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Theoretical prediction of forming limit diagram of AZ31 magnesium alloy sheet at warm temperatures 被引量:3
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作者 曹晓卿 徐平平 +1 位作者 樊奇 王文先 《Transactions of Nonferrous Metals Society of China》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第9期2426-2432,共7页
A theoretical prediction on forming limit diagram(FLD) of AZ31 magnesium alloy sheet was developed at warm temperatures based on the M-K theory. Two different yield criteria of von Mises and Hill'48 were applied in... A theoretical prediction on forming limit diagram(FLD) of AZ31 magnesium alloy sheet was developed at warm temperatures based on the M-K theory. Two different yield criteria of von Mises and Hill'48 were applied in this model. Mechanical properties of AZ31 magnesium alloy used in the prediction were obtained by uniaxial tensile tests and the Fields-Backofen equation was incorporated in the analysis. In addition, experimental FLDs of AZ31 were acquired by conducting rigid die swell test at different temperatures to verify the prediction. It is demonstrated from a comparison between the predicted and the experimental FLDs at 473 K and 523 K that the predicted results are influenced by the type of yield criterion used in the calculation, especially at lower temperatures. Furthermore, a better agreement between the predicted results and experimental data for AZ31 magnesium alloy sheet at warm temperatures was obtained when Hill'48 yield criterion was applied. 展开更多
关键词 magnesium alloy forming limit diagram theoretical prediction yield criterion sheet warm forming
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Tribological behaviors between commercial pure titanium sheet and tools in warm forming 被引量:1
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作者 马俊 杨合 +2 位作者 李恒 王丹 李光俊 《Transactions of Nonferrous Metals Society of China》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第9期2924-2931,共8页
The tribological conditions between tools and sheet are the major factors affecting the product quality,forming limits and service life of tools in thin-walled titanium components warm forming.Using the orthogonal des... The tribological conditions between tools and sheet are the major factors affecting the product quality,forming limits and service life of tools in thin-walled titanium components warm forming.Using the orthogonal design based twist compression test in the temperature range of 25-300 °C,the significant factors affecting the coefficient of friction(Co F) and the influencing rules in CP-3 titanium sheet warm forming are clarified and discussed by changing tribological conditions such as tool material,lubrication,temperature and normal pressure.The results show that the significant factors affecting the Co F are lubrication,surface roughness,tool material,sliding velocity,normal pressure and temperature;compared with unlubricated condition,the graphite and Mo S2 greatly improve the friction condition and the maximum reduction of the Co F is 0.318;the Co Fs of Cr12 Mo V/CP-3 and QAl10-3-1.5/CP-3 tribo-pairs show a similar tendency:the Co Fs increase with increasing surface roughness and sliding velocity,and increase firstly then decrease with increasing normal pressure and temperature. 展开更多
关键词 CP-3 titanium sheet warm forming LUBRICATION coefficient of friction
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Warm forming behavior of high strength aluminum alloy AA7075 被引量:29
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作者 WANG Hui LUO Ying-bing +2 位作者 Peter FRIEDMAN CHEN Ming-he GAO Lin 《Transactions of Nonferrous Metals Society of China》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2012年第1期1-7,共7页
The formability of aluminum alloy AA7075 at elevated temperature was investigated through experiment. Stress-strain relationship at different temperatures and forming speeds were investigated through tensile testing. ... The formability of aluminum alloy AA7075 at elevated temperature was investigated through experiment. Stress-strain relationship at different temperatures and forming speeds were investigated through tensile testing. Deep drawing and stretch formability were also tested through limiting drawing ratio (LDR) and limiting dome height (LDH) tests. Finally, post forming mechanical property testing was conducted to investigate the effects of exposure to warm forming temperatures on the mechanical properties. Results show that deep drawing and stretch formability of AA7075 can be significantly improved when the blank is heated to 140-220 °C. At temperature over 260 °C, formability and post forming mechanical properties begin to decrease due to the effect of the heating and forming processes on the material's temper. 展开更多
关键词 aluminum alloy 7075 warm forming limiting drawing ratio (LDR) limiting dome height (LDH)
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Numerical Simulation of Warm Forming Behavior of High Strength Aluminum Alloy 7075 被引量:3
