climatic Change Research at Michigan Technological University,under Award Number DE-FC02-06ER64158by National Science Foundation(DEB0078325 andDEB0743778).Themodel runswere performed at the Supercomputing Center for Education&Research(OSCER),University of Oklahoma.
文摘Aims Accurate forecast of ecosystem states is critical for improving natural resourcemanagement and climate change mitigation.Assimilating observed data into models is an effective way to reduce uncertainties in ecological forecasting.However,influences ofmeasurement errors on parameter estimation and forecasted state changes have not been carefully examined.This study analyzed the parameter identifiability of a process-based ecosystem carbon cycle model,the sensitivity of parameter estimates and model forecasts to the magnitudes of measurement errors and the information contributions of the assimilated data to model forecasts with a data assimilation approach.Methods We applied a Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to assimilate eight biometric data sets into the Terrestrial ECOsystemmodel.The data were the observations of foliage biomass,wood biomass,fine root biomass,microbial biomass,litter fall,litter,soil carbon and soil respiration,collected at the Duke Forest free-air CO_(2)enrichment facilities from 1996 to 2005.Three levels ofmeasurement errorswere assigned to these data sets by halving and doubling their original standard deviations.Important Findings Results showed that only less than half of the 30 parameters could be constrained,though the observations were extensive and themodelwas relatively simple.Highermeasurement errors led to higher uncertainties in parameters estimates and forecasted carbon(C)pool sizes.The longterm predictions of the slow turnover pools were affected less by the measurement errors than those of fast turnover pools.Assimilated data contributed less information for the pools with long residence times in long-term forecasts.These results indicate the residence times of C pools played a key role in regulating propagation of errors from measurements to model forecasts in a data assimilation system.Improving the estimation of parameters of slowturnover C pools is the key to better forecast long-term ecosystem C dynamics.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41904019).
文摘An aided Inertial Navigation System(INS)is increasingly exploited in precise engineering surveying,such as railway track irregularity measurement,where a high relative measurement accuracy rather than absolute accuracy is emphasized.However,how to evaluate the relative measurement accuracy of the aided INS has rarely been studied.We address this problem with a semi-analytical method to analyze the relative measurement error propagation of the Global Navigation Satellite System(GNSS)and INS integrated system,specifically for the railway track irregularity measurement application.The GNSS/INS integration in this application is simplified as a linear time-invariant stochastic system driven only by white Gaussian noise,and an analytical solution for the navigation errors in the Laplace domain is obtained by analyzing the resulting steady-state Kalman filter.Then,a time series of the error is obtained through a subsequent Monte Carlo simulation based on the derived error propagation model.The proposed analysis method is then validated through data simulation and field tests.The results indicate that a 1 mm accuracy in measuring the track irregularity is achievable for the GNSS/INS integrated system.Meanwhile,the influences of the dominant inertial sensor errors on the final measurement accuracy are analyzed quantitatively and discussed comprehensively.
文摘In order to solve the lack of relevant evaluation research on the accuracy of HMP155A humidity sensor calibration results in the past, this paper designs the corresponding experimental scheme, and obtains the corresponding calibration results according to the experimental scheme;Then the measurement uncertainty of the indication error in the calibration results is evaluated by GUM, and the corresponding extended uncertainty </span><i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">U</span></i><sub><span style="font-family:Verdana;">95</span></sub><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> is obtained. Finally, according to the requirements of JJF1094-2016 characteristic evaluation of measuring instruments, combined with the calibration results and the actual situation of </span><i><span style="font-family:Verdana;">U</span></i><sub><span style="font-family:Verdana;">95</span></sub><span style="font-family:Verdana;">, the conformity of the indication error of calibration is determined. The result is that each calibration point of the sensor meets the requirements of conformity determination and is within the qualified range. This research effectively makes up for the blank of the previous research on the conformity determination of the indication error of the calibration results and has strong theoretical and practical significance.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 50205018 , 50390063)the Key Basic Research Program of Shanghai Government (Grant No. 04JCI4050) the State Key Laboratory for Manufacturing System Engineering.
