Uniaxial Compressive Strength Prediction for Rock Material in Deep Mine Using Boosting-Based Machine Learning Methods and Optimization Algorithms

Traditional laboratory tests for measuring rock uniaxial compressive strength(UCS)are tedious and timeconsuming.There is a pressing need for more effective methods to determine rock UCS,especially in deep mining environments under high in-situ stress.Thus,this study aims to develop an advanced model for predicting the UCS of rockmaterial in deepmining environments by combining three boosting-basedmachine learning methods with four optimization algorithms.For this purpose,the Lead-Zinc mine in Southwest China is considered as the case study.Rock density,P-wave velocity,and point load strength index are used as input variables,and UCS is regarded as the output.Subsequently,twelve hybrid predictive models are obtained.Root mean square error(RMSE),mean absolute error(MAE),coefficient of determination(R2),and the proportion of the mean absolute percentage error less than 20%(A-20)are selected as the evaluation metrics.Experimental results showed that the hybridmodel consisting of the extreme gradient boostingmethod and the artificial bee colony algorithm(XGBoost-ABC)achieved satisfactory results on the training dataset and exhibited the best generalization performance on the testing dataset.The values of R2,A-20,RMSE,and MAE on the training dataset are 0.98,1.0,3.11 MPa,and 2.23MPa,respectively.The highest values of R2 and A-20(0.93 and 0.96),and the smallest RMSE and MAE values of 4.78 MPa and 3.76MPa,are observed on the testing dataset.The proposed hybrid model can be considered a reliable and effective method for predicting rock UCS in deep mines.

Product quality prediction based on RBF optimized by firefly algorithm

With the development of information technology,a large number of product quality data in the entire manufacturing process is accumulated,but it is not explored and used effectively.The traditional product quality prediction models have many disadvantages,such as high complexity and low accuracy.To overcome the above problems,we propose an optimized data equalization method to pre-process dataset and design a simple but effective product quality prediction model:radial basis function model optimized by the firefly algorithm with Levy flight mechanism(RBFFALM).First,the new data equalization method is introduced to pre-process the dataset,which reduces the dimension of the data,removes redundant features,and improves the data distribution.Then the RBFFALFM is used to predict product quality.Comprehensive expe riments conducted on real-world product quality datasets validate that the new model RBFFALFM combining with the new data pre-processing method outperforms other previous me thods on predicting product quality.

Prediction Model of Wax Deposition Rate in Waxy Crude Oil Pipelines by Elman Neural Network Based on Improved Reptile Search Algorithm

A hard problem that hinders the movement of waxy crude oil is wax deposition in oil pipelines.To ensure the safe operation of crude oil pipelines,an accurate model must be developed to predict the rate of wax deposition in crude oil pipelines.Aiming at the shortcomings of the ENN prediction model,which easily falls into the local minimum value and weak generalization ability in the implementation process,an optimized ENN prediction model based on the IRSA is proposed.The validity of the new model was confirmed by the accurate prediction of two sets of experimental data on wax deposition in crude oil pipelines.The two groups of crude oil wax deposition rate case prediction results showed that the average absolute percentage errors of IRSA-ENN prediction models is 0.5476% and 0.7831%,respectively.Additionally,it shows a higher prediction accuracy compared to the ENN prediction model.In fact,the new model established by using the IRSA to optimize ENN can optimize the initial weights and thresholds in the prediction process,which can overcome the shortcomings of the ENN prediction model,such as weak generalization ability and tendency to fall into the local minimum value,so that it has the advantages of strong implementation and high prediction accuracy.