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作者 Wang Hui Yan Dawei +1 位作者 Liang Yangmin Xie Guoyin 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI CSCD 2016年第5期620-625,共6页
Numerical analysis is critically important to understanding the complex deformation mechanics that occur during sheet forming processes.It has been widely used in simulation of sheet metal forming processes at room te... Numerical analysis is critically important to understanding the complex deformation mechanics that occur during sheet forming processes.It has been widely used in simulation of sheet metal forming processes at room temperature in the automotive industry.However,material at elevated temperature behaves more differently than at room temperature and specific material parameters and models need to be developed for the simulation of warm forming.Based on the experimental investigation of material behavior of high strength aluminum alloy 7075(AA7075),constitutive equations with strain rate sensitivity at 140,180 and 220 ℃ are developed.Anisotropic yield criterion Barlat 89 is used in the simulation.Warm forming of limit dome height tests and limit drawing ratio tests of AA7075 at 140,180 and 220℃are performed.Forming limit diagrams developed from experiment at several elevated temperatures in the previous study are used to predict the failure in the simulation results.Punch force and displacement predicted from simulation are compared with the experimental data.Simulation results agree with experimental results,so the developed material model can be used to accurately predict material behavior during isothermal warm forming of the AA7075-T6 alloy. 展开更多
关键词 high strength aluminum alloy warm forming numerical simulation material model
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Analysis and Optimization on Factors Affecting Forming Quality of Half Axle Gears Warm Precision Forging 被引量:2
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作者 WANG Menghan CHEN Xihou ZHOU Jie 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2010年第1期110-114,共5页
Half axle gears is produced by precision forging popularly because of the advantages in minimum machining allowances, lower material consumption and good service properties. But the forming quality of precision forgin... Half axle gears is produced by precision forging popularly because of the advantages in minimum machining allowances, lower material consumption and good service properties. But the forming quality of precision forging is difficult to control. Many simulations and analysis of precision forging process were taken by previous researchers. But no concrete method is proposed to evaluate and optimize the forming quality of half axel gears. The primary purpose of this work is improving the forming quality of half axel gears by analyzing and optimizing the affected factors of forming quality. The enclosed-die warm forging process of half axle gears was developed, and a new type of die-set used on double action hydraulic press was brought forward. The main influential factors of precision forming quality were analyzed after the forming process had been simulated by using finite element method(FEM). These factors include die structure, web thickness and web position. A method used to evaluate the forming quality was established, which investigated the maximal forming load, the metal filling rate and the material damage factor. The FEM simulations of half axle gears precision forging were evaluated by this method. The results show that the best forming quality can be achieved when the punches were added with bosses, the web located at the middle plant of the gear, and the web thickness was 30 percent of the inner hole diameter. Verification experiments taking the above optimized parameters were performed on a 7.8 MN double action hydraulic press. The trial products were formed well. And their geometric precision meets the demand. The verification result shows that the optimization of the influential factors, according to the simulations and the evaluation method, can improve the forming quality. The new structure of precision forging die-set and the new evaluation method guarantee a high forming quality ofhalfaxel gears. 展开更多
关键词 warm precision forging half axle gears forming quality die structure WEB
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Prediction of fracture limits of Ni-Cr based alloy under warm forming condition using ductile damage models and numerical method 被引量:3
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作者 Ayush MORCHHALE Anand BADRISH +4 位作者 Nitin KOTKUNDE Swadesh Kumar SINGH Navneet KHANNA Ambuj SAXENA Chetan NIKHARE 《Transactions of Nonferrous Metals Society of China》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2021年第8期2372-2387,共16页
