Under the assumption that the dynamic assets price follows the variance gamma process, we establish a new bilateral pricing model of interest rate swap by integrating the reduced form model for swap pricing and the st...Under the assumption that the dynamic assets price follows the variance gamma process, we establish a new bilateral pricing model of interest rate swap by integrating the reduced form model for swap pricing and the structural model for default risk measurement.Our pricing model preserves the simplicity of the reduced form model and also considers the dynamic evolution of the counterparty assets price by incorporating with the structural model for default risk measurement. We divide the swap pricing framework into two parts, simplifying the pricing model relatively. Simulation results show that, for a one year interest rate swap, a bond spread of one hundred basis points implies a swap credit spread about 0.1054 basis point.展开更多
A Fast Fourier transform approach has been presented by Carr & Madan (2009) on a single underlying asset. In this current research paper, we present fast Fourier transform algorithm for the valuation of Multi-asse...A Fast Fourier transform approach has been presented by Carr & Madan (2009) on a single underlying asset. In this current research paper, we present fast Fourier transform algorithm for the valuation of Multi-asset Options under Economic Recession Induced Uncertainties. The issue of multi-dimension in both finite and infinite case of Options is part of the focus of this research. The notion of economic recession was incorporated. An intuition behind the introduction of recession induced volatility uncertainty is revealed by huge volatility variation during the period of economic recession compared to the period of recession-free. Nigeria economic recession outbreak in 2016 and its effects on the uncertainty of the payoffs of Nigeria Stocks Exchange (NSE) among other investments was among the motivating factors for proposing economic recession induced volatility in options pricing. The application of the proposed Fast Fourier Transform algorithm in handling multi-assets options was shown. A new result on options pricing was achieved and capable of yielding efficient option prices during and out of recession. Numerical results were presented on assets in 3-dimensions as an illustration taking Black Scholes prices as a bench mark for method effectiveness comparison. The key findings of this research paper among other crucial contributions could be seen in computational procedure of options valuation in multi-dimensions and uncertainties in options payoffs under the exposure of economic recession.展开更多
A model for both stochastic jumps and volatility for equity returns in the area of option pricing is the stochastic volatility process with jumps (SVPJ). A major advantage of this model lies in the area of mean revers...A model for both stochastic jumps and volatility for equity returns in the area of option pricing is the stochastic volatility process with jumps (SVPJ). A major advantage of this model lies in the area of mean reversion and volatility clustering between returns and volatility with uphill movements in price asserts. Thus, in this article, we propose to solve the SVPJ model numerically through a discretized variational iteration method (DVIM) to obtain sample paths for the state variable and variance process at various timesteps and replications in order to estimate the expected jump times at various iterates resulting from executing the DVIM as n increases. These jumps help in estimating the degree of randomness in the financial market. It was observed that the average computed expected jump times for the state variable and variance process is moderated by the parameters (variance process through mean reversion), Θ (long-run mean of the variance process), σ (volatility variance process) and λ (constant intensity of the Poisson process) at each iterate. For instance, when = 0.0, Θ = 0.0, σ = 0.0 and λ = 1.0, the state variable cluttered maximally compared to the variance process with less volatility cluttering with an average computed expected jump times of 52.40607869 as n increases in the DVIM scheme. Similarly, when = 3.99, Θ = 0.014, σ = 0.27 and λ = 0.11, the stochastic jumps for the state variable are less cluttered compared to the variance process with maximum volatility cluttering as n increases in the DVIM scheme. In terms of option pricing, the value 52.40607869 suggest a better bargain compared to the value 20.40344029 due to the fact that it yields less volatility rate. MAPLE 18 software was used for all computations in this research.展开更多
It is important to consider the changing states in hedging.The Markov regime-switching dynamic correlation multivariate stochastic volatility( MRS-DC-MSV) model was proposed to solve this issue. DC-MSV model and MRS-D...It is important to consider the changing states in hedging.The Markov regime-switching dynamic correlation multivariate stochastic volatility( MRS-DC-MSV) model was proposed to solve this issue. DC-MSV model and MRS-DC-MSV model were used to calculate the time-varying hedging ratios and compare the hedging performance. The Markov chain Monte Carlo( MCMC) method was used to estimate the parameters. The results showed that,there were obviously two economic states in Chinese financial market. Two models all did well in hedging,but the performance of MRS-DCMSV model was better. It could reduce risk by nearly 90%. Thus,in the hedging period,changing states is a factor that cannot be neglected.展开更多
Pricing variance swaps under stochastic volatility has been an important subject pursued recently. Various approaches have been proposed, mainly due to the substantially increased trading activities of volatility-rela...Pricing variance swaps under stochastic volatility has been an important subject pursued recently. Various approaches have been proposed, mainly due to the substantially increased trading activities of volatility-related derivatives in the past few years. In this note, the authors develop analytical method for pricing variance swaps under stochastic volatility with an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck(OU) process. By using Fourier transform algorithm, a closed-form solution for pricing variance swaps with stochastic volatility is obtained, and to give a comparison of fair strike value based on the discrete model, continuous model, and the Monte Carlo simulations.展开更多