文摘This paper addresses the problem of accuracy characterization and measurement point planning for 3-D workpiece localization in the presence of part surface errors and measurement errors. Two frame-invariant functions of the infinitesimal rigid body displacement are defined to quantify the localization accuracy required by manufacturing processes. Then, two kinds of frame-invariant indices are derived to characterize the sensitivities of the accuracy measures to the sampling errors at the measurement points. With a dense set of discrete points on the workpiece datum surfaces pre-defined as candidates for measurement, planning of probing points for accurate recovery of part location is modeled as a combinatorial problem focusing on minimizing the accuracy sensitivity index. Based on an interchange rule, a greedy algorithm is developed to efficiently find a near-optimal solution. It is also shown that if the number of the measurement points is sufficiently large, there is no need to optimize their positions. Example confirms the validity of the presented indices and algorithm. Keywords localization - fixture - accuracy - uncertainty assessment - measurement planning - optimal design - heuristic algorithm
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (60874063), and Innovation and Scientific Research Foundation of Graduate Student of Heilongjiang Province (YJSCX2012-263HLJ)
文摘The deviation control of directional drilling is essentially the controlling of two angles of the wellbore actually drilled, namely, the inclination and azimuth. In directional drilling the bit trajectory never coincides exactly with the planned path, which is usually a plane curve with straight, building, holding, and dropping sections in succession. The drilling direction is of course dependant on the direction of the resultant forces acting on the bit and it is quite a tough job to hit the optimum target at the hole bottom as required. The traditional passive methods for correcting the drilling path have not met the demand to improve the techniques of deviation control. A method for combining wellbore surveys to obtain a composite, more accurate well position relies on accepting the position of the well from the most accurate survey instrument used in a given section of the wellbore. The error in each position measurement is the sum of many independent root sources of error effects. The relationship between surveys and other influential factors is considered, along with an analysis of different points of view. The collaborative work describes, establishes a common starting point of wellbore position uncertainty model, definition of what constitutes an error model, mathematics of position uncertainty calculation and an error model for basic directional service.
基金supported by“InnovationsFonden Danmark”with case number 8053-00231B and“Den Danske Maritime Fond”with case number 2018-060.
文摘Accurate position measurements are extremely valuable in the shipping industry for various reasons such as safety(collision avoidance),security(situational awareness),fuel-saving(weather identification),punctuality(route prediction),etc.Although GNSS(Global Navigation Satellite System)receivers installed on-board the ships are proven to be highly accurate,the data logging process may occasionally be problematic,mainly due to the complexity of the measurements and the decimal precision that is required.Data were collected from 3 years of operations of 228 Maersk Line container vessels and an analysis reveals that there is a substantial amount (≈20%) of historical position measurements sent to shore that does not reflect reality.In the study,the sources of the faulty logged position measurements are categorized and an interpolation methodology is proposed to validate and correct them by using AIS(Automatic Identification System)data.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51790512)the 111 Project(No.B17037)the National Key Laboratory Foundation,Industry-Academia-Research Collaboration Project of Aero Engine Corporation of China(No.HFZL2018CXY011-1)and MIIT。
文摘To investigate the influence of real leading-edge manufacturing error on aerodynamic performance of high subsonic compressor blades,a family of leading-edge manufacturing error data were obtained from measured compressor cascades.Considering the limited samples,the leadingedge angle and leading-edge radius distribution forms were evaluated by Shapiro-Wilk test and quantile–quantile plot.Their statistical characteristics provided can be introduced to later related researches.The parameterization design method B-spline and Bezier are adopted to create geometry models with manufacturing error based on leading-edge angle and leading-edge radius.The influence of real manufacturing error is quantified and analyzed by self-developed non-intrusive polynomial chaos and Sobol’indices.The mechanism of leading-edge manufacturing error on aerodynamic performance is discussed.The results show that the total pressure loss coefficient is sensitive to the leading-edge manufacturing error compared with the static pressure ratio,especially at high incidence.Specifically,manufacturing error of the leading edge will influence the local flow acceleration and subsequently cause fluctuation of the downstream flow.The aerodynamic performance is sensitive to the manufacturing error of leading-edge radius at the design and negative incidences,while it is sensitive to the manufacturing error of leading-edge angle under the operation conditions with high incidences.
文摘Traditional methods for selecting models in experimental data analysis are susceptible to researcher bias, hindering exploration of alternative explanations and potentially leading to overfitting. The Finite Information Quantity (FIQ) approach offers a novel solution by acknowledging the inherent limitations in information processing capacity of physical systems. This framework facilitates the development of objective criteria for model selection (comparative uncertainty) and paves the way for a more comprehensive understanding of phenomena through exploring diverse explanations. This work presents a detailed comparison of the FIQ approach with ten established model selection methods, highlighting the advantages and limitations of each. We demonstrate the potential of FIQ to enhance the objectivity and robustness of scientific inquiry through three practical examples: selecting appropriate models for measuring fundamental constants, sound velocity, and underwater electrical discharges. Further research is warranted to explore the full applicability of FIQ across various scientific disciplines.
文摘基于提升低温共烧陶瓷(low temperature co-fired ceramic,LTCC)厚度的检测精度、测量效率和可溯源性的需求,设计一套LTCC激光测厚系统。针对测量精度难以满足需求的问题,对存在误差进行分析,采用厚度测量用调整夹具消除同轴度误差和线性度误差,优化设计结构降低倾角误差,循环传感器标定消除重复度误差,通过数据优化和滤波处理降低机械振动误差,提高了系统测量精度。与实际产品厚度数据对比,最终精度误差≤5μm,符合产品的应用要求,具有广阔的应用市场。