The stretch forming and the deep-drawing processes were carried out at 300 and 673 K to determine the safe forming and fracture limits of IN625 alloy.The experimentally obtained strain-based fracture forming limit dia... The stretch forming and the deep-drawing processes were carried out at 300 and 673 K to determine the safe forming and fracture limits of IN625 alloy.The experimentally obtained strain-based fracture forming limit diagram(FFLD)was transformed into a stress-based(σ-FFLD)and effective plastic strain(EPS)vs triaxiality(η)plot to remove the excess dependency of fracture limits over the strains.For the prediction of fracture limits,seven different damage models were calibrated.The Oh model displayed the best ability to predict the fracture locus with the least absolute error.Though the experimentally obtained fracture limits have only been used for the numerical analysis,none of the considered damage models predicted the fracture strains over the entire considered range of stress triaxiality(0.33<η<0.66).The deep drawing process window helped to determine wrinkling,safe and fracture zones while drawing the cylindrical cups under different temperature and lubricating conditions.Further,the highest drawing ratio of 2 was achieved at 673 K under the lubricating condition.All the numerically predicted results of both stretch forming and deep drawing processes using the Hill 1948 anisotropic yielding function were found to be good within the acceptable range of error. 展开更多
关键词 IN625 alloy warm forming ductile damage models formABILITY forming limit diagram deep drawing processing window finite element analysis
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Measurement of friction coefficient in aluminum sheet warm forming 被引量:1
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作者 郭正华 李志刚 +1 位作者 黄重九 董湘怀 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2005年第3期328-330,共3页
Aluminum alloy sheets are used more and more to manufacture auto panels. Because the friction behavior is very complicated, it is necessary to study the friction during the aluminum sheet warm forming process. The aut... Aluminum alloy sheets are used more and more to manufacture auto panels. Because the friction behavior is very complicated, it is necessary to study the friction during the aluminum sheet warm forming process. The author has designed a new probe sensor based on an online tribotest method which directly measures friction coefficient in the forming process. Experiments of cup drawing have been conducted and the friction coefficients under different forming conditions have been measured. The results indicate that the forming parameters, such as forming temperature, blankholding force and lubrication status have great effect upon the friction coefficient. 展开更多
关键词 probe sensor tribotest method aluminum sheet warm forming friction coefficient
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FINITE ELEMENT SIMULATION AND OPTIMIZATION OF MULTISTAGE WARM/HOT FORMING FOR OUTER RACE 被引量:2
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作者 Wang Huajun Xia Juchen Hu GuoanState Key Laboratory of Plastic Forming Simulation and Die & Mold Tech., Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2002年第4期339-343,共5页
A multistage warm/hot forming is simulated for the cross grove outer race ofconstant velocity joint, using a thermo-mechanical coupled rigid viscoplastic finite element method,and specially some problem for process de... A multistage warm/hot forming is simulated for the cross grove outer race ofconstant velocity joint, using a thermo-mechanical coupled rigid viscoplastic finite element method,and specially some problem for process development and die design are analyzed. A forming testshows that computed results have good agreement with experimental results. Above obtained resultscan be applied to development of multistage warm/hot forming process and die design for outer race. 展开更多
关键词 multistage warm/hot forging finite element method thermo-mechanicalcoupled experiment
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Parametric analysis of warm forming of aluminum blanks with FEA and DOE 被引量:2
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作者 陈鹏 林忠钦 +1 位作者 陈关龙 K. Muammer 《中国有色金属学会会刊:英文版》 EI CSCD 2006年第2期267-273,共7页
The effect of temperature distribution on warm forming performance was investigated for 5083-O (Al-Mg) sheet metal blanks. Combined isothermal/non-isothermal FEA with design of experiments tools were used to predict a... The effect of temperature distribution on warm forming performance was investigated for 5083-O (Al-Mg) sheet metal blanks. Combined isothermal/non-isothermal FEA with design of experiments tools were used to predict appropriate warm forming temperature conditions for deep drawing and two-dimensional stamping cases. In the investigated temperature range of 25?250 ℃, the formability of Al-5083 alloy is found to be greatly dependent on the temperature distribution of the die and punch. To achieve increased degrees of forming, different temperature levels should be assigned to the corner and body of the die and punch. And the optimal temperature distributions for warm deep drawing and warm two-dimensional stamping are not identical. 展开更多
关键词 热成型 铝合金 有限元 FEA DOE
