Depending on analyzing the abuse of equivalent weights,a set of self-contained theory system on robust estimation based on equivalent variance-covariance is established,which includes ρ function, φ function,equivale...Depending on analyzing the abuse of equivalent weights,a set of self-contained theory system on robust estimation based on equivalent variance-covariance is established,which includes ρ function, φ function,equivalent variance-covariance function,influence function and breakdown point.And an example is given to verify that the robust models proposed in this paper are reliable and correct.展开更多
We discuss formulas and techniques for finding maximum-likelihood estimators of parameters of autoregressive (with particular emphasis on Markov and Yule) models, computing their asymptotic variance-covariance matrix ...We discuss formulas and techniques for finding maximum-likelihood estimators of parameters of autoregressive (with particular emphasis on Markov and Yule) models, computing their asymptotic variance-covariance matrix and displaying the resulting confidence regions;Monte Carlo simulation is then used to establish the accuracy of the corresponding level of confidence. The results indicate that a direct application of the Central Limit Theorem yields errors too large to be acceptable;instead, we recommend using a technique based directly on the natural logarithm of the likelihood function, verifying its substantially higher accuracy. Our study is then extended to the case of estimating only a subset of a model’s parameters, when the remaining ones (called nuisance) are of no interest to us.展开更多
In many fields, we need to deal with hierarchically structured data.For this kind of data, hierarchical mixed effects model can show the correlationof variables in the same level by establishing a model for regression...In many fields, we need to deal with hierarchically structured data.For this kind of data, hierarchical mixed effects model can show the correlationof variables in the same level by establishing a model for regression coefficients.Due to the complexity of the random part in this model, seeking an effectivemethod to estimate the covariance matrix is an appealing issue. Iterative generalizedleast squares estimation method was proposed by Goldstein in 1986 and wasapplied in special case of hierarchical model. In this paper, we extend themethod to the general hierarchical mixed effects model, derive its expressions indetail and apply it to economic examples.展开更多
This paper proposes a method for modelling volatilities(conditional covariance matrices)of high dimensional dynamic data.We combine the ideas of approximate factor models for dimension reduction and multivariate GARCH...This paper proposes a method for modelling volatilities(conditional covariance matrices)of high dimensional dynamic data.We combine the ideas of approximate factor models for dimension reduction and multivariate GARCH models to establish a model to describe the dynamics of high dimensional volatilities.Sparsity condition and thresholding technique are applied to the estimation of the error covariance matrices,and quasi maximum likelihood estimation(QMLE)method is used to estimate the parameters of the common factor conditional covariance matrix.Asymptotic theories are developed for the proposed estimation.Monte Carlo simulation studies and real data examples are presented to support the methodology.展开更多
文摘Depending on analyzing the abuse of equivalent weights,a set of self-contained theory system on robust estimation based on equivalent variance-covariance is established,which includes ρ function, φ function,equivalent variance-covariance function,influence function and breakdown point.And an example is given to verify that the robust models proposed in this paper are reliable and correct.
文摘We discuss formulas and techniques for finding maximum-likelihood estimators of parameters of autoregressive (with particular emphasis on Markov and Yule) models, computing their asymptotic variance-covariance matrix and displaying the resulting confidence regions;Monte Carlo simulation is then used to establish the accuracy of the corresponding level of confidence. The results indicate that a direct application of the Central Limit Theorem yields errors too large to be acceptable;instead, we recommend using a technique based directly on the natural logarithm of the likelihood function, verifying its substantially higher accuracy. Our study is then extended to the case of estimating only a subset of a model’s parameters, when the remaining ones (called nuisance) are of no interest to us.
文摘In many fields, we need to deal with hierarchically structured data.For this kind of data, hierarchical mixed effects model can show the correlationof variables in the same level by establishing a model for regression coefficients.Due to the complexity of the random part in this model, seeking an effectivemethod to estimate the covariance matrix is an appealing issue. Iterative generalizedleast squares estimation method was proposed by Goldstein in 1986 and wasapplied in special case of hierarchical model. In this paper, we extend themethod to the general hierarchical mixed effects model, derive its expressions indetail and apply it to economic examples.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.11731015,11701116)Innovative Team Project of Ordinary Universities in Guangdong Province(No.2020WCXTD018)Guangzhou University Research Fund(Nos.YG2020029,YH202108)。
文摘This paper proposes a method for modelling volatilities(conditional covariance matrices)of high dimensional dynamic data.We combine the ideas of approximate factor models for dimension reduction and multivariate GARCH models to establish a model to describe the dynamics of high dimensional volatilities.Sparsity condition and thresholding technique are applied to the estimation of the error covariance matrices,and quasi maximum likelihood estimation(QMLE)method is used to estimate the parameters of the common factor conditional covariance matrix.Asymptotic theories are developed for the proposed estimation.Monte Carlo simulation studies and real data examples are presented to support the methodology.