Short-term traffic flow forecasting is a significant part of intelligent transportation system.In some traffic control scenarios,obtaining future traffic flow in advance is conducive to highway management department t...Short-term traffic flow forecasting is a significant part of intelligent transportation system.In some traffic control scenarios,obtaining future traffic flow in advance is conducive to highway management department to have sufficient time to formulate corresponding traffic flow control measures.In hence,it is meaningful to establish an accurate short-term traffic flow method and provide reference for peak traffic flow warning.This paper proposed a new hybrid model for traffic flow forecasting,which is composed of the variational mode decomposition(VMD)method,the group method of data handling(GMDH)neural network,bi-directional long and short term memory(BILSTM)network and ELMAN network,and is optimized by the imperialist competitive algorithm(ICA)method.To illustrate the performance of the proposed model,there are several comparative experiments between the proposed model and other models.The experiment results show that 1)BILSTM network,GMDH network and ELMAN network have better predictive performance than other single models;2)VMD can significantly improve the predictive performance of the ICA-GMDH-BILSTM-ELMAN model.The effect of VMD method is better than that of EEMD method and FEEMD method.To conclude,the proposed model which is made up of the VMD method,the ICA method,the BILSTM network,the GMDH network and the ELMAN network has excellent predictive ability for traffic flow series.展开更多
Accurate predictions of hourly PM_(2.5)concentrations are crucial for preventing the harmful effects of air pollution.In this study,a new decomposition-ensemble framework incorporating the variational mode decompositi...Accurate predictions of hourly PM_(2.5)concentrations are crucial for preventing the harmful effects of air pollution.In this study,a new decomposition-ensemble framework incorporating the variational mode decomposition method(VMD),econometric forecasting method(autoregressive integrated moving average model,ARIMA),and deep learning techniques(convolutional neural networks(CNN)and temporal convolutional network(TCN))was developed to model the data characteristics of hourly PM_(2.5)concentrations.Taking the PM_(2.5)concentration of Lanzhou,Gansu Province,China as the sample,the empirical results demonstrated that the developed decomposition-ensemble framework is significantly superior to the benchmarks with the econometric model,machine learning models,basic deep learning models,and traditional decomposition-ensemble models,within one-,two-,or three-step-ahead.This study verified the effectiveness of the new prediction framework to capture the data patterns of PM_(2.5)concentration and can be employed as a meaningful PM_(2.5)concentrations prediction tool.展开更多
This paper proposes an empirical wavelet transform(EWT)based method for identification and analysis of sub-synchronous oscillation(SSO)modes in the power system using phasor measurement unit(PMU)data.The phasors from ...This paper proposes an empirical wavelet transform(EWT)based method for identification and analysis of sub-synchronous oscillation(SSO)modes in the power system using phasor measurement unit(PMU)data.The phasors from PMUs are preprocessed to check for the presence of oscillations.If the presence is established,the signal is decomposed using EWT and the parameters of the mono-components are estimated through Yoshida algorithm.The superiority of the proposed method is tested using test signals with known parameters and simulated using actual SSO signals from the Hami Power Grid in Northwest China.Results show the effectiveness of the proposed EWT-Yoshida method in detecting the SSO and estimating its parameters.展开更多
基金Project(61873283)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(KQ1707017)supported by the Changsha Science&Technology Project,ChinaProject(2019CX005)supported by the Innovation Driven Project of the Central South University,China。
文摘Short-term traffic flow forecasting is a significant part of intelligent transportation system.In some traffic control scenarios,obtaining future traffic flow in advance is conducive to highway management department to have sufficient time to formulate corresponding traffic flow control measures.In hence,it is meaningful to establish an accurate short-term traffic flow method and provide reference for peak traffic flow warning.This paper proposed a new hybrid model for traffic flow forecasting,which is composed of the variational mode decomposition(VMD)method,the group method of data handling(GMDH)neural network,bi-directional long and short term memory(BILSTM)network and ELMAN network,and is optimized by the imperialist competitive algorithm(ICA)method.To illustrate the performance of the proposed model,there are several comparative experiments between the proposed model and other models.The experiment results show that 1)BILSTM network,GMDH network and ELMAN network have better predictive performance than other single models;2)VMD can significantly improve the predictive performance of the ICA-GMDH-BILSTM-ELMAN model.The effect of VMD method is better than that of EEMD method and FEEMD method.To conclude,the proposed model which is made up of the VMD method,the ICA method,the BILSTM network,the GMDH network and the ELMAN network has excellent predictive ability for traffic flow series.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.:71874133 and 72201201)the Research Program of Shaanxi Soft Science,China(Grant No.:2022KRM015)+1 种基金the Youth Innovation Team of Shaanxi Universities(2020-68)Shaanxi Province Qin Chuangyuan“scientist t engineer”team building project(Grant No.:2022KXJ-007).
文摘Accurate predictions of hourly PM_(2.5)concentrations are crucial for preventing the harmful effects of air pollution.In this study,a new decomposition-ensemble framework incorporating the variational mode decomposition method(VMD),econometric forecasting method(autoregressive integrated moving average model,ARIMA),and deep learning techniques(convolutional neural networks(CNN)and temporal convolutional network(TCN))was developed to model the data characteristics of hourly PM_(2.5)concentrations.Taking the PM_(2.5)concentration of Lanzhou,Gansu Province,China as the sample,the empirical results demonstrated that the developed decomposition-ensemble framework is significantly superior to the benchmarks with the econometric model,machine learning models,basic deep learning models,and traditional decomposition-ensemble models,within one-,two-,or three-step-ahead.This study verified the effectiveness of the new prediction framework to capture the data patterns of PM_(2.5)concentration and can be employed as a meaningful PM_(2.5)concentrations prediction tool.
基金supported by Korea Electric Power Corporation(No.R21XO01-38)Korea Ministry of Environment(MOE)as Graduate School specialized in Climate Change.
文摘This paper proposes an empirical wavelet transform(EWT)based method for identification and analysis of sub-synchronous oscillation(SSO)modes in the power system using phasor measurement unit(PMU)data.The phasors from PMUs are preprocessed to check for the presence of oscillations.If the presence is established,the signal is decomposed using EWT and the parameters of the mono-components are estimated through Yoshida algorithm.The superiority of the proposed method is tested using test signals with known parameters and simulated using actual SSO signals from the Hami Power Grid in Northwest China.Results show the effectiveness of the proposed EWT-Yoshida method in detecting the SSO and estimating its parameters.
