Stability of a Delayed Stochastic Epidemic COVID-19 Model with Vaccination and with Differential Susceptibility

In this paper, we treat the spread of COVID-19 using a delayed stochastic SVIRS (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered, Susceptible) epidemic model with a general incidence rate and differential susceptibility. We start with a deterministic model, then add random perturbations on the contact rate using white noise to obtain a stochastic model. We first show that the delayed stochastic differential equation that describes the model has a unique global positive solution for any positive initial value. Under the condition R0 ≤ 1, we prove the almost sure asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium of the model.

Study on Volume Variation and Stability of Riverbed in the Yangtze Estuary

In recent years,regional floods and typhoons have occurred in the Yangtze Estuary.Changing dynamic conditions and dramatic reduction of sediment discharge in the basin are affecting the dynamic equilibrium pattern of the Yangtze Estuary.Based on the field measurement data and theoretical derivation,this paper analyzed the changing process of runoff-sediment discharge into the sea after the operation of the Three Gorges Project(TGP),and the tidal dynamics and sediment variation characteristics of the Yangtze Estuary.The erosion of South Branch mainly occurs in the channel below-10 m contour,and the riverbed volume below contours 0 m and-10 m has a good correlation with the sediment discharge of Datong Station in the previous year.On this basis,the ratio of the horizontal distance from the starting point to the section centroid below the average water level(B_c)and the water depth at the section centroid(H_c)was proposed to describe the change of the section shape.The relationships between the water-diverting ratio,the sediment-diverting ratio and the water-diverting angle,the conditions of runoff and sediment discharge from the upper reach and the characteristics of the riverway section were established,and the theoretical calculation equations of the water-diverting ratio,the sediment-diverting ratio and the diverting angle of each bifurcation were also established.

ASYMPTOTICAL STABILITY OF NEUTRAL REACTION-DIFFUSION EQUATIONS WITH PCAS AND THEIR FINITE ELEMENT METHODS

This paper focuses on the analytical and numerical asymptotical stability of neutral reaction-diffusion equations with piecewise continuous arguments.First,for the analytical solutions of the equations,we derive their expressions and asymptotical stability criteria.Second,for the semi-discrete and one-parameter fully-discrete finite element methods solving the above equations,we work out the sufficient conditions for assuring that the finite element solutions are asymptotically stable.Finally,with a typical example with numerical experiments,we illustrate the applicability of the obtained theoretical results.

The Stochastic Asymptotic Stability Analysis in Two Species Lotka-Volterra Model

The asymptotic stability of two species stochastic Lotka-Volterra model is explored in this paper. Firstly, the Lotka-Volterra model with random parameter is built and reduced into the equivalent deterministic system by orthogonal polynomial approximation. Then, the linear stability theory and Routh-Hurwitz criterion for nonlinear deterministic systems are applied to the equivalent one. At last, at the aid of Lyapunov second method, we obtain that as the random intensity or statistical parameter of random variable is changed, the stability about stochastic Lotka-Volterra model is different from the deterministic system.

On the Asymptotic Stability of Discrete Crocodilians Model

The sex ratio of crocodiles is strongly biased towards females, often as high as 10 females to 1 male. In crocodilians, the temperature of egg incubation is the environmental factor determining sex. If the temperature is low, around 30˚C, the hatchlings are all females. Higher temperature, around 34˚C, hatch all males. This study was made to consider the asymptotic stability of a positive equilibrium point in a nonlinear discrete model of the basic nesting population model, which is described in three-region depending on the temperature of egg incubation. This model is based on key life-historical data and Murray’s research. To study above, we have applied the classical linearization method and P. Cull’s method and moreover, we employ non-standard discretization methods for later our Equations (6)-(8) and (15).

Existence of asymptotically almost periodic solutions and stability properties for functional difference equations

For functional difference equations with unbounded delay,we characterized the existence of totally stable and asymptotically almost periodic solution by using stability properties of a bounded solution in a certain limiting equation.