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Influence of viscous medium temperature distribution on sheet fracture in viscous pressure forming at warm temperature 被引量:2
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作者 刘建光 王忠金 +1 位作者 张鑫 李毅 《中国有色金属学会会刊:英文版》 CSCD 2007年第A01期223-227,共5页
Viscous pressure forming(VPF) of aluminum alloy AA3003 sheet metal at warm temperature was investigated by using coupled thermo-elastoplastic-viscoplastic finite element method. The influence of viscous medium tempera... Viscous pressure forming(VPF) of aluminum alloy AA3003 sheet metal at warm temperature was investigated by using coupled thermo-elastoplastic-viscoplastic finite element method. The influence of viscous medium temperature distribution on sheet fracture location was studied and the distributions of fracture factor at different temperatures were obtained by using ductile fracture criterion. The results show that the failure of sheet metal varies with increasing initial temperature of viscous medium. When the initial temperature of viscous medium is near that of sheet metal,the failure location occurs at dome center,and when the initial temperature of viscous medium is too low,however,the failure location occurs at die corner. The occurrence of fracture can be postponed and even prevented through controlling the temperature distribution in viscous medium. 展开更多
关键词 温度 分布情况 铝合金 测试方法
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Creating Technology and Numerical Analysis of Warm Plastic Forming for Non-symmetrical Axostyle
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作者 徐新成 沈永刚 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2010年第4期584-588,共5页
A creating technology of the part forming was discussed and finite volume method(FVM)was used to simulate the forming process of the non-symmetrical axostyle spring core-bar.The results show that the no-even radial fl... A creating technology of the part forming was discussed and finite volume method(FVM)was used to simulate the forming process of the non-symmetrical axostyle spring core-bar.The results show that the no-even radial flange on the top part of the eccentric peachy surface can remarkably block the metal flow and the eccentric peachy can be filled contentedly.Increasing the radius of punch near the inner pocket,the head bulge also can be filled contentedly.The temperature distribution in the part and the forming force,which helps to decide the forming temperature and to select the equipment,was also analyzed.The comparison between the simulation and the experiment result shows that they are accordant. 展开更多
关键词 warm plastic forming finite volume method(FVM) non-symmetrical axostyle
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Flow characteristics of aluminum coated boron steel in hot press forming 被引量:6
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作者 Jeong-Hwan JANG Jae-Ho LEE +1 位作者 Bye ong-Don JOO Young-Hoon MOON 《中国有色金属学会会刊:英文版》 EI CSCD 2009年第4期913-916,共4页
The flow characteristics of aluminum coated boron steel in hot press forming were investigated.Furthermore,the effects of aluminum coated layer on press forming were analyzed during deep drawing.The results show that ... The flow characteristics of aluminum coated boron steel in hot press forming were investigated.Furthermore,the effects of aluminum coated layer on press forming were analyzed during deep drawing.The results show that aluminum coated boron steel exhibits a high sensitivity on temperature and strain rate.Aluminum coating layer appears in surface flaking in a temperature range of 700-800 ℃,but smooth surface is formed above 900 ℃. 展开更多
关键词 热压成型 流动特性 铝涂层 硼钢 表面剥落 温度范围 冲压成形 高灵敏度
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Study on Temperature Distribution of Specimens Tested on the Gleeble 3800 at Hot Forming Conditions
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作者 Tao Gao Long Ma Xiao-Guo Peng 《Journal of Electronic Science and Technology》 CAS 2014年第4期419-423,共5页
Taking Ti-6Al-4V specimens into consideration, the coupled thermal-electrical finite element model has been developed in Abaqus/Explicit to simulate the heating process in Gleeble 3800 and to study the temperature his... Taking Ti-6Al-4V specimens into consideration, the coupled thermal-electrical finite element model has been developed in Abaqus/Explicit to simulate the heating process in Gleeble 3800 and to study the temperature history and distribution in the specimen. In order to verify the finite element (FE) results, thermal tests are carried out on Gleeble 3800 for a Ti-6Al-4V specimen with a slot to in the centre of the specimen. The effects of the specimen size, heating rate, and air convection on the temperature distribution over the specimen have been investigated. The conclusions can be drawn as: the temperature gradient of the specimen decreases as the specimen size, heating rate, and vacuuming decrease. 展开更多
关键词 Coupled thermal-electrical simulation hot forming thermo-mechanical testing temperaturedistribution.