Process metallurgy and data-driven prediction and feedback of blast furnace heat indicators

The prediction and control of furnace heat indicators are of great importance for improving the heat levels and conditions of the complex and difficult-to-operate hour-class delay blast furnace(BF)system.In this work,a prediction and feedback model of furnace heat indicators based on the fusion of data-driven and BF ironmaking processes was proposed.The data on raw and fuel materials,process op-eration,smelting state,and slag and iron discharge during the whole BF process comprised 171 variables with 9223 groups of data and were comprehensively analyzed.A novel method for the delay analysis of furnace heat indicators was established.The extracted delay variables were found to play an important role in modeling.The method that combined the genetic algorithm and stacking efficiently im-proved performance compared with the traditional machine learning algorithm in improving the hit ratio of the furnace heat prediction model.The hit ratio for predicting the temperature of hot metal in the error range of±10℃ was 92.4%,and that for the chemical heat of hot metal in the error range of±0.1wt%was 93.3%.On the basis of the furnace heat prediction model and expert experience,a feedback model of furnace heat operation was established to obtain quantitative operation suggestions for stabilizing BF heat levels.These sugges-tions were highly accepted by BF operators.Finally,the comprehensive and dynamic model proposed in this work was successfully ap-plied in a practical BF system.It improved the BF temperature level remarkably,increasing the furnace temperature stability rate from 54.9%to 84.9%.This improvement achieved considerable economic benefits.

Prediction of Lubricant Physicochemical Properties Based on Gaussian Copula Data Expansion

The composition of base oils affects the performance of lubricants made from them.This paper proposes a hybrid model based on gradient-boosted decision tree(GBDT)to analyze the effect of different ratios of KN4010,PAO40,and PriEco3000 component in a composite base oil system on the performance of lubricants.The study was conducted under small laboratory sample conditions,and a data expansion method using the Gaussian Copula function was proposed to improve the prediction ability of the hybrid model.The study also compared four optimization algorithms,sticky mushroom algorithm(SMA),genetic algorithm(GA),whale optimization algorithm(WOA),and seagull optimization algorithm(SOA),to predict the kinematic viscosity at 40℃,kinematic viscosity at 100℃,viscosity index,and oxidation induction time performance of the lubricant.The results showed that the Gaussian Copula function data expansion method improved the prediction ability of the hybrid model in the case of small samples.The SOA-GBDT hybrid model had the fastest convergence speed for the samples and the best prediction effect,with determination coefficients(R^(2))for the four indicators of lubricants reaching 0.98,0.99,0.96 and 0.96,respectively.Thus,this model can significantly reduce the model’s prediction error and has good prediction ability.

User Purchase Intention Prediction Based on Improved Deep Forest

Widely used deep neural networks currently face limitations in achieving optimal performance for purchase intention prediction due to constraints on data volume and hyperparameter selection.To address this issue,based on the deep forest algorithm and further integrating evolutionary ensemble learning methods,this paper proposes a novel Deep Adaptive Evolutionary Ensemble(DAEE)model.This model introduces model diversity into the cascade layer,allowing it to adaptively adjust its structure to accommodate complex and evolving purchasing behavior patterns.Moreover,this paper optimizes the methods of obtaining feature vectors,enhancement vectors,and prediction results within the deep forest algorithm to enhance the model’s predictive accuracy.Results demonstrate that the improved deep forest model not only possesses higher robustness but also shows an increase of 5.02%in AUC value compared to the baseline model.Furthermore,its training runtime speed is 6 times faster than that of deep models,and compared to other improved models,its accuracy has been enhanced by 0.9%.

Research on the Control Strategy of Micro Wind-Hydrogen Coupled System Based on Wind Power Prediction and Hydrogen Storage System Charging/Discharging Regulation

This paper addresses the micro wind-hydrogen coupled system,aiming to improve the power tracking capability of micro wind farms,the regulation capability of hydrogen storage systems,and to mitigate the volatility of wind power generation.A predictive control strategy for the micro wind-hydrogen coupled system is proposed based on the ultra-short-term wind power prediction,the hydrogen storage state division interval,and the daily scheduled output of wind power generation.The control strategy maximizes the power tracking capability,the regulation capability of the hydrogen storage system,and the fluctuation of the joint output of the wind-hydrogen coupled system as the objective functions,and adaptively optimizes the control coefficients of the hydrogen storage interval and the output parameters of the system by the combined sigmoid function and particle swarm algorithm(sigmoid-PSO).Compared with the real-time control strategy,the proposed predictive control strategy can significantly improve the output tracking capability of the wind-hydrogen coupling system,minimize the gap between the actual output and the predicted output,significantly enhance the regulation capability of the hydrogen storage system,and mitigate the power output fluctuation of the wind-hydrogen integrated system,which has a broad practical application prospect.