Variational Solution of Coral Reef Stability Due to Horizontal Wave Loading

This paper proposes a theoretical method that can be used in calculating the stability of coral reefs or artificial islands.In this work,we employ the variational limiting equilibrium procedure to theoretically determine the slope stability of coral reefs covered with hard reef shells as a result of horizontal wave loads.A reasonable functional is proposed and its extremum is calculated based on the conservation of energy.Then,we deduce the stability factor Ns of coral reefs under combined vertical self-gravity and horizontal wave loads,which is consistent with the published results.We compare some classic examples of homogeneous slopes without hard shells in order to analyze the accuracy of results generated by this variational procedure.The variational results are accurate and reliable according to the results of a series of detailed calculations and comparisons.Simultaneously,some other influence parameters on the reef stability,including the top-layer tensile strength of coral reef,the amplitude of wave loading,and the tensile crack,are calculated and discussed in detail.The analysis results reveal that the existence of a hard reef shell could enhance the stability of reef slope and that there is a nonlinear relationship between the stability factor Ns,the shear strength,and the thickness Ds of the covered coral reef shell.Furthermore,the emergence of top-layer tensile cracks on the coral reefs reduces their stability,and the action of horizontal wave loads greatly decreases the stability of coral reefs.Thus,the hard shell strength and its thickness Ds,surface tensile crack,and wave loading require more careful attention in the field of practical engineering.

Global Stability for a Asymptotically Periodic Cooperative Lotka-Volterra System with Time Delays

In this paper a class of cooperative Lotka-Volterra population system with time delay is considered. Some sufficient conditions on the existence and globally asymptotically stability for the asymptotically periodic solution of the system are established by using the Lyapunov function method and the method given in Fengying Wei and Wang Ke (Applied Mathematics and Computation 182 (2006) 161-165).

DISCUSSION OF CRITICAL LOAD IN NONLINEAR STABILITY ANALYSIS AND SUGGESTION OF VARIATIONAL PRINCIPLE OF SOLVING CRITICAL LOADS

In this paper, a set of variational formulas of solving nonlinear instability critical loads are established from the viewpoint of variational principle. The paper shows that it is very convenient to solve nonlinear instability critical load by using the variational formulas suggested in this paper.

Asymptotic Stability in the Large of Zero Solution of Second Order Nonlinear Differential Equation

There are many works on the asymptotic stability of second dimensional nonlinear differential equation. In particular, these results only concern with the system which includes one or two terms, whereas few works concern with system which includes more than two terms. In this paper, system which includes four nonlinear terms are studies. We obtain the global asymptotic stability of zero solution, and discard the condition which require the Liapunov function trends to infinity, and only require that the positive orbit is bounded.

LOCAL AND GLOBAL STABILITY OF INFINITE-HORIZON VARIATIONAL PROBLEM

This paper presents an existence theorem of the optimal solution for the infinite-horizon variational problem with the inclusion constraints on the state variables and velocity variables, give the estimation of the optimal solution. Under some conditions, the authors obtain the local stability and global stability of the stationary solution.

Intelligent prediction of slope stability based on visual exploratory data analysis of 77 in situ cases

Slope stability prediction research is a complex non-linear system problem.In carrying out slope stability prediction work,it often encounters low accuracy of prediction models and blind data preprocessing.Based on 77 field cases,5 quantitative indicators are selected to improve the accuracy of prediction models for slope stability.These indicators include slope angle,slope height,internal friction angle,cohesion and unit weight of rock and soil.Potential data aggregation in the prediction of slope stability is analyzed and visualized based on Six-dimension reduction methods,namely principal components analysis(PCA),Kernel PCA,factor analysis(FA),independent component analysis(ICA),non-negative matrix factorization(NMF)and t-SNE(stochastic neighbor embedding).Combined with classic machine learning methods,7 prediction models for slope stability are established and their reliabilities are examined by random cross validation.Besides,the significance of each indicator in the prediction of slope stability is discussed using the coefficient of variation method.The research results show that dimension reduction is unnecessary for the data processing of prediction models established in this paper of slope stability.Random forest(RF),support vector machine(SVM)and k-nearest neighbour(KNN)achieve the best prediction accuracy,which is higher than 90%.The decision tree(DT)has better accuracy which is 86%.The most important factor influencing slope stability is slope height,while unit weight of rock and soil is the least significant.RF and SVM models have the best accuracy and superiority in slope stability prediction.The results provide a new approach toward slope stability prediction in geotechnical engineering.

Theoretical study on stability evolution of soft and hard interbedded bedding reservoir slopes

Soft and hard interbedded bedding rock slopes,which is prone to failure,are widely distributed in the Three Gorges Reservoir,China.Limit equilibrium method(LEM)is commonly used to analyze the stability of bedding rock slopes that have a single failure plane.However,this method cannot accurately estimate the stability of soft and hard interbedded bedding reservoir slopes because the strength parameters of a soft and hard interbedded rock mass vary spatially along the bedding plane and deteriorate with time due to periodic fluctuations of reservoir level.A modified LEM is proposed to evaluate the stability evolution of soft and hard interbedded bedding reservoir slopes considering the spatial variation and temporal deterioration of shear strength parameters of rock masses and bedding planes.In the modified LEM,the S-curve model is used to define the spatial variation of shear strength parameters,and general deterioration equations of shear strength parameters with the increasing number of wettingdrying cycles(WDC)are proposed to describe the temporal deterioration.Also,this method is applied to evaluate the stability evolution of a soft and hard interbedded bedding reservoir slope,located at the Three Gorges Reservoir.The results show that neglecting the spatial variation and temporal deterioration of shear strength parameters may overestimate slope stability.Finally,the modified LEM provides useful guidance to reasonably evaluate the long-term stability of soft and hard interbedded bedding reservoir slopes in reservoir area.

