An optimization model and its solution algorithm for alternate traffic restriction(ATR) schemes were introduced in terms of both the restriction districts and the proportion of restricted automobiles. A bi-level progr...An optimization model and its solution algorithm for alternate traffic restriction(ATR) schemes were introduced in terms of both the restriction districts and the proportion of restricted automobiles. A bi-level programming model was proposed to model the ATR scheme optimization problem by aiming at consumer surplus maximization and overload flow minimization at the upper-level model. At the lower-level model, elastic demand, mode choice and multi-class user equilibrium assignment were synthetically optimized. A genetic algorithm involving prolonging codes was constructed, demonstrating high computing efficiency in that it dynamically includes newly-appearing overload links in the codes so as to reduce the subsequent searching range. Moreover,practical processing approaches were suggested, which may improve the operability of the model-based solutions.展开更多
The emergence of rapid transit,primarily represented by high-speed railway(HSR),while reshaping the regional traffic patterns,leads to the reconstruction and redistribution of population and industry.This leads to eit...The emergence of rapid transit,primarily represented by high-speed railway(HSR),while reshaping the regional traffic patterns,leads to the reconstruction and redistribution of population and industry.This leads to either shrinkage or expansion of urban scale.However,research on the influence mechanisms of the urban scale has mostly concentrated on historical,economic and social factors.The influence of traffic factors is rarely mentioned in current research.Therefore,this study examines Northeast China,where the change in urban scale is most significant,to discuss the spatial impact of high-speed railway on the urban scale.This is of great significance in terms of enriching current understanding of the factors affecting the urban scale.The results included the following:1)The high-speed railway produced considerable space-time convergence effects,however,simultaneously aggravated the imbalance in traffic development in Northeast China.The increase in accessibility presents attenuation characteristics from the high-speed railway.Additionally,the high-speed railway has changed the mode of cooperation between cities in the provinces,inter-regional and inter-provincial cooperation models gradually become popular.2)The change rate of accessibility and the urban scale present significant spatial coupling phenomena,with the change rate of the Harbin-Dalian trunk lines and its surroundings being more significant.3)There are predominantly four modes of the influence of high-speed railway on the urban scale,which make difference city present expansion or shrinkage.展开更多
深入分析交通事故数据可以为规避事故发生、降低事故严重程度提供重要理论依据,然而,在事故数据采集、传输、存储过程中往往会产生数据缺失,导致统计分析结果的准确性下降、模型的误判风险上升。本文以芝加哥2016—2021年的101452条追...深入分析交通事故数据可以为规避事故发生、降低事故严重程度提供重要理论依据,然而,在事故数据采集、传输、存储过程中往往会产生数据缺失,导致统计分析结果的准确性下降、模型的误判风险上升。本文以芝加哥2016—2021年的101452条追尾事故数据为研究对象,将原始数据按照7∶3随机分为训练集和测试集。在训练集数据上,利用生成式插补网络(Generative Adversarial Imputation Network,GAIN)实现对缺失数据的填补。为对比不同数据填补方法的效果,同时选择多重插补(Multiple Imputation by Chained Equations,MICE)算法、期望最大化(Expectation Maximization,EM)填充算法、缺失森林(MissForest)算法和K最近邻(K-Nearest Neighbor,KNN)算法对同一数据集进行数据填补,并基于填补前后变量方差变化比较不同填补算法对数据变异性的影响。在完成数据填补的基础上,构建LightGBM三分类事故严重程度影响因素分析模型。使用原始训练集数据,以及填补后的训练集数据分别训练模型,并使用未经填补的测试集数据检验模型预测效果。结果表明,经缺失值填补后,模型性能得到一定改善,使用GAIN填补数据集训练的模型,相较于原始数据训练的模型,准确率提高了6.84%,F1提高了4.61%,AUC(Area Under the Curve)提高了10.09%,且改善效果优于其他4种填补方法。展开更多
基金Projects(71171200,51108465,71101155)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘An optimization model and its solution algorithm for alternate traffic restriction(ATR) schemes were introduced in terms of both the restriction districts and the proportion of restricted automobiles. A bi-level programming model was proposed to model the ATR scheme optimization problem by aiming at consumer surplus maximization and overload flow minimization at the upper-level model. At the lower-level model, elastic demand, mode choice and multi-class user equilibrium assignment were synthetically optimized. A genetic algorithm involving prolonging codes was constructed, demonstrating high computing efficiency in that it dynamically includes newly-appearing overload links in the codes so as to reduce the subsequent searching range. Moreover,practical processing approaches were suggested, which may improve the operability of the model-based solutions.
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41471133,41871112).
文摘The emergence of rapid transit,primarily represented by high-speed railway(HSR),while reshaping the regional traffic patterns,leads to the reconstruction and redistribution of population and industry.This leads to either shrinkage or expansion of urban scale.However,research on the influence mechanisms of the urban scale has mostly concentrated on historical,economic and social factors.The influence of traffic factors is rarely mentioned in current research.Therefore,this study examines Northeast China,where the change in urban scale is most significant,to discuss the spatial impact of high-speed railway on the urban scale.This is of great significance in terms of enriching current understanding of the factors affecting the urban scale.The results included the following:1)The high-speed railway produced considerable space-time convergence effects,however,simultaneously aggravated the imbalance in traffic development in Northeast China.The increase in accessibility presents attenuation characteristics from the high-speed railway.Additionally,the high-speed railway has changed the mode of cooperation between cities in the provinces,inter-regional and inter-provincial cooperation models gradually become popular.2)The change rate of accessibility and the urban scale present significant spatial coupling phenomena,with the change rate of the Harbin-Dalian trunk lines and its surroundings being more significant.3)There are predominantly four modes of the influence of high-speed railway on the urban scale,which make difference city present expansion or shrinkage.
文摘深入分析交通事故数据可以为规避事故发生、降低事故严重程度提供重要理论依据,然而,在事故数据采集、传输、存储过程中往往会产生数据缺失,导致统计分析结果的准确性下降、模型的误判风险上升。本文以芝加哥2016—2021年的101452条追尾事故数据为研究对象,将原始数据按照7∶3随机分为训练集和测试集。在训练集数据上,利用生成式插补网络(Generative Adversarial Imputation Network,GAIN)实现对缺失数据的填补。为对比不同数据填补方法的效果,同时选择多重插补(Multiple Imputation by Chained Equations,MICE)算法、期望最大化(Expectation Maximization,EM)填充算法、缺失森林(MissForest)算法和K最近邻(K-Nearest Neighbor,KNN)算法对同一数据集进行数据填补,并基于填补前后变量方差变化比较不同填补算法对数据变异性的影响。在完成数据填补的基础上,构建LightGBM三分类事故严重程度影响因素分析模型。使用原始训练集数据,以及填补后的训练集数据分别训练模型,并使用未经填补的测试集数据检验模型预测效果。结果表明,经缺失值填补后,模型性能得到一定改善,使用GAIN填补数据集训练的模型,相较于原始数据训练的模型,准确率提高了6.84%,F1提高了4.61%,AUC(Area Under the Curve)提高了10.09%,且改善效果优于其他4种填补方法。