The Black-Scholes model does not account non-Markovian property and volatility smile or skew although asset price might depend on the past movement of the asset price and real market data can find a non-flat structure...The Black-Scholes model does not account non-Markovian property and volatility smile or skew although asset price might depend on the past movement of the asset price and real market data can find a non-flat structure of the implied volatility surface. So, in this paper, we formulate an underlying asset model by adding a delayed structure to the constant elasticity of variance （CEV） model that is one of renowned alternative models resolving the geometric issue. However, it is still one factor volatility model which usually does not capture full dynamics of the volatility showing discrepancy between its predicted price and market price for certain range of options. Based on this observation we combine a stochastic volatility factor with the delayed CEV structure and develop a delayed hybrid model of stochastic and local volatilities. Using both a martingale approach and a singular perturbation method, we demonstrate the delayed CEV correction effects on the European vanilla option price under this hybrid volatility model as a direct extension of our previous work [12].展开更多
This study proposes two new regime-switching volatility models to empirically analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on hotel stock prices in Japan compared with the US,taking into account the role of stock marke...This study proposes two new regime-switching volatility models to empirically analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on hotel stock prices in Japan compared with the US,taking into account the role of stock markets.The first model is a direct impact model of COVID-19 on hotel stock prices;the analysis finds that infection speed negatively affects Japanese hotel stock prices and shows that the regime continues to switch to high volatility in prices due to COVID-19 until September 2021,unlike US stock prices.The second model is a hybrid model with COVID-19 and stock market impacts on the hotel stock prices,which can remove the market impacts on regime-switching volatility;this analysis demonstrates that COVID-19 negatively affects hotel stock prices regardless of whether they are in Japan or the US.We also observe a transition to a high-volatility regime in hotel stock prices due to COVID-19 until around summer 2021 in both Japan and the US.These results suggest that COVID-19 is likely to affect hotel stock prices in general,except for the influence of the stock market.Considering the market influence,COVID-19 directly and/or indirectly affects Japanese hotel stocks through the Japanese stock market,and US hotel stocks have limited impacts from COVID-19 owing to the offset between the influence on hotel stocks and no effect on the stock market.Based on the results,investors and portfolio managers should be aware that the impact of COVID-19 on hotel stock returns depends on the balance between the direct and indirect effects,and varies from country to country and region to region.展开更多
文摘Under the assumption that the dynamic assets price follows the variance gamma process, we establish a new bilateral pricing model of interest rate swap by integrating the reduced form model for swap pricing and the structural model for default risk measurement.Our pricing model preserves the simplicity of the reduced form model and also considers the dynamic evolution of the counterparty assets price by incorporating with the structural model for default risk measurement. We divide the swap pricing framework into two parts, simplifying the pricing model relatively. Simulation results show that, for a one year interest rate swap, a bond spread of one hundred basis points implies a swap credit spread about 0.1054 basis point.
基金partially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.71671104,11971301)the Project of Humanities Social Sciences of Research of the Ministry of Education,China (Grant No.16YJA910003)。
文摘A Fast Fourier transform approach has been presented by Carr & Madan (2009) on a single underlying asset. In this current research paper, we present fast Fourier transform algorithm for the valuation of Multi-asset Options under Economic Recession Induced Uncertainties. The issue of multi-dimension in both finite and infinite case of Options is part of the focus of this research. The notion of economic recession was incorporated. An intuition behind the introduction of recession induced volatility uncertainty is revealed by huge volatility variation during the period of economic recession compared to the period of recession-free. Nigeria economic recession outbreak in 2016 and its effects on the uncertainty of the payoffs of Nigeria Stocks Exchange (NSE) among other investments was among the motivating factors for proposing economic recession induced volatility in options pricing. The application of the proposed Fast Fourier Transform algorithm in handling multi-assets options was shown. A new result on options pricing was achieved and capable of yielding efficient option prices during and out of recession. Numerical results were presented on assets in 3-dimensions as an illustration taking Black Scholes prices as a bench mark for method effectiveness comparison. The key findings of this research paper among other crucial contributions could be seen in computational procedure of options valuation in multi-dimensions and uncertainties in options payoffs under the exposure of economic recession.