GLOBAL ASYMPTOTIC STABILITY OF THE PERIODIC LOTKA－VOLTERRA SYSTEM WITH TWO－PREDATORS AND ONE－PREY

The three species Lotka-Volterra periodic model with two predators and one prey is considered.A set of easily verifiable sufficient conditions is obtained.Finallyt an example is given to illustrate the feasibility of these conditions.

STATIONARY DISTRIBUTION OF A STOCHASTIC SIR MODEL WITH SATURATED INCIDENCE AND ITS ASYMPTOTIC STABILITY

In this article, we consider a stochastic SIR model and show that the distributions of the solutions of the system are absolutely continuous. Furthermore, we analyze long-time behaviour of densities of the distributions of the solution. We prove that the densities can converge in L1 to an invariant density.

GLOBAL ASYMPTOTIC STABILITY IN N-SPECIES NONAUTONOMOUS LOTKA-VOLTERRACOMPETITIVE SYSTEMS WITH DELAYS

A delayed n-species nonautonomous Lotka-Volterra type competitive system without dominating instantaneous negative feedback is investigated. By means of a suitable Lyapunov functional, sufficient conditions are derived for the global asymptotic stability of the positive solutions of the system. As a corollary, it is shown that the global asymptotic stability of the positive solution is maintained provided that the delayed negative feedbacks dominate other interspecific interaction effects with delays and the delays are sufficiently small.

GLOBAL ASYMPTOTIC STABILITY FOR A NONLINEAR DELAY DIFFERENCE EQUATION

In this paper,a sufficient condition for the global asymptotic stability of the solutions of the following nonlinear delay difference equation is obtained, xn+ 1=xn+xn- 1xn- 2 +a xnxn- 1+xn- 2 +a, n =0 ,1 ,..., where a∈ [0 ,∞ ) and the initial values x- 2 ,x- 1,x0 ∈ (0 ,∞ ) .As a special case,a conjecture by Ladas is confirmed.

Effects of spatial variation in cohesion over the concrete-rock interface on dam sliding stability

The limit equilibrium method （LEM） is widely used for sliding stability evaluation of concrete gravitydams. Failure is then commonly assumed to occur along the entire sliding surface simultaneously.However, the brittle behaviour of bonded concrete-rock contacts, in combination with the varying stressover the interface, implies that the failure of bonded dam-foundation interfaces occurs progressively. Inaddition, the spatial variation in cohesion may introduce weak spots where failure can be initiated.Nonetheless, the combined effect of brittle failure and spatial variation in cohesion on the overall shearstrength of the interface has not been studied previously. In this paper, numerical analyses are used toinvestigate the effect of brittle failure in combination with spatial variation in cohesion that is taken intoaccount by random fields with different correlation lengths. The study concludes that a possible existenceof weak spots along the interface has to be considered since it significantly reduces the overallshear strength of the interface, and implications for doing so are discussed.

Asymptotical stability analysis of linear fractional differential systems

It has been recently found that many models were established with the aid of fractional derivatives, such as viscoelastic systems, colored noise, electrode-electrolyte polarization, dielectric polarization, boundary layer effects in ducts, electromagnetic waves, quantitative finance, quantum evolution of complex systems, and fractional kinetics. In this paper, the asymptotical stability of higher-dimensional linear fractional differential systems with the Riemann-Liouville fractional order and Caputo fractional order were studied. The asymptotical stability theorems were also derived.

Impulsive control of stochastic system under the sense of stochastic asymptotical stability

This paper studies the stochastic asymptotical stability of stochastic impulsive differential equations, and establishes a comparison theory to ensure the trivial solution＇s stochastic asymptotical stability. From the comparison theory, it can find out whether the stochastic impulsive differential system is stable just by studying the stability of a deterministic comparison system. As a general application of this theory, it controls the chaos of stochastic Lii system using impulsive control method, and numerical simulations are employed to verify the feasibility of this method.