Optimizing slope safety factor prediction via stacking using sparrow search algorithm for multi-layer machine learning regression models

The safety factor is a crucial quantitative index for evaluating slope stability.However,the traditional calculation methods suffer from unreasonable assumptions,complex soil composition,and inadequate consideration of the influencing factors,leading to large errors in their calculations.Therefore,a stacking ensemble learning model(stacking-SSAOP)based on multi-layer regression algorithm fusion and optimized by the sparrow search algorithm is proposed for predicting the slope safety factor.In this method,the density,cohesion,friction angle,slope angle,slope height,and pore pressure ratio are selected as characteristic parameters from the 210 sets of established slope sample data.Random Forest,Extra Trees,AdaBoost,Bagging,and Support Vector regression are used as the base model(inner loop)to construct the first-level regression algorithm layer,and XGBoost is used as the meta-model(outer loop)to construct the second-level regression algorithm layer and complete the construction of the stacked learning model for improving the model prediction accuracy.The sparrow search algorithm is used to optimize the hyperparameters of the above six regression models and correct the over-and underfitting problems of the single regression model to further improve the prediction accuracy.The mean square error(MSE)of the predicted and true values and the fitting of the data are compared and analyzed.The MSE of the stacking-SSAOP model was found to be smaller than that of the single regression model(MSE=0.03917).Therefore,the former has a higher prediction accuracy and better data fitting.This study innovatively applies the sparrow search algorithm to predict the slope safety factor,showcasing its advantages over traditional methods.Additionally,our proposed stacking-SSAOP model integrates multiple regression algorithms to enhance prediction accuracy.This model not only refines the prediction accuracy of the slope safety factor but also offers a fresh approach to handling the intricate soil composition and other influencing factors,making it a precise and reliable method for slope stability evaluation.This research holds importance for the modernization and digitalization of slope safety assessments.

An Improved BPNN Prediction Method Based on Multi-Strategy Sparrow Search Algorithm

Data prediction can improve the science of decision-making by making predictions about what happens in daily life based on natural law trends.Back propagation(BP)neural network is a widely used prediction method.To reduce its probability of falling into local optimum and improve the prediction accuracy,we propose an improved BP neural network prediction method based on a multi-strategy sparrow search algorithm(MSSA).The weights and thresholds of the BP neural network are optimized using the sparrow search algorithm(SSA).Three strategies are designed to improve the SSA to enhance its optimization-seeking ability,leading to the MSSA-BP prediction model.The MSSA algorithm was tested with nine different types of benchmark functions to verify the optimization performance of the algorithm.Two different datasets were selected for comparison experiments on three groups of models.Under the same conditions,the mean absolute error(MAE),root mean square error(RMSE),andmean absolute percentage error(MAPE)of the prediction results of MSSA-BPwere significantly reduced,and the convergence speed was significantly improved.MSSA-BP can effectively improve the prediction accuracy and has certain application value.

Prediction on Failure Pressure of Pipeline Containing Corrosion Defects Based on ISSA-BPNNModel

Oil and gas pipelines are affected by many factors,such as pipe wall thinning and pipeline rupture.Accurate prediction of failure pressure of oil and gas pipelines can provide technical support for pipeline safety management.Aiming at the shortcomings of the BP Neural Network(BPNN)model,such as low learning efficiency,sensitivity to initial weights,and easy falling into a local optimal state,an Improved Sparrow Search Algorithm(ISSA)is adopted to optimize the initial weights and thresholds of BPNN,and an ISSA-BPNN failure pressure prediction model for corroded pipelines is established.Taking 61 sets of pipelines blasting test data as an example,the prediction model was built and predicted by MATLAB software,and compared with the BPNN model,GA-BPNN model,and SSA-BPNN model.The results show that the MAPE of the ISSA-BPNN model is 3.4177%,and the R2 is 0.9880,both of which are superior to its comparison model.Using the ISSA-BPNN model has high prediction accuracy and stability,and can provide support for pipeline inspection and maintenance.

