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基于SLEUTH模型的内罗毕城市扩张预测分析 被引量:3
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作者 施令飞 何晓宇 +4 位作者 沈坚 Kiprotich Paul 魏显虎 张宗科 邱凤婷 《云南大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2020年第6期1101-1109,共9页
以肯尼亚内罗毕市为研究区,使用校准后的SLEUTH模型有效地对内罗毕的城市时空增长格局进行了监测、模拟并分析了内罗毕增长动力和方向,模型最终拟合得到参数分别为生长系数1、繁衍系数1、蔓延系数76、坡度阻抗75、道路引力69,3个校准步... 以肯尼亚内罗毕市为研究区,使用校准后的SLEUTH模型有效地对内罗毕的城市时空增长格局进行了监测、模拟并分析了内罗毕增长动力和方向,模型最终拟合得到参数分别为生长系数1、繁衍系数1、蔓延系数76、坡度阻抗75、道路引力69,3个校准步骤的拟合优度在0.5以上,符合精度的要求.SLEUTH城市扩张模拟显示2020—2035年内罗毕将会经历一个较快的城市扩张阶段,年均增速高于5%,2035—2050年城市扩张速率减弱直至趋于稳定,预测至2050年城市面积占县域总面积的60%左右.从空间上看,内罗毕未来的扩张方向为西北和东南方向.从影响扩张的因素上看,内罗毕的扩张与交通设施的建设、地形和原始土地利用分布密切相关,其中道路引力为主要影响因素.扩张区域主要集中在一级公路、火车站周围和坡度平坦的地区,其中耕地和草地通过土地利用转化,用作城市建设用地的比重最大. 展开更多
关键词 SLEUTH模型 城市扩张预测 内罗毕
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Dynamic Changes of the Bush Encroachment in Low Altitude Area of Ethiopia
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作者 XING Yuanyuan WANG Yongdong +4 位作者 YOU Yuan SONG Qin HARE Malicha Loje JORRO Zinabu Bora JIRMA Guyo Huka 《Journal of Resources and Ecology》 CSCD 2018年第3期281-289,共9页
Bush encroachment is widely distributed in arid and semi-arid regions, and it has a serious impact on livestock production, especially in Africa where livestock is a primary source for the livelihoods of many people. ... Bush encroachment is widely distributed in arid and semi-arid regions, and it has a serious impact on livestock production, especially in Africa where livestock is a primary source for the livelihoods of many people. In this study, methods of supervised classification and decision tree classification, and indexes of a land use change significance index(Ci) and a single land use dynamic degree, were applied to remote sensing imagery of Ethiopia for 1986–2016. The results show the dynamic characteristics of grassland bush encroachment in low altitude areas(pastures 1500 m above sea level) of Ethiopia in the 30 year period studied. The results revealed several interesting features of this phenomenon.(1) The area of bush encroachment showed an increasing trend, with a maximum of 3.74×10^3 km^2 in 2003, which represented 68.97% of the total area, and declined slightly from 2003~2016.(2) Among classification types, the area of severe shrub grassland was the largest, accounting for 28.36–49.10% of the total area, while the area of moderate bush encroachment accounted for 9.77–16.68%, and slight bush encroachment accounted for 5.52–7.57%.(3) The expansion rate of shrubby grassland was 0.74% for the 30 year period, while the average annual expansion rate was 2.16% for the 8 years from 1995–2003.(4) Forest land and grassland were the two main land use types of shrub grassland transformation in low altitude areas and bush encroachment changed large amounts of forest land into grassland due to shrub grassland management. The results of this study provide basic data for revealing the impacts of development processes on subsequent bush encroachment and can inform better management for the sustainable development of grasslands in low altitude systems. 展开更多
关键词 bush encroachment single land use dynamic degree land use change significance index low altitude areas of Ethiopia
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Determination of the Status of Desertification in the Capital of Mauritania and Development of A Strategy for Combating It
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作者 ZHOU Na WANG Yongdong +4 位作者 LEI Jiaqiang AHMEDOU Ould Soule XU Xinwen Alioune Fall LEHLOU Sidi Mohamed 《Journal of Resources and Ecology》 CSCD 2018年第3期306-316,共11页
Mauritania, located in the Western Sahara, is one of the least developed countries in the Sahara Desert. Its capital, Nouakchott, which is home to 23% of its population, suffers from soil erosion from the Sahara and s... Mauritania, located in the Western Sahara, is one of the least developed countries in the Sahara Desert. Its capital, Nouakchott, which is home to 23% of its population, suffers from soil erosion from the Sahara and saltwater intrusion from the Atlantic Ocean. The local environment is under pressure from the combined effects of climate and socio-economic factors, with desertification being recognized as the greatest threat to life. In this context, high-resolution remote sensing images of Nouakchott obtained during the winters of 1985, 1988, 2000, 2006, and 2010 are selected for interpretation and classification. Analysis of the types of desertification and land use reveals the temporal and spatial characteristics of five distinct time periods from 1985 to 2010. This study analyzes the current status of desertification in Nouakchott and suggests five preventive measures. 展开更多
关键词 desertified land progress of desertification West Africa combating desertification
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