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Multi-criteria decision-making method for evaluation of investment in enhanced geothermal systems projects
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作者 Sara Raos Josipa Hranić Ivan Rajšl 《Energy and AI》 EI 2024年第3期143-167,共25页
Deep geothermal energy presents large untapped renewable energy potential could significantly contribute to global energy needs. However, developing geothermal projects involves uncertainties regarding adequate geothe... Deep geothermal energy presents large untapped renewable energy potential could significantly contribute to global energy needs. However, developing geothermal projects involves uncertainties regarding adequate geothermal brine extraction and huge costs related to preparation phases and consequently drilling and stimulation activities. Therefore, evaluating utilization alternatives of such projects is a complex decision-making problem effectively addressed using multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) methods. This study introduces the MCDM method utilizing analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and weighted decision matrix (WDM) to assess different utilization alternatives (electricity generation, direct heat use and cogeneration). The AHP method determines the weight of each criterion and sub-criterion, while the WDM calculates the final project grade. Five criteria groups - technological, geological, economic, societal and environmental – comprising twenty-eight influencing factors were selected and used for the assessment of investment in Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS) projects. The AHP-WDM method was used by 38 experts from six categories: industry, educational institution, research and technology organization (RTO), small- and medium-sized enterprises (SME), local community and other. These diverse expert inputs aimed to capture varying perspectives and knowledge influence investment decisions in geothermal energy. The results were analysed accordingly. The results underscore the importance of incorporating different viewpoints to develop robust, credible, and effective investment strategies for EGS projects. Therefore, this method will contribute to more efficient EGS project development, enabling thus a greater penetration of the EGS into the market. Additionally, the proposed AHP-WDM method was implemented for a case study examining two locations. Locations were assessed and compared on scenario-based evaluation. The results confirmed the method's adequacy for assessing various end uses and comparing project feasibility across different locations. 展开更多
关键词 Deep geothermal energy Enhanced geothermal systems(EGS) Multi-criteria decision-making(MCDM)method Analytic hierarchy process(AHP) weighted decision matrix(WDM)
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基于指数权马尔可夫链及双原则干旱预测研究 被引量:8
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作者 张丹 周惠成 《水电能源科学》 北大核心 2010年第4期5-8,106,共5页
针对马尔可夫链对非均匀分布序列预测精度低的问题,重新划分了SPI等级,并采用双准则决策方法对原预测结果决策方法进行了改进。以朝阳地区旱情为例,修订后的SPI等级符合抗旱决策要求,并与改进后的双准则决策方法应用于旱情预测可提高预... 针对马尔可夫链对非均匀分布序列预测精度低的问题,重新划分了SPI等级,并采用双准则决策方法对原预测结果决策方法进行了改进。以朝阳地区旱情为例,修订后的SPI等级符合抗旱决策要求,并与改进后的双准则决策方法应用于旱情预测可提高预测精度。 展开更多
关键词 指数权马尔可夫链 SPI 旱情预测 双准则决策
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Human Motion Recognition Based on Incremental Learning and Smartphone Sensors
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作者 LIU Chengxuan DONG Zhenjiang +1 位作者 XIE Siyuan PEI Ling 《ZTE Communications》 2016年第B06期59-66,共8页
Batch processing mode is widely used in the training process of human motiun recognition. After training, the motion elassitier usually remains invariable. However, if the classifier is to be expanded, all historical ... Batch processing mode is widely used in the training process of human motiun recognition. After training, the motion elassitier usually remains invariable. However, if the classifier is to be expanded, all historical data must be gathered for retraining. This consumes a huge amount of storage space, and the new training process will be more complicated. In this paper, we use an incremental learning method to model the motion classifier. A weighted decision tree is proposed to help illustrate the process, and the probability sampling method is also used. The resuhs show that with continuous learning, the motion classifier is more precise. The average classification precision for the weighted decision tree was 88.43% in a typical test. Incremental learning consumes much less time than the batch processing mode when the input training data comes continuously. 展开更多
关键词 human motion recognition ineremental learning mappingfunction weighted decision tree probability sampling
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