Yarn Quality Prediction for Small Samples Based on AdaBoost Algorithm

In order to solve the problems of weak prediction stability and generalization ability of a neural network algorithm model in the yarn quality prediction research for small samples,a prediction model based on an AdaBoost algorithm(AdaBoost model) was established.A prediction model based on a linear regression algorithm(LR model) and a prediction model based on a multi-layer perceptron neural network algorithm(MLP model) were established for comparison.The prediction experiments of the yarn evenness and the yarn strength were implemented.Determination coefficients and prediction errors were used to evaluate the prediction accuracy of these models,and the K-fold cross validation was used to evaluate the generalization ability of these models.In the prediction experiments,the determination coefficient of the yarn evenness prediction result of the AdaBoost model is 76% and 87% higher than that of the LR model and the MLP model,respectively.The determination coefficient of the yarn strength prediction result of the AdaBoost model is slightly higher than that of the other two models.Considering that the yarn evenness dataset has a weaker linear relationship with the cotton dataset than that of the yarn strength dataset in this paper,the AdaBoost model has the best adaptability for the nonlinear dataset among the three models.In addition,the AdaBoost model shows generally better results in the cross-validation experiments and the series of prediction experiments at eight different training set sample sizes.It is proved that the AdaBoost model not only has good prediction accuracy but also has good prediction stability and generalization ability for small samples.

COVID-19 Outbreak Prediction by Using Machine Learning Algorithms

COVID-19 is a contagious disease and its several variants put under stress in all walks of life and economy as well.Early diagnosis of the virus is a crucial task to prevent the spread of the virus as it is a threat to life in the whole world.However,with the advancement of technology,the Internet of Things(IoT)and social IoT(SIoT),the versatile data produced by smart devices helped a lot in overcoming this lethal disease.Data mining is a technique that could be used for extracting useful information from massive data.In this study,we used five supervised ML strategies for creating a model to analyze and forecast the existence of COVID-19 using the Kaggle dataset“COVID-19 Symptoms and Presence.”RapidMiner Studio ML software was used to apply the Decision Tree(DT),Random Forest(RF),K-Nearest Neighbors(K-NNs)and Naive Bayes(NB),Integrated Decision Tree(ID3)algorithms.To develop the model,the performance of each model was tested using 10-fold cross-validation and compared to major accuracy measures,Cohan’s kappa statistics,properly or mistakenly categorized cases and root means square error.The results demonstrate that DT outperforms other methods,with an accuracy of 98.42%and a root mean square error of 0.11.In the future,a devisedmodel will be highly recommendable and supportive for early prediction/diagnosis of disease by providing different data sets.

Intelligent prediction of slope stability based on visual exploratory data analysis of 77 in situ cases

Slope stability prediction research is a complex non-linear system problem.In carrying out slope stability prediction work,it often encounters low accuracy of prediction models and blind data preprocessing.Based on 77 field cases,5 quantitative indicators are selected to improve the accuracy of prediction models for slope stability.These indicators include slope angle,slope height,internal friction angle,cohesion and unit weight of rock and soil.Potential data aggregation in the prediction of slope stability is analyzed and visualized based on Six-dimension reduction methods,namely principal components analysis(PCA),Kernel PCA,factor analysis(FA),independent component analysis(ICA),non-negative matrix factorization(NMF)and t-SNE(stochastic neighbor embedding).Combined with classic machine learning methods,7 prediction models for slope stability are established and their reliabilities are examined by random cross validation.Besides,the significance of each indicator in the prediction of slope stability is discussed using the coefficient of variation method.The research results show that dimension reduction is unnecessary for the data processing of prediction models established in this paper of slope stability.Random forest(RF),support vector machine(SVM)and k-nearest neighbour(KNN)achieve the best prediction accuracy,which is higher than 90%.The decision tree(DT)has better accuracy which is 86%.The most important factor influencing slope stability is slope height,while unit weight of rock and soil is the least significant.RF and SVM models have the best accuracy and superiority in slope stability prediction.The results provide a new approach toward slope stability prediction in geotechnical engineering.