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Viscous warm pressure bulging process of AZ31B magnesium alloy with different ellipticity dies 被引量:2
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作者 高铁军 刘青 张文卓 《Transactions of Nonferrous Metals Society of China》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第1期157-162,共6页
Based on the bulging principle of different ellipticity dies, the methyl vinyl silicone rubber with excellent thermal stability and heat transfer performance was chosen as the viscous medium. The finite element analys... Based on the bulging principle of different ellipticity dies, the methyl vinyl silicone rubber with excellent thermal stability and heat transfer performance was chosen as the viscous medium. The finite element analysis and experiments of viscous warm pressure bulging (VWPB) of AZ31B magnesium alloy were conducted to analyze the influence of different ellipticity dies on the formability of AZ31B magnesium alloy. At the same time, based on the grid strain rule, the forming limit diagram (FLD) of VWPB of AZ31B magnesium alloy was obtained through measuring the strain of bulging specimens. The results showed that at the temperature range of viscous medium thermal stability, the viscous medium can fit the geometry variation of sheet and generate non-uniform pressure field, and as the die ellipticity increases, the difference value of non-uniform pressure reduces. Meanwhile, according to the FLD, the relationship between part complexity and ultimate deformation was investigated. 展开更多
关键词 AZ3 IB magnesium alloy viscous warm pressure bulging formability different ellipticity dies forming limit diagram
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基于DEFORM-3D的汽车转向拉杆径向温挤成形模拟 被引量:1
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作者 李淑玉 吴汉卿 《塑性工程学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2017年第4期213-217,共5页
针对传统拉杆加工工艺中应力集中、材料利用率低等缺点,提出采用径向温挤压技术来加工某种型号拉杆的新工艺。首先利用有限元模拟软件分3个阶段对拉杆径向温挤压过程进行了模拟,并通过对模拟结果的分析,得到坯料温度变化曲线与径向挤压... 针对传统拉杆加工工艺中应力集中、材料利用率低等缺点,提出采用径向温挤压技术来加工某种型号拉杆的新工艺。首先利用有限元模拟软件分3个阶段对拉杆径向温挤压过程进行了模拟,并通过对模拟结果的分析,得到坯料温度变化曲线与径向挤压金属的流动情况。随后在压力机上进行了工艺试验。结果表明,在径向温挤压过程中拉杆制件成形良好,符合零件要求,挤压缺陷最容易出现在拉杆球接处,利用模具预热与润滑手段可避免挤压缺陷产生。试验结果与模拟结果基本一致,验证了新工艺的可行性。 展开更多
关键词 汽车转向拉杆 温挤成形 有限元模拟
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Investigation of SUS304 Stainless Steel with Warm Hydro-mechanical Deep Drawing 被引量:7
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作者 Yongchao XU, Dachang KANG and Shihong ZHANGSchool of Materials Science and Engineering, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150001, ChinaShihong ZHANGInstitute of Metal Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang 110016, China 《Journal of Materials Science & Technology》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2004年第1期92-93,共2页
Basing on warm mechanical property of SUS304 stainless steel and hydro-mechanical deep drawing process, warm hydro-mechanical deep drawing process is proposed and discussed with experiments in this paper. The experime... Basing on warm mechanical property of SUS304 stainless steel and hydro-mechanical deep drawing process, warm hydro-mechanical deep drawing process is proposed and discussed with experiments in this paper. The experiments are performed at four different temperatures. The results show that the formability of stainless steel is improved under the condition of warm temperature. Warm hydro-mechanical deep drawing raises limiting drawing ratio of SUS304 effectively, and limiting drawing ratio 3.3 is obtained, which is beyond 2.0 with conventional deep drawing. The temperature of 90℃ is beneficial to the forming of SUS304 stainless steel, the strain-induced martensite is controlled effectively, and the thickness distribution is more uniform. 展开更多
关键词 SUS304 stainless steel warm hydro-mechanical deep drawing forming Cylindrical cup
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Formability of AZ31 Mg alloy sheets within medium temperatures 被引量:6
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作者 Lei Wang Qi Qiao +1 位作者 Yang Liu Xiu Song 《Journal of Magnesium and Alloys》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第4期312-317,共6页