文摘A model for both stochastic jumps and volatility for equity returns in the area of option pricing is the stochastic volatility process with jumps (SVPJ). A major advantage of this model lies in the area of mean reversion and volatility clustering between returns and volatility with uphill movements in price asserts. Thus, in this article, we propose to solve the SVPJ model numerically through a discretized variational iteration method (DVIM) to obtain sample paths for the state variable and variance process at various timesteps and replications in order to estimate the expected jump times at various iterates resulting from executing the DVIM as n increases. These jumps help in estimating the degree of randomness in the financial market. It was observed that the average computed expected jump times for the state variable and variance process is moderated by the parameters (variance process through mean reversion), Θ (long-run mean of the variance process), σ (volatility variance process) and λ (constant intensity of the Poisson process) at each iterate. For instance, when = 0.0, Θ = 0.0, σ = 0.0 and λ = 1.0, the state variable cluttered maximally compared to the variance process with less volatility cluttering with an average computed expected jump times of 52.40607869 as n increases in the DVIM scheme. Similarly, when = 3.99, Θ = 0.014, σ = 0.27 and λ = 0.11, the stochastic jumps for the state variable are less cluttered compared to the variance process with maximum volatility cluttering as n increases in the DVIM scheme. In terms of option pricing, the value 52.40607869 suggest a better bargain compared to the value 20.40344029 due to the fact that it yields less volatility rate. MAPLE 18 software was used for all computations in this research.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.71401144)
文摘It is important to consider the changing states in hedging.The Markov regime-switching dynamic correlation multivariate stochastic volatility( MRS-DC-MSV) model was proposed to solve this issue. DC-MSV model and MRS-DC-MSV model were used to calculate the time-varying hedging ratios and compare the hedging performance. The Markov chain Monte Carlo( MCMC) method was used to estimate the parameters. The results showed that,there were obviously two economic states in Chinese financial market. Two models all did well in hedging,but the performance of MRS-DCMSV model was better. It could reduce risk by nearly 90%. Thus,in the hedging period,changing states is a factor that cannot be neglected.
基金supported by the National Social Science Fund of China under Grant No.14ATJ005Anhui Provincial Natural Science Foundation under Grant Nos.1308085MF93 and 1408085MKL84the National Natural Science Foundations of China under Grant No.11401556
文摘Pricing variance swaps under stochastic volatility has been an important subject pursued recently. Various approaches have been proposed, mainly due to the substantially increased trading activities of volatility-related derivatives in the past few years. In this note, the authors develop analytical method for pricing variance swaps under stochastic volatility with an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck(OU) process. By using Fourier transform algorithm, a closed-form solution for pricing variance swaps with stochastic volatility is obtained, and to give a comparison of fair strike value based on the discrete model, continuous model, and the Monte Carlo simulations.
基金supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea NRF-2013R1A1A2A10006693
文摘The Black-Scholes model does not account non-Markovian property and volatility smile or skew although asset price might depend on the past movement of the asset price and real market data can find a non-flat structure of the implied volatility surface. So, in this paper, we formulate an underlying asset model by adding a delayed structure to the constant elasticity of variance （CEV） model that is one of renowned alternative models resolving the geometric issue. However, it is still one factor volatility model which usually does not capture full dynamics of the volatility showing discrepancy between its predicted price and market price for certain range of options. Based on this observation we combine a stochastic volatility factor with the delayed CEV structure and develop a delayed hybrid model of stochastic and local volatilities. Using both a martingale approach and a singular perturbation method, we demonstrate the delayed CEV correction effects on the European vanilla option price under this hybrid volatility model as a direct extension of our previous work [12].
文摘This study proposes two new regime-switching volatility models to empirically analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on hotel stock prices in Japan compared with the US,taking into account the role of stock markets.The first model is a direct impact model of COVID-19 on hotel stock prices;the analysis finds that infection speed negatively affects Japanese hotel stock prices and shows that the regime continues to switch to high volatility in prices due to COVID-19 until September 2021,unlike US stock prices.The second model is a hybrid model with COVID-19 and stock market impacts on the hotel stock prices,which can remove the market impacts on regime-switching volatility;this analysis demonstrates that COVID-19 negatively affects hotel stock prices regardless of whether they are in Japan or the US.We also observe a transition to a high-volatility regime in hotel stock prices due to COVID-19 until around summer 2021 in both Japan and the US.These results suggest that COVID-19 is likely to affect hotel stock prices in general,except for the influence of the stock market.Considering the market influence,COVID-19 directly and/or indirectly affects Japanese hotel stocks through the Japanese stock market,and US hotel stocks have limited impacts from COVID-19 owing to the offset between the influence on hotel stocks and no effect on the stock market.Based on the results,investors and portfolio managers should be aware that the impact of COVID-19 on hotel stock returns depends on the balance between the direct and indirect effects,and varies from country to country and region to region.
基金This research is supported by the National Science Foundation for Distinguished Young Scholars under Grant No. 70825002, the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No. 70518001, and the National Basic Research Program of China 973 Program under Grant No. 2007CB814902.
文摘这份报纸在一个 jump 散开市场在基准和吝啬变化的标准下面调查连续时间的财产责任管理。明确地，作者认为一无风险的财产，一危险财产和财产是责任，在危险财产价格被指数的 L