Mechanical Properties Prediction of the Mechanical Clinching Joints Based on Genetic Algorithm and BP Neural Network

For optimal design of mechanical clinching steel-aluminum joints, the back propagation （BP） neural network is used to research the mapping relationship between joining technique parameters including sheet thickness, sheet hardness, joint bottom diameter etc., and mechanical properties of shearing and peeling in order to investigate joining technology between various material plates in the steel-aluminum hybrid structure car body. Genetic algorithm （GA） is adopted to optimize the back-propagation neural network connection weights. The training and validating samples are made by the BTM Tog-L-Loc system with different technologic parameters. The training samples＇ parameters and the corresponding joints＇ mechanical properties are supplied to the artificial neural network （ANN） for training. The validating samples＇ experimental data is used for checking up the prediction outputs. The calculation results show that GA can improve the model＇s prediction precision and generalization ability of BP neural network. The comparative analysis between the experimental data and the prediction outputs shows that ANN prediction models after training can effectively predict the mechanical properties of mechanical clinching joints and prove the feasibility and reliability of the intelligent neural networks system when used in the mechanical properties prediction of mechanical clinching joints. The prediction results can be used for a reference in the design of mechanical clinching steel-aluminum joints.

A Productivity Prediction Method Based on Artificial Neural Networks and Particle Swarm Optimization for Shale-Gas Horizontal Wells

In order to overcome the deficiencies of current methods for the prediction of the productivity of shale gas hor-izontal wells after fracturing,a new sophisticated approach is proposed in this study.This new model stems from the combination several techniques,namely,artificial neural network(ANN),particle swarm optimization(PSO),Imperialist Competitive Algorithms(ICA),and Ant Clony Optimization(ACO).These are properly implemented by using the geological and engineering parameters collected from 317 wells.The results show that the optimum PSO-ANN model has a high accuracy,obtaining a R2 of 0.847 on the testing.The partial dependence plots(PDP)indicate that liquid consumption intensity and the proportion of quartz sand are the two most sensitive factors affecting the model’s performance.

Assessing the Efficacy of Improved Learning in Hourly Global Irradiance Prediction

Increasing global energy consumption has become an urgent problem as natural energy sources such as oil,gas,and uranium are rapidly running out.Research into renewable energy sources such as solar energy is being pursued to counter this.Solar energy is one of the most promising renewable energy sources,as it has the potential to meet the world’s energy needs indefinitely.This study aims to develop and evaluate artificial intelligence(AI)models for predicting hourly global irradiation.The hyperparameters were optimized using the Broyden-FletcherGoldfarb-Shanno(BFGS)quasi-Newton training algorithm and STATISTICA software.Data from two stations in Algeria with different climatic zones were used to develop the model.Various error measurements were used to determine the accuracy of the prediction models,including the correlation coefficient,the mean absolute error,and the root mean square error(RMSE).The optimal support vector machine(SVM)model showed exceptional efficiency during the training phase,with a high correlation coefficient(R=0.99)and a low mean absolute error(MAE=26.5741 Wh/m^(2)),as well as an RMSE of 38.7045 Wh/m^(2) across all phases.Overall,this study highlights the importance of accurate prediction models in the renewable energy,which can contribute to better energy management and planning.

NEURAL NETWORKS PREDICTION FOR SEISMIC RESPONSE OF STRUCTURE UNDER THE LEVENBERG-MARQUARDT ALGORITHM

Objective To investigate the prediction effect of neural networks for seismic response of structure under the Levenberg Marquardt(LM) algorithm. Results Based on identification and prediction ability of neural networks for nonlinear systems, and combined with LM algorithm, a multi layer forward networks is adopted to predict the seismic responses of structure. The networks is trained in batch by the shaking table test data of three floor reinforced concrete structure firstly, then the seismic responses of structure are predicted under the unused excitation data, and the predict responses are compared with the experiment responses. The error curves between the prediction and the experimental results show the efficiency of the method. Conclusion LM algorithm has very good convergence rate, and the neural networks can predict the seismic response of the structure well.