The stretching tests of the commercial AZ31 Mg alloy were conducted at 130 ℃, 170 ℃, 210 ℃, at the forming speeds of 10 mm/min and 50 mm/min, respectively. The formability of AZ31 sheets at high temperature was eva... The stretching tests of the commercial AZ31 Mg alloy were conducted at 130 ℃, 170 ℃, 210 ℃, at the forming speeds of 10 mm/min and 50 mm/min, respectively. The formability of AZ31 sheets at high temperature was evaluated by forming limit diagrams (FLD). The fracture morphologies were analyzed using a scanning electron microscope. The results show that the FLD of AZ31 Mg alloy is affected by the forming temperature, in another word, the formability increases with the increasing of the forming temperature. That may be because the non-basal slip system starts to move by thermal activation at high forming temperature. It is also demonstrated that the formability of the AZ31 Mg alloy is on the decline with the increasing of the forming speed. The slipping performs thoroughly to release the stress during the deformation if the forming speed decreases. In addition, the higher the forming temperature is, the more obvious the effect of the forming speed is. The forming temperature is the main dominating factor on the formability of AZ31 Mg alloy. 展开更多
关键词 AZ31 Mg alloy The warm formability forming temperature forming speed
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Error Analysis of FLC Experimental Data at Warm/Hot Stamping Conditions 被引量:1
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作者 ZHUANG Weimin ZHANG Mengxi CHEN Yanhong 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2014年第4期730-737,共8页
Forming limit curves(FLCs) are commonly used for evaluating the formability of sheet metals. However, it is difficult to obtain the FLCs with desirable accuracy by experiments due to that the friction effects are no... Forming limit curves(FLCs) are commonly used for evaluating the formability of sheet metals. However, it is difficult to obtain the FLCs with desirable accuracy by experiments due to that the friction effects are non-negligible under warm/hot stamping conditions. To investigate the experimental errors, experiments for obtaining the FLCs of the AA5754 are conducted at 250℃. Then, FE models are created and validated on the basis of experimental results. A number of FE simulations are carried out for FLC test-pieces and punches with different geometry configurations and varying friction coefficients between the test-piece and the punch. The errors for all the test conditions are predicted and analyzed. Particular attention of error analysis is paid to two special cases, namely, the biaxial FLC test and the uniaxial FLC test. The failure location and the variation of the error with respect to the friction coefficient are studied as well. The results obtained from the FLC tests and the above analyses show that, for the biaxial tension state, the friction coefficient should be controlled within 0.15 to avoid significant shifting of the necking location away from the center of the punch; for the uniaxial tension state, the friction coefficient should be controlled within 0.1 to guarantee the validity of the data collected from FLC tests. The conclusions summarized are beneficial for obtaining accurate FLCs under warm/hot stamping conditions. 展开更多
关键词 forming limit curve(FLC) error analysis warm/hot stamping finite element analysis
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Effect of aluminum particle on properties of viscous medium during warm viscous pressure bulging 被引量:1
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作者 GAO Tie-jun LV Yang-jie +1 位作者 LIU Qing WANG Zhong-jin 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2018年第9期2085-2092,共8页