A Hybrid BPNN-GARF-SVR Prediction Model Based on EEMD for Ship Motion

Accurate prediction of shipmotion is very important for ensuringmarine safety,weapon control,and aircraft carrier landing,etc.Ship motion is a complex time-varying nonlinear process which is affected by many factors.Time series analysis method and many machine learning methods such as neural networks,support vector machines regression(SVR)have been widely used in ship motion predictions.However,these single models have certain limitations,so this paper adopts amulti-model prediction method.First,ensemble empirical mode decomposition(EEMD)is used to remove noise in ship motion data.Then the randomforest(RF)prediction model optimized by genetic algorithm(GA),back propagation neural network(BPNN)prediction model and SVR prediction model are respectively established,and the final prediction results are obtained by results of three models.And the weights coefficients are determined by the correlation coefficients,reducing the risk of prediction and improving the reliability.The experimental results show that the proposed combined model EEMD-GARF-BPNN-SVR is superior to the single predictive model and more reliable.The mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)of the proposed model is 0.84%,but the results of the single models are greater than 1%.

Within-Project and Cross-Project Software Defect Prediction Based on Improved Transfer Naive Bayes Algorithm

With the continuous expansion of software scale,software update and maintenance have become more and more important.However,frequent software code updates will make the software more likely to introduce new defects.So how to predict the defects quickly and accurately on the software change has become an important problem for software developers.Current defect prediction methods often cannot reflect the feature information of the defect comprehensively,and the detection effect is not ideal enough.Therefore,we propose a novel defect prediction model named ITNB(Improved Transfer Naive Bayes)based on improved transfer Naive Bayesian algorithm in this paper,which mainly considers the following two aspects:(1)Considering that the edge data of the test set may affect the similarity calculation and final prediction result,we remove the edge data of the test set when calculating the data similarity between the training set and the test set;(2)Considering that each feature dimension has different effects on defect prediction,we construct the calculation formula of training data weight based on feature dimension weight and data gravity,and then calculate the prior probability and the conditional probability of training data from the weight information,so as to construct the weighted bayesian classifier for software defect prediction.To evaluate the performance of the ITNB model,we use six datasets from large open source projects,namely Bugzilla,Columba,Mozilla,JDT,Platform and PostgreSQL.We compare the ITNB model with the transfer Naive Bayesian(TNB)model.The experimental results show that our ITNB model can achieve better results than the TNB model in terms of accurary,precision and pd for within-project and cross-project defect prediction.

A Multimodel Transfer-Learning-Based Car Price Prediction Model with an Automatic Fuzzy Logic Parameter Optimizer

Cars are regarded as an indispensable means of transportation in Taiwan.Several studies have indicated that the automotive industry has witnessed remarkable advances and that the market of used cars has rapidly expanded.In this study,a price prediction system for used BMW cars was developed.Nine parameters of used cars,including their model,registration year,and transmission style,were analyzed.The data obtained were then divided into three subsets.The first subset was used to compare the results of each algorithm.The predicted values produced by the two algorithms with the most satisfactory results were used as the input of a fully connected neural network.The second subset was used with an optimization algorithm to modify the number of hidden layers in a fully connected neural network and modify the low,medium,and high parameters of the membership function(MF)to achieve model optimization.Finally,the third subset was used for the validation set during the prediction process.These three subsets were divided using k-fold cross-validation to avoid overfitting and selection bias.In conclusion,in this study,a model combining two optimal algorithms(i.e.,random forest and k-nearest neighbors)with several optimization algorithms(i.e.,gray wolf optimizer,multilayer perceptron,and MF)was successfully established.The prediction results obtained indicated a mean square error of 0.0978,a root-mean-square error of 0.3128,a mean absolute error of 0.1903,and a coefficient of determination of 0.9249.