Incorporating aluminum particles into viscous medium was proposed to improve the thermal conductivity of the viscous medium and the efficiency of warm viscous pressure forming(WVPF)process.The influence of aluminum pa... Incorporating aluminum particles into viscous medium was proposed to improve the thermal conductivity of the viscous medium and the efficiency of warm viscous pressure forming(WVPF)process.The influence of aluminum particles on a viscous medium was investigated through settling,thermal conductivity,and compression experiments.Warm viscous pressure bulging(WVPB)experiments were conducted on polyetherimide(PEI)and AZ31B magnesium alloy sheets to determine the influence of the aluminum particles size and fraction on the forming efficiency and formed specimens based on the heating preparation times and profile curves,wall thicknesses and surface roughness values of the bulging specimens.The results show that the thermal conductivity of the viscous medium and the WVPF efficiency can be greatly improved via the addition aluminum particles with appropriate size and fraction under certain temperature condition,but have less influence on other properties of viscous medium. 展开更多
关键词 warm viscous pressure forming aluminum particles thermal conductivity forming efficiency
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Projected change in precipitation forms in the Chinese Tianshan Mountains based on the Back Propagation Neural Network Model 被引量:1
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作者 REN Rui LI Xue-mei +2 位作者 LI Zhen LI Lan-hai HUANG Yi-yu 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第3期689-703,共15页
In the context of global warming,precipitation forms are likely to transform from snowfall to rainfall with a more pronounced trend.The change in precipitation forms will inevitably affect the processes of regional ru... In the context of global warming,precipitation forms are likely to transform from snowfall to rainfall with a more pronounced trend.The change in precipitation forms will inevitably affect the processes of regional runoff generation and confluence as well as the annual distribution of runoff.Most researchers used precipitation data from the CMIP5 model directly to study future precipitation trends without distinguishing between snowfall and rainfall.CMIP5 models have been proven to have better performance in simulating temperature but poorer performance in simulating precipitation.To overcome the above limitations,this paper used a Back Propagation Neural Network(BNN)to predict the rainfall-to-precipitation ratio(RPR)in months experiencing freezing-thawing transitions(FTTs).We utilized the meteorological(air pressure,air temperature,evaporation,relative humidity,wind speed,sunshine hours,surface temperature),topographic(altitude,slope,aspect)and geographic(longitude,latitude)data from 28 meteorological stations in the Chinese Tianshan Mountains region(CTMR)from 1961 to 2018 to calculate the RPR and constructed an index system of impact factors.Based on the BNN,decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory method(BP-DEMATEL),the key factors driving the transformation of the RPR in the CTMR were identified.We found that temperature was the only key factor affecting the transformation of the RPR in the BP-DEMATEL model.Considering the relationship between temperature and the RPR,the future temperature under different representative concentration pathways(RCPs)(RCP2.6/RCP4.5/RCP8.5)provided by 21 CMIP5 models and the meteorological factors from meteorological stations were input into the BNN model to acquire the future RPR from 2011 to 2100.The results showed that under the three scenarios,the RPR in the number of months experiencing FTTs during 2011-2100 will be higher than that in the historical period(1981-2010)in the CTMR.Furthermore,in terms of spatial variation,the RPR values on the south slope will be larger than those on the north slope under the three emission scenarios.Moreover,the RPR values exhibited different variation characteristics under different emission scenarios.Under the low-emission scenario(RCP2.6),as time passed,the RPR values changed slightly at more stations.Under the mediumemission scenario(RCP4.5),the RPR increased in the whole CTMR and stabilized on the north slope by the end of this century.Under the high-emission scenario(RCP8.5),the RPR values increased significantly through the 21 st century in the whole CTMR.This study may help to provide a scientific management basis for agricultural production and hydrology. 展开更多
关键词 Global warming Tianshan Mountains region Precipitation forms CMIP5 models Back Propagation Neural Network Model
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